The_Future_of_Employment

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Computerisable Rank Probability Label SOC code Occupation 229. 0.26 25-2023 Career/Technical Education Teachers, Middle School 230. 0.27 53-5021 Captains, Mates, and Pilots of Water Vessels 231. 0.27 31-2012 Occupational Therapy Aides 232. 0.27 49-9062 Medical Equipment Repairers 233. 0.28 41-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers 234. 0.28 0 27-2021 Athletes and Sports Competitors 235. 0.28 39-1011 Gaming Supervisors 236. 0.29 39-5094 Skincare Specialists 237. 0.29 13-1022 Wholesale and Retail Buyers, Except Farm Products 238. 0.3 19-4021 Biological Technicians 239. 0.3 31-9092 Medical Assistants 240. 0.3 0 19-1023 Zoologists and Wildlife Biologists 241. 0.3 35-2013 Cooks, Private Household 242. 0.31 13-1078 Human Resources, Training, and Labor Relations Specialists, All Other 243. 0.31 33-9021 Private Detectives and Investigators 244. 0.31 27-4032 Film and Video Editors 245. 0.33 13-2099 Financial Specialists, All Other 246. 0.34 33-3021 Detectives and Criminal Investigators 247. 0.34 29-2055 Surgical Technologists 248. 0.34 29-1124 Radiation Therapists 249. 0.35 0 47-2152 Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters 250. 0.35 0 53-2031 Flight Attendants 251. 0.35 29-2032 Diagnostic Medical Sonographers 252. 0.36 33-3011 Bailiffs 253. 0.36 51-4012 Computer Numerically Controlled Machine Tool Programmers, Metal and Plastic 254. 0.36 49-2022 Telecommunications Equipment Installers and Repairers, Except Line Installers 255. 0.37 51-9051 Furnace, Kiln, Oven, Drier, and Kettle Operators and Tenders 256. 0.37 53-7061 Cleaners of Vehicles and Equipment 257. 0.37 39-4021 Funeral Attendants 258. 0.37 47-5081 Helpers–Extraction Workers 259. 0.37 27-2011 Actors 260. 0.37 53-7111 Mine Shuttle Car Operators 261. 0.38 49-2095 Electrical and Electronics Repairers, Powerhouse, Substation, and Relay 262. 0.38 1 17-1022 Surveyors 263. 0.38 17-3027 Mechanical Engineering Technicians 264. 0.38 53-7064 Packers and Packagers, Hand 265. 0.38 27-3091 Interpreters and Translators 266. 0.39 31-1011 Home Health Aides 267. 0.39 51-6093 Upholsterers 268. 0.39 47-4021 Elevator Installers and Repairers 269. 0.39 43-3041 Gaming Cage Workers 270. 0.39 25-9011 Audio-Visual and Multimedia Collections Specialists 271. 0.4 0 23-1023 Judges, Magistrate Judges, and Magistrates 272. 0.4 49-3042 Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines 273. 0.4 29-2799 Health Technologists and Technicians, All Other 274. 0.41 45-2041 Graders and Sorters, Agricultural Products 62
Computerisable Rank Probability Label SOC code Occupation 275. 0.41 51-2041 Structural Metal Fabricators and Fitters 276. 0.41 1 23-1012 Judicial Law Clerks 277. 0.41 49-2094 Electrical and Electronics Repairers, Commercial and Industrial Equipment 278. 0.42 19-4093 Forest and Conservation Technicians 279. 0.42 53-1021 First-Line Supervisors of Helpers, Laborers, and Material Movers, Hand 280. 0.43 39-3093 Locker Room, Coatroom, and Dressing Room Attendants 281. 0.43 19-2099 Physical Scientists, All Other 282. 0.43 0 19-3011 Economists 283. 0.44 19-3093 Historians 284. 0.45 51-9082 Medical Appliance Technicians 285. 0.46 43-4031 Court, Municipal, and License Clerks 286. 0.47 13-1141 Compensation, Benefits, and Job Analysis Specialists 287. 0.47 31-1013 Psychiatric Aides 288. 0.47 29-2012 Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technicians 289. 