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Tourism Statistics - Government of Botswana

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Whilst P 0.9 billion is the <strong>Government</strong> budget for (1) and (3) above for 2006/2007, the precise<br />

content <strong>of</strong> this expenditure is not clear.<br />

Similarly with Businesses there is no allocation <strong>of</strong> intermediate consumption towards Hotels and<br />

Restaurants. Some 3% to 4% <strong>of</strong> intermediate consumption within the economy is not implausible.<br />

The balance between these different sources has been adapted from the Social Accounting Matrix<br />

for <strong>Botswana</strong> from 1996/97. There, the Absorption Matrix indicated that the total supply <strong>of</strong> the<br />

commodity, „Hotels and Restaurants‟ was used in the following manner: -<br />

Commodity Absorbed by: P million 1996/97 Percentage<br />

Households 59.0 11.8%<br />

Exports 210.9 42.3%<br />

Productive Activities – Intermediate Consumption 120.7 24.2%<br />

Central and Local <strong>Government</strong> 108.0 21.7%<br />

Total Output 498.6 100.0%<br />

Source: Social Accounting Matrix 1996/97<br />

The above has been adapted on anecdotal evidence to the figures below.<br />

Households Businesses <strong>Government</strong> Exports Total<br />

Breakdown 5.0% 28.0% 25.0% 42.0% 100.0%<br />

Turnover in<br />

Hotels and<br />

Restaurants P.<br />

million 204.1 1,143.0 1,020.6 1,714.5 4,082.2<br />

But only a proportion <strong>of</strong> this turnover is associated with tourism. Also the turnover has to be<br />

divided between hotels themselves and restaurants. There are number <strong>of</strong> guideposts to the<br />

possible scale and composition <strong>of</strong> components <strong>of</strong> the hotel and restaurant trade. These are: -<br />

The turnover established through the National Accounts procedures (P4.1 billion in<br />

2005/06);<br />

The balance between domestic arrivals and foreign arrivals at hotels (35:65 in 2005);<br />

The earnings that can be obtained from the capacity in tourism accommodation (nearly<br />

8,000 beds);<br />

The data from the <strong>Government</strong> Budget;<br />

Information on business operations; and<br />

Information on hotel and restaurant operations.<br />

In relation to the figure for hotel and restaurant turnover <strong>of</strong> more than P 4 billion in 2005/06, to find<br />

a reasonable fit with this information it has been necessary to assume that the hotel: restaurant<br />

split is around 39:61 and also to assume that the non-tourism component is up towards 20% for<br />

the hotels and over 70% for the restaurants.<br />

Putting together estimates such as these, which could be described as broadly plausible, is a<br />

temporary measure in order to find reasonable orders <strong>of</strong> magnitude. A key issue is that using<br />

information from both the demand side and the supply side compromises the independence <strong>of</strong> the<br />

approaches and any subsequent reconciliation <strong>of</strong> data on demand and supply. However in the<br />

absence <strong>of</strong> more information this has been necessary.<br />

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