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Wedding Industry - IBISWorld

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Economic Environment<br />

Flowers<br />

December 2010–January 2011 The RMA Journal


<strong>Wedding</strong> Bells<br />

Are Ringing<br />

••After a downturn caused by a troubled economy<br />

and fewer marriages, wedding-related businesses<br />

are on the rebound.<br />

Liquidlibrary, Hemera/Thinkstock<br />

b y To o n va n Be e c k a n d Ge o r g e Va n Ho r n<br />

Wh i l e n o t a n industry in itself, the wedding business is<br />

a key revenue contributor to a diverse mix of local businesses.<br />

<strong>Wedding</strong>s are customized, and therefore not prone<br />

to efficiency, and they often occur on an irregular timeline.<br />

The clients (bride and groom) dream of perfection, while<br />

someone else (their parents) usually pays the bills.<br />

In the same way department stores rely on the holiday<br />

season to help define the ultimate success of their year,<br />

many small business operators depend on the number and<br />

extravagance of wedding events to distinguish a good year<br />

from a bad one.<br />

This article provides a quick evaluation of the wedding<br />

industry’s contribution to local economies and the small<br />

army of business service providers that support it. Highlighted<br />

here are the health of the wedding business, the<br />

size of the market, and the reliance of key industries on<br />

wedding-related revenue.<br />

Going to the Chapel<br />

<strong>Wedding</strong>s are big business. From the proposal to the return<br />

flight of a honeymoon, a typical wedding will have a direct<br />

and indirect impact on more than 100 industries. The list<br />

ranges from gold mining to travel agencies, but in this<br />

article we will look only at industries directly affected by the<br />

wedding event. While this categorization whittles down the<br />

industry impact considerably, the wedding market remains<br />

a sizable $47.2 billion sector.<br />

Let’s put this revenue in perspective: If weddings were<br />

compared to holiday-generated spending, they would rank<br />

just behind Christmas and easily ahead of Thanksgiving.<br />

The infrequency of weddings is more than made up for<br />

by their extravagance. They generate more revenue than<br />

Valentine’s Day, Mother’s Day, and Easter combined.<br />

One cause of concern is that the number of couples tying<br />

the knot has been in a persistent decline. Marriage rates have<br />

tumbled over the past few decades, falling from about 10<br />

marriages per 1,000 people in the mid-1980s to 6.8 marriages<br />

in 2009. This decline is a result of social influences<br />

(fewer couples looking to commit) and attitudinal changes,<br />

as consumers hold off for financial and lifestyle reasons.<br />

However, the fall in the marriage rate has not resulted in a<br />

complete disaster for the industry. In fact, the decline has<br />

led to a higher-than-average wedding spend, meaning even<br />

greater profits for those involved (Figure 1).<br />

The <strong>Wedding</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> and the Economy<br />

Coming off of 2005 and 2006, two of the most prosperous<br />

years in the wedding industry, the sector plummeted as the<br />

economy entered recession. Revenues fell from a high of<br />

$67.5 billion in 2005 to $42.9 billion in 2009. <strong>Industry</strong><br />

performance is expected to improve in 2010, expanding<br />

an estimated 10% to $47.2 billion, but still far below the<br />

The RMA Journal December 2010–January 2011 23<br />

Copyright 2010 by RMA


Figure 1<br />

Number of <strong>Wedding</strong>s versus Average <strong>Wedding</strong> Spend<br />

