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Iowa K-12 public school enrollment projections for 2003-2004 through 2007-2008 are
presented in Table 5. Enrollment projections are based upon trends observed in the enrollment
changes from grade to grade. Estimated enrollments for grades 1-12 are calculated using an
average cohort survival ratio. Kindergarten enrollments were estimated from an average ratio
of kindergarten enrollments to the cohort born five years earlier. The projections show a
continuation of the downward trend in total enrollments. The projections also indicate that
the number of outgoing grade 12 students will be greater than the number of incoming
kindergartners for each year shown.
Table 5
IOWA PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS BY GRADE LEVEL
2003-2004 TO 2007-2008
Grade
Level 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 2007-2008
K 34,734 35,256 35,077 34,788 34,844
1 33,523 33,882 34,392 34,217 33,935
2 32,944 33,419 33,777 34,285 34,111
3 32,871 33,049 33,525 33,884 34,394
4 33,781 32,996 33,175 33,653 34,013
5 34,952 33,926 33,138 33,317 33,797
6 37,278 35,359 34,321 33,524 33,705
7 37,359 37,049 36,111 35,051 34,237
8 37,867 37,531 37,220 36,277 35,212
9 40,166 40,797 40,435 40,100 39,084
10 37,960 38,664 39,272 38,923 38,601
11 36,541 36,543 37,220 37,806 37,470
12 36,831 35,392 35,393 36,049 36,617
Other* 18,399 17,859 17,365 16,858 16,331
State 484,206 481,722 480,421 478,732 476,351
Source:
Note:
Iowa Department of Education, Bureau of Planning, Research, and Evaluation, Public School
Enrollment Projections.
*Other refers primarily to special education students not associated with a given grade level.
This is not a count of the number of special education students in the state.
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