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19082019 - Nigeria to spend N2.53bn on 43 ministers

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FINANCIAL VANGUARD<br />

Will the last inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>r <strong>on</strong> the NSE<br />

please put out the lights?<br />

Banks market capitalisati<strong>on</strong><br />

drops by N657bn —August 12,<br />

2019.<br />

Inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs lose N157.7bn as <strong>43</strong><br />

s<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>cks decline —August 13,<br />

2019.<br />

WHEN in 2016 the<br />

forecast of a c<strong>on</strong>tinuous<br />

decline in s<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>ck prices was<br />

made, a friend asked me when<br />

it will end and a recovery gets<br />

underway. The answers<br />

provided were simple. The bad<br />

news for inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs, whether in<br />

the capital market or elsewhere,<br />

will c<strong>on</strong>tinue as l<strong>on</strong>g as <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nigeria</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

has a Federal Government<br />

whose leaders d<strong>on</strong>’t understand<br />

how modern ec<strong>on</strong>omies work.<br />

The unceasing competiti<strong>on</strong><br />

am<strong>on</strong>g nati<strong>on</strong>s of the world for<br />

advantage will always work in<br />

favour of countries blessed with<br />

leaders with a great deal of<br />

know-how. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nigeria</str<strong>on</strong>g>,<br />

unfortunately, is stuck with<br />

ec<strong>on</strong>omic illiterates managing<br />

our fortunes for us. Furthermore<br />

every quarter that produces<br />

poor results will see us fall<br />

farther behind other nati<strong>on</strong>s and<br />

also make it more difficult <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

catch up.<br />

A deregulated capital market<br />

such as ours presents<br />

government and the governed<br />

an objective report card of what<br />

global inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs think of our<br />

performance. No senior special<br />

adviser <strong>on</strong> media or minister of<br />

mis-informati<strong>on</strong> can claim that<br />

we are doing very well <strong>on</strong> the<br />

ec<strong>on</strong>omy when the trend<br />

remains downwards for almost<br />

27 m<strong>on</strong>ths. The reas<strong>on</strong>s are not<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>o difficult <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> understand for<br />

those not wedded <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

government propaganda.<br />

Capital is a coward; it takes<br />

flight at the first serious sign of<br />

trouble. The first serious sign of<br />

trouble came in 2016 when the<br />

ec<strong>on</strong>omy went in<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> a recessi<strong>on</strong><br />

for the first time in 38 years. The<br />

results were made available in<br />

the first quarter, Q1, of 2017.<br />

Inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs expected a vigorous<br />

resp<strong>on</strong>se from the Federal<br />

Government <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>wards str<strong>on</strong>g and<br />

quick recovery. What followed<br />

was not reassuring and induced<br />

pessimism about the Federal<br />

Government’s ability <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

understand and manage a<br />

complex ec<strong>on</strong>omy.<br />

To begin with the president<br />

had prol<strong>on</strong>ged health<br />

challenges - which led <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> a lot<br />

of ugly speculati<strong>on</strong>s about the<br />

captain of the <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nigeria</str<strong>on</strong>g>n ship of<br />

state. The vice president<br />

stepped in and filled some of<br />

the political vacuum created; but<br />

he failed <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> take any significant<br />

measures <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> accelerate<br />

ec<strong>on</strong>omic growth.<br />

Meanwhile, the 2017 budget<br />

was hostage <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> divisive politics.<br />

