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used throughout. If the annual costs and benefits <strong>in</strong>clude the effects of <strong>in</strong>flation (i.e., are<br />

<strong>in</strong> nom<strong>in</strong>al dollars), then the discount rate should be <strong>in</strong> nom<strong>in</strong>al terms. If the annual<br />

costs and benefits are net of <strong>in</strong>flation (i.e., are <strong>in</strong> real dollars), then the discount rate<br />

should be <strong>in</strong> real terms.<br />

Account<strong>in</strong>g for the Time Value of Money<br />

This is the time preference issue mentioned above. Suppose that an <strong>in</strong>vestor is offered<br />

a guaranteed return for <strong>in</strong>vest<strong>in</strong>g funds. What would that return have to be to attract<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestments? Certa<strong>in</strong>ly it would have to cover the anticipated rate of <strong>in</strong>flation, but that will<br />

usually not be sufficient. Most people would rather have someth<strong>in</strong>g today than the same<br />

th<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> a year. Some extra return will be required.<br />

This extra return is usually called a “risk free discount rate,” because it assumes there is<br />

no risk associated with future benefits. (Risk will be discussed next.) In pr<strong>in</strong>ciple, such a<br />

risk free discount rate measures how much the decision maker on a given project values<br />

money this year versus next year. Note that the time value of money will be very<br />

different for different decision makers. This po<strong>in</strong>t will also be discussed below.<br />

Account<strong>in</strong>g for Risk<br />

Adjust<strong>in</strong>g for risk is the most difficult part of discount<strong>in</strong>g. Aga<strong>in</strong>, the risk adjustment<br />

depends on the perspective of the decision maker. Perhaps the simplest case is that<br />

where the decision maker is a utility’s management. The source of an <strong>in</strong>vestor-owned<br />

utility’s <strong>in</strong>vestment funds is a comb<strong>in</strong>ation of bond <strong>in</strong>vestors and equity <strong>in</strong>vestors,<br />

possibly <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g some preferred stockholders. Utility <strong>in</strong>vestments are typically<br />

discounted at the weighted average cost of capital (WACC), i.e., the weighted average<br />

yield of the company’s bonds and preferred stock along with its allowed return on equity.<br />

When apply<strong>in</strong>g WACC for discount<strong>in</strong>g, it is important to keep <strong>in</strong> m<strong>in</strong>d that these values<br />

come from markets that factor <strong>in</strong> all three issues: estimated <strong>in</strong>flation rates, time value of<br />

money, and perceived risk<strong>in</strong>ess of <strong>in</strong>vest<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the utility.<br />

Application to the Cost Benefit Tests<br />

While it is important to understand the economic theory underly<strong>in</strong>g the application of<br />

discount rates, it is also important to recognize that the choice of discount rate is<br />

ultimately a policy call by the utility regulators. The choice of discount rates should be<br />

<strong>in</strong>formed by consider<strong>in</strong>g which party is be<strong>in</strong>g affected and what is the time value of<br />

money for that party, but it should also be <strong>in</strong>formed by consider<strong>in</strong>g how much weight the<br />

regulators want to give to the future costs and benefits associated with energy efficiency<br />

programs (especially benefits, because these occur well <strong>in</strong>to the future).<br />

Discount Rate for the Societal Cost Test<br />

The Societal Test, as its name implies, should use a discount rate based on society’s<br />

preferences. Compared to <strong>in</strong>dividuals and firms, society should have a broader tolerance<br />

for receiv<strong>in</strong>g benefits <strong>in</strong> the future, and also be better able to access funds at a lower<br />

borrow<strong>in</strong>g cost. In this case, the discount rate should be relatively low.<br />

<strong>Energy</strong> efficiency <strong>in</strong>vestments for special groups of customers, particularly low <strong>in</strong>come<br />

and at-risk populations could also be viewed with a societal discount rate for several<br />

reasons. These customers are generally receiv<strong>in</strong>g some degree of support from society<br />

at large, so the <strong>in</strong>vestment can appropriately be viewed <strong>in</strong> a societal context. It is society<br />

<strong>Best</strong> <strong>Practices</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Efficiency</strong> <strong>Program</strong> Screen<strong>in</strong>g | www.nhpci.org | 51

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