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internet-media<br />
15 Tebervals, mas Semdeg, rac Teiranma<br />
samSvidobo atomis Seqmnis sferoSi sakuTar<br />
warmatebaze ganacxada, ruseTis sagareo saqmeTa<br />
saministrom mouwoda saerTaSoriso sazogadoebas,<br />
dabrunebodnen iranTan seriozul<br />
molaparakebebs, raTa aRkveTon mis mier birTvuli<br />
iaraRis Seqmnis safrTxe. miuxedavad<br />
imisa, rom xSirad amboben, ruseTi irans<br />
brmad uWers mxarso, am or qveyanas Soris<br />
urTierToba bevrad daZabulia da rTuli,<br />
vidre es erTi SexedviT Cans.<br />
rusuli kompaniebis umetesoba icavs saer-<br />
TaSoriso sanqciebs, romlebic xels uSlis<br />
transnacionalur korporaciebs im SesaZleblobebis<br />
gamoyenebaSi, romelTac irani iZleva.<br />
msxvili kontraqtebi regularulad uqmdeba<br />
an gadavaddeba. aRsaniSnavia, rom iranisa<br />
da ruseTis TanamSromloba, gansakuTrebiT,<br />
samoqalaqo aviaciisa da telekomunikaciebis<br />
ganxriT, aseve naxSirwyalbadebTan dakavSirebul<br />
sferoebSi, kvlav Zalze mniSvnelovania.<br />
irani didi xnis manZilze iyo rusuli<br />
TavdacviTi produqciis wamyvani myidveli, magram<br />
2010 wels prezidentma medvedevma akrZala<br />
gasul kviraSi qarTveli Jurnalistebis jgufs<br />
vuTxari, rom regionze saerTaSoriso publikaciebiT,<br />
didi xnis pauzis Semdeg, pirvelad<br />
davinteresdi. xvdebiT, ras exeba es publikaciebi?<br />
_ vikiTxe me. dumili. maT erTmaneTs<br />
gadaxedes da mosazreba gamoTqves: TurqeTsa<br />
da saqarTvelos Soris SeTanxmeba istoriuli<br />
Zeglebis restavraciaze?<br />
vici, rom saqarTvelos patriarqi ukmayofili<br />
iyo amiT, magram ara, es ar yofila mizezi; arc<br />
bolodroindeli Sidapolitikuri absurdi.<br />
Zalian mikvirda, rom saqarTvelo kvlav moeqca<br />
saerTaSoriso presis yuradRebis centrSi,<br />
magram adgilobriv mediaSi amaze aravin saubrobda.<br />
cota xnis win saqarTveloSi israelis sael-<br />
Cos mZRolis personalur avtomanqanaSi damontaJebuli<br />
bombi ipoves. imave dRes bombi afeTqda<br />
israelis saelCos avtomanqanaSi indoeTSi, niudeliSi.<br />
am afeTqebis Sedegad, sxvebTan erTad,<br />
israelis samxedro ataSes meuRlec daiWra.<br />
imave dRes Teiranma azerbaijani imaSi daadanaSaula,<br />
rom is daexmara israelis uSiSroebis<br />
Zalebs iraneli mecnieris, roSanis mkvleloba-<br />
Si, romelic ianvris dasawyisSi mis avtomobilze<br />
damontaJebuli magnituri bombis afeTqebis<br />
Sedegad daiRupa. imavdroulad, adgilobriv<br />
gazeTs iranelma maRalCinosanma ganucxada, rom<br />
iranis reaqcia gascdeba qveynisa da regionis<br />
sazRvrebs... imaTgan, vinc es Tavdasxmebi daukveTa,<br />
Tavs usafrTxod veravin igrZnobs!<br />
ramdenime dRis Semdeg azerbaijanma ganacxada,<br />
rom kidev erTi iranuli qseli amxila, romelic<br />
qveyanaSi ucxoelebis ganadgurebas gegmavda da<br />
didxans moTqvamda iranis aCrdilis gaZlierebaze<br />
azerbaijanSi. vikiliqsis mier 2010 wels gamoqveynebuli<br />
werilis Tanaxmad, azerbaijanis prezidenti<br />
ilham alievi amerikel diplomatebTan Cioda,<br />
