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2000 weli, 21 marti,<br />
saRamos 6 saaTi.<br />
ruseTis prezidenti putini ganwirulia.<br />
misi politika ar gaamarTlebs, imitom, rom<br />
igi ar aris politikosi. is meomaria. arc<br />
aravis daugdebs yurs, igi diqtatoria. daereva<br />
parlaments _ dumas, ar miscems aravis<br />
misi lanZRvis saSualebas _ pirdapir samagieros<br />
gadauxdis. ruseTis mTavroba Seiryeva.<br />
Tavdapirvelad moswonT misi nabijebi,<br />
mere ki yvela gamwardeba. amaze presac<br />
alaparakdeba. evropasa da amerikasac gaaRizianebs,<br />
Zalian gaTavxeddeba, bevrs gadaimterebs.<br />
am pirovnebaSi miZinebuli satanaa.<br />
vai yvelas! igi did dartymas miayenebs<br />
aramxolod mTavrobas _ kremls, aramed<br />
rus xalxsac. oms ar amTavrebs, omi moswons<br />
TiTqos! _ ase ityvian kidec. bevrs<br />
daipirispirebs da mtrad gaixdis Zlierebs<br />
am qveynisa. hoda, aqedan daiwyeba yvelaferi.<br />
putini arc komunistebs moswonT<br />
momavalSi, arc demokratebs da arc anarqistebs<br />
_ isini mouReben bolos.<br />
2008 weli, 13 ivlisi.<br />
vxedav, kremlis karze Seiqmneba biznesmenTa<br />
axali wre. es Zalze Zlieri Zalaa.<br />
vxedav, axla yvela putinzea ganawyenebuli,<br />
arada, adre mis mxares iyvnen. dRes<br />
vladimeri sul sxva TamaSs TamaSobs _<br />
Zalian saSiSs maTTvis. isini xvdebian, rom<br />
putini maT srul ganadgurebas aRwevs,<br />
raTa sakuTari biznes-sfero gaafarTovos<br />
saxelmwifos interesebis saxeliT. es<br />
ukve yvela zRvars cdeba.<br />
...putinis mefoba mis axlo garemocvasac<br />
aRar surs, imitom, rom eqs-prezidentma<br />
maT uRalata da misi Zalauflebis gamyarebis<br />
SemTxvevaSi, isini ganadgurdebian!<br />
2011 weli, 19 oqtomberi,<br />
dilis 5 saaTi. ureki.<br />
ruseTis premieri, vxedav, rom waagebs.<br />
misi mosvla da wasvla erTi iqneba. mis<br />
winaaRmdeg yvela gailaSqrebs, erTguli xalxi<br />
uRalatebs, vinaidan yvela acnobierebs imas,<br />
rom misi myarad mosvla prezidentis postze<br />
aRar SeiZleba. diax, ar SeiZleba! vxedav,<br />
amas fiqroben Zalovani ministrebi, maT<br />
Soris, SeiaraRebuli Zalebis ministric da<br />
jaric, romelic TiTqmis ukve ar arsebobs.<br />
es is xalxia, vinc pirvelebi ganudgebian.<br />
vxedav, maT aqvT informacia, rom rogorc<br />
ki premieri daikavebs prezidentis posts,<br />
pirveli, rasac gaakeTebs, Zalovani struqturebis<br />
ministrebs moxsnis, moaSorebs. isini<br />
korumpirebulebi arian! _ ganacxadebs<br />
prezidenti. hoda, zustad aqedan miiRebs<br />
did dartymas...<br />
premiersac aqvs informaciebi. igi grZnobs,<br />
rom mxardamWerebi _ Zlieri mxardamWerebi<br />
dakarga da isini arafers kargs ar<br />
moimoqmedeben da igi iwyebs Zvel TamaSs:<br />
rogorc axlandeli prezidenti moiyvana<br />
Tavisi garemocvidan, igive gaimeoros da<br />
fiqrobs, moiyvanos kaci arsaidan...<br />
lelAa kakulia<br />
im uamravi winaswarmetyvelebidan, romlebic<br />
qalbaton lelas aqvs gakeTebuli<br />
vladimer putinTan dakavSirebiT, mxolod es<br />
sami avarCieT. pirveli misi moRvawebis dasawyis-<br />
Sia Cawerili, meore _ prezidentobidan<br />
premierad Camolaborantebis periodSi, xolo<br />
mesame _ oTxi Tvis win. vfiqrobT, im<br />
komentarisTvis, romelsac qvemoT ixilavT,<br />
es amonaridebi savsebiT sakmarisia.<br />
andrei kostini<br />
saqme isaa, rom 2011 wlis miwurulidan<br />
ruseTSi datrialebuli movlenebis analizisas<br />
_ romlebic aseve uzustesad iyo nawinaswarmetyvelebi<br />
wlebis win _ rusi analitikosebi<br />
midian daskvnamde, rom vladimer<br />
vladimeris Zis momxreebsac ki aRar surT<br />
premier-ministris kvlav xilva xelisufleba-<br />
Si, miT umetes, kidev 12 wlis ganmavlobaSi.<br />
