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Coordination by Option Contracts in a Retailer-Led Supply Chain with

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WANG Xiaolong (王小龙) et al:<strong>Coord<strong>in</strong>ation</strong> <strong>by</strong> <strong>Option</strong> <strong>Contracts</strong> <strong>in</strong> a <strong>Retailer</strong>-<strong>Led</strong> …<br />

c<br />

Proof First, prove the concavity of Π ( q1)<br />

. This<br />

c c<br />

only needs to prove that Π ( ε, q1) = max π ( ε,<br />

q)<br />

is<br />

qq1 concave <strong>in</strong> q 1 .<br />

Note that<br />

c * *<br />

⎧⎪ π ( ε,<br />

q ), if q c<br />

1 q ;<br />

Π ( ε,<br />

q1)<br />

= ⎨ c<br />

⎪⎩ π ( ε,<br />

q1),<br />

otherwise,<br />

*<br />

c c<br />

where q maximizes π ( ε , q).<br />

Now π ( ε , q)<br />

is obvi-<br />

2 c<br />

∂ π ( ε,<br />

q)<br />

ously concave <strong>in</strong> q because =−( p− v+ s)<br />

⋅<br />

2<br />

∂q<br />

c<br />

f( q| ε ) 0. Therefore, Π ( q1)<br />

is also concave <strong>in</strong> q 1 .<br />

The optimal total production quantity follows immediately<br />

from the fact that the second-period problem<br />

is a simple newsvendor problem <strong>with</strong> <strong>in</strong>itial <strong>in</strong>ventory<br />

q 1.<br />

Intuitively this quantity is positively related to the<br />

market signal. When the signal is not strong enough,<br />

the central planner will not produce a second sum. This<br />

idea is exhibited <strong>in</strong> Lemma 1 <strong>with</strong> a threshold value for<br />

c ⎧ c p− c2+ s<br />

the market signal: ε ( q1 ) = sup<br />

⎫<br />

⎨ε : Fq ( 1 | ε ) ⎬ .<br />

⎩<br />

p− v+ s ⎭<br />

This is the strongest signal that will still result <strong>in</strong> no<br />

second-period production. With this notation, suppose<br />

that the central planner’s expected profit is maximized<br />

at q , and then rewrite the problem as<br />

c<br />

1<br />

c c<br />

1 2 1<br />

c<br />

1<br />

c<br />

ε ( q1<br />

)<br />

∫ 0<br />

c c<br />

1<br />

∞<br />

c c<br />

∫ π ( ε, q )d G(<br />

ε),<br />

c<br />

ε ( q1<br />

)<br />

Π ( q ) = ( c − c ) q + π ( ε, q )d G(<br />

ε)<br />

+<br />

c 1 p c2 s<br />

where q F<br />

p v s ε<br />

− ⎛ − + ⎞<br />

= ⎜ ⎟ . Because<br />

⎝ − + ⎠<br />

c<br />

Π ( q1)<br />

is<br />

concave <strong>in</strong> q 1 , the first order condition works, i.e., an<br />

optimal first-period production quantity is implied <strong>by</strong><br />

c<br />

ε ( q1<br />

)<br />

c<br />

2 1<br />

0<br />

2 1<br />

∫<br />

c − c + [ p− c + s−( p− v+ s) F( q | ε)]d G(<br />

ε)<br />

= 0.<br />

□<br />

c<br />

Lemma 1 <strong>in</strong>troduces the concept of ε ( q1<br />

) which<br />

partitions the market signals <strong>in</strong>to two sets. If<br />

c<br />

ε ε(<br />

q1<br />

) , then the second-period production is not<br />

necessarily positive. Otherwise, it is exactly positive.<br />

1.2 Decentralized system performance <strong>with</strong>out<br />

coord<strong>in</strong>ation<br />

Here model the decentralized system as a Stackelberg<br />

game. The retailer sets orders <strong>in</strong> each period as mentioned<br />

above. The supplier <strong>in</strong> turn arranges production<br />

573<br />

based on the orders.<br />

Let d i denote the retailer’s order <strong>in</strong> period i. The<br />

problem is to choose d 1 and d2 = d − d1<br />

to maximize<br />

the expected profit. The problem structure is analogous<br />

to that <strong>in</strong> the centralized system.<br />

∞<br />

max ΠR( d1) =− wd 1 1+∫ ΠR( ε, d1, d2) d G(<br />

ε),<br />

d10<br />

0<br />

where ΠR( ε, d1, d2) = max πR( ε,<br />

d1, d2)<br />

and<br />

d20<br />

πR( ε , d1, d2) = − w2d2 + pEm<strong>in</strong>{ D, d1+ d2}<br />

+<br />

vd ( 1+ d2 − Em<strong>in</strong>{ Dd , 1+ d2})<br />

−<br />

sE[ D − m<strong>in</strong>{ D, d + d }].<br />

Rearrang<strong>in</strong>g,<br />

1 2<br />

max ΠR( d1) = ( w2 − w1) d1+∫ΠR( ε, d1) d G(<br />

ε)<br />

d10<br />

0<br />

where ΠR( ε, d1) = max πR( ε,<br />

d)<br />

and<br />

<br />

R 2<br />

d d1<br />

π ( ε, d) = ( p− w + s) d−( p− v+ s) F( x| ε)d<br />

x−sED. * *<br />

Let ( d1, d ) denote the optimal solution to the retailer’s<br />

problem. The solution structure is given <strong>in</strong><br />

Lemma 2.<br />

Lemma 2 The argument of the retailer’s first period<br />

problem, Π R( d1)<br />

, is concave <strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>itial order<br />

quantity d 1 . The optimal total order is<br />

* *<br />

⎧d1,<br />

if ε ε(<br />

d1);<br />

* ⎪<br />

d = ⎨ −1<br />

⎛ p− w2+ s ⎞<br />

⎪F<br />

⎜ ε ⎟,<br />

otherwise,<br />

⎩ ⎝ p− v+ s ⎠<br />

where<br />

* ⎧ * p− w2+ s⎫<br />

ε( d1) = sup ⎨ε : F( d1<br />

| ε)<br />

⎬ and the first-<br />

⎩ p− v+ s ⎭<br />

period optimal order quantity is implied <strong>by</strong><br />

*<br />

ε ( d1<br />

)<br />

*<br />

2 1<br />

0<br />

2 1<br />

∫ <br />

w − w + [ p− w + s−( p− v+ s) F( d | ε)]d G(<br />

ε)<br />

= 0.<br />

The proof is quite similar to that of Lemma 1. Here,<br />

*<br />

ε ( d1<br />

) also partitions the market signals <strong>in</strong>to two sets.<br />

*<br />

If ε ε(<br />

d1<br />

) , then the retailer will not set a second<br />

order. Note the differences from the notations def<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

<strong>in</strong> Section 1.1. Furthermore, for a given x, ε ( x) < ε ( x)<br />

,<br />

which co<strong>in</strong>cides <strong>with</strong> the phenomenon that double<br />

marg<strong>in</strong>alization makes the buyer conservative. Compared<br />

<strong>with</strong> the central planner, given the same <strong>in</strong>ventory<br />

level, the buyer <strong>in</strong> the decentralized system needs<br />

a stronger market signal, which <strong>in</strong>duces a more<br />

optimistic demand estimate, to build up to that level.<br />

The supplier’s problem is to choose production<br />

∞<br />

∫<br />

0<br />

d

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