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Coordination by Option Contracts in a Retailer-Led Supply Chain with

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WANG Xiaolong (王小龙) et al:<strong>Coord<strong>in</strong>ation</strong> <strong>by</strong> <strong>Option</strong> <strong>Contracts</strong> <strong>in</strong> a <strong>Retailer</strong>-<strong>Led</strong> …<br />

Table 1 illustrates the profit allocation issues <strong>in</strong> detail.<br />

For these calculations, the new contract is feasible<br />

only when 34.8o2 43.8.<br />

For low o 2 <strong>in</strong> this range,<br />

each party becomes strictly better off. In particular,<br />

consider the best profit allocation situations for which<br />

each side gets a double-digit share of the extra profit.<br />

When o 2 is around 40, the supplier will get more<br />

than 60% of the extra system profit which is double<br />

what he earned before coord<strong>in</strong>ation. Such a rosy profit<br />

improvement surely offers a strong <strong>in</strong>centive for the<br />

supplier to accept the new contract. Most <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>gly,<br />

such profit allocations correspond to o2 39.6 which<br />

N N<br />

implies e+ o1 w1<br />

and d = d1=<br />

0. Thus, order<br />

postponement (until the demand uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty is resolved)<br />

can be beneficial to each party. This is contrast<br />

to the traditional thought that suppliers always welcome<br />

as-early-as-possible orders. Our op<strong>in</strong>ion is that<br />

suppliers hate late orders mostly because they make<br />

the work of arrang<strong>in</strong>g production schedules more difficult.<br />

However, a properly designed <strong>in</strong>centive mechanism,<br />

which both clarifies the quantity that the supplier<br />

should produce and br<strong>in</strong>gs extra profit, elim<strong>in</strong>ates<br />

these negative concerns. Such a result, however, needs<br />

further proof from theory and practice.<br />

Table 1 Profit allocations between the two parties<br />

Extra profit allocation on supplier<br />

Second-period option price<br />

(% of improvement scope)<br />

0 100<br />

34.8 1<br />

… …<br />

39.6 67<br />

39.9 63<br />

40.2 58<br />

40.5 53<br />

40.8 48<br />

41.1 44<br />

41.4 39<br />

41.7 35<br />

42.0 30<br />

42.3 26<br />

… …<br />

43.8 3<br />

Note: For simplicity, we state here only the allocation status for the supplier.<br />

Its counterpart for the retailer can be calculated s<strong>in</strong>ce the sum is equal<br />

to 1.<br />

4 Conclusions<br />

579<br />

This analysis considers the coord<strong>in</strong>ation of option contracts<br />

<strong>in</strong> a retailer-led supply cha<strong>in</strong> where the retailer<br />

designs the contract and the supplier’s production<br />

needs to be coord<strong>in</strong>ated <strong>with</strong> the contract. Consider the<br />

case where the supplier operates two modes of production<br />

and the retailer has the ability to update the demand<br />

forecast as the sell<strong>in</strong>g season approaches. With<strong>in</strong><br />

this contract class, a set of pric<strong>in</strong>g conditions are def<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

that align the supplier and retailer to act <strong>in</strong> the<br />

best <strong>in</strong>terests of the channel. The analysis leads to<br />

some <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g results.<br />

First, option prices should be negatively correlated<br />

to the price and should be <strong>in</strong> a relevant range. This<br />

gives a trade-off between the higher unit compensation<br />

the supplier requires and the lower repurchas<strong>in</strong>g price<br />

he will get. To assure that the option mechanism is an<br />

effective <strong>in</strong>centive, the option prices should be <strong>with</strong><strong>in</strong> a<br />

relevant range. The second-period option price should<br />

be no greater than the difference between the second-<br />

period unit production costs and the salvage value.<br />

Otherwise, the supplier will earn little due to the rapidly<br />

decreas<strong>in</strong>g exercise price and the coord<strong>in</strong>ation will<br />

fail.<br />

Second, the first-period option price should be no<br />

greater than the second-period price and should be<br />

l<strong>in</strong>early correlated to the second-period option price<br />

when the latter is beyond some threshold. This result is<br />

true regardless of the specific functional form of the<br />

market demand or market signal.<br />

Third, the retailer’s order<strong>in</strong>g behavior is <strong>in</strong>fluenced<br />

<strong>by</strong> the dual effect of the predictive power of the new<br />

market <strong>in</strong>formation and option prices. Some extreme<br />

pric<strong>in</strong>g cases may result <strong>in</strong> the order<strong>in</strong>g behavior be<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>in</strong>dependent of the new market <strong>in</strong>formation. The <strong>in</strong>fluence<br />

pattern is so complex that there is no closed<br />

form solution to the retailer’s first-period optimal order<br />

quantity. Fortunately, this does not prevent explor<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the optimal pric<strong>in</strong>g conditions which are stated <strong>in</strong><br />

Proposition 3. A numerical example is given for the<br />

profit allocation issues. An <strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g result is that<br />

order postponement may be beneficial to both parties,<br />

though this needs further theoretical proof.

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