cota xnis win ruseTis, aqtivebis raodenobiT<br />
rigiT meore sididis bankis, vTb-s<br />
xelmZRvanelma andrei kostinma ganacxada,<br />
rom vladimer putini momaval saprezidento<br />
arCevnebSi ki gaimarjvebs, magram axlandelma<br />
premierma uaxloes momavalSi aucileblad<br />
unda ganacxados imis Taobaze, rom Semdegi<br />
rac rac ukve<br />
ukve<br />
vadiT aRar iyris kenWso: vladimer putini<br />
rTul gamowvevas Seejaxa. is Zalian didi<br />
xnis manZilze marTavs qveyanas. rac ar unda<br />
erqvas mis Tanamdebobas, praqtikulad, swored<br />
igi ganagebs saxelmwifos ukve 12 welia.<br />
axla mas win axali vada udevs. es ki ukve<br />
Zalian bevria. XXI saukunis Ria sazogadoebisTvis<br />
es uzarmazari droa. dRevandel<br />
msoflioSi demokratiuli saxelmwifoebis<br />
arcerTi lideri ar mdgara qveynis saTaveSi<br />
amden xans. wlebis tvirTi sul ufro mZimdeba,<br />
magram putini kvlav eWideba mas. eWvi<br />
araa, rom martSi igi awevs am simZimes,<br />
magram sakiTxavi isaa, ranairad zidavs mas.<br />
_ msjelobs kostini.<br />
politikuri koniunqturis centris direqtoris,<br />
aleqsandr Satilovis azriT, kostinis<br />
gancxadeba _ es prosaxelisuflebo biznesis<br />
poziciaa: miiCneva, rom vTb _ es peterburgelebis<br />
safulea, romlebic xelisuflebaSi<br />
sxvadasxva dajgufebebiT arian warmodgenilebi.<br />
peterburguli elita SeSfoTebulia xelisuflebis<br />
erTgvari dajdomiT da SiSobs, rom<br />
putini erT vadaze mets ver gaqaCavs. amitom<br />
cdilobs, Tavi daizRvios da aiZulos momavali<br />
prezidenti, daafiqsiros sakuTari pozicia<br />
minimum saSualo xangrZlivobis perspeqtivaze.<br />
msgavsi tipis, ukiduresad loialuri toniT<br />
gakeTebuli gancxadebebi, ra Tqma unda, amJamindel<br />
kampaniaSi putinis mxardaWeraze metyvelebs,<br />
magram amasTan, igi vladimer putinisadmi<br />
biznesmenebis mxardaWeris pirobiTobaze mianiS-<br />
aleqsandr<br />
Satilovi<br />
nebs. ara mgonia, putini biznes-elitis survilebs<br />
ahyves. igi acnobierebs im politikur<br />
da ekonomikur riskebs, romlebic dRes arsebobs,<br />
acnobierebs politikuri sistemis garkveul<br />
gadatvirTulobas. magram mas, rogorc ityvian,<br />
gautkba xelisufleba da eWvi mepareba, Sors<br />
mimavali dapirebebi gaisrolos. SesaZloa, man<br />
arc imonawilevos 2018 wlis saprezidento<br />
arCevnebSi, magram am gadawyvetilebas Tavad<br />
miiRebs da aravis miscems uflebas ukarnaxos,<br />
rogor moiqces. Tu kostinis gancxadeba<br />
winaswar araa SeTanxmebuli putinTan, misi gamonaTqvami<br />
SeiZleba xelisuflebis SantaJadac aRviqvaT,<br />
rac axlandeli sazomiT sakmaod seriozul<br />
Secodebad iTvleba.<br />
da mainc, putinis bevr mxardamWers awvalebs<br />
azri, rom is kidev 12 weli darCeba xelisuflebis<br />
saTaveSi. Tu vivaraudebT, rom premier-ministrs<br />
es esmis da gadawyvets sazogadoeba<br />
daamSvidos im ganacxadiT, romelsac<br />
mas kostini sTavazobs, SesaZloa aman imuSaos.<br />
amJamindeli xelisuflebis oponentTa nawili<br />
SeiZleba dakmayofildes azriT, rom biznesma<br />
putins mxolod erTi vada gamouyo. amasTan,<br />
imis prognozireba, Tu ra moxdeba 6 wlis<br />
Semdeg, rTuli saqmea. dRes Zalze gamZafrda<br />
politikuri riskebi, romlebic xelisuflebis<br />
moralur cveTasTan da mkveTrad gacxadebuli<br />
strategiuli xazis uqonlobasTanaa dakav-<br />
Sirebuli. es ki sazogadoebaSi daZabulobasa<br />
da opoziciuri ganwyobis zrdas iwvevs.<br />
erovnuli strategiis sabWos generaluri<br />
direqtoris, valeri xamiakovis azriT, vladimer<br />
putini iseTi fsiqologiuri maxasiaTeblebis<br />
mqone adamiania, rom Zalian gauWirdeba xelisuflebis<br />
daTmoba: Zalaufleba putinisTvis ukanasknel<br />
6-7 weliwadSi iseve aucilebeli gaxda,<br />