The leaders of the executive and<br />

legislative branches of<br />

government forgot (or never<br />

realised) that bad politics will<br />

drive out good m<strong>on</strong>ey from any<br />

ec<strong>on</strong>omy any time. Collectively,<br />

they behaved as if <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nigeria</str<strong>on</strong>g> was<br />

isolated from the globalisati<strong>on</strong><br />

of all markets.<br />

A friend in need is no friend<br />

of mine —American comedian.<br />

The budget was eventually<br />

passed in late May and signed<br />

in early June. By then, the more<br />

jittery foreign portfolio inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs<br />

had started <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> check out. They<br />

knew from experience about the<br />

verdict of his<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>ry <strong>on</strong> such<br />

matters.<br />

A budget passed so late in the<br />

year and, with no growth<br />

stimulus of any sort, invariably<br />

results in low Gross Domestic<br />

Product, GDP, growth. They<br />

were absolutely correct. The<br />

year 2017 ended with 0.8 per<br />

cent growth - barely noticeable.<br />

With -1.4 recorded in the<br />

previous year, the cumulative for<br />

2016 and 2017 was still negative.<br />

Given the depressing results<br />

for the first two years, many<br />

presidents invariably dissolve<br />

the cabinet and attempt <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> bring<br />

more experienced people in<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

government <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> accelerate<br />

development. Nothing like that<br />

happened. Individuals<br />

appointed <strong>on</strong> account of loyalty<br />

or <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> pay political debts were<br />

retained until the end. The<br />

<strong>ministers</strong> of the most important<br />

FINANCIAL VANGUARD<br />

LAPO MfB raises share capital <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> N3.5bn<br />

By Providence Emmanuel<br />

LAPO Microfinance Bank,<br />

MfB, Limited has<br />

increased its authorised share<br />

capital by 75 per cent <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> N3.5<br />

billi<strong>on</strong> from N2 billi<strong>on</strong>. This was<br />

d<strong>on</strong>e by the creati<strong>on</strong> of three<br />

billi<strong>on</strong> additi<strong>on</strong>al ordinary<br />

shares of 50 kobo each, which<br />

ranks pari-passu in all respects<br />

with the existing ordinary<br />

shares.<br />

This was <strong>on</strong>e of the highlights<br />

of the bank’s eighth annual<br />

general meeting (AGM) held in<br />

Lagos <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> approve the financial<br />

results of the bank for the year<br />

ended December 2018.<br />

Speaking at the AGM,<br />

Managing Direc<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>r, LAPO MfB,<br />

Mr. Godwin Ehigiamusoe,<br />

disclosed that the bank<br />

disbursed N137 billi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> micro<br />

and small enterprises during the<br />

financial year, with target of<br />

N154 billi<strong>on</strong> in 2019.<br />

He, however, stressed that<br />

there is a need for every<strong>on</strong>e <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

ensure that the loans that go <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

the MfB segment of the society<br />

come cheaper than what it is<br />

now.<br />

He said: "Our shareholders’<br />

fund is in excess of N19 billi<strong>on</strong><br />

but the share capital is a<br />

different thing entirely and so,<br />

we are increasing it from N2<br />

billi<strong>on</strong> as it were <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> N3.5 billi<strong>on</strong><br />

and that means we are<br />

increasing the number of our<br />

shares from four billi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> seven<br />

billi<strong>on</strong>.<br />

"The first step is for us <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

obviously be able <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> open up <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

private inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs especially<br />

instituti<strong>on</strong>al inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs we believe<br />

can add value <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> LAPO in<br />

additi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> bringing fund <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

LAPO. Value in terms of their<br />

experience in other jurisdicti<strong>on</strong>,<br />

being able <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> bring value <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> our<br />

operati<strong>on</strong>s and governance<br />

processes.<br />

"There is a huge gap between<br />

the demand for credit for people<br />

Foreign inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs<br />

take note of all<br />

these signs of a<br />

nati<strong>on</strong> in almost<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>tal disarray and<br />

they have rightly<br />

decided <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

withdraw <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> safer<br />

ec<strong>on</strong>omies<br />

ministries from the standpoint<br />

of the ec<strong>on</strong>omy – power, works,<br />

transportati<strong>on</strong>, finance, internal<br />

affairs – became nati<strong>on</strong>al<br />

embarrassments <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> everybody<br />

who could objectively assess<br />

their performance. They<br />

embarrassed everybody except<br />

the team manager who either<br />

did not know what a<br />

performance appraisal is all<br />

about or did not seem <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> care.<br />

