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FEATURE:<br />

FEATURE: 2024 PREDICTIONS<br />

"There's a lot of hype right now around generative AI, to<br />

put it mildly. However, all of this hype means that for some<br />

organisations, adoption of this technology is more of a<br />

matter of 'keeping up with the Jones' rather than because it<br />

is truly the best solution for a specific problem they are<br />

trying to solve. As a result, we're likely to see a lot of money<br />

invested in failed generative AI projects." - Rex Ahlstrom, Syniti<br />

Gaidar Magdanurov of Acronis described<br />

what he calls 'holistic cyber protection': "Cyber<br />

protection - integrated cybersecurity and<br />

backup - has become table stakes for cyber<br />

defences. Given the widespread use of AI and<br />

automation, I predict that more multi-layered<br />

defence tactics will become the norm to avoid<br />

large-scale attacks that are customised<br />

through AI. This includes integrating various<br />

measures, such as prevention with vulnerability<br />

assessment and patch management, detection<br />

with Endpoint Detection and Response<br />

solutions, remediation including recovery from<br />

a backup, and forensics using the data from<br />

backups."<br />

Brock Mowry of Tintri adds a sobering note:<br />

"Bad actors are doing their R&D. 2024 will see<br />

new and undiscovered attack vectors<br />

leveraging the intelligence and power of AI.<br />

This will be the new adversary of blue teams in<br />

the enterprise."<br />

THE HARD DISK DEBATE CONTINUES<br />

What about the ever-present discussion of<br />

hard disk versus flash? Declining flash prices<br />

are at last likely to mean a broad-scale<br />

transition towards all-flash object storage<br />

systems. Steve Leeper of Datadobi says: "As<br />

flash storage becomes more financially<br />

accessible, its integration into object storage<br />

infrastructures is likely to become the norm,<br />

offering the swift performance that traditional<br />

HDD-based object storage and scalability that<br />

NAS systems lack. This evolution will be<br />

particularly beneficial for handling the large<br />

datasets integral to AI workloads, which<br />

necessitate rapid throughput and scalability.<br />

Consequently, a data mobility wave may be<br />

seen, with datasets and workloads being<br />

transferred from outdated and sluggish storage<br />

architectures to cutting-edge all-flash object<br />

storage solutions."<br />

Not everyone agrees though. Brett Davis of<br />

iXsystems comments: "Despite the wishful<br />

thinking from flash-only vendors, hard drives in<br />

the data centre will maintain their significant<br />

cost advantage and continue to store the most<br />

data. As a provider of both all-flash and hybrid<br />

storage, we believe hybrid disk/flash storage is<br />

still best suited in many circumstances.. Allflash<br />

and disk-only configurations definitely<br />

have their places, though we predict hybrid<br />

storage will continue to remain the most<br />

popular choice through 2024 and beyond. It<br />

could be another decade until flash storage<br />

can be produced in enough volume to rival<br />

the cost-effectiveness of hard drives."<br />

Toshiba's Rainer Kaese argues, perhaps<br />

predictably, for the hard disk: "Hard disk drives<br />

are a tried and trusted data storage technology<br />

that has stood the test of time… At present,<br />

HDDs maintain a gap in cost per capacity with<br />

flash storage of around a factor of seven. This<br />

advantage remains the lifeline of the HDD.<br />

There is little point in adding more capacity if<br />

costs rise exponentially. Indeed, these efforts<br />

mean HDDs may reach 40 or even 50<br />

terabytes without approaching comparable<br />

costs with flash storage."<br />

Giorgio Regni of Scality agrees: "While flash<br />

media and solid state drives (SSDs) have clear<br />

benefits when it comes to latency, are making<br />

major strides in density, and the cost per GB is<br />

declining, we see HDDs holding a 3-5x<br />

density/cost advantage over high-density SSDs<br />

through 2028. Therefore, the current call for<br />

HDD end-of-life is akin to the tape-is-dead<br />

arguments from 20 years ago. In a similar<br />

way, HDDs will likely survive for the<br />

foreseeable future as they continue to provide<br />

workload-specific value."<br />

GREENER OUTLOOKS<br />

Toshiba's Kaese also brought up a topic<br />

touched upon by several of our experts,<br />

sustainability and energy efficiency:<br />

"Regarding energy efficiency, if you want to<br />

spin a storage disk at a certain speed and<br />

access it at a specific rate, you inevitably<br />

come up against the laws of physics, typically<br />

requiring about 10 watts per unit. Helium<br />

technology launched several years back<br />

helped cut that figure to around 7-8 watts.<br />

But the only way to become more energyefficient<br />

than that is to introduce more<br />

www.storagemagazine.co.uk<br />

@STMagAndAwards Jan/Feb 2024<br />

STORAGE<br />

MAGAZINE<br />

13

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