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FINANCIAL VANGUARD<br />
Will the last inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>r <strong>on</strong> the NSE<br />
please put out the lights?<br />
Banks market capitalisati<strong>on</strong><br />
drops by N657bn —August 12,<br />
2019.<br />
Inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs lose N157.7bn as <strong>43</strong><br />
s<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>cks decline —August 13,<br />
2019.<br />
WHEN in 2016 the<br />
forecast of a c<strong>on</strong>tinuous<br />
decline in s<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>ck prices was<br />
made, a friend asked me when<br />
it will end and a recovery gets<br />
underway. The answers<br />
provided were simple. The bad<br />
news for inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs, whether in<br />
the capital market or elsewhere,<br />
will c<strong>on</strong>tinue as l<strong>on</strong>g as <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nigeria</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
has a Federal Government<br />
whose leaders d<strong>on</strong>’t understand<br />
how modern ec<strong>on</strong>omies work.<br />
The unceasing competiti<strong>on</strong><br />
am<strong>on</strong>g nati<strong>on</strong>s of the world for<br />
advantage will always work in<br />
favour of countries blessed with<br />
leaders with a great deal of<br />
know-how. <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nigeria</str<strong>on</strong>g>,<br />
unfortunately, is stuck with<br />
ec<strong>on</strong>omic illiterates managing<br />
our fortunes for us. Furthermore<br />
every quarter that produces<br />
poor results will see us fall<br />
farther behind other nati<strong>on</strong>s and<br />
also make it more difficult <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
catch up.<br />
A deregulated capital market<br />
such as ours presents<br />
government and the governed<br />
an objective report card of what<br />
global inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs think of our<br />
performance. No senior special<br />
adviser <strong>on</strong> media or minister of<br />
mis-informati<strong>on</strong> can claim that<br />
we are doing very well <strong>on</strong> the<br />
ec<strong>on</strong>omy when the trend<br />
remains downwards for almost<br />
27 m<strong>on</strong>ths. The reas<strong>on</strong>s are not<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>o difficult <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> understand for<br />
those not wedded <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
government propaganda.<br />
Capital is a coward; it takes<br />
flight at the first serious sign of<br />
trouble. The first serious sign of<br />
trouble came in 2016 when the<br />
ec<strong>on</strong>omy went in<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> a recessi<strong>on</strong><br />
for the first time in 38 years. The<br />
results were made available in<br />
the first quarter, Q1, of 2017.<br />
Inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs expected a vigorous<br />
resp<strong>on</strong>se from the Federal<br />
Government <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>wards str<strong>on</strong>g and<br />
quick recovery. What followed<br />
was not reassuring and induced<br />
pessimism about the Federal<br />
Government’s ability <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
understand and manage a<br />
complex ec<strong>on</strong>omy.<br />
To begin with the president<br />
had prol<strong>on</strong>ged health<br />
challenges - which led <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> a lot<br />
of ugly speculati<strong>on</strong>s about the<br />
captain of the <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nigeria</str<strong>on</strong>g>n ship of<br />
state. The vice president<br />
stepped in and filled some of<br />
the political vacuum created; but<br />
he failed <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> take any significant<br />
measures <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> accelerate<br />
ec<strong>on</strong>omic growth.<br />
Meanwhile, the 2017 budget<br />
was hostage <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> divisive politics.<br />
The leaders of the executive and<br />
legislative branches of<br />
government forgot (or never<br />
realised) that bad politics will<br />
drive out good m<strong>on</strong>ey from any<br />
ec<strong>on</strong>omy any time. Collectively,<br />
they behaved as if <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nigeria</str<strong>on</strong>g> was<br />
isolated from the globalisati<strong>on</strong><br />
of all markets.<br />
A friend in need is no friend<br />
of mine —American comedian.<br />
The budget was eventually<br />
passed in late May and signed<br />
in early June. By then, the more<br />
jittery foreign portfolio inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs<br />
had started <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> check out. They<br />
knew from experience about the<br />