rom irani afinansebda radikalur islamur jgufebsa<br />
da hesbolas teroristebs da imasac acxadebda,<br />
rom Teirani iyo mis qveynaSi masobrivi saprotesto<br />
aqciebis organizatori.<br />
oficialuri baqo, rogorc Cans, azerbaijanis<br />
islamur partias iranis satelitad miiCnevs.<br />
amitom am partiis ramdenime wevri da islamistebisadmi<br />
simpaTiiT ganwyobili mediis warmomadgenelic<br />
daakava.<br />
bolo ori wlis ganmavlobaSi saqarTvelos<br />
daaxloveba iranTan cota ucnauri movlena<br />
iyo imis gaTvaliswinebiT, rom saqarTvelo<br />
amavdroulad nato-s yvelaze enTuziasti aspiranti<br />
qveyanaa planetaze. Tbilisi aTasobiT<br />
jariskacs agzavnis amerikul misiebSi eraysa da<br />
avRaneTSi da sajarod sTavazobs dasavleTs<br />
sakuTar teritorias evropuli antisaraketo<br />
faris gansaTavseblad, magram qarTveli Cinovnikebi<br />
aseve aqtiurad eloliavebian iranel<br />
turistebsa da investorebs.<br />
internet-media internet-media<br />
dmitri gorenburgi<br />
ruseTis iranuli<br />
strategia<br />
TeiranisTvis saraketo sistemebis, javSanmanqanebis,<br />
samxedro TviTmfrinavebis, vertmfrenebisa<br />
da xomaldebis miyidva. es zoma gaeros sanqciebze<br />
bevrad mkacri iyo. mas Semdeg ruse-<br />
Ti irans mxolod im mowyobilobas awvdida,<br />
rac adre miyiduli sazenito da sadazvervo<br />
sistemebis, agreTve radioeleqtronuli brZolis<br />
saSualebebis modernizaciisTvis iyo saWiro.<br />
imis miuxedavad, rom am or qveyanas Soris<br />
urTierToba drodadro iZabeba, moskovs mSvenivrad<br />
esmis Teiranis geopolitikuri mniSvneloba<br />
_ aramxolod axlo aRmosavleTisTvis,<br />
aramed Sua aziisa da kavkasiisTvis. ruseTis<br />
liderebs miaCniaT, rom iseTi saprotesto<br />
gamosvlebi, rogoric iyo mwvaneTa moZraoba<br />
2009 wels, SesaZloa gaxdes arastabilurobis<br />
safuZveli ruseTis samxreTiT mdebare<br />
saxelmwifoebSi. amas emateba arabuli samyaros<br />
gamoRviZeba, rac mxolod amyarebs maT<br />
azrebs amis Sesaxeb. kremlSi aseve eSiniaT<br />
imisac, rom israelis mier iranze ganxorcielebuli<br />
dartyma SesaZloa regionuli<br />
konfliqtisken gadadgmuli pirveli nabiji<br />
gaxdes, rac savaraudod mTel axlo aRmosavleTs<br />
moicavs da azerbaijanis gavliT ruse-<br />
Tis teritoriaze ltolvilebis masobriv<br />
Sedinebas gamoiwvevs. amavdroulad ruseTis<br />
xelisuflebas aSfoTebs imis SesaZleblobac,<br />
rom irani ruseTis samxreT sazRvrebze situaciis<br />
destabilizacias moaxerxebs, gansakuTrebiT<br />
im fonze, roca iransa da azerbaijans Soris<br />
sakmaod daZabuli urTierToba sufevs.<br />
rusma samxedroebma cota xnis win ganacxades,<br />
rom momaval Semodgomaze kavkasiaSi<br />
farTomasStabiani samxedro swavlebebia dagegmili,<br />
romlis scenaric ase gamoiyureba: iranze<br />
mitanili ieriSis Sedegad iwyeba omi, romelic<br />
Semdgom regionul konfliqtSi gadaizrdeba<br />
da romelSic ruseTic imonawilevebs.<br />
ruseTis liderebis azriT, irani ukve flobs<br />
im teqnikur potencialsa da masalebs, romlebic<br />
maT birTvuli bombis Seqmnis saSualebas aZlevs.<br />
amitom ruseTi kategoriulad ewinaaRmdegeba iranis<br />
