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12<br />
goCa mircxulava<br />
2018 weli sakmaod mZime da, SesaZloa, xifaTianic ki aRmoCndes<br />
qarTuli saxelmwifosTvis. Tu perspeqtivaSi gavixedavT, TiTqos,<br />
mniSvnelovani politikuri movlena am wels arc xdeba, garda<br />
saprezidento arCevnebisa. magram es mxolod sasurveli mocemu-<br />
lobaa da realur momavalTan saerTo, TiTqmis, araferi aqvs.<br />
axmed Cataevi<br />
294 69 77; qronikaqronika@gmail.com<br />
umZimesi<br />
swored wels gonieri xelisufleba<br />
da politikuri speqtri ara<br />
mxolod politikur winaTgrZnobasa<br />
da intuiciaze dayrdnobiT,<br />
aramed politikuri analizis safuZvelze<br />
namdvilad ar miscemda<br />
sakuTar Tavs modunebis saSualebas.<br />
qarTuli saxelmwifosTvis um-<br />
Tavres gamowvevad kvlavindeburad<br />
terorizmi, ruseTi da socialuri<br />
problematika rCeba, romelTanac<br />
gamklaveba arc Tu ise advili<br />
iqneba.<br />
***<br />
terorizms rac Seexeba, aq Ti-<br />
Tqos minimaluri simSvidis ufleba<br />
gvaqvs, radgan am frontze namdvilad<br />
ar varT marto. Sesabamisad,<br />
Tu xelisuflebis calkeulma<br />
Stoebma Tavad ar waaxalises movlenebi,<br />
an ar dauSves Secdomebi,<br />
rogorc es Cataevis SemTxvevaSi<br />
moxda, mniSvnelovan safrTxeebsa<br />
Tu kataklizmebs am mimarTebiT ar<br />
unda velodoT. rodesac waxalisebasa<br />
da Secdomebze vsaubrob, kvlav<br />
da kvlav, mivaniSneb Cataevis<br />
gaTavisuflebaze, gaSvebasa da mere<br />
qveyanaSi mis usafrTxod dabrunebaze.<br />
ramdenic ar unda isaubros<br />
xelisuflebam „mwvane zolze”<br />
da imaze, rom ar icis, rogor moxvdnen<br />
teroristebi TbilisSi, am<br />
tyuilis ukve politikisgan Sors<br />
mdgar obivatelsac ki ar sjera.<br />
Sesabamisad, rodesac xelisufleba<br />
ambobs, _ mimdinareobs gamoZieba<br />
imis dasadgenad, Tu rogor SemoaRwia<br />
Cataevma saqarTveloSi da<br />
miniSnebebs „mwvane zolze” akeTebs,<br />
am tyuils Tavadac ver ijerebs.<br />
zogadad, tyuils politikaSi, an<br />
piars, romelic miznad isaxavs faqtebis<br />
damaxinjebas, fundamenturi<br />
rwmena sWirdeba. anu jer iman unda<br />
iwamos am tyuilis an piarsvlis,<br />
vinc „teqsts” axmovanebs, raTa is<br />
garkveuli droiT mainc daajeros<br />
sxvas _ miT ufro xalxs, romlis<br />
inteleqti, gonebrivi SesaZleblobebi<br />
da analizis unaric mniSvnelovnad<br />
diferencirebulia<br />
daRmavlidan aRmavlisken. am dros<br />
ki roca „teqstis” gamxmovanebeli<br />
Tavisi gonebrivi SesaZleblobebi-<br />
Ta da profesionalizmiT sadRac<br />
daRmaval safexurze dgas, Znelia<br />
moatyuo, an daarwmuno ufro ma-<br />
Rali inteleqtualuri SesaZleblobebis<br />
mqone „xalxi”. aseT vi-<br />
TarebaSi yovelTvis umjobesia simarTlesTan<br />
operireba. Tumca saqarTvelos<br />
xelisuflebisa da misi<br />
calkeuli warmomadgenlebis moqmedebebi<br />
da reCitativi krizisuli<br />
situaciebis dros imdenad azianebs<br />
saxelmwifos, Tavad xelisuflebaze<br />
rom araferi vTqvaT, rom<br />
