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From Principle-Based Risk Management to Solvency ... - Scor

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on the portfolio itself and on the allocation method selected. It will thus, in<br />

general, not be unique. In fact, it is reasonable <strong>to</strong> require of the allocation<br />

the property that the sum of the individual values is equal <strong>to</strong> the overall<br />

value. However, this will normally not uniquely determine the allocation<br />

method, and additional requirements will have <strong>to</strong> be imposed.<br />

The view that the value is defined only with regards <strong>to</strong> a balance sheet<br />

makes sense when considering the values of produced physical goods: The<br />

price of a good has <strong>to</strong> take in<strong>to</strong> account all assets of the producing fac<strong>to</strong>ry<br />

(such as machines, buildings, . . . ) required <strong>to</strong> produce the good, as well as<br />

all other goods produced by the fac<strong>to</strong>ry.<br />

There are, however, two aspects not yet considered: perfect replication<br />

may not be possible; and the asset side of the actual balance sheet might<br />

not be equal <strong>to</strong> the (perfect or imperfect) replicating portfolio. Both aspects<br />

introduce a mismatch between asset and liability side, and are relevant for<br />

the SST.<br />

2.1.2 Imperfect Replication – Optimal Replicating Portfolio,<br />

Basis <strong>Risk</strong>, Law Replication<br />

We now focus on the valuation of insurance and reinsurance liabilities. In<br />

view of the preceding Section 2.1.1, the value of the whole liability side of an<br />

economic balance sheet is derived by (perfect) replication, and the value of<br />

an individual liability in the balance sheet is derived by allocation from the<br />

value of the whole liability side. In the context of the pricing of reinsurance<br />

contracts, the corresponding allocation methodology we use is described in<br />

Section 8.3 (pp. 168). A comparison of the valuation approaches in the SST<br />

and in (non-life) pricing is given in Section 2.3.3.<br />

Note that the value of the whole liability side of an economic balance<br />

sheet is not independent of whether additional liabilities are added <strong>to</strong> the<br />

balance sheet in the future. The assumption underlying the calculation of<br />

the value of the liabilities thus has <strong>to</strong> be that no such additional liabilities<br />

are added in the future.<br />

Typically, insurance and reinsurance liabilities cannot be perfectly replicated.<br />

By definition, this means that the cash flows cannot be replicated<br />

for every state of the world by a portfolio of deeply and liquidly traded<br />

instruments.<br />

An optimal replicating portfolio (ORP) denotes a portfolio of deeply and<br />

liquidly traded instruments “best replicating” the cash flows of the liabilities.<br />

We call the mismatch between the actual liability cash flows and the ORP<br />

cash flows the basis risk. We keep open for the moment what exactly is<br />

meant by “best” replication; the idea is <strong>to</strong> minimize the basis risk. Note that<br />

the condition that the ORP instruments be deeply and liquidly traded is, of<br />

course, essential; otherwise, one could just select the liabilities themselves<br />

for the ORP and have no basis risk left.<br />

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