birTvuli programisTvis zaralis aviadartymebiT<br />
an sxva Zalismieri meTodebiT miyenebas.<br />
maTi logikiT, aseTi dartymebi, ra Tqma unda,<br />
mcire xniT Seayovnebs programis ganviTarebas,<br />
magram imavdroulad gaamyarebs iranis miswrafebas,<br />
Seqmnas birTvuli iaraRi, raTa momavalSi<br />
Tavi daicvas mosalodneli Tavdasxmebisgan. amgvarad,<br />
ruseTis azriT, molaparakebebi _ es<br />
erTaderTi gamosavalia Seqmnili situaciidan;<br />
swored molaparakebebiT unda aTqmevinon uari<br />
irans birTvuli arsenalis Seqmnaze.<br />
ruseTs didi survili aqvs, saqme saerTo<br />
SeTanxmebamde mivides da Teirani, sanqciebis<br />
gauqmebisa da msoflio sazogadoebaSi reintegraciis<br />
sanacvlod, daeTanxmos birTvuli<br />
iaraRis Seqmnis programis SeCerebas.<br />
Tu Teirani kvlav ganagrZobs agresiul<br />
qmedebebs da ormuzis srutes gadaketavs,<br />
rogorc aqamde imuqreboda, es ruseTisTvis<br />
moklevadian perspeqtivaSi xelsayrelic ki<br />
iqneba, vinaidan am SemTxvevaSi gaizrdeba fasebi<br />
navTobze. magram mere, regionuli arastabilurobis<br />
intensifikacia, rac uciloblad mohyveba<br />
srutis gadaketvas, mas useriozules<br />
usiamovnebebs moutans.<br />
nikolas kleitoni: siCume grigalis win<br />
imis mizezs, Tu ratom dauTmes am ambavs<br />
Zalian cota dro saqarTvelos prosamTavrobo<br />
arxebma da ratom iyo mTavrobis pasuxic bundovani,<br />
warmoadgens is, rom es istoria Zalian<br />
uxerxuli simarTlea saqarTvelos mimdinare sagareo<br />
politikis Sesaxeb. bolo aTi wlis ganmavlobaSi<br />
saqarTvelo gamalebuli eZebda gare mokav-<br />
Sireebis mxardaWeras imisaTvis, rom misi mosisxle<br />
mtris, ruseTisgan daculi yofiliyo. axla saqarTvelo<br />
acnobierebs, rom bevr mis axal megobars,<br />
sinamdvileSi, erTmaneTi sZuls da qveyanam Sesa-<br />
Zloa am nabijebiT ufro meti gaRizianeba moimko,<br />
moicva ra orive mxaris interesi.<br />
is, Tu rodis iCenda Tavs es paradoqsi,<br />
mxolod drois ambavi iyo. bolo ori wlis<br />
ganmavlobaSi saqarTvelos sagareo saqmeTa saministros<br />
Cinovnikebi dros Teiransa da vaSingtons<br />
Soris mogzaurobaSi atarebdnen, cdilobdnen ra<br />
amerikis samxedro warmomadgenlobis gazrdas<br />
saqarTvelos teritoriaze da imavdroulad arwmunebdnen<br />
iranis liderebs, rom saqarTvelo<br />
arasdros gaakeTebda arafers iseTs, rac iranis<br />
usafrTxoebas problemas Seuqmnida. es ori pozicia<br />
pirdapir ewinaaRmdegeba erTamenTs.<br />
linkoln mitCelma, kolumbiis universitetis<br />
saerTaSoriso da sazogadoebrivi saqmeebis skolis<br />
profesorma azia TaimsTan interviuSi<br />
ganacxada, rom saqarTvelos unda scodnoda,<br />
rom asec moxdeboda: SeiZleba Cemi sityvebi<br />
giJi amerikelis naTqvams hgavs, magram rodesac<br />
Tqven iranelebs uvizod gadaadgilebis Sesa-<br />
Zleblobas aZlevT, maSin aseTi ram aucileblad<br />
moxdeba. iranma israelTan dakavSirebiT<br />
Tavisi Sexedulebebi sakmaod mkafiod gamoTqva<br />
da is, rom zogerTi iraneli Camova Tqvens<br />
qveyanaSi da avnebs amerikisa da saqarTvelos<br />
megobrebs, sigiJe sulac ar aris. _ Tqva man.<br />
