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Can Nigeria’s INEC organise a<br />
credible national election?<br />
Indeed, it can be claimed with a<br />
large measure of truth, that rigging<br />
of elections has become part of our<br />
political culture.-- Report of the<br />
Judicial Commission of Inquiry<br />
into the Affairs of the Federal<br />
Electoral Commission<br />
(FEDECO), 1979-1983, Main<br />
Report, Paragraph 10:10<br />
(1986)<br />
THE electoral landslide of<br />
President Shehu Shagari’s<br />
National Party of Nigeria, NPN,<br />
1983 unfolded in instalments over<br />
different sites of improbable magic<br />
across Nigeria. This did not occur<br />
in one day. It involved the<br />
manipulation of the entire value<br />
chain of election administration<br />
over the cycle of four years from<br />
1979 to 1983. It was both wilful and<br />
methodical.<br />
After squeaking through a very<br />
tight field in 1979 with a mere 36%<br />
of the votes and not a small helping<br />
hand from the judicial arithmetic<br />
of the Supreme Court, the NPN in<br />
power set about ensuring that they<br />
were not left in 1983 to the mercies<br />
of any judges. For the party, this<br />
meant they had to find a way to<br />
wrestle some significant territory off<br />
the hands of Obafemi Awolowo and<br />
the UPN in South-West Nigeria. If<br />
they did not have living voters, then<br />
they had to invent voters by some<br />
means.<br />
In places like Oranmiyan North<br />
1 Constituency then in Oyo State<br />
but now in Osun, they found just<br />
the perfect site for this project. This<br />
was the state where Awolowo left<br />
arguably the greatest physical<br />
monument to his political vision<br />
in what was then known as<br />
University of Ife (now Obafemi<br />
Awolowo University). In 1979, the<br />
register of voters in this<br />
constituency had 48,216 persons.<br />
Let the campaigns begin<br />
BY NICK DAZANG<br />
On Wednesday September 28, 2022, two<br />
major milestones will be reached on the<br />
electoral front. On that fateful day, we would<br />
have arrived at the ninth out of the 14th<br />
milestone on the way to the conduct of the 2023<br />
general elections. By the same token, and based<br />
on the Timetable And Schedule of Activities<br />
for the 2023 General Elections issued by the<br />
Independent National Electoral Commission,<br />
INEC, in February this year, campaigns for<br />
the general elections will begin in earnest on<br />
the same day(September 28, 2022), 150 days<br />
to Election Day.<br />
Ordinarily, campaigns are conducted to<br />
engender a free and open discussion on who is<br />
the best candidate and which party, based on<br />
its high-minded agenda, is best poised to<br />
squarely address our concerns and<br />
challenges.We expect our impending<br />
campaigns to be no less muscular and lively.<br />
We expect them to define and climax into the<br />
conduct of the best elections in our history. We<br />
expect them to excite and titillate the political<br />
firmament. We expect them, particularly the<br />
rallies, town halls and debates, to be full of<br />
colour and circumstance. We expect them to<br />
be agog with pomp and sound bites. We expect<br />
that the arguments that will undergird the<br />
campaigns will be reasoned and cogent.<br />
We expect our media to be suffused with<br />
messages which stand the candidates in good<br />
stead. We expect campaign speeches to be<br />
studded with exalted and ennobling visions of<br />
a greater Nigeria. We expect campaigns which<br />
unite, rather than focus on our fault lines and<br />
things that divide us. We expect the campaigns<br />
to be civil, refined and issue-based.<br />
Four years later, in 1983, the number<br />
of registered voters in the same<br />
constituency had skyrocketed to<br />
214,500, an increase of 444.87% at<br />
an average annual rate of growth of<br />
more than 111%.<br />
According to the 1986 Report of<br />
the Judicial Commission of<br />
Inquiry into the Affairs of the Federal<br />
It is well possible<br />
that the would-be<br />
president who has<br />
prevailed over every<br />
prosecutor and<br />
politician arrayed<br />
against him will, in<br />
