NCEP/HPC - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

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Gridded GFS MOS 5–95% Temperature Probability Forecast 50%
NAEFS 2.71 F NDFD 3.32 F MOS 2.91 F Day 1 GFS MOS…NDFD…and biased corrected/downscaled NAEFS 2-meter temperature error vs. observed (RTMA) valid June 5, 2007 Will a longer test period including the fall/winter show similar results through medium range time scales?
Page 1 and 2: NCEP/HPC MEDIUM RANGE FORECASTING S
Page 3 and 4: WFOs WFOs HPC Medium Range Desk (Da
Page 5 and 6: Primary Medium Range Models/Ensembl
Page 7 and 8: Ex. Day 7 Global Model & Ensemble P
Page 9 and 10: Model Output Statistics (MOS) HPC C
Page 11 and 12: Day 0-10 NORTHERN HEMISPHERE 500 MB
Page 13 and 14: NOAA/National Weather Service Strat
Page 15 and 16: Poor 500 hPa height continuity all
Page 17 and 18: Fig. a Fig. b Potential errors with
Page 19 and 20: THORPEX GOAL • Accelerate improve
Page 21 and 22: NAEFS product example: Week-2 Mean
Page 23: ENSEMBLE 10-, 50- (MEDIAN) & 90-PER
Page 27 and 28: PROPOSED FORECAST FORMAT • In add
Page 29 and 30: Alaska Medium Range • Development
Page 31: Links with NOAA/NWS Forecast Uncert

NCEP/HPC - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

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