TbilisSi israelis saelCos manqanis afeTqebas<br />
mTavrobis mxridan TiTqmis sruli dumili mohyva,<br />
Tumca prezidentis administraciis mier gavrcelebul<br />
gancxadebSi naTqvamia, rom es afeTqeba saxelmwifosTvis<br />
seriozuli gamowvevaa. dRemde,<br />
rogorc Cans, qarTveli Cinovnikebi versiebs amuSaveben<br />
da gamoZiebis dasrulebas elodebian, Tumca, israelis<br />
premier-ministrma beniamin naTaniahum ukve<br />
ganacxada, rom Tavdasxmebis ukan irani dgas.<br />
meore mxriv, mitCelis TqmiT, Tuki saakaSvili<br />
am situaciaSi sworad iTamaSebs, SeiZleba Tavi<br />
daaRwios amerikis kritikas putinTan msgavsebaze<br />
da de-faqto mesame vadiT dabrundes taxtze<br />
premier-ministrad: Tuki saqarTvelos mTavroba<br />
gonieria, maSin iranTan arsebuli daZabulobiT,<br />
SeiZleba gaiormagos kidec mxardaWera SeerTebuli<br />
Statebis mxridan, magram Tu is sxva gzas<br />
airCevs, es misi mxridan udidesi Secdoma iqneba.<br />
saakaSvils ewyeba misTvis urTulesi ori weli da<br />
mas SeuZlia ganamtkicos misi Seucvlelobis miTi,<br />
rac simarTles ar Seesabameba. is ar aris Seucvleli,<br />
magram Tu omi daiwyeba, misTvis Zalian<br />
ioli iqneba imis Tqma, unda davrCe da viyo<br />
premier-ministrio. _ganacxada mitCelma.<br />
rac Seexeba somxeTs, rac ufro gaWianurdeba<br />
daZabuloba, miT meti ziani miadgeba mis ekonomikasa<br />
da usafrTxoebas. somxeTis vaWrobis wilis erTi<br />
mesamedi iranis teritoriaze modis. somxeTis er-<br />
TaderTi alternativaa saxmeleTo marSruti, romelic<br />
saqarTvelos gavliT ruseTze gadis da Savi zRva,<br />
Tumca, didTovlobisa da mewyerebis mudmivi sa-<br />
SiSroebis gamo, somxeT-saqarTvelosa da saqarTvelo-ruseTis<br />
szRvrebi xSirad daketilia.<br />
irani, aseve wamyvani investoria somxeTis<br />
biznessa da infrastruqturaSi. milsadenis<br />
mSenebloba, romelic qveyanas bunebrivi airiT<br />
amaragebs, axlaxans dasrulda, navTobsadenze<br />
muSaoba dResac grZeldeba. erevani am kavSireb-<br />
Si ruseTze TiTqmis totaluri damokidebulebisgan<br />
prevenciis mTavar saSualebas xedavs.<br />
erevanSi bazirebuli Civilitas Foundation-is wlis<br />
angariSSi, saxelwodebiT iluziebis gareSe, naTqvamia,<br />
rom rogorc yarabaRis omis, aseve 2008<br />
wlis saqarTvelo-ruseTis omis dros momaragebasTan<br />
dakavSirebulma Seferxebebma daadastura,<br />
rom somxeTisTvis danarCen samyarosTan dasakav-<br />
Sireblad erTaderTi sando gasasvleli irania.<br />
somxeTis saxelmwifo mediis cnobiT, gasul<br />
kviraSi qveyanam iranSi sagareo saqmeTa ministris<br />
moadgile miavlina TeiranTan urTierTobis<br />
ganmtkicebisa da mSvidobisa da stabilurobis<br />
SeanarCuneblad. imavdroulad, rogorc<br />
saqarTvelom, aseve azerbaijanma, maRali donis<br />
Sexvedrebi gamarTes israelis, amerikisa da<br />
nato-s xelmZRvanelebTan.<br />
qarTul medias amaze saubari ar SeuZlia,<br />
magram am myife regionze mcire dartymebi<br />
ukve xorcieldeba da SeuZlebelia imis prognozireba,<br />
Tu sad gaCndeba pirveli bzari.<br />
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