verdict of his<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>ry <strong>on</strong> such<br />
matters.<br />
A budget passed so late in the<br />
year and, with no growth<br />
stimulus of any sort, invariably<br />
results in low Gross Domestic<br />
Product, GDP, growth. They<br />
were absolutely correct. The<br />
year 2017 ended with 0.8 per<br />
cent growth - barely noticeable.<br />
With -1.4 recorded in the<br />
previous year, the cumulative for<br />
2016 and 2017 was still negative.<br />
Given the depressing results<br />
for the first two years, many<br />
presidents invariably dissolve<br />
the cabinet and attempt <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> bring<br />
more experienced people in<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
government <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> accelerate<br />
development. Nothing like that<br />
happened. Individuals<br />
appointed <strong>on</strong> account of loyalty<br />
or <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> pay political debts were<br />
retained until the end. The<br />
<strong>ministers</strong> of the most important<br />
FINANCIAL VANGUARD<br />
LAPO MfB raises share capital <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> N3.5bn<br />
By Providence Emmanuel<br />
LAPO Microfinance Bank,<br />
MfB, Limited has<br />
increased its authorised share<br />
capital by 75 per cent <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> N3.5<br />
billi<strong>on</strong> from N2 billi<strong>on</strong>. This was<br />
d<strong>on</strong>e by the creati<strong>on</strong> of three<br />
billi<strong>on</strong> additi<strong>on</strong>al ordinary<br />
shares of 50 kobo each, which<br />
ranks pari-passu in all respects<br />
with the existing ordinary<br />
shares.<br />
This was <strong>on</strong>e of the highlights<br />
of the bank’s eighth annual<br />
general meeting (AGM) held in<br />
Lagos <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> approve the financial<br />
results of the bank for the year<br />
ended December 2018.<br />
Speaking at the AGM,<br />
Managing Direc<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>r, LAPO MfB,<br />
Mr. Godwin Ehigiamusoe,<br />
disclosed that the bank<br />
disbursed N137 billi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> micro<br />
and small enterprises during the<br />
financial year, with target of<br />
N154 billi<strong>on</strong> in 2019.<br />
He, however, stressed that<br />
there is a need for every<strong>on</strong>e <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
ensure that the loans that go <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
the MfB segment of the society<br />
come cheaper than what it is<br />
now.<br />
He said: "Our shareholders’<br />
fund is in excess of N19 billi<strong>on</strong><br />
but the share capital is a<br />
different thing entirely and so,<br />
we are increasing it from N2<br />
billi<strong>on</strong> as it were <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> N3.5 billi<strong>on</strong><br />
and that means we are<br />
increasing the number of our<br />
shares from four billi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> seven<br />
billi<strong>on</strong>.<br />
"The first step is for us <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
obviously be able <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> open up <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
private inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs especially<br />
instituti<strong>on</strong>al inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs we believe<br />
can add value <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> LAPO in<br />
additi<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> bringing fund <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
LAPO. Value in terms of their<br />
experience in other jurisdicti<strong>on</strong>,<br />
being able <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> bring value <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> our<br />
operati<strong>on</strong>s and governance<br />
processes.<br />
"There is a huge gap between<br />
the demand for credit for people<br />
Foreign inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs<br />
take note of all<br />
these signs of a<br />
nati<strong>on</strong> in almost<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>tal disarray and<br />
they have rightly<br />
decided <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
withdraw <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> safer<br />
ec<strong>on</strong>omies<br />
ministries from the standpoint<br />
of the ec<strong>on</strong>omy – power, works,<br />
transportati<strong>on</strong>, finance, internal<br />
affairs – became nati<strong>on</strong>al<br />
embarrassments <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> everybody<br />
who could objectively assess<br />
their performance. They<br />
embarrassed everybody except<br />
the team manager who either<br />
did not know what a<br />
performance appraisal is all<br />
about or did not seem <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> care.<br />
