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Applied Statistics Using SPSS, STATISTICA, MATLAB and R

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422 Appendix A - Short Survey on Probability Theory<br />

[−1.96σ, 1.96σ] (see normal distribution tables), we then have: ε = 1.96σ = 0.0196<br />

(smaller than the previous “model-free” estimate).<br />

a<br />

0.5<br />

0.4<br />

0.3<br />

0.2<br />

0.1<br />

0<br />

f (x )<br />

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 x 3<br />

b<br />

1<br />

0.9<br />

0.8<br />

0.7<br />

0.6<br />

0.5<br />

0.4<br />

0.3<br />

0.2<br />

0.1<br />

0<br />

F (x )<br />

-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 x 3<br />

Figure A.7. The st<strong>and</strong>ard normal density (a) <strong>and</strong> distribution (b) functions.<br />

Example A. 19<br />

Q: Let X be a st<strong>and</strong>ard normal variable. Determine the density of Y = X 2 <strong>and</strong> its<br />

expectation.<br />

A: <strong>Using</strong> the previous result of Example A.11:<br />

1 − y / 2<br />

[ f ( y ) + f ( − y ) ] = e y > 0<br />

1<br />

g(<br />

y)<br />

=<br />

2 y<br />

2πy<br />

.<br />

This is the density function of the so-called chi-square distribution with one<br />

degree of freedom.<br />

Ε Y =<br />

∞<br />

yg(<br />

y)<br />

dy = 1/<br />

2π<br />

∞ − y / 2<br />

y e dy . Substituting y<br />

∫ ∫<br />

The expectation is: [ ] ( )<br />

by x 2 , it can be shown to be 1.<br />

A.8 Multivariate Distributions<br />

A.8.1 Definitions<br />

0 0<br />

A sequence of r<strong>and</strong>om variables X1, X2,…, Xd, can be viewed as a vector<br />

x = [ X 1,<br />

X 2 , K X d ] with d components. The multivariate (or joint) distribution<br />

function is defined as:<br />

F x , x , K x ) = P(<br />

X ≤ x , X ≤ x , K,<br />

X ≤ x ) . A. 41<br />

( 1 2 d 1 1 2 2 d d

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