2,600,000<br />

2,500,000<br />

2,400,000<br />

2,300,000<br />

2,200,000<br />

2,100,000<br />

2,000,000<br />

1,900,000<br />

1985<br />

1986<br />

1987<br />

1988<br />

1989<br />

1990<br />

1991<br />

1992<br />

1993<br />

1994<br />

1995<br />

1996<br />

1997<br />

1998<br />

1999<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

2009<br />

2010<br />

Number of <strong>Wedding</strong>s (LHS)<br />

*In 2010 constant U.S. dollars<br />

*Average <strong>Wedding</strong> Spend (RHS)<br />

$35,000<br />

$30,000<br />

$25,000<br />

$20,000<br />

$15,000<br />

$10,000<br />

$5,000<br />

$0<br />

Source: <strong>IBISWorld</strong> estimates<br />

years, so businesses need to put in place appropriate<br />

strategies to capture that increasing demand.<br />

The average engagement time in the United<br />

States is 17 months, so long-term targeting and<br />

retaining strategies must be implemented. Additionally,<br />

businesses need to take proper financial<br />

considerations into account because the product<br />

or service in demand may be months away from<br />

payment and delivery. Planning for the future, along<br />

with having a good customer base, is essential for<br />

those involved in the wedding industry. Unlike<br />

other industries, sales are not typically day-to-day<br />

transactions. They are sizable decisions that take<br />

time to plan and implement, for both the customer<br />

and the company involved.<br />

The <strong>Wedding</strong> <strong>Industry</strong>’s Seven Core Sectors<br />

<strong>IBISWorld</strong> has identified seven core sectors within<br />

the wedding industry. These sectors are grouped<br />

together because they represent key inputs to the<br />

high of just five years earlier. As shown in Figure 2,<br />

the wedding market is expected to remain on this<br />

upward trend through 2015, with 2009 expected<br />

to be the low point for the sector.<br />

While swings in the economy greatly affect<br />

spending per wedding, the underlying demographics<br />

are slowly improving. The decline in population<br />

growth of the 20- to 34-year-old age bracket<br />

bottomed out between 1997 and 2002, and those<br />

in that bracket<br />

The positive revenue<br />

outlook for the next five<br />

years offers weddingdependent<br />

companies<br />

great opportunities<br />

to build business<br />

and increase their<br />

competitiveness.<br />

who are contributing<br />

to the<br />

rising population<br />

totals are<br />

quickly approaching<br />

the<br />

median age<br />

Figure 2<br />

for first marriages.<br />

Annualized<br />

growth<br />

in the 20- to<br />

34-year-old group over<br />

the five years to the end of 2013 is projected at 1.2%,<br />

a significant improvement over the growth rates for the<br />

prior two five-year periods, which were 0.6% and 0.4%,<br />

respectively (Figure 3).<br />

The positive revenue outlook for the next five years offers<br />

wedding-dependent companies great opportunities to build<br />

business and increase their competitiveness. Thousands of<br />

weddings were put on hold during the recession because<br />

couples and their parents were financially strapped. There<br />

will likely be a strong uptick in weddings over the next three<br />

$Millions<br />

$80,000<br />

$70,000<br />

$60,000<br />

$50,000<br />

$40,000<br />

$30,000<br />

$20,000<br />

$10,000<br />

$0<br />

2000<br />

2001<br />

U.S. <strong>Wedding</strong> Market Revenue<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

