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Foundations of Data Science

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Collect terms <strong>of</strong> the summation with t nonzero r i for t = 1, 2, . . . , r/2. There are ( )<br />

n<br />

t<br />

subsets <strong>of</strong> {1, 2, . . . , n} <strong>of</strong> cardinality t. Once a subset is fixed as the set <strong>of</strong> t values <strong>of</strong> i<br />

with nonzero r i , set each <strong>of</strong> the r i ≥ 2. That is, allocate two to each <strong>of</strong> the r i and then<br />

( allocate the remaining r − 2t to the t r i arbitrarily. The number <strong>of</strong> such allocations is just<br />

r−2t+t−1<br />

) (<br />

t−1 = r−t−1<br />

)<br />

t−1 . So,<br />

r/2<br />

∑<br />

( )( )<br />

n r − t − 1<br />

E(x r ) ≤ r! f(t), where f(t) =<br />

σ 2t .<br />

t t − 1<br />

t=1<br />

Thus f(t) ≤ h(t), where h(t) = (nσ2 ) t<br />

So, we get<br />

t=1<br />

t!<br />

2 r−t−1 . Since t ≤ r/2 ≤ nσ 2 /4, we have<br />

h(t)<br />

h(t − 1) = nσ2<br />

2t<br />

≥ 2.<br />

r/2<br />

∑<br />

E(x r ) = r! f(t) ≤ r!h(r/2)(1 + 1 2 + 1 4 + · · · ) ≤ r!<br />

(r/2)! 2r/2 (nσ 2 ) r/2 .<br />

Applying Markov inequality,<br />

Pr(|x| > a) = Pr(|x| r > a r ) ≤ r!(nσ2 ) r/2 2 r/2<br />

(r/2)!a r<br />

( ) 2rnσ<br />

2 r/2<br />

= g(r) ≤<br />

.<br />

a 2<br />

This holds for all r ≤ s, r even and applying it with r = s, we get the first inequality <strong>of</strong><br />

the theorem.<br />

We now prove the second inequality. For even r, g(r)/g(r − 2) = 4(r−1)nσ2 and so<br />

a 2<br />

g(r) decreases as long as r − 1 ≤ a 2 /(4nσ 2 ). Taking r to be the largest even integer<br />

less than or equal to a 2 /(6nσ 2 ), the tail probability is at most e −r/2 , which is at most<br />

e · e −a2 /(12nσ 2) ≤ 3 · e −a2 /(12nσ 2) , proving the theorem.<br />

12.6 Applications <strong>of</strong> the tail bound<br />

Chern<strong>of</strong>f Bounds<br />

Chern<strong>of</strong>f bounds deal with sums <strong>of</strong> Bernoulli random variables. Here we apply Theorem<br />

12.5 to derive these.<br />

Theorem 12.6 Suppose y 1 , y 2 , . . . , y n are independent 0-1 random variables with E(y i ) =<br />

p for all i. Let y = y 1 + y 2 + · · · + y n . Then for any c ∈ [0, 1],<br />

Pr (|y − E(y)| ≥ cnp) ≤ 3e −npc2 /8 .<br />

403

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