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2012 Half Year Results Media Presentation - Origin Energy

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<strong>2012</strong> <strong>Half</strong> <strong>Year</strong> <strong>Results</strong> <strong>Media</strong> <strong>Presentation</strong><br />

<strong>Half</strong> <strong>Year</strong> Ended 31 December 2011<br />

Grant King, Managing Director<br />

Karen Moses, Executive Director, Finance and Strategy<br />

23 February <strong>2012</strong>


Important Notice<br />

This presentation does not constitute investment advice, or an inducement or recommendation to acquire or dispose of any<br />

securities in <strong>Origin</strong>, in any jurisdiction (including the USA). This presentation is for information purposes only, is in a<br />

summary form, and does not purport to be complete. This presentation does not take into account the investment<br />

objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any investor, potential investor or any other person. No investment<br />

decision should be made in reliance on this presentation. Independent financial and taxation advice should be sought before<br />

making any investment decision.<br />

Certain statements in this presentation are in the nature of forward looking statements, including statements of current intention, statements<br />

of opinion and predictions as to possible future events. Such statements are not statements of fact and there can be no certainty of outcome<br />

in relation to the matters to which the statements relate. These forward looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties,<br />

assumptions and other important factors that could cause the actual outcomes to be materially different from the events or results expressed<br />

or implied by such statements. Those risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other important factors are not all within the control of <strong>Origin</strong> and<br />

cannot be predicted by <strong>Origin</strong> and include changes in circumstances or events that may cause objectives to change as well as risks,<br />

circumstances and events specific to the industry, countries and markets in which <strong>Origin</strong> and its related bodies corporate, joint ventures and<br />

associated undertakings operate. They also include general economic conditions, exchange rates, interest rates, the regulatory environment,<br />

competitive pressures, selling price, market demand and conditions in the financial markets which may cause objectives to change or may<br />

cause outcomes not to be realised. None of <strong>Origin</strong> or any of its respective subsidiaries, affiliates and associated companies (or any of their<br />

respective officers, employees or agents) (the "Relevant Persons") makes any representation, assurance or guarantee as to the accuracy or<br />

likelihood of fulfilment of any forward looking statement or any outcomes expressed or implied in any forward looking statements. The forward<br />

looking statements in this presentation reflect views held only at the date of this presentation. In addition, statements about past<br />

performance are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Subject to any continuing obligations under law or the ASX Listing Rules,<br />

<strong>Origin</strong> and the Relevant Persons disclaim any obligation or undertaking to disseminate after the date of this presentation any updates or<br />

revisions to any forward looking statements to reflect any change in expectations in relation to any forward looking statements or any change<br />

in events, conditions or circumstances on which such statements are based.<br />

No representation or warranty, express or implied, is or will be made in relation to the accuracy or completeness of the information in this<br />

presentation and no responsibility or liability is or will be accepted by <strong>Origin</strong> or any of the Relevant Persons in relation to it. In particular,<br />

<strong>Origin</strong> does not endorse, and is not responsible for, the accuracy or reliability of any information in this presentation relating to a third party.<br />

All references to "$" are references to Australian dollars unless otherwise specified.<br />

All references to debt refer to interest-bearing debt.<br />

A reference to Contact is a reference to Contact <strong>Energy</strong> of New Zealand, currently a 52.8% subsidiary of <strong>Origin</strong>.<br />

A reference to Australia Pacific LNG or APLNG is a reference to Australia Pacific LNG Pty Limited, an incorporated joint venture in which <strong>Origin</strong><br />

currently holds a 42.5% interest.<br />

A reference to the “NSW energy assets” or “NSW acquisition” is a reference to the Integral <strong>Energy</strong> and Country <strong>Energy</strong> retail businesses and the<br />

Eraring GenTrader arrangements.<br />

A reference to FID 1 is a reference to the Final Investment Decision on the first phase of APLNG‟s two train CSG to LNG project taken on 28<br />

July 2011. A reference to FID 2 is a reference to a Final Investment Decision on the second phase of APLNG‟s two train CSG to LNG project.<br />