But, foreign inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs with their<br />

funds locked up in the largest<br />

country in the dark c<strong>on</strong>tinent<br />

were not so forgiving.<br />

They noticed that the Lagos-<br />

Ibadan double-guage rail line<br />

which was promised before the<br />

end of 2017 was not anywhere<br />

near 20 per cent completi<strong>on</strong><br />

when the year ended. This is<br />

at the bot<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>m end, that is, the<br />

owners of micro and small<br />

businesses. So as a<br />

microfinance bank committed <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

supporting that end, our major<br />

operati<strong>on</strong> is providing credit,<br />

we prioritize giving loan <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> those<br />

businesses.<br />

"We are also regulated, so we<br />

can mobilize deposit, but our<br />

commitment right from when we<br />

were an NGO has been <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

provide loan <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> owners of micro<br />

and small businesses. Our<br />

expectati<strong>on</strong>s are that we<br />

c<strong>on</strong>tinue <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> do what we do, first,<br />

is <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> ensure we meet the<br />

demand of our clients and<br />

potential clients for loan, and<br />

sec<strong>on</strong>dly <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> be able <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> deliver<br />

some good returns in terms of<br />

financial performance."<br />

Ehigiamusoe said that<br />

business envir<strong>on</strong>ment in the<br />

financial year under focus was<br />

quite challenging not just for<br />

the MfBs but for most<br />

businesses in the country,<br />

Vanguard, MONDAY, AUGUST 19, 2019 — 29<br />

August 2019 and the line is still<br />

far from being opened for<br />

business. The Chinese, who<br />

provided the loan for the rail<br />

line know that there is a time<br />

comp<strong>on</strong>ent <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> any loan deal.<br />

With delay, interest payments<br />

mount. That was how we got<br />

in<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> the debt trap in the 1980s.<br />

We are back <strong>on</strong> familiar road <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

our detriment.<br />

They also noticed that we<br />

allowed the re-c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> of<br />

the busiest road in <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nigeria</str<strong>on</strong>g> –<br />

Lagos-Sagamu-Ibadan – <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

drag <strong>on</strong> for ever. It has taken us<br />

all the years from Yar’Adua’s<br />

government in 2007 <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> repair<br />

and expand a road which<br />

Gow<strong>on</strong>’s administrati<strong>on</strong><br />

delivered from virgin land in<br />

less than three years. It will still<br />

remain uncompleted by<br />

December this year.<br />

The paralysis of the nati<strong>on</strong>’s<br />

biggest ports for almost five<br />

years could <strong>on</strong>ly occur in a<br />

country which does not want<br />

foreign direct investment in<br />

large amounts.<br />

The Apapa gridlock, which<br />

has not been duplicated<br />

anywhere in the world, is a<br />

classic case study in How Not<br />

To Run A Government. The<br />

situati<strong>on</strong> not <strong>on</strong>ly slows down<br />

evacuati<strong>on</strong> of imported<br />

materials from the ports, it<br />

actively discourages exports.<br />

The impunity of the drivers of<br />

trucks and trailers is simply<br />

as<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>nishing. Osinbajo, as<br />

acting President issued them an<br />

order <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> vacate in 72 hours. He<br />

was ignored; and the situati<strong>on</strong><br />

got worse.<br />

Two m<strong>on</strong>ths ago, the President<br />

issued the same “Quit Notice”.<br />

They are still there till <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>day. No<br />

official of government has<br />

received a query for this slap in<br />

the face of the nati<strong>on</strong>’s highest<br />

c<strong>on</strong>stituted authority. Yet,<br />

saying: "The business<br />

envir<strong>on</strong>ment has been quite<br />

challenging especially for most<br />

businesses not just MfBs and<br />

despite that, we did our best <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

ensure we deliver our usual<br />

Our expectati<strong>on</strong>s<br />

are that we<br />

c<strong>on</strong>tinue <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> do what<br />

we do, first, <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

ensure we meet the<br />

demand of our<br />

clients and potential<br />

clients for loan<br />

superior performance. It is for<br />

that reas<strong>on</strong> we were able <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

provide dividend for inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs.<br />

