11.08.2013 Views

Coordination by Option Contracts in a Retailer-Led Supply Chain with

Coordination by Option Contracts in a Retailer-Led Supply Chain with

Coordination by Option Contracts in a Retailer-Led Supply Chain with

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

578<br />

factor <strong>in</strong> models consider<strong>in</strong>g demand update is how the<br />

market signal updates the demand <strong>in</strong>formation, i.e.,<br />

how to def<strong>in</strong>e F( x| ε ) . Make the follow<strong>in</strong>g assumptions<br />

related to the market signal:<br />

(1) The market signal does not change the demand<br />

distribution pattern, i.e., F( x| ε ) is still uniform.<br />

(2) The market signal only affects the mean of the<br />

demand distribution, not the variance. As the signal<br />

becomes stronger the mean shifts up accord<strong>in</strong>gly. For<br />

uniform distributions, this implies that if F( x| ε ) ~<br />

U( f1( ε ), f2(<br />

ε )), then f2( ε) − f1( ε)<br />

≡b−a and f1 ( ε ) and<br />

f2 ( ε ) are both <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> ε .<br />

(3) A market signal as mathematically expected<br />

ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>s the orig<strong>in</strong>al demand distribution function.<br />

That is, if ε = 0.5t , then F( x| ε ) = F( x)<br />

. Moreover,<br />

assume<br />

F( x| ε )~ U( a−4(0.5 t−ε), b−4(0.5 t−<br />

ε))<br />

.<br />

To avoid un<strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g cases, def<strong>in</strong>e a> 2t.<br />

Consider the follow<strong>in</strong>g numerical example. Suppose<br />

the orig<strong>in</strong>al demand distribution is uniform <strong>with</strong><br />

a = 1000 and b = 2000 . The market signal is uniformly<br />

distributed between zero and t = 150.<br />

The cost<br />

parameters are c1= 50, c2= 65, w1= 60, w2= 80, v=<br />

20,<br />

s = 30,<br />

and p = 100 .<br />

For any o 2 ,<br />

p− v+ s<br />

e= p+ s− o .<br />

(1) Calculate e accord<strong>in</strong>g to<br />

(2) Solve for T ( 2)<br />

c2−v 2<br />

o ε .<br />

If β > 0 , εT( o2)<br />

= m<strong>in</strong>{150, ε′ T},<br />

where T<br />

ε′ is determ<strong>in</strong>ed<br />

<strong>by</strong><br />

−1 −1<br />

π R( ε′ T, F (max{ α,0}| ε′ T)) = πR( ε′ T, F ( β | ε′<br />

T))<br />

;<br />

If β 0 , T ( 2)<br />

150. o ε =<br />

⎡<br />

(3) Calculate o 1 accord<strong>in</strong>g to o1 = ⎢G(<br />

εT<br />

( o2))<br />

−<br />

⎣<br />

c2 − c1 ⎤<br />

o2<br />

c2−v ⎥ .<br />

⎦<br />

N<br />

(4) Solve for d 1 .<br />

N<br />

If e+ o1 w1,<br />

d1 ≡ 0 ;<br />

If e+ o1 > w1,<br />

substitute<br />

N<br />

N d1−[ a− 2 t+ ( b−a)max{ α,0}]<br />

ˆ( ε d1<br />

) = (which is<br />

4<br />

N N<br />

derived from Fd ( | ˆ ε( d )) = max{ α,0}<br />

) <strong>in</strong>to<br />

1 1<br />

N ˆ( ε d1<br />

)<br />

N<br />

2 1 1 ∫ 0<br />

2 1<br />

w − w + o + [ e−w −( e− v) F( d | ε)]d G(<br />

ε)<br />

= 0.<br />

Ts<strong>in</strong>ghua Science and Technology, August 2008, 13(4): 570-580<br />

If ˆ( ε d ) < 150,<br />

the results can be directly used.<br />

If ˆ( ε d ) 150,<br />

then<br />

N<br />

1<br />

N<br />

1<br />

N<br />

d 1 is implied <strong>by</strong><br />

150<br />

N<br />

2 1 1<br />

0<br />

2 1<br />

∫<br />

w − w + o + [ e−w −( e− v) F( d | ε)]d G(<br />

ε)<br />

= 0.<br />

(5) Calculate each party’s expected profit.<br />

Figure 1 shows how the retailer’s first-period order<br />

changes as o 2 varies. As expected, the retailer sets<br />

N<br />

d ≡ 0 when 1 1 , e o w<br />

o <br />

1<br />

p− w1+ s<br />

c2v p− c1+ s<br />

+ or equivalently, 2<br />

( − ) = 39.375.<br />

Such an order<strong>in</strong>g behavior<br />

directly <strong>in</strong>fluences each party’s expected profit curve<br />

shown <strong>in</strong> Fig. 2.<br />

Fig. 1 <strong>Retailer</strong>’s optimal first-period order quantity<br />

Figure 2 compares each party’s expected profit after<br />

coord<strong>in</strong>ation <strong>with</strong> that before coord<strong>in</strong>ation which is<br />

shown <strong>by</strong> the benchmark curve. The powerful retailer,<br />

who acts as a contract designer, will never be worse off,<br />

but the results are not so optimistic. The supplier’s expected<br />

profit even becomes negative for some cases!<br />

Notably, <strong>with</strong> these sett<strong>in</strong>gs, the first-best expected<br />

c<br />

profit Π = 221 209.<br />

Before coord<strong>in</strong>ation, however,<br />

Π R = 175 960 and Π S = 16 437. This leaves an improvement<br />

of 28 812 which is almost twice the supplier’s<br />

expected profit before coord<strong>in</strong>ation.<br />

Fig. 2 Expected profit for each party before and after<br />

coord<strong>in</strong>ation

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!