But, foreign inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs with their<br />
funds locked up in the largest<br />
country in the dark c<strong>on</strong>tinent<br />
were not so forgiving.<br />
They noticed that the Lagos-<br />
Ibadan double-guage rail line<br />
which was promised before the<br />
end of 2017 was not anywhere<br />
near 20 per cent completi<strong>on</strong><br />
when the year ended. This is<br />
at the bot<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>m end, that is, the<br />
owners of micro and small<br />
businesses. So as a<br />
microfinance bank committed <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
supporting that end, our major<br />
operati<strong>on</strong> is providing credit,<br />
we prioritize giving loan <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> those<br />
businesses.<br />
"We are also regulated, so we<br />
can mobilize deposit, but our<br />
commitment right from when we<br />
were an NGO has been <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
provide loan <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> owners of micro<br />
and small businesses. Our<br />
expectati<strong>on</strong>s are that we<br />
c<strong>on</strong>tinue <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> do what we do, first,<br />
is <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> ensure we meet the<br />
demand of our clients and<br />
potential clients for loan, and<br />
sec<strong>on</strong>dly <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> be able <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> deliver<br />
some good returns in terms of<br />
financial performance."<br />
Ehigiamusoe said that<br />
business envir<strong>on</strong>ment in the<br />
financial year under focus was<br />
quite challenging not just for<br />
the MfBs but for most<br />
businesses in the country,<br />
Vanguard, MONDAY, AUGUST 19, 2019 — 29<br />
August 2019 and the line is still<br />
far from being opened for<br />
business. The Chinese, who<br />
provided the loan for the rail<br />
line know that there is a time<br />
comp<strong>on</strong>ent <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> any loan deal.<br />
With delay, interest payments<br />
mount. That was how we got<br />
in<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> the debt trap in the 1980s.<br />
We are back <strong>on</strong> familiar road <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
our detriment.<br />
They also noticed that we<br />
allowed the re-c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> of<br />
the busiest road in <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nigeria</str<strong>on</strong>g> –<br />
Lagos-Sagamu-Ibadan – <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
drag <strong>on</strong> for ever. It has taken us<br />
all the years from Yar’Adua’s<br />
government in 2007 <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> repair<br />
and expand a road which<br />
Gow<strong>on</strong>’s administrati<strong>on</strong><br />
delivered from virgin land in<br />
less than three years. It will still<br />
remain uncompleted by<br />
December this year.<br />
The paralysis of the nati<strong>on</strong>’s<br />
biggest ports for almost five<br />
years could <strong>on</strong>ly occur in a<br />
country which does not want<br />
foreign direct investment in<br />
large amounts.<br />
The Apapa gridlock, which<br />
has not been duplicated<br />
anywhere in the world, is a<br />
classic case study in How Not<br />
To Run A Government. The<br />
situati<strong>on</strong> not <strong>on</strong>ly slows down<br />
evacuati<strong>on</strong> of imported<br />
materials from the ports, it<br />
actively discourages exports.<br />
The impunity of the drivers of<br />
trucks and trailers is simply<br />
as<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>nishing. Osinbajo, as<br />
acting President issued them an<br />
order <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> vacate in 72 hours. He<br />
was ignored; and the situati<strong>on</strong><br />
got worse.<br />
Two m<strong>on</strong>ths ago, the President<br />
issued the same “Quit Notice”.<br />
They are still there till <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>day. No<br />
official of government has<br />
received a query for this slap in<br />
the face of the nati<strong>on</strong>’s highest<br />
c<strong>on</strong>stituted authority. Yet,<br />
saying: "The business<br />
envir<strong>on</strong>ment has been quite<br />
challenging especially for most<br />
businesses not just MfBs and<br />
despite that, we did our best <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
ensure we deliver our usual<br />
Our expectati<strong>on</strong>s<br />
are that we<br />
c<strong>on</strong>tinue <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> do what<br />
we do, first, <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
ensure we meet the<br />
demand of our<br />
clients and potential<br />
clients for loan<br />
superior performance. It is for<br />