wedding planning process. Yet they are differentiated by<br />

their varied products and services. Few companies in the<br />

wedding industry actually provide services for an entire<br />

wedding (that’s the job of the wedding planner) because<br />

each couple has specific demands that no one company<br />

can meet on a regular basis.<br />

The seven sectors include reception, wedding attire,<br />

wedding rings, photography, flowers, wedding planners,<br />

and other (Figure 4). Within reception, wedding attire,<br />

and other, multiple and often highly diversified industries<br />

generate wedding revenue.<br />

2009<br />

2010<br />

2011<br />

2012<br />

2013<br />

2014<br />

2015<br />

Source: <strong>IBISWorld</strong> estimates<br />

24<br />

December 2010–January 2011 The RMA Journal


Clearly, all of these categories have a sizable<br />

sensitivity to wedding demand drivers such as<br />

number of engagements, per capita disposable<br />

income, unemployment levels and job security,<br />

and consumer confidence. At the same time, each<br />

of the seven revenue sources has unique risks and<br />

key success factors. The wedding industry cannot<br />

be grouped into a single frame when determining<br />

how much a lender may need to financially support<br />

a business. Rather, each sector must be reviewed<br />

individually and its operators evaluated in terms of<br />

other sources of revenue and the competition from<br />

other industries providing similar services.<br />

Figure 3<br />

64,000,000<br />

63,000,000<br />

62,000,000<br />

61,000,000<br />

60,000,000<br />

59,000,000<br />

58,000,000<br />

Total Population 20-34 and Median Age<br />

at First Marriage<br />

28<br />

27<br />

26<br />

25<br />

24<br />

23<br />

The Reception<br />

The reception is the biggest expense of a wedding,<br />

generating an estimated 38% of total industry revenue<br />

($17.94 billion in 2010). The reception sector<br />

can be broadly classified as the “accommodation<br />

and food services” division. Major costs associated<br />

with the reception include venue rental, food and beverages,<br />

food service and bartender, wedding cake, and hotel for<br />

the bride and groom.<br />

Customers spend a considerable amount of time choosing<br />

the reception location and making it fit their demands.<br />

For this reason, the reception operates with unique risks<br />

compared to other categories. Potential customers can be<br />

deterred from choosing a specific location or company<br />

over minor issues, and that equates to a loss of business<br />

opportunity.<br />

Like all industries, firms in this area must continually<br />

meet and satisfy their key success factors so that they remain<br />

competitive and viable. Table 1 shows six related <strong>IBISWorld</strong><br />

industries that have direct influence on the wedding market<br />

and fall into the accommodation and food services sector.<br />

From a wedding perspective, these figures show opportunities<br />

for new businesses. Operators within the<br />

industries low on the list can seek to capitalize on<br />

an improving wedding industry by directing more<br />

of their marketing toward this potential clientele.<br />

Developing good word-of-mouth recommendations,<br />

fostering excellent customer relations, having a welltrained<br />

staff, and implementing appropriate pricing<br />

policies will help moderate the business risks associated<br />

with this highly competitive sector.<br />

<strong>Wedding</strong> Attire<br />

The wedding attire category incorporates the retail,<br />

rental, and personal services sectors. However, most<br />

of the category is related to the retail sector, where<br />

product and service substitutes abound. Customers<br />

are able to move easily from business to business<br />

in search of outfits and accessories.<br />

57,000,000<br />

56,000,000<br />

1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008<br />

Figure 4<br />

Total Population 20-34 (L)<br />

<strong>IBISWorld</strong> has identified eight industries with a direct<br />

effect on the wedding attire category (Table 2). Major selling<br />

items include the<br />

bridal dress, groom<br />

and groomsmen attire,<br />

bride and groom accessories,<br />

bridesmaid<br />

outfits and accessories,<br />

and hair and makeup.<br />

This sector is estimated<br />

to account for 12.4% of<br />

total spending, coming<br />

in at $5.85 billion.<br />

Medium Age at First Marriage (R)<br />

Substitution is a huge competitive disadvantage for wedding<br />

firms specializing in the attire market. This factor is<br />

particularly true for formal wear and costume rental, given<br />

The Seven Revenue-Generating Areas<br />

<strong>Wedding</strong> Size: $47.2 billion—2010<br />

<strong>Wedding</strong> Planners<br />

2.0%<br />

Flowers<br />

4.5% Photography<br />

8.8%<br />

Other<br />

24.1%<br />

<strong>Wedding</strong> Rings<br />

10.2%<br />

22<br />

21<br />

Source: <strong>IBISWorld</strong> estimates<br />

The wedding industry<br />

cannot be grouped<br />

into a single frame<br />

when determining how<br />

much a lender may<br />

need to financially<br />

support a business.<br />

<strong>Wedding</strong> Attire<br />

12.4%<br />

Reception<br />

38.0%<br />

Source: <strong>IBISWorld</strong> estimates<br />

The RMA Journal December 2010–January 2011 25


Table 1<br />

<strong>Wedding</strong>-related Accommodation and Food Services Industries<br />

Growth<br />

Reception: Related Industries 2007-2009 2010 2009-2012<br />

Hotels & Motels -3.1% 1.3% 3.0%<br />

Single Location Full-Service Restaurants -2.8% 3.1% 2.9%<br />

Chain Full-Service Restaurants -2.4% 3.1% 2.6%<br />

Bars, Nightclubs & Drinking Establishments -5.3% 1.1% 2.6%<br />

Caterers -0.8% -1.1% 1.7%<br />

Bed & Breakfast & Hotel Accommodations -3.8% 0.5% 1.3%<br />

Table 2<br />

<strong>Wedding</strong> Attire Industries<br />

Related <strong>IBISWorld</strong> Industries<br />

Growth<br />

Source: <strong>IBISWorld</strong><br />

<strong>Wedding</strong> Attire: Related Industries 2007-2009 2010 2009-2012<br />

