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Sirtex Cover.proof 11 - School of Educators

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Manufacture <strong>of</strong> the SIR-Spheres will be<br />

sub-contracted to ARI until second<br />

generation SIR-Spheres are introduced.<br />

At that time the SIR-Spheres will be<br />

produced in-house and sent to ARI for<br />

activation prior to shipment. No<br />

allowance has been made to upgrade<br />

existing production equipment at ARI.<br />

The projected cash requirements have been<br />

prepared by the Company based on certain<br />

economic and business assumptions <strong>of</strong><br />

future events. The actual events and<br />

outcomes may differ in quantum and timing<br />

from the assumptions with a material<br />

consequential impact (either positive or<br />

negative) on the projected cash<br />

requirements.<br />

The sensitivity <strong>of</strong> the projected cash<br />

requirements to some <strong>of</strong> the key<br />

assumptions on which it was prepared is set<br />

out below. The impact <strong>of</strong> changes in the<br />

assumptions has been calculated in isolation<br />

over the full period for the projected cash<br />

requirements.<br />

It is likely that future events will result in<br />

outcomes different from those in the<br />

projected cash requirements and that future<br />

requirements will be the product <strong>of</strong> a variety<br />

<strong>of</strong> factors. For example, it has been assumed<br />

that no additional safety and effectiveness<br />

data for SIR-Spheres will be needed to meet<br />

the requirements <strong>of</strong> the FDA. If the FDA<br />

mandates a long and extensive clinical trial,<br />

the cost <strong>of</strong> such a trial could be as high as<br />

$10,000 per patient. A delay <strong>of</strong> 12 months<br />

in obtaining the FDA approval for SIR-<br />

Spheres may produce an approximate<br />

$1,000,000 decrease in marketing<br />

expenditure for 2002. The cost <strong>of</strong> producing<br />

an additional hyperthermia prototype unit<br />

will increase the Property, Plant and<br />

Equipment expenditure by $300,000.<br />

These examples assume no correlation<br />

between the variables and any other<br />

assumptions or risk factors.<br />

In practice, changes in assumptions<br />

may <strong>of</strong>fset each other or may be additive<br />

and it is likely that the Company’s<br />

management would respond to any adverse<br />

changes in an assumption by taking action<br />

to try to minimise the effect. The variation<br />

<strong>of</strong> the key assumptions shown in the<br />

sensitivity analysis is not intended to be<br />

indicative <strong>of</strong> the likely range <strong>of</strong> variations<br />

that may be experienced throughout the<br />

three financial years ending 30 June 2003.<br />

The Company expects the gross<br />

operating margin on the sale <strong>of</strong> its products<br />

to be greater than 50%. High margins are a<br />

characteristic <strong>of</strong> the medical therapy market<br />

which has to recover substantial investment<br />

in research and development.<br />

5.4.3 No Forecasts<br />

Revenue and pr<strong>of</strong>itability for the Company<br />

is reliant on, among other things, the level<br />

<strong>of</strong> acceptance <strong>of</strong> the Company’s products<br />

in international markets, the granting <strong>of</strong><br />

regulatory approval for sale <strong>of</strong> the<br />

Company’s products in key markets (most<br />

notably the United States), the activity <strong>of</strong><br />

competitors in the market and the ability to<br />

obtain either government or medical health<br />

organisation reimbursement.<br />

To date the Company’s product sales<br />

have been in the context <strong>of</strong> clinical trials and<br />

test marketing programs. The commercial<br />

side <strong>of</strong> the Company’s business is now in<br />

the initial stages <strong>of</strong> its market development<br />

program.<br />

In view <strong>of</strong> these factors, the Directors<br />

consider that they are unable to provide<br />

potential investors with reliable revenue<br />

or pr<strong>of</strong>it projections or forecasts.<br />

5.4.4 Contingent Liabilities<br />

The Directors are not aware <strong>of</strong> any<br />

contingent liabilities which may have an<br />

effect on the Company’s future financial<br />

position.<br />

5.4.5 Dividends<br />

The Directors do not anticipate paying<br />

any dividends in the foreseeable future.<br />

The Directors intend to give priority to<br />

maximising the Company’s penetration <strong>of</strong><br />

the cancer therapy market and to vigorously<br />

pursue the Company’s anti-cancer product<br />

development program. Ultimately, the<br />

payment <strong>of</strong> dividends will depend on the<br />

successful financial performance <strong>of</strong> the<br />

Company. The Directors will take into<br />

account the funding needs <strong>of</strong> the Company<br />

in determining future dividend policy and<br />

the specific level <strong>of</strong> any dividends. The<br />

Directors do not guarantee any dividends<br />

will be declared by the Company.<br />

5.4.6 Debt<br />

On completion <strong>of</strong> the issue the Company<br />

will not have any interest bearing debt.<br />

The Directors may in the future explore<br />

opportunities for securing lease finance in<br />

connection with facilities and equipment<br />

to be used in the conduct <strong>of</strong> the Company’s<br />

business.<br />

<strong>Sirtex</strong> Medical Prospectus 2000<br />

25

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