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18 JOHN HUCHRA Working provisional copy - Pls do not circulate Figure 6. Growth in the number of researchers (left) and in the number of articles produced (right) as a function of selected geographical regions (from the NSFs Science and Engineering Indicators 2010). faster than either (the US has essentially been flat for a decade) and is poised to surpass both regions in the next decade. And this is despite the lack of growth in Japan, one of Asia’s previous powerhouses. Fig. 7 shows why. The growth rate in R&D support in China, Malaysia and Singapore is more than triple that of the US and the EU. We get what we pay for. Astroph a.k.a. ArXiv has had a tremendous impact on astronomical communication, especially in rapidly changing fields like cosmology. The number of papers posted to astroph per year now exceeds the number of refereed papers published in the big four or five (Figs. 2 & 3) and has a doubling time of only∼ten years. And the total number of papers contained in astroph as of April 12, 2020 was 108,557 with an additional 12,631 crossed referenced to astronomy, a total of over 120,000 papers freely accessible, many if not most of which are also in the refereed literature. But there are some, including some very heavily cited review papers, that only appear on astroph. And this trend is increasing in several subfields of astronomy, especially those where rapid publication is valued more than refereed publication. The way we do science is also changing. One easily noticeable change is in
Working provisional copy - Pls do not circulate ASTRONOMICAL PUBLISHING 19 Figure 7. Growth rate of R&D expenditures for selected countries (from the NSF’s Science and Engineering Indicators 2010). Figure 8. The number of papers per year posted to astroph. Top curve (blue) are astronomy and astrophysics papers, bottom curve (red) are cross referenced papers, usually from physics.
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