office, overcome his<br />
provenance and<br />
plunder greatness<br />
from the jaws of<br />
infamy<br />
Electoral Commission, FEDECO,<br />
1979-1983, chaired by former<br />
Supreme Court Justice, Bolarinwa<br />
Babalakin (himself also from Osun<br />
State), the reason for this was “Mr.<br />
Stephen Ajibade, FEDECO<br />
Administrative Secretary”. Mr.<br />
Ajibade contrived to impregnate the<br />
register with the names of ghosts<br />
none of whom came from the<br />
constituency, most of whom<br />
probably did not exist, but most of<br />
whom were recorded as having<br />
“voted” in the constituency during<br />
the 1983 elections. These ghosts<br />
contributed to unseating the UPN<br />
But if we are to go by the pronouncements of<br />
some of the enablers of our presidential<br />
candidates, who before now stridently<br />
canvassed positions or take issues on behalf of<br />
their principals, then we have every reason to<br />
fear or harbour reservations. For they carried<br />
on as giddy and inebriated enforcers, slinging<br />
mud and calumnising their principals'<br />
opponents. They also issued highfalutin claims<br />
and inflammatory rhetorics, thus setting the<br />
stage for wild, outlandish and ridiculous<br />
promises in the mould of unscrupulous<br />
politicians of yore who would promise to build<br />
bridges even where no rivers existed or literally<br />
putting the Atlantic Ocean on fire.<br />
The grim reality which confronts us and the<br />
terrible place in which Nigerians find<br />
themselves today should persuade even the<br />
most reckless and delinquent politician that<br />
only well thought out and sombre arguments<br />
will do. Candidates must thus refrain from<br />
incendiary speeches or pronouncements which<br />
tend to cast unnecessary aspersions on their<br />
opponents. They should abide scrupulously by<br />
the provisions of the electoral holy grail,<br />
namely the Electoral Act 2022. Permit me to<br />
quote from Section 95(1-6) of the Act: A<br />
political campaign or slogan shall not be<br />
tainted with abusive language directly or<br />
indirectly likely to injure religious, ethnic, tribal<br />
or sectional feelings.<br />
Abusive, intemperate, slanderous or base<br />
language or insinuations or innuendos<br />
designed or likely to provoke violent reaction<br />
or emotions shall not be employed or used in<br />
political campaigns. Places designated for<br />
religious worship, police station and public<br />
offices shall not be used-a) for political<br />
campaigns, rallies and processions or, b) to<br />
and handing the rich harvest of votes<br />
in Oyo State to the NPN.<br />
The moral of this tale is not<br />
merely, as the Babalakin<br />
Commission report said, that<br />
election rigging is part of Nigeria’s<br />
political culture. It is also that the<br />
Independent National Electoral<br />
Commission, INEC, as the current<br />
successor to FEDECO is now called,<br />
enables that culture. As the 2023<br />
elections approach, senior officials<br />
of INEC who appear to have<br />
graduated from the Stephen<br />
Ajibade school of electoral<br />
administration, have dusted up<br />
their routines.<br />
Let’s take voter registration in<br />
Omuma Ward in Oru East Local<br />
Government Area, LGA, of Imo<br />
State in South-East Nigeria for<br />
example. This happens to be the<br />
home of Hope Uzodimma, the man<br />
whom the Supreme Court of<br />
Nigeria installed as the winner in<br />
January 2020 of the March 2019<br />
ballot in which he came fourth. In<br />
2015, this ward had a mere 6,500<br />
voters. Since 2019, it has become<br />
the epicentre of ongoing violence<br />
in the state, leading to an untold<br />
exodus of people from the locality.<br />
Yet, over this period, the number<br />
of registered voters in the<br />
constituency rose with the alacrity<br />
of Ijebu garri to over 46,000, a<br />
factor of over 700% or an average<br />
annual rate of increase of more<br />
than 100%. Under any<br />
circumstance, this kind of trend<br />
would task credulity to breaking<br />
point. For INEC, it’s par for the<br />
course.<br />
The details of some of the new<br />
additions to the register of voters<br />
in Omuma Ward of Oru East bear<br />
