The_Future_of_Employment

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APPENDIX The table below ranks occupations according to their probability of computerisation (from least- to most-computerisable). Those occupations used as training data are labelled as either ‘0’ (not computerisable) or ‘1’ (computerisable), respectively. There are 70 such occupations, 10 percent of the total number of occupations. Computerisable Rank Probability Label SOC code Occupation 1. 0.0028 29-1125 Recreational Therapists 2. 0.003 49-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers 3. 0.003 11-9161 Emergency Management Directors 4. 0.0031 21-1023 Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers 5. 0.0033 29-1181 Audiologists 6. 0.0035 29-1122 Occupational Therapists 7. 0.0035 29-2091 Orthotists and Prosthetists 8. 0.0035 21-1022 Healthcare Social Workers 9. 0.0036 29-1022 Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons 10. 0.0036 33-1021 First-Line Supervisors of Fire Fighting and Prevention Workers 11. 0.0039 29-1031 Dietitians and Nutritionists 12. 0.0039 11-9081 Lodging Managers 13. 0.004 27-2032 Choreographers 14. 0.0041 41-9031 Sales Engineers 15. 0.0042 0 29-1060 Physicians and Surgeons 16. 0.0042 25-9031 Instructional Coordinators 17. 0.0043 19-3039 Psychologists, All Other 18. 0.0044 33-1012 First-Line Supervisors of Police and Detectives 19. 0.0044 0 29-1021 Dentists, General 20. 0.0044 25-2021 Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 21. 0.0045 19-1042 Medical Scientists, Except Epidemiologists 22. 0.0046 11-9032 Education Administrators, Elementary and Secondary School 23. 0.0046 29-1081 Podiatrists 24. 0.0047 19-3031 Clinical, Counseling, and School Psychologists 25. 0.0048 21-1014 Mental Health Counselors 26. 0.0049 51-6092 Fabric and Apparel Patternmakers 27. 0.0055 27-1027 Set and Exhibit Designers 28. 0.0055 11-3121 Human Resources Managers 29. 0.0061 39-9032 Recreation Workers 30. 0.0063 11-3131 Training and Development Managers 31. 0.0064 29-1127 Speech-Language Pathologists 32. 0.0065 15-1121 Computer Systems Analysts 33. 0.0067 0 11-9151 Social and Community Service Managers 34. 0.0068 25-4012 Curators 35. 0.0071 29-9091 Athletic Trainers 36. 0.0073 11-9111 Medical and Health Services Managers 37. 0.0074 0 25-2011 Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 38. 0.0075 25-9021 Farm and Home Management Advisors 39. 0.0077 19-3091 Anthropologists and Archeologists 57
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THE FUTURE OF EMPLOYMENT: HOW SUSCE
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dition to the computerisation of ro
Page 5 and 6: Titles (DOT), last revised in 1991,
Page 7 and 8: the Glorious Revolution of 1688, de
Page 9 and 10: a sequence of operations. 10 Yet wh
Page 11 and 12: of mechanisation, with dictaphones,
Page 13 and 14: How technological progress in the t
Page 15 and 16: can be accomplished by machines, wh
Page 17 and 18: pletely automated (Phua, et al., 20
Page 19 and 20: challenging or critical application
Page 21 and 22: e compared (Churchill and Newman, 2
Page 23 and 24: monly defined as non-routine (Brynj
Page 25 and 26: easonably mature, enabled by the ra
Page 27 and 28: obots can now reproduce some aspect
Page 29 and 30: the O∗NET aggregate. In addition,
Page 31 and 32: TABLE I. O∗NET variables that ser
Page 33 and 34: Williams, 2006). Such classifiers m
Page 35 and 36: 100 80 80 Assisting and caring for
Page 37 and 38: 400M Management, Business, and Fina
Page 39 and 40: that sales occupations, which are l
Page 41 and 42: Average median wage (USD) 80k 60k 4
Page 43 and 44: do not account for future wage leve
Page 45 and 46: 2013), are highly susceptible to co
Page 47 and 48: Autor, D., Levy, F. and Murnane, R.
Page 49 and 50: Clifford, G.D. and Clifton, D. (201
Page 51 and 52: Hangal, S. and Lam, M.S. (2002). Tr
Page 53 and 54: Louis, P. and Paterson, G. (1986).
Page 55: Oldenski, L. (2012). Offshoring and
Page 59 and 60: Computerisable Rank Probability Lab
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