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Lecture Series in Mobile Telecommunications and Networks (1583KB)

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You can see that there is much room for improvement but, if<br />

you discuss it with the operators, they will tell you that that is<br />

already very expensive. For these green dots, the operators<br />

need 12,000 to 13,000 base stations already, <strong>and</strong> the<br />

coverage is 80 per cent of the population or even more.<br />

Perfect – but it is only 20% to 25% of the area <strong>and</strong>, if we<br />

compare that to GSM, for the grey area you need about<br />

18,000 to 19,000 base stations, so UMTS is much more<br />

expensive. This has to do with the UMTS frequency b<strong>and</strong> but<br />

it also has to do with the transmission scheme, with the<br />

CDMA concept (Code Division Multiple Access). The sales are<br />

smaller <strong>and</strong> there is a big question mark about whether<br />

UMTS will ever be available everywhere. What we can<br />

conclude here is that we will see <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g data rates but<br />

there is limited coverage <strong>and</strong>, therefore, with GSM, there will be the fall-back solution for a very long time. If we try to<br />

improve the audio quality, then we should take care to see that we transport the quality <strong>in</strong> the GSM network.<br />

What about the implementation <strong>and</strong> complexity? Every time we <strong>in</strong>vent a new codec or a new radio <strong>in</strong>terface,<br />

complexity <strong>in</strong>creases because we are mak<strong>in</strong>g progress towards the theoretical limits. We are try<strong>in</strong>g to improve the<br />

quality, so what about complexity?<br />

Global system for mobile communications<br />

Technology evolution: Moore’s law<br />

All the time it is the same. I would like to go back about 20<br />

years, when the GSM system was more or less stable <strong>and</strong> it<br />

was st<strong>and</strong>ardised. Experienced eng<strong>in</strong>eers <strong>in</strong> the company –<br />

I was with Philips – said that it would take 10 years or even<br />

longer until we would be able to implement it <strong>in</strong> mobile,<br />

because the GSM st<strong>and</strong>ard was so complex <strong>in</strong> comparison to<br />

the analogue FM radios that we had at that time, that the<br />

idea of the mobile should look like that.<br />

So much of the equipment is <strong>in</strong> the car <strong>and</strong>, to be honest,<br />

when we implemented the first test mobile station, it looked<br />

a little bit like that. This was <strong>in</strong> 1989.<br />

Just a few years later, <strong>in</strong> 1991/2, we had the first mobile, the<br />

Motorola International 3200. This was <strong>in</strong>credible progress <strong>in</strong><br />

a couple of years. There are two reasons beh<strong>in</strong>d that.<br />

First, there is Moore’s law, which helps eng<strong>in</strong>eers to <strong>in</strong>vent more complex th<strong>in</strong>gs, <strong>and</strong> it says that the number of<br />

transistors on an <strong>in</strong>tegrated circuit has <strong>in</strong>creased exponentially. The scale here is logarithmic, which means doubl<strong>in</strong>g<br />

approximately every two years. What does doubl<strong>in</strong>g mean?<br />

Implications of Moore’s law: 6 years later<br />

To get an idea, let’s take a chip of today <strong>and</strong> wait for six years. Six years is three times two, it is 2 to the power of 3, <strong>and</strong><br />

that is a factor of eight. So we were able to reduce the chip size after six years, <strong>and</strong> we started the st<strong>and</strong>ardisation <strong>and</strong><br />

then we entered the market <strong>and</strong> we were happy that the chips were becom<strong>in</strong>g smaller <strong>and</strong> cheaper. On the other<br />

h<strong>and</strong>, if we have more space, we can also add additional functionality <strong>and</strong> new architectures. My conclusion for the<br />

voice service is that we should not worry too much about complexity, although that is a topic we could discuss.<br />

<strong>Mobile</strong> audio-communication<br />

Now let’s study the audio <strong>and</strong> speech compression schemes. In mobile radio, we use model-based speech cod<strong>in</strong>g,<br />

48 The Royal Academy of Eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g

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