rogorc narkotiki narkomanisTvis. Tavad idea<br />
kostinisa, cudi ar aris. vladimer vladimeris<br />
Zis gancxadebas imis Taobaze, rom erTi vadis<br />
gasvlis Semdeg wava da sxva saqmiT dakavdeba,<br />
sazogadoeba normalurad Sexvdeboda. xolo<br />
Tu imasac daamatebs, rom im erT vadasac<br />
bolomde ar miiyvans da oTxi wlis Semdeg<br />
xelisuflebas memkvidres gadascems, es kidev<br />
ukeTesi iqneboda. oTx welSi putini bolo<br />
dros micemuli yvela dapirebis Sesrulebas<br />
SeZlebda, an bolo-bolo, imdenis gakeTebas<br />
mainc moaxerxebda, rom es dapirebebi bolomde<br />
ukve misi uSualo Carevis gareSe aRsrulebuliyo.<br />
vfiqrob, aseTi gancxadeba putins amomrCevels<br />
gaumravlebda. magram vimeoreb: Cven<br />
misi piridan am gancxadebas ver veRirsebiT.<br />
Cemi azriT, kostinis gancxadeba imaze miu-<br />
TiTebs, rom elitis is nawilic ki, romelic<br />
putins uWers mxars, grZnobs, rom premieris<br />
valeri<br />
xamiakovi<br />
resursi bevr rameSi amowurulia. es SesamCnevi<br />
iyo ukve dumis arCevnebisas. msgavsi<br />
ganwyoba izrdeba da saprezidento arCevnebis<br />
Semdegac ar gaqreba. kostinma gamoTqva aramxolod<br />
sakuTari azri, aramed imaTic, vinc<br />
Tanmimdevrulad uWerda putins mxars warsulSi.<br />
maT SesaniSnavad esmiT, rom putinis<br />
xelisuflebaSi kidev 12 wliT yofna ukve<br />
stabilurobis garantia ki ar aris, aramed<br />
stabilurobis safrTxea. amis dasturia saprotesto<br />
gamosvlebi, romlebsac axla vxedavT<br />
da romlebis cqerac kidev didxans mogviwevs.<br />
kostini, rogorc finansuri da samewarmeo<br />
wreebis SemaerTebeli adamiani, gaxlavT am<br />
ganwyobis gamomxatveli. roca uaxloesi garemocva<br />
amgvarad fiqrs iwyebs, es ukve Zalian<br />
saSiSia. Tu riT mTavrdeba msgavsi istoriebi,<br />
yvelam kargad viciT. magaliTad, xruSCovi<br />
xelisuflebas rbilad CamoaSores. gamoricxuli<br />
ar aris, rom movlenebi metad xistad<br />
ganviTardes. garkveul etapze SeiZleba, rom<br />
Tavad Zalovanebma moawyon gadatrialeba. Sesa-<br />
Zloa sagangebo mdgomareobac gamocxaddes.<br />
politikuri eqspertizis saerTaSoriso<br />
institutis direqtoris, evgeni minCenkos<br />
azriT, medvedevis prezidentobis wlebi<br />
realurad putinis mmarTvelobis mesame vada<br />
iyo da axla kidev misi prezidentad mosvla,<br />
saerTod uwesobaa.<br />
minCenko Tanamedrove ruseTSi saerTod ver<br />
xedavs iseT auditorias, romelzec kostinis<br />
SeTavazebuli gancxadeba imoqmedebda: is, vinc<br />
putinis mexuTe vadiT gaprezidentebis winaaRmdegia,<br />
meoTxe vadis winaaRmdegicaa. keTili<br />
nebis aseTi gamoxatuleba veravis daamSvidebs.<br />
evgeni<br />
minCenko<br />
Cemi azriT, putini eqvs wels ver imuSavebs<br />
prezidentis Tanamdebobaze. mosalodnelia, rom<br />
gaTamaSdes xelisuflebis vadamdeli gadacemis<br />
mcdelobis morigi kombinacia.<br />
axla elita upirvelesad imaze fiqrobs,<br />
rom biznesi SeinarCunos. maT esmiT, rom<br />
putini sakuTari garemocvisTvisac ki tvir-<br />
Tad iqca da kostinis mier SeTavazebuli<br />
gancxadeba, yvelaferTan erTad, im mizansac<br />
isaxavs, rom aiZulos putini Cafiqrdes da<br />
SearCios realuri memkvidre xelisuflebis<br />
gadasacemad.<br />
SesaZloa Cven gavxdeT 1999 wlis msgavsi<br />
situaciis momswreni, rodesac elcinma memkvidred<br />
naklebcnobili Cinovniki SeirCia...<br />
2009 weli, 8 ivlisi, ureki.<br />
ruseTs mTeli msoflio upirispirdeba<br />
maTi maxinji, faSisturi politikis gamo.<br />
jer sad xarT?! mova zamTari da daiwyeba<br />
evropis qveynebis gamyinvareba. ruseTi<br />
gazs gadauketavs maT da warsulis scenari,<br />
TiTqos es ukraina aferxebs gazis<br />
gaSvebas da ara ruseTi, ganmeordeba.<br />
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