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Can Nigeria’s INEC organise a<br />

credible national election?<br />

Indeed, it can be claimed with a<br />

large measure of truth, that rigging<br />

of elections has become part of our<br />

political culture.-- Report of the<br />

Judicial Commission of Inquiry<br />

into the Affairs of the Federal<br />

Electoral Commission<br />

(FEDECO), 1979-1983, Main<br />

Report, Paragraph 10:10<br />

(1986)<br />

THE electoral landslide of<br />

President Shehu Shagari’s<br />

National Party of Nigeria, NPN,<br />

1983 unfolded in instalments over<br />

different sites of improbable magic<br />

across Nigeria. This did not occur<br />

in one day. It involved the<br />

manipulation of the entire value<br />

chain of election administration<br />

over the cycle of four years from<br />

1979 to 1983. It was both wilful and<br />

methodical.<br />

After squeaking through a very<br />

tight field in 1979 with a mere 36%<br />

of the votes and not a small helping<br />

hand from the judicial arithmetic<br />

of the Supreme Court, the NPN in<br />

power set about ensuring that they<br />

were not left in 1983 to the mercies<br />

of any judges. For the party, this<br />

meant they had to find a way to<br />

wrestle some significant territory off<br />

the hands of Obafemi Awolowo and<br />

the UPN in South-West Nigeria. If<br />

they did not have living voters, then<br />

they had to invent voters by some<br />

means.<br />

In places like Oranmiyan North<br />

1 Constituency then in Oyo State<br />

but now in Osun, they found just<br />

the perfect site for this project. This<br />

was the state where Awolowo left<br />

arguably the greatest physical<br />

monument to his political vision<br />

in what was then known as<br />

University of Ife (now Obafemi<br />

Awolowo University). In 1979, the<br />

register of voters in this<br />

constituency had 48,216 persons.<br />

Let the campaigns begin<br />

BY NICK DAZANG<br />

On Wednesday September 28, 2022, two<br />

major milestones will be reached on the<br />

electoral front. On that fateful day, we would<br />

have arrived at the ninth out of the 14th<br />

milestone on the way to the conduct of the 2023<br />

general elections. By the same token, and based<br />

on the Timetable And Schedule of Activities<br />

for the 2023 General Elections issued by the<br />

Independent National Electoral Commission,<br />

INEC, in February this year, campaigns for<br />

the general elections will begin in earnest on<br />

the same day(September 28, 2022), 150 days<br />

to Election Day.<br />

Ordinarily, campaigns are conducted to<br />

engender a free and open discussion on who is<br />

the best candidate and which party, based on<br />

its high-minded agenda, is best poised to<br />

squarely address our concerns and<br />

challenges.We expect our impending<br />

campaigns to be no less muscular and lively.<br />

We expect them to define and climax into the<br />

conduct of the best elections in our history. We<br />

expect them to excite and titillate the political<br />

firmament. We expect them, particularly the<br />

rallies, town halls and debates, to be full of<br />

colour and circumstance. We expect them to<br />

be agog with pomp and sound bites. We expect<br />

that the arguments that will undergird the<br />

campaigns will be reasoned and cogent.<br />

We expect our media to be suffused with<br />

messages which stand the candidates in good<br />

stead. We expect campaign speeches to be<br />

studded with exalted and ennobling visions of<br />

a greater Nigeria. We expect campaigns which<br />

unite, rather than focus on our fault lines and<br />

things that divide us. We expect the campaigns<br />

to be civil, refined and issue-based.<br />

Four years later, in 1983, the number<br />

of registered voters in the same<br />

constituency had skyrocketed to<br />

214,500, an increase of 444.87% at<br />

an average annual rate of growth of<br />

more than 111%.<br />

According to the 1986 Report of<br />

the Judicial Commission of<br />

Inquiry into the Affairs of the Federal<br />

It is well possible<br />

that the would-be<br />

president who has<br />

prevailed over every<br />

prosecutor and<br />

politician arrayed<br />

against him will, in<br />

office, overcome his<br />

provenance and<br />

plunder greatness<br />

from the jaws of<br />

infamy<br />

Electoral Commission, FEDECO,<br />

1979-1983, chaired by former<br />

Supreme Court Justice, Bolarinwa<br />

Babalakin (himself also from Osun<br />

State), the reason for this was “Mr.<br />

Stephen Ajibade, FEDECO<br />

Administrative Secretary”. Mr.<br />

Ajibade contrived to impregnate the<br />