"What is important is that the<br />

bigger chunk of our profit after<br />

tax has been ploughed back in<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

the business and what is going<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Nigeria</str<strong>on</strong>g> loses billi<strong>on</strong>s each day<br />

the trucks stay there.<br />

Foreign inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs take note of<br />

all these signs of a nati<strong>on</strong> in<br />

almost <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>tal disarray and they<br />

have rightly decided <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> withdraw<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> safer ec<strong>on</strong>omies. Obviously,<br />

the government of any country<br />

which can <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>lerate the atrocities<br />

we menti<strong>on</strong>ed above, as well as<br />

others left un<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>uched, cannot<br />

possibly expect its ec<strong>on</strong>omy <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

grow at six, seven or eight per<br />

cent as China, India and<br />

Ind<strong>on</strong>esia – the countries<br />

menti<strong>on</strong>ed <strong>on</strong> June 12 – had<br />

d<strong>on</strong>e for several years. Can<br />

any<strong>on</strong>e imagine China allowing<br />

truckers <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> block a major road for<br />

two weeks - not <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> talk of five<br />

years?<br />

Those still involved in the<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Nigeria</str<strong>on</strong>g>n S<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>ck Exchange must<br />

be there now for other reas<strong>on</strong>s<br />

other than return <strong>on</strong> investment.<br />

The <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nigeria</str<strong>on</strong>g>n ec<strong>on</strong>omy is<br />

heading for another low growth<br />

year. The firms listed <strong>on</strong> the NSE<br />

are struggling. Now, the Food<br />

and Beverage sec<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>r will<br />

experience a <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>ugh time starting<br />

with those importing milk<br />

products as comp<strong>on</strong>ent of their<br />

manufacturing process.<br />

The collateral damage which<br />

the change of government policy<br />

will have <strong>on</strong> n<strong>on</strong>-food<br />

manufacturers (packaging<br />

materials, etc.) will be more<br />

profound than anybody can<br />

imagine at this time.<br />

Decline in <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>tal capitalisati<strong>on</strong><br />

since January would have been<br />

alarming if not for new major<br />

listings like MTN. But, even with<br />

them, the future is bleak for<br />

inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs. The <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nigeria</str<strong>on</strong>g>n<br />

ec<strong>on</strong>omy under current<br />

management cannot deliver the<br />

sort of robust growth which will<br />

halt the c<strong>on</strong>tinuous slide in share<br />

prices.<br />

MICROFINANCE<br />

back <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> shareholders is minimal<br />

and the fact that the number of<br />

shares in LAPO is small.<br />

"I str<strong>on</strong>gly believe that in spite<br />

of the challenges in the<br />

ec<strong>on</strong>omy, <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nigeria</str<strong>on</strong>g> has a big<br />

potential for MfBs in the sense<br />

that we have a very large<br />

populati<strong>on</strong> of people and these<br />

people are excepti<strong>on</strong>ally very<br />

enterprising, therefore there is<br />

need <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> see how we can support<br />

the sec<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>r.<br />

“More importantly, it is the<br />

desire of every<strong>on</strong>e <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> ensure that<br />

the loans <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> this segment of the<br />

society come cheaply or cheaper<br />

than what it is now. Some<br />

soluti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> that could be the<br />

need <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> have a refinancing<br />

structure or instituti<strong>on</strong> in<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>Nigeria</str<strong>on</strong>g> that would be able <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

provide low cost fund <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> MfBs<br />

who would then use such fund<br />

for <strong>on</strong> lending. The implicati<strong>on</strong><br />

therefore is that the ultimate<br />

user, the borrower would access<br />

cheaper loan than what they do<br />

now.”

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