CEE in 2020 – Trends and perspectives for the next ... - Roland Berger
CEE in 2020 – Trends and perspectives for the next ... - Roland Berger
CEE in 2020 – Trends and perspectives for the next ... - Roland Berger
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5 HUMAN CAPITAL<br />
Human capital will rema<strong>in</strong> a major bottleneck <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> region's<br />
economic development<br />
A grow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>and</strong> a shr<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g Europe <strong>–</strong> Projected change: 2008-2030 [%]<br />
More than -10%<br />
-10 to -5%<br />
-5 to -2%<br />
-2 to 0%<br />
0 to +2%<br />
+2 to +5%<br />
+5 to +10%<br />
More than +10%<br />
Source: Eurostat; UN; EIU; Erste Group<br />
COMMENTS<br />
> Demographic development, an ongo<strong>in</strong>g<br />
bra<strong>in</strong> dra<strong>in</strong> <strong>and</strong> "at best" average education<br />
systems are limit<strong>in</strong>g factors<br />
> The population will decl<strong>in</strong>e by 2030 <strong>in</strong> all<br />
<strong>CEE</strong> countries<br />
> Economic growth will be generated<br />
through productivity ga<strong>in</strong>s<br />
> Austria profits from migration from<br />
Germany, Central Europe <strong>and</strong><br />
Sou<strong>the</strong>astern Europe<br />
> Shr<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g populations will be a<br />
phenomenon of rural areas, regional <strong>and</strong><br />
urban centers will grow or stagnate<br />
<strong>CEE</strong>_<strong>in</strong>_<strong>2020</strong>_Study.pptx<br />
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