register with the names of ghosts<br />

none of whom came from the<br />

constituency, most of whom<br />

probably did not exist, but most of<br />

whom were recorded as having<br />

“voted” in the constituency during<br />

the 1983 elections. These ghosts<br />

contributed to unseating the UPN<br />

But if we are to go by the pronouncements of<br />

some of the enablers of our presidential<br />

candidates, who before now stridently<br />

canvassed positions or take issues on behalf of<br />

their principals, then we have every reason to<br />

fear or harbour reservations. For they carried<br />

on as giddy and inebriated enforcers, slinging<br />

mud and calumnising their principals'<br />

opponents. They also issued highfalutin claims<br />

and inflammatory rhetorics, thus setting the<br />

stage for wild, outlandish and ridiculous<br />

promises in the mould of unscrupulous<br />

politicians of yore who would promise to build<br />

bridges even where no rivers existed or literally<br />

putting the Atlantic Ocean on fire.<br />

The grim reality which confronts us and the<br />

terrible place in which Nigerians find<br />

themselves today should persuade even the<br />

most reckless and delinquent politician that<br />

only well thought out and sombre arguments<br />

will do. Candidates must thus refrain from<br />

incendiary speeches or pronouncements which<br />

tend to cast unnecessary aspersions on their<br />

opponents. They should abide scrupulously by<br />

the provisions of the electoral holy grail,<br />

namely the Electoral Act 2022. Permit me to<br />

quote from Section 95(1-6) of the Act: A<br />

political campaign or slogan shall not be<br />

tainted with abusive language directly or<br />

indirectly likely to injure religious, ethnic, tribal<br />

or sectional feelings.<br />

Abusive, intemperate, slanderous or base<br />

language or insinuations or innuendos<br />

designed or likely to provoke violent reaction<br />

or emotions shall not be employed or used in<br />

political campaigns. Places designated for<br />

religious worship, police station and public<br />

offices shall not be used-a) for political<br />

campaigns, rallies and processions or, b) to<br />

and handing the rich harvest of votes<br />

in Oyo State to the NPN.<br />

The moral of this tale is not<br />

merely, as the Babalakin<br />

Commission report said, that<br />

election rigging is part of Nigeria’s<br />

political culture. It is also that the<br />

Independent National Electoral<br />

Commission, INEC, as the current<br />

successor to FEDECO is now called,<br />

enables that culture. As the 2023<br />

elections approach, senior officials<br />

of INEC who appear to have<br />

graduated from the Stephen<br />

Ajibade school of electoral<br />

administration, have dusted up<br />

their routines.<br />

Let’s take voter registration in<br />

Omuma Ward in Oru East Local<br />

Government Area, LGA, of Imo<br />

State in South-East Nigeria for<br />

example. This happens to be the<br />

home of Hope Uzodimma, the man<br />

whom the Supreme Court of<br />

Nigeria installed as the winner in<br />

January 2020 of the March 2019<br />

ballot in which he came fourth. In<br />

2015, this ward had a mere 6,500<br />

voters. Since 2019, it has become<br />

the epicentre of ongoing violence<br />

in the state, leading to an untold<br />

exodus of people from the locality.<br />

Yet, over this period, the number<br />

of registered voters in the<br />

constituency rose with the alacrity<br />

of Ijebu garri to over 46,000, a<br />

factor of over 700% or an average<br />

annual rate of increase of more<br />

than 100%. Under any<br />

circumstance, this kind of trend<br />

would task credulity to breaking<br />

point. For INEC, it’s par for the<br />

course.<br />

The details of some of the new<br />

additions to the register of voters<br />

in Omuma Ward of Oru East bear<br />

telling. Among the newly<br />

registered voters added since Hope<br />

Uzodimma was installed as<br />

Governor of Imo State is Adesanya<br />

Nash who was born 122 years ago<br />

in 1900. He registered at the<br />

Central School, Omuma II.<br />

Mr. Nash is only two years older<br />

than two persons, both identified<br />

as “Chimzuruoke Daves O” and<br />

supposedly male but with female<br />

passport pictures. Both were<br />

registered in Umuhu Primary<br />

School II. One is fair complexioned<br />

while the other one of much darker<br />

hue. Whether or not they are extraterrestrial<br />

transvestites is not<br />

clear. What is clear is that the<br />

records say that they are 120<br />

years old, having been born in 1902.<br />

Vanguard, MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 19, 2022 — 17<br />