telling. Among the newly<br />
registered voters added since Hope<br />
Uzodimma was installed as<br />
Governor of Imo State is Adesanya<br />
Nash who was born 122 years ago<br />
in 1900. He registered at the<br />
Central School, Omuma II.<br />
Mr. Nash is only two years older<br />
than two persons, both identified<br />
as “Chimzuruoke Daves O” and<br />
supposedly male but with female<br />
passport pictures. Both were<br />
registered in Umuhu Primary<br />
School II. One is fair complexioned<br />
while the other one of much darker<br />
hue. Whether or not they are extraterrestrial<br />
transvestites is not<br />
clear. What is clear is that the<br />
records say that they are 120<br />
years old, having been born in 1902.<br />
Vanguard, MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 19, 2022 — 17<br />
Send Opinions & Letters to:<br />
opinions1234@yahoo.com<br />
This register is an incredible peek<br />
into the healing capabilities of<br />
Heaven and the Hereafter.<br />
Also registered in Umuhu<br />
Primary School II is 108-year-old<br />
Chidiebube Ozi, who was born in<br />
1914, the same year in which<br />
Frederick Lugard worked his<br />
magic to invent an amalgamated<br />
Nigeria. From his passport,<br />
Chidiebube looks like a specimen<br />
preparing for the athletic exertions<br />
of the Qatar World Cup. Not for<br />
any of these the corpulence of their<br />
brother in the Governor’s Office in<br />
Owerri or the physiological creases<br />
from the consequences of Buhari’s<br />
“Change”.<br />
It bears recounting that Nigeria<br />
is a country whose citizens in the<br />
diaspora do not have a right to<br />
vote. It is also a country in which<br />
there are no 123-year-old new<br />
voters. But, while Nigeria’s<br />
citizens in the diaspora cannot<br />
vote, it seems that those who have<br />
gone to Heaven, at least in Hope<br />
Uzodimma’s village in Omuma,<br />
Imo State, can.<br />
The response of INEC to this<br />
entire saga has been nothing short<br />
of a scandal. On September 15,<br />
Festus Okoye, the INEC National<br />
Commissioner responsible for<br />
Information and Voter Education,<br />
issued a statement in which he<br />
appeared to suggest that the<br />
problem was with putting these<br />
facts in the public domain and not<br />
with the fact that INEC staff<br />
without whom this could not have<br />
happened are still in service.<br />
Commissioner Okoye claimed<br />
that the Commission “is<br />
conducting a comprehensive<br />
Automated Biometric<br />
Identification System, ABIS,<br />
cleanup of the registration data<br />
by scrutinising every record”,<br />
pointing out that “after the ABIS<br />
and clean up, the Commission<br />
shall appoint a period of seven<br />
days during which the register<br />
will be published for scrutiny by<br />
the public for objections and<br />
complaints.”<br />
Three things are evidently<br />
missing from this release. One,<br />
Commissioner Okoye did not say<br />
how long the “cleanup” of the<br />
register would take or when it<br />
would end. Two, he did not say<br />
what degree of accuracy the<br />
processes of the ABIS enjoy. Third,<br />
promote, propagate or attack political parties,<br />
candidates, their programmes or ideologies.<br />
Masquerades shall not be employed or used<br />
by any political party, candidate or person<br />
during political campaigns or for any other<br />
political purpose. A political party or member<br />
of a political party shall not retain, organize,<br />
train or equip any person or group of persons<br />
for the purpose of enabling them to be<br />
employed for the use or display of physical<br />
force or coercion in promoting any political<br />
objective or interest, or in such manner as to<br />
arouse reasonable apprehension that they are<br />
organized-trained or equipped for that<br />
purpose.<br />
The grim reality which<br />
confronts us and the terrible<br />
place in which Nigerians find<br />
themselves today should<br />
persuade even the most reckless<br />
and delinquent politician that<br />
only well thought out and sombre<br />
arguments will do; candidates<br />
must thus refrain from<br />
incendiary speeches or<br />
pronouncements which tend to<br />
