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Business Aircraft Market Forecast 2012 - 2031 - Bombardier

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the forecast<br />

orders, deliveries and<br />

revenues<br />

While leading indicators for business aviation<br />

gradually improved in 2011, the disparity in<br />

economic recovery among regions is<br />

becoming more apparent, with north America<br />

set for growth while europe remains under<br />

strong pressure and Asia slows its expansion.<br />

1,500<br />

1,400<br />

1,300<br />

1,200<br />

1,100<br />

1,000<br />

900<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

industry deliveries are expected to lag order<br />

intake as manufacturers strive to maintain<br />

acceptable backlog levels. business jet<br />

deliveries for <strong>2012</strong> are expected to be<br />

comparable to 2011, just under 600 aircraft.<br />

deliveries are expected to accelerate in 2013<br />

and we forecast that the industry will surpass<br />

the 2008 delivery peak, as early as 2016.<br />

bombArdier business AircrAft<br />

<strong>Market</strong> forecast <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2031</strong><br />

BUSINESS JET INDUSTRY 20-YEAR DELIVERIES OUTLOOK<br />

Units, 1992-<strong>2031</strong><br />

1992-2001<br />

3,950 units<br />

Source: <strong>Bombardier</strong> <strong>Forecast</strong>ing Model.<br />

HISTORY FORECAST<br />

2002-2011<br />

6,300 units<br />

<strong>2012</strong>-2021<br />

9,800 units<br />

2022-<strong>2031</strong><br />

14,200 units<br />

92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30<br />

We forecast that the<br />

industry will surpass the<br />

prior delivery peak year<br />

by as early as 2016.<br />

24

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