that reas<strong>on</strong> we were able <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
provide dividend for inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs.<br />
"What is important is that the<br />
bigger chunk of our profit after<br />
tax has been ploughed back in<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
the business and what is going<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Nigeria</str<strong>on</strong>g> loses billi<strong>on</strong>s each day<br />
the trucks stay there.<br />
Foreign inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs take note of<br />
all these signs of a nati<strong>on</strong> in<br />
almost <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>tal disarray and they<br />
have rightly decided <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> withdraw<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> safer ec<strong>on</strong>omies. Obviously,<br />
the government of any country<br />
which can <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>lerate the atrocities<br />
we menti<strong>on</strong>ed above, as well as<br />
others left un<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>uched, cannot<br />
possibly expect its ec<strong>on</strong>omy <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
grow at six, seven or eight per<br />
cent as China, India and<br />
Ind<strong>on</strong>esia – the countries<br />
menti<strong>on</strong>ed <strong>on</strong> June 12 – had<br />
d<strong>on</strong>e for several years. Can<br />
any<strong>on</strong>e imagine China allowing<br />
truckers <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> block a major road for<br />
two weeks - not <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> talk of five<br />
years?<br />
Those still involved in the<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Nigeria</str<strong>on</strong>g>n S<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>ck Exchange must<br />
be there now for other reas<strong>on</strong>s<br />
other than return <strong>on</strong> investment.<br />
The <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nigeria</str<strong>on</strong>g>n ec<strong>on</strong>omy is<br />
heading for another low growth<br />
year. The firms listed <strong>on</strong> the NSE<br />
are struggling. Now, the Food<br />
and Beverage sec<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>r will<br />
experience a <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>ugh time starting<br />
with those importing milk<br />
products as comp<strong>on</strong>ent of their<br />
manufacturing process.<br />
The collateral damage which<br />
the change of government policy<br />
will have <strong>on</strong> n<strong>on</strong>-food<br />
manufacturers (packaging<br />
materials, etc.) will be more<br />
profound than anybody can<br />
imagine at this time.<br />
Decline in <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>tal capitalisati<strong>on</strong><br />
since January would have been<br />
alarming if not for new major<br />
listings like MTN. But, even with<br />
them, the future is bleak for<br />
inves<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>rs. The <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nigeria</str<strong>on</strong>g>n<br />
ec<strong>on</strong>omy under current<br />
management cannot deliver the<br />
sort of robust growth which will<br />
halt the c<strong>on</strong>tinuous slide in share<br />
prices.<br />
MICROFINANCE<br />
back <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> shareholders is minimal<br />
and the fact that the number of<br />
shares in LAPO is small.<br />
"I str<strong>on</strong>gly believe that in spite<br />
of the challenges in the<br />
ec<strong>on</strong>omy, <str<strong>on</strong>g>Nigeria</str<strong>on</strong>g> has a big<br />
potential for MfBs in the sense<br />
that we have a very large<br />
populati<strong>on</strong> of people and these<br />
people are excepti<strong>on</strong>ally very<br />
enterprising, therefore there is<br />
need <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> see how we can support<br />
the sec<str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g>r.<br />
“More importantly, it is the<br />
desire of every<strong>on</strong>e <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> ensure that<br />
the loans <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> this segment of the<br />
society come cheaply or cheaper<br />
than what it is now. Some<br />
soluti<strong>on</strong> <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> that could be the<br />
need <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> have a refinancing<br />
structure or instituti<strong>on</strong> in<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>Nigeria</str<strong>on</strong>g> that would be able <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />
provide low cost fund <str<strong>on</strong>g>to</str<strong>on</strong>g> MfBs<br />
who would then use such fund<br />
for <strong>on</strong> lending. The implicati<strong>on</strong><br />
therefore is that the ultimate<br />
user, the borrower would access<br />
cheaper loan than what they do<br />
now.”