maTi gamosworeba, xSir SemTxveva-<br />
Si, samomavlodac ki saTuo xdeba.<br />
amitom im viTarebaSi, rodesac Tundac<br />
marneulSi, Tbilisidan ramdenime<br />
kilometrSi, erT CaixanaSi<br />
an gverdigverd mdebare CaixanebSi<br />
Cven SegviZlia TvanlaTliv vixiloT<br />
araerTi qveynis specsamsaxurebis<br />
warmomadgenlebi, sxvadasxva<br />
religiuri Tu politikuri ideologiis<br />
msaxurni da interesebis<br />
gamtareblebi, modunebis saSualeba<br />
namdvilad ar arsebobs. ise,<br />
marneulSi radikaluri islamis<br />
araerTi warmomadgenlis naxvac<br />
aris SesaZlebeli, romlebic TavianT<br />
ideologiur simpaTiebs manqanebze<br />
gakruli stikerebiTac<br />
gamoxataven. rac Seexeba pankiss, aq<br />
viTarebis eskalacia SesaZloa, isev<br />
da isev, xelisuflebam gamoiwvios.<br />
Tu pankiselebs simSvide<br />
surT da realurad ar undaT warsulSi<br />
dabruneba, maTac unda ai-<br />
Ron pasuxismgebloba sakuTar qmedebebze.<br />
vgulisxmob imas, rom<br />
mudmivad gulubryvilo poza _<br />
stumrebze, stumarTmoyvareobaze<br />
da „ar viciT”, „ar gvsmenia”, _ sruli<br />
destruqcia da saxelmwifos<br />
winaaRmdeg mimarTuli faruli<br />
qmedebaa.<br />
terorizmis prizmaSi mniSvnelovania<br />
afxazeTis faqtoric,<br />
romelzec qarTuli saxelmwifos<br />
gavlena minimaluria. swored amitomac<br />
aris safrTxis Semcveli igi.<br />
afxazeTis teritoriaze ukve<br />
gamoCndnen siriidan „emigrirebuli”<br />
pirebi. ISIS-Tan maTi kavSirebis<br />
damtkiceba sakmaod rTuli iqneba<br />
Tavad ruseTisTvisac ki, Tumca<br />
specsamsaxurebis moqmedebis<br />
klasika da ormagi da zogjer meti<br />
ganzomilebiT moqmedi agenturisa<br />
Tu diversantebis saqmianoba araxalia.<br />
Sesabamisad, dasaSvebi da realuria,<br />
ruseTma, swored, afxazeTSi<br />
„gadaamzados” siriidan<br />
„devnilebis”, an repatriantebis<br />
safarqveS afxazeTSi Casuli pirebi<br />
da Semdgom saqarTvelos teritoriis<br />
gavliT maTi „mivlinebebi”<br />
dagegmos evropisa Tu msoflios<br />
sxvadasxva qveyanaSi. afxazeTis mimarTulebis<br />
gaZliereba saqarTvelos<br />
mSvidad myofi xelisuflebisTvis<br />
sakmaod mniSvnelovani unda<br />
iyos, magram iqneba ki? mokled,<br />
terorizmisa da teroristuli safrTxeebis<br />
minimalizeba 2018 wels<br />
saqarTveloSi namdvilad SesaZlebelia<br />
swori strategiis, sakiTxis<br />
`dRes ukve aravisTvis unda iyos gaugebari, rom<br />
meufe Sios mosaydred daniSvniT saqarTvelos<br />
patriarqma, erTi mxriv, aRasrula ruseTis<br />
moTxovna da neba, magram, meore mxriv, cxadia,<br />
rom man, garkveulwilad, dro moigo.<br />
patriarqma Sios mosaydred daniSvniT<br />
sinodSic da mis gareTac meufisa da rusuli<br />
interesebis lustrireba moaxdina. axla ukve<br />
qarTveli xalxisa da mrevlis gadasawyvetia da<br />
ara mxolod sinodis - gaxdeba Tu ara<br />
momavalSi mosaydre saqarTvelos<br />
marTlmadidebeli eklesiis saWeTmpyrobeli~<br />
siRrmiseulad gaanalizebisa da<br />
moqmedebis pirobebSi.<br />
***<br />
10 weli sruldeba agvistos<br />