Send Opinions & Letters to:<br />

opinions1234@yahoo.com<br />

This register is an incredible peek<br />

into the healing capabilities of<br />

Heaven and the Hereafter.<br />

Also registered in Umuhu<br />

Primary School II is 108-year-old<br />

Chidiebube Ozi, who was born in<br />

1914, the same year in which<br />

Frederick Lugard worked his<br />

magic to invent an amalgamated<br />

Nigeria. From his passport,<br />

Chidiebube looks like a specimen<br />

preparing for the athletic exertions<br />

of the Qatar World Cup. Not for<br />

any of these the corpulence of their<br />

brother in the Governor’s Office in<br />

Owerri or the physiological creases<br />

from the consequences of Buhari’s<br />

“Change”.<br />

It bears recounting that Nigeria<br />

is a country whose citizens in the<br />

diaspora do not have a right to<br />

vote. It is also a country in which<br />

there are no 123-year-old new<br />

voters. But, while Nigeria’s<br />

citizens in the diaspora cannot<br />

vote, it seems that those who have<br />

gone to Heaven, at least in Hope<br />

Uzodimma’s village in Omuma,<br />

Imo State, can.<br />

The response of INEC to this<br />

entire saga has been nothing short<br />

of a scandal. On September 15,<br />

Festus Okoye, the INEC National<br />

Commissioner responsible for<br />

Information and Voter Education,<br />

issued a statement in which he<br />

appeared to suggest that the<br />

problem was with putting these<br />

facts in the public domain and not<br />

with the fact that INEC staff<br />

without whom this could not have<br />

happened are still in service.<br />

Commissioner Okoye claimed<br />

that the Commission “is<br />

conducting a comprehensive<br />

Automated Biometric<br />

Identification System, ABIS,<br />

cleanup of the registration data<br />

by scrutinising every record”,<br />

pointing out that “after the ABIS<br />

and clean up, the Commission<br />

shall appoint a period of seven<br />

days during which the register<br />

will be published for scrutiny by<br />

the public for objections and<br />

complaints.”<br />

Three things are evidently<br />

missing from this release. One,<br />

Commissioner Okoye did not say<br />

how long the “cleanup” of the<br />

register would take or when it<br />

would end. Two, he did not say<br />

what degree of accuracy the<br />

processes of the ABIS enjoy. Third,<br />

promote, propagate or attack political parties,<br />

candidates, their programmes or ideologies.<br />

Masquerades shall not be employed or used<br />

by any political party, candidate or person<br />

during political campaigns or for any other<br />

political purpose. A political party or member<br />

of a political party shall not retain, organize,<br />

train or equip any person or group of persons<br />

for the purpose of enabling them to be<br />

employed for the use or display of physical<br />

force or coercion in promoting any political<br />

objective or interest, or in such manner as to<br />

arouse reasonable apprehension that they are<br />

organized-trained or equipped for that<br />

purpose.<br />

The grim reality which<br />

confronts us and the terrible<br />

place in which Nigerians find<br />

themselves today should<br />

persuade even the most reckless<br />

and delinquent politician that<br />

only well thought out and sombre<br />

arguments will do; candidates<br />

must thus refrain from<br />

incendiary speeches or<br />

pronouncements which tend to<br />

cast unnecessary aspersions on<br />

their opponents<br />

A political party, person or candidate shall<br />

not keep or use private security organization,<br />

this release did not say what<br />

consequences would follow if it<br />

were to be found that staff of INEC<br />

had in fact been complicit in<br />

manipulating or inflating the<br />

register of voters in any place<br />

through facilitating clear<br />

breaches of what Mr. Okoye<br />

