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Credit Management March 2024

The CICM magazine for consumer and commercial credit professionals

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International Trade<br />

Monthly round-up of the latest stories<br />

in global trade by Andrea Kirkby.<br />

AN EU TOY STORY<br />

The Chinese way<br />

THE Economist recently commented on<br />

how Chinese president Xi Jinping and<br />

the Chinese Communist Party take a very<br />

serious world view of the importance of<br />

robots. In 2023, half of all industrial robot<br />

installations were apparently in China<br />

with the country producing more than six<br />

million ‘service robots’ to, for example,<br />

cook, clean, and move boxes. This, says<br />

the publication, is part of a deliberate<br />

push to increase productivity, noting that<br />

robots don’t get Covid.<br />

The story becomes more interesting<br />

when it’s considered that the working-age<br />

population in China is projected to drop<br />

by more than 20 percent by 2050; there<br />

are already labour shortages of which<br />

41 percent are in manufacturing-related<br />

positions. But many of the problems<br />

that factories are facing apply equally<br />

to agriculture as well and since China<br />

is “paranoid about food security and<br />

uninterested in immigration”, automation<br />

could be the solution here, too.<br />

There is also a shortage of care workers<br />

for 8.1m care-home residents and a<br />

recent state plan includes ‘smart elderly<br />

care’ from robots to help with movement<br />

or even just offer companionship.<br />

The Government wants the robotics<br />

industry to become more self-sufficient;<br />

in 2023, 36 percent of the industrial<br />

robots China installed were made<br />

domestically – up from 25 percent in<br />

2013.<br />

But the story is bigger than it appears.<br />

For exporters to compete with China, they<br />

too will have to automate. Robots require<br />

investment, but they don’t go on strike,<br />

don’t demand pay rises and as noted<br />

earlier, don’t fall sick. That gives Chinese<br />

manufacturers an advantage.<br />

In good spirits<br />

DEPARTMENT for Business and Trade, in<br />

an end of 2023 press release, said that UK<br />

food and drink exporters saw great success<br />

in the run up to Christmas as demand from<br />

consumers in CPTPP, the trade bloc in the<br />

Indo-Pacific that the UK signed up to in July<br />

2023, ‘boomed’.<br />

The department’s data shows that<br />

luxury British Scotch whisky, chocolate and<br />

sparkling wine were ordered en masse<br />

by CPTPP countries including Singapore,<br />

Japan, Mexico and Malaysia. In particular, in<br />

2023, UK chocolate exports to Singapore<br />

increased by 220 percent to over £26m<br />

while UK sparkling wine exports to Japan<br />

ACCORDING to the Evening Standard,<br />

UK parliamentarians sitting on the<br />

European Scrutiny Committee have<br />

raised concerns about proposed new<br />

rules from Europe that could soon<br />

require UK toys sold on the continent to<br />

come with such an electronic certificate.<br />

The changes, proposed by the<br />

European Commission, would amend<br />

EU rules governing toy safety. They<br />

would demand safety information on<br />

the toy, updating the current paperbased<br />

requirements.<br />

Regulations currently ban toys<br />

containing carcinogenic, mutagenic<br />

or reprotoxic chemicals (CMRs). Rules<br />

would be extended to cover further<br />

classes of harmful chemicals, including<br />

endocrine disruptors, which interfere<br />

with the body’s hormones, and<br />

respiratory sensitisers, which produce<br />

an irreversible allergic reaction. Any UK<br />

toy producer placing goods on the EU<br />

market would need to follow the new<br />

rules.<br />

It’s interesting that the requirements<br />

for products sold in Great Britain would<br />

not change, but the rules would apply<br />

in Northern Ireland under the Windsor<br />

Framework. Notably, the Committee<br />

noted that the UK Government had not<br />

consulted manufacturers in Northern<br />

Ireland on the likely impact of the new<br />

rules.<br />

increased by 140 percent to over £26m.<br />

It’s of note that Scotch whisky dominates<br />

the Singaporean market, with over £380m<br />

worth of the drink exported from the UK<br />

to Singapore in 2023 – an increase of<br />

31 percent (£90m) on the previous year.<br />

Similarly, it rose by 43 percent (£11m) in<br />

Malaysia accross the past year.<br />

The Indo-Pacific region may account for<br />

the majority of global growth and around<br />

half of the world’s middle-class consumers<br />

in future decades. Under CPTPP, which the<br />

UK is set to formally join in the second half<br />

of <strong>2024</strong>, tariffs on 99 percent of UK goods<br />

exports will drop to zero.<br />

Brave | Curious | Resilient / www.cicm.com / <strong>March</strong> <strong>2024</strong> / PAGE 30

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