omidan. viyoT realistebi _ ruseTma<br />
mainc ver SeZlo sawadelis<br />
miRweva da saqarTvelos sruli<br />
okupacia. es imis miuxedavad, vinmes<br />
sjera Tu ara, rom SeiaraRebuli<br />
moqmedebebi ara mxolod kremlis<br />
provicirebuli, aramed swored<br />
misi dawyebuli iyo. vinc sruli<br />
dabejiTebiT amtkicebs, rom<br />
omi mixeil saakaSvilma daiwyo, cxadia,<br />
es uzneo politikuri (politikaSic<br />
arsebobs zneobrivi kategoriebi)<br />
gancxadebaa, romelsac<br />
konkretuli personis diskrediteba<br />
aqvs miznad da sulac ar dagidevT<br />
qarTuli saxelmwifos interesebs.<br />
am adamianebisTvis 2008 ivlisis<br />
bolodan sabrZolo moqmedebebis<br />
zonaSi daRupuli saqar-<br />
Tvelos moqalaqeebi, maTi statusis<br />
miuxedavad, statistikac ki ar<br />
aris. sul Tavisi nebiTa da xeliT<br />
rom SemoeRoba mixeil saakaSvils<br />
da „nacionalur” xelisuflebas<br />
ruseTisTvis is teritoriebi, romelsac<br />
axla flobs da gankargavs,<br />
xom warmogidgeniaT, ras ityodnen<br />
igive adamianebi? _ „miSam winaaRmdegoba<br />
ver gaswia da teritoriebi<br />
Caabara”. maSin ki saqarTvelos<br />
xelisuflebam saqarTvelos teritoriaze<br />
saqarTvelos mosaxleobis<br />
dasacavad miiRo gadawyvetileba.<br />
vinc ambobs, rom Cven _ saqarTvelom<br />
_ omi gamovucxadeT<br />
ruseTs da Tan saqarTvelos teritoriaze,<br />
imis garda, rom istoriaSi<br />
didi profania, xiluli mteri<br />
da qarTuli saxelmwifos winaaRmdeg<br />
moqmedi piria.<br />
agvistoSi, rodesac putini da<br />
saqarTvelos teritoriaze okupirebuli<br />
regionis liderebi Tu<br />
misi mosaxleoba gamarjvebas izeimeben,<br />
es iqneba moCvenebiTi zeimi.<br />
realurad, putins kvlav axrCobs<br />
imis boRma, rom saqarTvelo jerac<br />
ar imyofeba misi politikuri<br />
gavlenis qveS da ruseTis faqtobrivi<br />
Tu iuridiuli sazRvari<br />
`ramdenic ar unda isaubros xelisuflebam<br />
"mwvane zolze" da imaze, rom ar icis, rogor<br />
moxvdnen teroristebi TbilisSi, am tyuilis<br />
ukve politikisgan Sors mdgar obivatelsac ki<br />
ar sjera. Sesabamisad, rodesac xelisufleba<br />
ambobs, - mimdinareobs gamoZieba imis<br />
dasadgenad, Tu rogor SemoaRwia Cataevma<br />
saqarTveloSi da miniSnebebs "mwvane zolze"<br />
akeTebs, am tyuils Tavadac ver ijerebs~<br />
jerac ar gadis sarfSi.<br />
marTalia, Zalian cudi da usindiso<br />
gancxadeba iqneboda saqarTvelos<br />
xelisuflebisTvis bralis<br />
dadeba imaSi, rom is ruseTs<br />
emsaxureba, Tumca misi calkeuli<br />
qmedebebi da realuri umoqmedeba<br />
hibridul omSi cxadhyofs, rom<br />
Zalian xSirad dgams ruseTis sasargeblo<br />
nabijebs. swored es nabijebi<br />
da umoqmedoba aRiqmeba ruse-<br />
Tis msaxurebad da rac ufro droulad<br />
gaaTviTcnobierebs am viTarebas<br />
saqarTvelos xelisufleba,<br />
miT ukeTesi da sasargeblo iqneba<br />
ara mxolod misTvis, aramed qar-<br />
Tuli saxelmwifosTvis.<br />
im pirobebSi, rodesac ruseTs<br />
ar aqvs realuri gavlena qarTul<br />
saxelmwifoze Tavisi CeqmiT, isic<br />
