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Introduction to Planetary Science

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466 chapter 24<br />

and <strong>to</strong> have a core that is capable of generating<br />

a magnetic field. Therefore, in our solar system<br />

fi = 1/9 = 01 (including Plu<strong>to</strong>). This criterion<br />

reduces the number of habitable planets in the<br />

Milky Way galaxy <strong>to</strong> 300.<br />

What fraction of these habitable planets is<br />

actually inhabited by intelligent beings who<br />

have developed a technological civilization?<br />

The answer <strong>to</strong> this question depends partly<br />

on the ages of the planets and partly on the<br />

favorable outcomes of random events in the<br />

his<strong>to</strong>ries of these planets. In our solar system,<br />

it <strong>to</strong>ok more than 3.5 billion years for unicellular<br />

organisms <strong>to</strong> evolve in<strong>to</strong> a technological<br />

civilization. Similar amounts of time may be<br />

required on other habitable planets that orbit<br />

Sun-like stars. However, even if sufficient time<br />

was available, the process may have been terminated<br />

prematurely by catastrophic impacts of<br />

large asteroids that killed all organisms and may<br />

have destroyed the planet itself. Nevertheless,<br />

we tentatively conclude that the destruction of<br />

inhabited planets is a rare event and therefore<br />

set fc = 09. By doing so, we say that 10% of<br />

the habitable planets in the Milky Way galaxy<br />

fail <strong>to</strong> be inhabited by technological civilizations<br />

because they are destroyed by celestial accidents.<br />

The only civilizations with whom we can<br />

communicate must exist on planets whose age is<br />

similar <strong>to</strong> that of the Earth. Planets that revolve<br />

around stars that formed more recently than<br />

the Sun may be inhabited, but the inhabitants<br />

have not yet achieved the technology required<br />

<strong>to</strong> communicate with us at the present time.<br />

Similarly, civilizations on planets that revolve<br />

around stars that are significantly older than our<br />

Sun may have ceased <strong>to</strong> exist for a variety of<br />

reasons and therefore are no longer broadcasting<br />

signals at the present time.<br />

These considerations lead <strong>to</strong> the final parameter<br />

(fl) of the Drake equation that expresses the<br />

fraction of the lifetime of a planet during which a<br />

communicative civilization exists. Although our<br />

civilization has been “communicative’ only for<br />

about 100 years, we assume that such civilizations<br />

on other planets may last for as long as<br />

the dinosaurs dominated the Earth from the Early<br />

Jurassic <strong>to</strong> the Late Cretaceous Epochs or about<br />

140 × 10 6 yeas. Since the age of the Earth is<br />

46 × 10 9 y, the parameter fl = 140 × 10 6 /46 ×<br />

10 9 = 3 × 10 −2 .<br />

Therefore, the number of technologically<br />

advanced civilizations in the Milky Way galaxy<br />

that may be able <strong>to</strong> communicate by broadcasting<br />

signals that our SETI project could intercept is:<br />

N =300 × 10 9 × 10 −8 × 1 × 1 × 01 × 09<br />

× 3 × 10 −2 = 8<br />

This result probably underestimates the number<br />

of planets that are inhabited by technologically<br />

advanced civilizations depending primarily on<br />

the number of Sun-like stars and Earth-like<br />

planets that exist in the Milky Way galaxy and on<br />

how long such civilizations survive on average.<br />

Therefore, we conclude that planets that harbor<br />

civilizations of intelligent beings are rare, but we<br />

are probably not alone in the Milky Way galaxy.<br />

24.6 Summary<br />

Close examination of stars in the Milky Way<br />

galaxy primarily by Doppler spectroscopy has<br />

revealed that at least 150 of them have unseen<br />

companions. Many of these companions are<br />

actually brown-dwarf stars with masses that<br />

range from 12 <strong>to</strong> 75 times the mass of Jupiter.<br />

Brown dwarfs are composed of hydrogen and<br />

helium and generate energy in their cores only by<br />

fusion of deuterium (heavy iso<strong>to</strong>pe of hydrogen)<br />

<strong>to</strong> helium. Consequently, brown-dwarf stars have<br />

low luminosities which make them difficult<br />

<strong>to</strong> see with telescopes. The orbits of many<br />

brown dwarfs are elliptical and their perihelion<br />

distances are very close <strong>to</strong> their central stars.<br />

The resulting tidal interactions may cause brown<br />

dwarfs <strong>to</strong> be ejected from their orbits and <strong>to</strong><br />

become “floaters” in interstellar space. Surveys<br />

of star-forming nebulae suggest that browndwarf<br />

stars are about as numerous as red dwarfs<br />

and other kinds of stars. Some brown-dwarf stars<br />

may have companions of their own including<br />

planets.<br />

Some stars in the Milky Way galaxy have<br />

unseen companions whose masses are less than<br />

12 Jupiters. These bodies are classified as extrasolar<br />

planets although even the smallest of these<br />

“exoplanets” are much more massive than any of<br />

the terrestrial planets of the solar system. Some<br />

of the exoplanets have nearly-circular orbits<br />

located at distances of less than 0.25 AU from

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