NCEP/HPC - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

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Challenges • Communication / Interaction / Cooperation: – Research community, <strong>for</strong>ecasters, management, public sector – Workshops and conferences – Data and guidance exchange • Science: – New and varied model and ensemble methodologies – Verification ( skill and continuity ) • Resource priority: – Computational costs – Transmission limitations – Data and guidance storage limitations – User deadlines • Availability: – User friendly <strong>for</strong>mat – General and sophisticated user training and feedback
Poor 500 hPa height continuity all valid Oct 25, 2007 GFS - (DAY 8.5) - EC GFS - (DAY 7.5) - EC GFS - (DAY 5.5) - EC GFS - (DAY 4.5) - EC GFS - (DAY 6.5) - EC GFS - (DAY 3.5) - EC
Page 1 and 2: NCEP/HPC MEDIUM RANGE FORECASTING S
Page 3 and 4: WFOs WFOs HPC Medium Range Desk (Da
Page 5 and 6: Primary Medium Range Models/Ensembl
Page 7 and 8: Ex. Day 7 Global Model & Ensemble P
Page 9 and 10: Model Output Statistics (MOS) HPC C
Page 11 and 12: Day 0-10 NORTHERN HEMISPHERE 500 MB
Page 13: NOAA/National Weather Service Strat
Page 17 and 18: Fig. a Fig. b Potential errors with
Page 19 and 20: THORPEX GOAL • Accelerate improve
Page 21 and 22: NAEFS product example: Week-2 Mean
Page 23 and 24: ENSEMBLE 10-, 50- (MEDIAN) & 90-PER
Page 25 and 26: NAEFS 2.71 F NDFD 3.32 F MOS 2.91 F
Page 27 and 28: PROPOSED FORECAST FORMAT • In add
Page 29 and 30: Alaska Medium Range • Development
Page 31: Links with NOAA/NWS Forecast Uncert

NCEP/HPC - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

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