cast unnecessary aspersions on<br />
their opponents<br />
A political party, person or candidate shall<br />
not keep or use private security organization,<br />
this release did not say what<br />
consequences would follow if it<br />
were to be found that staff of INEC<br />
had in fact been complicit in<br />
manipulating or inflating the<br />
register of voters in any place<br />
through facilitating clear<br />
breaches of what Mr. Okoye<br />
called INEC’s “business rules”.<br />
The Commissioner did not<br />
forget to disclosed that 3,316<br />
“ineligible registrants” have so<br />
far been invalidated in Hope<br />
Uzodimma’s Oru East LGA. Two<br />
metrics will put this number in<br />
context.<br />
First, INEC’s breakdown shows<br />
that it found 7,145 of 16,511 new<br />
entries from Imo State ineligible.<br />
This means that Hope<br />
Uzodimma’s Oru East alone<br />
supplied 46.41% of Imo State’s<br />
ghost voters. For context, Imo<br />
State has 27 LGAs and 305<br />
electoral wards. Second, if the<br />
number of “ineligible<br />
registrants” from Hope<br />
Uzodimma’s Oru East were to<br />
be applied as a constant across<br />
the 774 LGAs in Nigeria, it<br />
would yield 2,566,584 ghost<br />
voters. That is a mere 5,175 less<br />
than the margin of 2,571,759<br />
with which Muhammadu<br />
Buhari beat President Goodluck<br />
Jonathan in 2015. In other<br />
words, even the numbers so far<br />
discovered as ineligible by INEC<br />
could easily determine the<br />
outcome of any election. The<br />
situation, therefore, warrants<br />
serious action against the<br />
perpetrators.<br />
It should be evident to INEC<br />
and its leadership that the staff<br />
who enabled this kind of rigging<br />
of the register of voters will<br />
happily enable worse in an<br />
election. If the Commission is<br />
interested in a credible poll,<br />
surely, claiming that it is<br />
engaged in Spring-cleaning the<br />
register in the rainy season is<br />
not good enough. It should say<br />
how these ineligible people got<br />
there and what will happen to<br />
those who perpetrated this.<br />
Until INEC is willing to<br />
contemplate this, it must<br />
remain in doubt whether the<br />
Commission under its current<br />
leadership is fit for purpose.<br />
*A lawyer and a teacher,<br />
Odinkalu can be reached at<br />
chidi.odinkalu@tufts.edu<br />
vanguard or any other group or individual by<br />
whatever name called for the purpose of<br />
providing security, assisting or aiding the<br />
political party or candidate in whatever<br />
manner during campaigns, rallies, processions<br />
or elections.<br />
If the candidates and political parties are to<br />
carry themselves in a sublime and decorous<br />
manner, the Media and Civil Society have<br />
salient roles to play in tracking and publicizing<br />
their promises and holding them to account.<br />
The Media should give unfettered<br />
opportunities for the candidates to ventilate<br />
themselves. This will enable the voters to study<br />
their pronouncements and make informed<br />
choices. And in providing these unhindered<br />
platforms, the Media must be as fair as<br />
possible, thus giving equal or near equal space<br />
and time to the candidates. The Media must<br />
vigorously interrogate the candidates and<br />
political parties. Assumptions must not be<br />
erroneously made on the bases of sentiments<br />
and emotions regarding the candidates. This<br />
way, we shall avoid the costly mistake of 2015,<br />
when Nigerians were wowed and beguiled by<br />
the putative and assumed integrity and high<br />
sense of patriotic fervor of one of the candidates<br />
only to be disappointed thereafter.<br />
“No doubt, peddlers and purveyors of fake<br />
news will have a field day. But the traditional<br />
media, with their army of gatekeepers,must<br />
comport themselves responsibly, playing their<br />
roles as veritable custodians of the truth. They<br />
must refrain from amplifying or weaponizing<br />
pronouncements that fan the embers of hatred<br />
or incite the people to violence.<br />
Continues online:www.vanguardngr.com<br />
*Dazang, a public affairs analyst, wrote via:<br />
nickdazang@gmail.com<br />
C<br />
M<br />
Y<br />
K