Clothing Accessories Stores 0.7% 3.8% 5.3%<br />

Hair & Hair Salons -3.0% 2.0% 2.6%<br />

Lingerie, Swimwear, Uniform & Bridal Stores -10.2% 1.2% 2.3%<br />

Women’s Clothing Stores -4.7% 1.3% 1.5%<br />

Shoe Stores -5.0% 0.2% 1.4%<br />

Formal Wear & Costume Rental -.07% -3.0% -1.1%<br />

Men’s Clothing Stores -4.2% -2.6% -1.5%<br />

Department Stores -5.3% -1.5% -2.5%<br />

Table 3<br />

<strong>Wedding</strong> Ring and Flower Industries<br />

Growth<br />

Source: <strong>IBISWorld</strong><br />

<strong>Wedding</strong> Rings & Flowers: Related Industries 2007-2009 2010 2009-2012<br />

Jewelry Stores -4.6% -0.8% 1.2%<br />

Florists -7.4% -1.4% -0.6%<br />

Source: <strong>IBISWorld</strong><br />

that an estimated 30% of this industry’s revenue comes from<br />

suit and tuxedo rentals for weddings. <strong>IBISWorld</strong> has identified<br />

the growth in cheap imports from China as one of the<br />

greatest threats to this industry. More men are purchasing<br />

these imports instead of renting their attire as the price<br />

difference between renting and buying diminishes. As a<br />

result, risks for the formal-wear industry have heightened<br />

over the past few years, something financial lenders need<br />

to be aware of if they intend to serve this sector.<br />

Consistent with most retail operations, the need to adequately<br />

control stock on hand has become increasingly<br />

important to the health and viability of individual operators.<br />

Thousands of retail businesses have experienced considerable<br />

financial losses due to deep discounting and slumping<br />

retail profits over the past several years. The margin of error<br />

between an oversupply of inventory during bad times and<br />

a shortage of inventory during good times is crucial to the<br />

financial health of any single operator.<br />

<strong>Wedding</strong> Rings and Flowers<br />

Two more sectors—rings and flowers—also fall within the<br />

retail spectrum of industry analysis. The jewelry market<br />

has long been considered one of the higher-risk industries<br />

in the United States, receiving a very high risk rating from<br />

<strong>IBISWorld</strong>. Over the next 18 months, however, industry risk<br />