called INEC’s “business rules”.<br />

The Commissioner did not<br />

forget to disclosed that 3,316<br />

“ineligible registrants” have so<br />

far been invalidated in Hope<br />

Uzodimma’s Oru East LGA. Two<br />

metrics will put this number in<br />

context.<br />

First, INEC’s breakdown shows<br />

that it found 7,145 of 16,511 new<br />

entries from Imo State ineligible.<br />

This means that Hope<br />

Uzodimma’s Oru East alone<br />

supplied 46.41% of Imo State’s<br />

ghost voters. For context, Imo<br />

State has 27 LGAs and 305<br />

electoral wards. Second, if the<br />

number of “ineligible<br />

registrants” from Hope<br />

Uzodimma’s Oru East were to<br />

be applied as a constant across<br />

the 774 LGAs in Nigeria, it<br />

would yield 2,566,584 ghost<br />

voters. That is a mere 5,175 less<br />

than the margin of 2,571,759<br />

with which Muhammadu<br />

Buhari beat President Goodluck<br />

Jonathan in 2015. In other<br />

words, even the numbers so far<br />

discovered as ineligible by INEC<br />

could easily determine the<br />

outcome of any election. The<br />

situation, therefore, warrants<br />

serious action against the<br />

perpetrators.<br />

It should be evident to INEC<br />

and its leadership that the staff<br />

who enabled this kind of rigging<br />

of the register of voters will<br />

happily enable worse in an<br />

election. If the Commission is<br />

interested in a credible poll,<br />

surely, claiming that it is<br />

engaged in Spring-cleaning the<br />

register in the rainy season is<br />

not good enough. It should say<br />

how these ineligible people got<br />

there and what will happen to<br />

those who perpetrated this.<br />

Until INEC is willing to<br />

contemplate this, it must<br />

remain in doubt whether the<br />

Commission under its current<br />

leadership is fit for purpose.<br />

*A lawyer and a teacher,<br />

Odinkalu can be reached at<br />

chidi.odinkalu@tufts.edu<br />

vanguard or any other group or individual by<br />

whatever name called for the purpose of<br />

providing security, assisting or aiding the<br />

political party or candidate in whatever<br />

manner during campaigns, rallies, processions<br />

or elections.<br />

If the candidates and political parties are to<br />

carry themselves in a sublime and decorous<br />

manner, the Media and Civil Society have<br />

salient roles to play in tracking and publicizing<br />

their promises and holding them to account.<br />

The Media should give unfettered<br />

opportunities for the candidates to ventilate<br />

themselves. This will enable the voters to study<br />

their pronouncements and make informed<br />

choices. And in providing these unhindered<br />

platforms, the Media must be as fair as<br />

possible, thus giving equal or near equal space<br />

and time to the candidates. The Media must<br />

vigorously interrogate the candidates and<br />

political parties. Assumptions must not be<br />

erroneously made on the bases of sentiments<br />

and emotions regarding the candidates. This<br />

way, we shall avoid the costly mistake of 2015,<br />

when Nigerians were wowed and beguiled by<br />

the putative and assumed integrity and high<br />

sense of patriotic fervor of one of the candidates<br />

only to be disappointed thereafter.<br />

“No doubt, peddlers and purveyors of fake<br />

news will have a field day. But the traditional<br />

media, with their army of gatekeepers,must<br />

comport themselves responsibly, playing their<br />

roles as veritable custodians of the truth. They<br />

must refrain from amplifying or weaponizing<br />

pronouncements that fan the embers of hatred<br />

or incite the people to violence.<br />

Continues online:www.vanguardngr.com<br />

*Dazang, a public affairs analyst, wrote via:<br />

nickdazang@gmail.com<br />

C<br />

M<br />

Y<br />

K

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