Business Aircraft Market Forecast 2012 - 2031 - Bombardier
Business Aircraft Market Forecast 2012 - 2031 - Bombardier
Business Aircraft Market Forecast 2012 - 2031 - Bombardier
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executive summary<br />
Figure #4<br />
a long-term vision for<br />
the industry<br />
We believe that the long-term market drivers<br />
of business jet industry growth remain solid.<br />
these market drivers include: wealth creation,<br />
increasing business jet penetration in highgrowth<br />
economies, globalization of trade,<br />
replacement demand, and market accessibility.<br />
this confidence is reflected in our 20-year<br />
delivery forecast, which predicts 24,000<br />
business jet deliveries valued at $648 billion.<br />
We anticipate 9,800 deliveries worth $266<br />
billion from <strong>2012</strong> to 2021, and 14,200 deliveries<br />
worth $382 billion from 2022 to <strong>2031</strong>.<br />
We expect the worldwide business jet fleet<br />
to grow at a compound annual growth rate<br />
(cAGr) of 3.7% over the forecast period, from<br />
15,200 aircraft in 2011 to 31,500 aircraft by<br />
<strong>2031</strong>, net of retirements.<br />
Source: <strong>Bombardier</strong> <strong>Forecast</strong> Model.<br />
15,200<br />
Fleet 2011<br />
Source: <strong>Bombardier</strong> <strong>Forecast</strong> Model.<br />
BUSINESS JET FLEET FORECAST<br />
Units, 2011-<strong>2031</strong><br />
3,100<br />
bombArdier business AircrAft<br />
<strong>Market</strong> forecast <strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2031</strong><br />
BUSINESS JET MARKET HISTORY AND FORECAST<br />
HISTORICAL<br />
9,800<br />
Deliveries<br />
2002-2011<br />
Delivery Units 6,300<br />
Revenues $139 billion<br />
Retirements<br />
21,900<br />
Fleet 2021<br />
FORECAST<br />
<strong>2012</strong>-2021 2022-<strong>2031</strong> Total (<strong>2012</strong>-<strong>2031</strong>)<br />
9,800 14,200 24,000<br />
$266 billion $382 billion $648 billion<br />
14,200<br />
Deliveries<br />
4,600<br />
Retirements<br />
31,500<br />
Fleet <strong>2031</strong><br />
07
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