unda vaRiaroT, rom ruseTs ar<br />
aqvs mniSvnelovani gavlena qarTul<br />
politikur speqtrze. is politikuri<br />
partiebi, romlebic<br />
kremls wlidan-wlamde sakuTar<br />
samsaxurs sTavazoben, an ver floben<br />
realur berketebs, an kidev<br />
maTi ganzraxva, metwilad, merkantiluria<br />
da konkretul mizans<br />
isaxavs _ fuls. amJamad saqarTvelos<br />
politikur sinamdvileSi realurad<br />
ori Zala _ „demokratiuli<br />
moZraoba” (nino burjanaZe) da<br />
„patriotTa aliansi” (daviT Tarxan-mouravi)<br />
identificirdeba rusul<br />
interesebTan. Tumca „patriotTa<br />
aliansSi” arsebuli Sida<br />
konfiguracia da maTi SeTavazebebi<br />
ruseTis xelisuflebisTvis, an<br />
piriqiT _ ruseTis xelisuflebis<br />
erTi jgufis interesebis gaJRereba<br />
am politikuri Zalis mier, sakmaod<br />
bundovani da orazrovania.<br />
Sesabamisad, raoden gasakviric ar<br />
unda iyos, dasavleTSi nayidi politikosebis<br />
garda (aseTebi yvelgan<br />
mravlad arian), im samkuTxed-<br />
Si, rasac aliansis interpretaciiT<br />
saqarTvelo-ruseTi-nato hqvia,<br />
aravin Cajdeba. amitom „patriot-<br />
Ta aliansis” zraxvebi raoden ke-<br />
Tilic ar unda iyos, uperspeqtivoa<br />
da saxelmwifosTvis aranairi<br />
sargeblis motana ar SeuZlia. politika<br />
ki Sualedur Sedegebs ar<br />
swyalobs da istoriuli narCeni am<br />
Sedegebs ar gaaCnia. am viTarebis<br />
gaTvaliswinebiT, kremlis garegnuli<br />
simSvide da saqarTveloTi<br />
dauinteresebloba kidev ufro<br />
damafiqrebeli da arc meti arc naklebi<br />
_ sagangaSoa.<br />
ruseTSi gadasarevad xvdebian,<br />
rom axali omis gaCaReba saqarTvelos<br />
winaaRmdeg maT politikurad<br />
daasamarebs, miT ufro, rom amis<br />
pirdapir mizezebs saqarTvelos<br />
xelisufleba ar qmnis. xedaven imasac,<br />
rom maTi politikuri dasayrdeni<br />
ver gaxda verc erTi gavleniani<br />
da woniani politikuri Zala.<br />
Sesabamisad, mimdinareobs duginis<br />
Teoriis realizeba: Cven saqarTveloSi<br />
gvayavs umTavresi dasayrdeni<br />
_ qarTveli xalxi. Tumca<br />
„dasayrdeni qarTveli xalxi”<br />
sakmaod amorfuli cnebaa. Tundac<br />
NDI-is bolo gamokiTxvebi cxadyofs<br />
saqarTvelos mosaxleobis<br />
evropul arCevans. rac Seexeba ruseTis<br />
samxedro siZliereze apelirebas<br />
_ es ufro faqtis konstataciaa.<br />
im faqtis, rom ruseTs saqarTvelos<br />
teritoriebi aqvs okupirebuli.<br />
maSin, Cndeba, erTi<br />
SexedviT, martivi kiTxva, _ rogor<br />
unda aqcios ruseTma qarTveli<br />
xalxi mokavSired?<br />
da aq, raoden gasakviric ar unda<br />
iyos, politikur scenaze gamodis<br />
qveyanaSi yvelaze gavleniani<br />
instituti _ eklesia.<br />
nuravin warmoidgens, rom ruseTs<br />
sulac ar anaRvlebs saqarTvelo<br />
da saqarTvelos saprezidento<br />
arCevnebi. piriqiT, am mimarTulebis<br />
praqtikuli realizeba,<br />
jer kidev, maSin daiwyo, rodesac<br />
Sio dasaxelda mosaydred.<br />
12 N1 (222) 23.01-29.01.2018 w.
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