will fall into the medium-to-high risk band. The lowered<br />

risk is attributable to improving economic conditions, an<br />

expected decline in unemployment, rising per capita disposable<br />

income, and a stronger wedding market.<br />

The jewelry industry is characterized by very high and<br />

increasing levels of competition, but it has a profit margin<br />

of 10.4%, well above the 7.5% average for the retail sector<br />

as a whole. Jewelry markets are in a strong position to<br />

maintain and grow operations, but lenders must ensure<br />

that profit margins are not jeopardized by the high levels<br />

of competition in this industry.<br />

On the other hand, the florist market is expected to have<br />

a high risk rating in the next 18 months, given that it faces<br />

strong competition from the supermarket and grocery store<br />

industry. Florists will need to focus on individual retailing<br />

segments and special occasions to improve their overall<br />

competitive position. Accounting for about 55% of industry<br />

revenue, cut-flower arrangements represent a major segment<br />

for florists. For those specializing in weddings, this<br />

segment often can generate more than 80% of revenue.<br />

Additionally, the margins associated with a wedding are<br />

very rewarding for businesses that can control stock levels<br />

and implement high levels of quality control. Nonetheless,<br />

having all your eggs in one basket is a high-risk/high-reward<br />

approach for a florist. A look at the history of key sales and<br />

their consistency throughout the year will help minimize<br />

lending risk in this category (Table 3).<br />

Photography<br />

<strong>Wedding</strong>s are the primary source of revenue within the<br />

photography industry, generating 45.5% of industry revenue.<br />

There are no obvious large players in this segment.<br />

Operators generally service specific geographic regions—<br />

from low-cost, part-time photographers to elite, high-end<br />

service providers. These businesses have low start-up costs<br />

and investment requirements, making them a successful<br />

lending proposition. They do not require a great deal of cash<br />

to finance their operations, which reduces lending risk.<br />

<strong>Wedding</strong> photography has been one of the fastest growing<br />

segments in the photography industry in recent years.<br />

The average expenditure on photography for an American<br />

26<br />

December 2010–January 2011 The RMA Journal


couple reached about $2,500 in 2008, up from less than<br />

$1,000 in 1999. More wedding photos are now being taken<br />

and purchased, while improved post-production services<br />

are a way to add value to increase revenue. This trend<br />

bodes well for lenders, but high photography skills, wordof-mouth<br />

recommendations, and project management ability<br />

are all required for a wedding photographer to succeed.<br />

Furthermore, photography is one of the highest discretionary<br />

areas within the wedding market. During tough times,<br />

many couples will turn to friends and family to produce<br />

the memories of their special day.<br />

<strong>Wedding</strong> Planners<br />

Planning a wedding can be very daunting for some couples<br />

and their families. For those who choose to hire a wedding<br />

planner, this expenditure can be one of the highest costs.<br />

Not all couples hire wedding planners, which increases the<br />

risk for this sector because it accounts for greater discretionary<br />

spending than many of the other wedding sectors. While<br />

only 2% of total wedding market revenue is derived from<br />

wedding planners, it can often be above 20% for individual<br />

weddings because a couple may hire a wedding planner to<br />

organize everything from A to Z.<br />

<strong>Wedding</strong> planners experience risks similar to those faced<br />

by other wedding sectors. After all, in arranging a wedding,<br />

the planner deals with every one of those industries. One of<br />

the biggest constraints for wedding planners is incorporating<br />

their markups on top of prices quoted by third parties.<br />

Successful wedding planners maintain strong relationships<br />

with a wide range of service providers, have a good reputation,<br />

and are able to provide unique solutions to meet<br />

individual client demands. Lenders must recognize these<br />

success factors and understand the financial responsibilities<br />

and liabilities involved when wedding planners are managing<br />

multiple service providers.<br />

The “Other” Category<br />

“Other” captures all the remaining items that a typical wedding<br />

includes. Some are more traditional purchases (invitations,<br />

reply cards, and rehearsal dinners), while others are<br />

more discretionary in nature (transportation and music).<br />

For nearly all of these services, there can be a high risk of<br />

product or service substitution, and an operator without<br />

significant recognition will experience low customer attainment<br />

and sales.<br />

Conclusion<br />

Ranging from accommodation and food services to retail,<br />

transportation, and professional services, the industries<br />

involved in organizing and carrying out a single wedding<br />

event are significant. For industries with a high revenue<br />

concentration associated with weddings (such as wedding<br />

planners and photographers), the success of their business<br />

is linked directly to the economic and social trends affecting<br />

wedding spending. For the many other service providers,<br />

wedding-related revenues are a key variable in business<br />

performance and profitability.<br />

For lenders to these businesses, the high level of competition<br />

and the ease of substitution among service providers<br />

pose additional business risks. Since getting repeat business<br />

from satisfied customers has its limits, the most successful<br />

operators benefit from consistently high word-of-mouth<br />

recommendations and referrals. Given the length of time<br />

from engagement announcement to wedding day, operators<br />

with a strong track record and well-established businesses<br />

will have a distinct advantage in generating and managing<br />

an order book consistent with their business capacity. v<br />

••<br />

Toon van Beeck and George Van Horn are senior analysts with <strong>IBISWorld</strong>. They can<br />

be reached at toonv@ibisworld.com and georgev@ibisworld.com.<br />

Call for Articles: Back to the Basics<br />

RMA Journal readers can’t get enough of “how<br />

to” articles that explain the basics of lending. And nobody<br />

writes those articles better than bankers. Please consider<br />

sharing your expertise by writing a “how to” feature, such<br />

as how to analyze cash flow, how to choose an appraiser,<br />

or how to prepare for a meeting with a potential customer.<br />

Do you have experience in lending to a particular<br />

niche? Other RMA members could benefit from your<br />

experience in lending to gas stations, churches, or spas.<br />

In this environment, almost everybody has experienced<br />

a loss on a credit that never should have been approved<br />

in the first place. Consider telling your tale in a Spilled<br />

Milk feature, using fictitious names for the customer (and<br />

even the bank). We can all learn from our mistakes.<br />

You don’t have to be a great writer. Just get the facts<br />

down in written form, and The RMA Journal editors will<br />

polish your prose while you put a shine on your career<br />

as a published author. Contact Journal editor Kathie<br />

Beans, kbeans@rmahq.org, with questions or an article<br />

proposal.<br />

The RMA Journal December 2010–January 2011 27

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