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Foundations of Data Science

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5<br />

8<br />

7<br />

12<br />

1<br />

3<br />

1<br />

6<br />

1<br />

8<br />

1<br />

3<br />

3,1 3,2 3,3<br />

1<br />

6<br />

1<br />

12<br />

2,1 2,2 2,3<br />

1<br />

6<br />

1<br />

12<br />

1,1 1,2 1,3<br />

1<br />

4<br />

1<br />

6<br />

5<br />

12<br />

3<br />

8<br />

3<br />

4<br />

p(1, 1) = 1 3<br />

p(1, 2) = 1 4<br />

p(1, 3) = 1 6<br />

p(2, 1) = 1 8<br />

p(2, 2) = 1 6<br />

p(2, 3) = 1<br />

12<br />

p(3, 1) = 1 6<br />

p(3, 2) = 1 6<br />

p(3, 3) = 1<br />

12<br />

p (11)(12) = 1p d 12/(p 11 + p 12 + p 13 = 1 1<br />

2<br />

Calculation <strong>of</strong> edge probability p (11)(12)<br />

/( 1 1 1<br />

= 1 1<br />

/ 9 = 1 1 4<br />

= 1<br />

4 3 4 6 2 4 12 2 4 3 6<br />

p (11)(12) = 1 2<br />

p (11)(13) = 1 2<br />

p (11)(21) = 1 2<br />

p (11)(31) = 1 2<br />

Edge probabilities.<br />

1 4<br />

= 1<br />

4 3 6<br />

1 4<br />

= 1<br />

6 3 9<br />

1 8<br />

= 1<br />

8 5 10<br />

1 8<br />

= 2<br />

6 5 15<br />

p (12)(11) = 1 2<br />

p (12)(13) = 1 2<br />

p (12)(22) = 1 2<br />

p (12)(32) = 1 2<br />

1 4<br />

= 2<br />

3 3 9<br />

1 4<br />

= 1<br />

6 3 9<br />

1 12<br />

= 1<br />

6 7 7<br />

1 12<br />

= 1<br />

6 7 7<br />

p (13)(11) = 1 2<br />

p (13)(12) = 1 2<br />

p (13)(23) = 1 2<br />

p (13)(33) = 1 2<br />

1 4<br />

= 2<br />

3 3 9<br />

1 4<br />

= 1<br />

4 3 6<br />

1 3<br />

= 1<br />

12 1 8<br />

1 3<br />

= 1<br />

12 1 8<br />

p (21)(22) = 1 2<br />

p (21)(23) = 1 2<br />

p (21)(11) = 1 2<br />

p (21)(31) = 1 2<br />

1 8<br />

= 2<br />

6 3 9<br />

1 8<br />

= 1<br />

12 3 9<br />

1 8<br />

= 4<br />

3 5 15<br />

1 8<br />

= 2<br />

6 5 15<br />

p 11 p (11)(12) = 1 1<br />

= 1 2<br />

= p 3 6 4 9 12p (12)(11)<br />

p 11 p (11)(13) = 1 1<br />

= 1 2<br />

= p 3 9 6 9 13p (13)(11)<br />

p 11 p (11)(21) = 1 1<br />

= 1 4<br />

= p 3 10 8 15 21p (21)(11)<br />

Verification <strong>of</strong> a few edges.<br />

Note that the edge probabilities out <strong>of</strong> a state such as (1,1) do not add up to one.<br />

That is, with some probability the walk stays at the state that it is in. For example,<br />

p (11)(11) = 1 − (p (11)(12) + p (11)(13) + p (11)(21) + p (11)(31) ) = 1 − 1 − 1 − 1 − 1 = 9 .<br />

6 24 32 24 32<br />

Figure 5.3: Using the Gibbs algorithm to set probabilities for a random walk so that the<br />

stationary probability will be a desired probability.<br />

149

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