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World Energy Outlook 2011 - IEA

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© OECD/<strong>IEA</strong>, <strong>2011</strong><br />

Brazil: Current Policies and 450 Scenarios<br />

<strong>Energy</strong> demand (Mtoe) Shares (%) CAAGR (%)<br />

2020 2030 2035 2020 2030 2035 2035 20092035<br />

Current Policies Scenario 450 Scenario<br />

CPS 450 CPS 450<br />

TPED 337 403 434 323 354 365 100 100 2.4 1.7<br />

Coal 18 18 17 15 11 10 4 3 1.7 0.5<br />

Oil 119 130 134 108 93 84 31 23 1.3 0.5<br />

Gas 52 81 95 45 48 49 22 13 6.8 4.2<br />

Nuclear 6 8 9 6 12 13 2 3 3.9 5.2<br />

Hydro 39 44 46 40 46 48 11 13 1.2 1.4<br />

Biomass and waste 101 119 127 106 139 153 29 42 2.0 2.7<br />

Other renewables 2 4 5 2 6 9 1 3 9.6 11.9<br />

Power generation 75 97 111 73 83 88 100 100 3.1 2.2<br />

Coal 6 6 5 5 1 1 5 1 2.8 4.7<br />

Oil 2 2 2 2 1 1 2 1 1.4 4.2<br />

Gas 14 26 35 11 7 5 31 5 10.6 2.3<br />

Nuclear 6 8 9 6 12 13 8 14 3.9 5.2<br />

Hydro 39 44 46 40 46 48 42 55 1.2 1.4<br />

Biomass and waste 7 8 9 8 12 14 8 15 3.1 4.6<br />

Other renewables 1 3 4 1 5 7 4 9 14.9 17.8<br />

Other energy sector 63 72 72 58 60 59 100 100 2.3 1.5<br />

Electricity 11 13 14 11 11 12 20 20 2.0 1.2<br />

TFC 259 308 334 250 277 289 100 100 2.2 1.6<br />

Coal 7 7 8 6 6 6 2 2 1.8 0.6<br />

Oil 109 120 125 99 86 77 37 27 1.5 0.4<br />

Gas 19 29 36 18 25 30 11 10 5.2 4.5<br />

Electricity 48 61 68 47 54 58 20 20 2.6 2.0<br />

Heat n.a. n.a.<br />

Biomass and waste 75 90 96 79 104 116 29 40 2.1 2.9<br />

Other renewables 1 1 2 1 1 2 0 1 5.4 6.1<br />

Industry 103 125 137 100 119 126 100 100 2.5 2.2<br />

Coal 6 7 7 6 6 5 5 4 1.8 0.6<br />

Oil 16 17 18 15 15 14 13 11 1.5 0.6<br />

Gas 14 22 27 14 19 22 20 18 5.4 4.7<br />

Electricity 23 28 31 22 26 28 23 22 2.6 2.1<br />

Heat n.a. n.a.<br />

Biomass and waste 44 51 54 44 53 56 39 45 2.1 2.3<br />

Other renewables n.a. n.a.<br />

Transport 84 99 107 78 81 82 100 100 2.1 1.1<br />

Oil 62 69 72 54 41 33 68 41 1.6 1.3<br />

Electricity 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 4.2 7.7<br />

Biofuels 19 26 29 22 37 44 28 53 3.1 4.7<br />

Other fuels 2 4 5 2 3 4 5 5 4.0 3.3<br />

Buildings 41 48 53 40 42 44 100 100 1.8 1.0<br />

Coal n.a. n.a.<br />

Oil 7 8 9 7 6 6 16 13 0.9 0.8<br />

Gas 1 1 2 1 1 1 3 3 5.3 4.4<br />

Electricity 23 30 34 23 25 27 64 61 2.6 1.6<br />

Heat n.a. n.a.<br />

Biomass and waste 8 8 7 8 8 8 14 19 0.4 0.1<br />

Other renewables 1 1 2 1 1 2 3 4 5.4 6.1<br />

Other 31 36 37 31 35 37 100 100 1.8 1.7<br />

Annex A - Tables for scenario projections 613<br />

A

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