KINA I AFRIKA - Ressourcer og politisk magt - - Forsvarsakademiet

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UKLASSIFICERET Kaptajn Lasse Sand Kina i Afrika INDHOLDSFORTEGNELSE. INDLEDNING.......................................................................................................................1 1.1 Formål. ..................................................................................................................1 1.2 Opgavediskussion. ................................................................................................1 1.2.1 Formål. ...........................................................................................................1 1.2.2 Baggrund og motivation. ................................................................................1 1.2.3 Relevans. .......................................................................................................4 1.2.4 Problemstilling. ...............................................................................................5 1.3 Afgrænsning. .........................................................................................................5 1.4 Kilder. ....................................................................................................................6 1.5 Teoridebat. ............................................................................................................7 1.5.1 Valg af teori indenfor International Politik. ......................................................7 1.5.2 Klassisk eller nyere realisme. .........................................................................8 1.5.3 Offensiv og defensiv realisme. .......................................................................9 1.5.4 Konsekvens og kritik af teorivalg. .................................................................10 1.6 Problemformulering. ............................................................................................11 2 METODE. ...................................................................................................................12 2.1 Formål. ................................................................................................................12 2.2 Valg af undersøgelsesområder............................................................................12 2.3 Operationalisering af teorien og metode..............................................................14 2.3.1 Afhængige variable. .....................................................................................14 2.3.2 Uafhængige variable. ...................................................................................15 2.3.3 Operationalisering af de uafhængige variable..............................................16 2.4 Procesmodel........................................................................................................17 2.4.1 Skematisk illustration af specialet.................................................................18 3 ANALYSE AF DET POLITISKE SAMARBEJDE.........................................................19 3.1 Formål. ................................................................................................................19 3.2 Udviklingen i de diplomatiske forbindelser...........................................................19 3.3 Forum on China-Africa Cooperation. ...................................................................20 3.3.1 FOCAC 2000................................................................................................20 3.3.2 FOCAC 2003................................................................................................21 3.3.3 FOCAC 2006................................................................................................21 3.3.4 FOCAC samlede betydning..........................................................................22 3.4 Kinas ”Going Out” Policy. ....................................................................................22 3.5 Kinas Afrika policy. ..............................................................................................22 3.6 Den administrative politiske kontrol. ....................................................................23 3.7 Kinas regeringsmodel..........................................................................................26 3.8 Delkonklusion vedr. politisk samarbejde..............................................................26 4 ANAYSE AF KINAS BEHOV FOR RESSOURCER FRA AFRIKA. ............................28 4.1 Formål og indledning. ..........................................................................................28 4.2 Kinas stigende vækst. .........................................................................................28 4.3 Kinas stigende forbrug.........................................................................................29 4.4 Kinas olieimport...................................................................................................32 4.5 Kinas olieaftaler i Afrika .......................................................................................34 4.5.1 De kinesiske olieselskaber i Afrika ...............................................................34 v UKLASSIFICERET
UKLASSIFICERET Kaptajn Lasse Sand Kina i Afrika 4.5.2 Sudan...........................................................................................................35 4.5.3 Angola. .........................................................................................................35 4.5.4 Nigeria..........................................................................................................36 4.5.5 Congo...........................................................................................................37 4.5.6 Algeriet. ........................................................................................................37 4.6 Fremtidige ressourcemæssige risici for Kina.......................................................37 4.7 Delkonklusion vedr. Kinas behov for ressourcer fra Afrika ..................................38 5 ANALYSE AF KINAS INVESTERINGER....................................................................39 5.1 Formål og indledning. ..........................................................................................39 5.2 Kinas udenlandske investeringer generelt...........................................................39 5.3 Kinas investeringer i Afrika generelt. ...................................................................41 5.4 Investeringer rettet mod ressourcer.....................................................................42 5.5 Olierelaterede investeringer. ...............................................................................43 5.6 Øvrige kinesiske aktiviteter rettet mod afrikanske markeder. ..............................44 5.7 Øvrige investeringer. ...........................................................................................45 5.8 Investeringer fra statsejede banker. ....................................................................46 5.9 Kinesisk arbejdskraft og kinesiske borgere i Afrika..............................................47 5.10 Afrikanske konsekvenser af de kinesiske investeringer.......................................47 5.11 Delkonklusion vedrørende kinesiske investeringer i Afrika..................................48 6 KONKLUSION. ...........................................................................................................50 6.1 Formål og indledning. ..........................................................................................50 6.2 Samlet konklusion. ..............................................................................................50 7 PERSPEKTIVERING..................................................................................................53 7.1 Formål. ................................................................................................................53 7.2 Ressourcespørgsmålet........................................................................................53 7.3 Politiske perspektiver...........................................................................................53 8 BIBLIOGRAFI. ............................................................................................................55 vi UKLASSIFICERET
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KINA I AFRIKA - Ressourcer og politisk magt - - Forsvarsakademiet

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