0.48 33-2021 Fire Inspectors and Investigators 290. 0.48 17-3021 Aerospace Engineering and Operations Technicians 291. 0.48 27-1026 Merchandise Displayers and Window Trimmers 292. 0.48 47-5031 Explosives Workers, Ordnance Handling Experts, and Blasters 293. 0.48 15-1131 Computer Programmers 294. 0.49 33-9091 Crossing Guards 295. 0.49 17-2021 Agricultural Engineers 296. 0.49 47-5061 Roof Bolters, Mining 297. 0.49 49-9052 Telecommunications Line Installers and Repairers 298. 0.49 43-5031 Police, Fire, and Ambulance Dispatchers 299. 0.5 53-7033 Loading Machine Operators, Underground Mining 300. 0.5 49-9799 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers, All Other 301. 0.5 23-2091 Court Reporters 302. 0.51 41-9011 Demonstrators and Product Promoters 303. 0.51 31-9091 Dental Assistants 304. 0.52 51-6041 Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers 305. 0.52 17-3011 Architectural and Civil Drafters 306. 0.53 47-5012 Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas 307. 0.53 47-4041 Hazardous Materials Removal Workers 308. 0.54 39-4011 Embalmers 309. 0.54 47-5041 Continuous Mining Machine Operators 310. 0.54 39-1012 Slot Supervisors 311. 0.54 31-9011 Massage Therapists 312. 0.54 41-3011 Advertising Sales Agents 313. 0.55 49-3022 Automotive Glass Installers and Repairers 314. 0.55 53-2012 Commercial Pilots 315. 0.55 43-4051 Customer Service Representatives 316. 0.55 27-4011 Audio and Video Equipment Technicians 317. 0.56 25-9041 Teacher Assistants 318. 0.57 45-1011 First-Line Supervisors of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers 319. 0.57 19-4031 Chemical Technicians 320. 0.57 47-3015 Helpers–Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters 321. 0.57 1 13-1051 Cost Estimators 63
Page 1 and 2:
THE FUTURE OF EMPLOYMENT: HOW SUSCE
Page 3 and 4:
dition to the computerisation of ro
Page 5 and 6:
Titles (DOT), last revised in 1991,
Page 7 and 8:
the Glorious Revolution of 1688, de
Page 9 and 10:
a sequence of operations. 10 Yet wh
Page 11 and 12: of mechanisation, with dictaphones,
Page 13 and 14: How technological progress in the t
Page 15 and 16: can be accomplished by machines, wh
Page 17 and 18: pletely automated (Phua, et al., 20
Page 19 and 20: challenging or critical application
Page 21 and 22: e compared (Churchill and Newman, 2
Page 23 and 24: monly defined as non-routine (Brynj
Page 25 and 26: easonably mature, enabled by the ra
Page 27 and 28: obots can now reproduce some aspect
Page 29 and 30: the O∗NET aggregate. In addition,
Page 31 and 32: TABLE I. O∗NET variables that ser
Page 33 and 34: Williams, 2006). Such classifiers m
Page 35 and 36: 100 80 80 Assisting and caring for
Page 37 and 38: 400M Management, Business, and Fina
Page 39 and 40: that sales occupations, which are l
Page 41 and 42: Average median wage (USD) 80k 60k 4
Page 43 and 44: do not account for future wage leve
Page 45 and 46: 2013), are highly susceptible to co
Page 47 and 48: Autor, D., Levy, F. and Murnane, R.
Page 49 and 50: Clifford, G.D. and Clifton, D. (201
Page 51 and 52: Hangal, S. and Lam, M.S. (2002). Tr
Page 53 and 54: Louis, P. and Paterson, G. (1986).
Page 55 and 56: Oldenski, L. (2012). Offshoring and
Page 57 and 58: APPENDIX The table below ranks occu
Page 59 and 60: Computerisable Rank Probability Lab
Page 61: Computerisable Rank Probability Lab
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