A reference to NEM is a reference to Australia‟s National Electricity Market.<br />

All comparative data is in relation to the prior corresponding period, 1 July 2010 to 31 December 2010, unless otherwise stated. Certain<br />

comparative amounts have been reclassified to conform with the current year‟s presentation.<br />

2 |


Outline<br />

1. Performance Highlights Grant King<br />

2. Financial Review Grant King<br />

3. Operational Review Grant King<br />

4. Outlook Grant King<br />

3 |


1. Performance Highlights<br />

Grant King, Managing Director<br />

• <strong>Origin</strong>‟s Statutory Profit contains a number of items that do not portray the operational<br />

performance of the business. Underlying Profit excludes the impact of these items to<br />

better illustrate the business performance of the Company<br />

• Underlying measures are used internally by management to assess the performance of<br />

<strong>Origin</strong>‟s business, make decisions on allocation of resources and assess operational<br />

management<br />

• Underlying measures are non-IFRS measures, and are reconciled to statutory measures<br />

(where appropriate) in the Management Discussion & Analysis. Non-IFRS measures have<br />

not been subject to audit or review


During the half <strong>Origin</strong> has made substantial progress on its two<br />

major investments …<br />

Effective integration of the NSW<br />

acquisition with successful Retail<br />

Transformation setting up for retail<br />

systems integration, strengthening<br />

<strong>Origin</strong>‟s strong competitive position<br />

FID 1 taken, with binding sales<br />

agreements clearing the way for<br />

FID 2<br />

Construction commenced;<br />

on schedule and budget<br />

… and is delivering on the value proposition central to the<br />

ongoing growth of the company<br />

5 |


A strong increase in earnings in the half year reflecting the<br />

NSW acquisition …<br />

Statutory Profit / (Loss) $794 m up from ($136) m<br />

Statutory Earnings per Share 73.8 cps up from (15.0) cps 1<br />

Underlying Profit $489 m up 61% from $304 m<br />

Underlying Earnings per Share 45.5 cps up 36% from 33.5 cps 2<br />

Interim Dividend per Share 25.0 cps steady<br />

Group OCAT (incl. share of APLNG) 3 $736 m down 7% from $794 m<br />

Capital and APLNG Expenditure 4 $1,036 m up 13% from $915 m<br />

Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate 6.3 up from 6.1<br />

… with ongoing investment in the business to drive continued growth<br />

6 |<br />

(1) Dec 10 Statutory EPS of (15.4) cps restated to (15.0) cps for the bonus element of the rights issue completed in April 2011<br />

(2) Dec 10 Underlying EPS of 34.4 cps restated to 33.5 cps for the bonus element of the rights issue completed in April 2011<br />

(3) Group OCAT means operating cash flow after tax of the Consolidated Group, including <strong>Origin</strong>’s share of APLNG<br />

(4) Capital expenditure is based on cash flow amounts rather than accrual accounting amounts; Includes growth and stay-in-business capital<br />

expenditure, capitalised interest and <strong>Origin</strong>’s cash contributions to APLNG; Dec 10 capital expenditure is restated to conform to this half<br />

year’s classification


A$ million<br />

FY<strong>2012</strong><br />

FY2013<br />

FY2014<br />

FY2015<br />

FY2016<br />

FY2017<br />

FY2018<br />

FY2019<br />

FY2020<br />

FY2021<br />

FY2022<br />

FY2023+<br />

<strong>Origin</strong> has undertaken a number of funding activities during<br />

the half year …<br />

<strong>Origin</strong> Debt & Bank Guarantee Maturity Profile as at 31 December 2011<br />

2,500<br />

2,000<br />

1,500<br />

1,000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

Loans & Bank Guarantees - Undrawn<br />

Loans & Bank Guarantees - Drawn<br />

USPP, Retail Notes & Euro Hybrid<br />

• Underwritten DRP - $266m<br />

• Unsecured Notes issuance in US<br />

144A market – US$500m ($492m)<br />

• Subordinated Notes in Australian<br />

retail bond market - $900m<br />

• Additional debt facilities - $800m<br />

(and repaid $500m of matured<br />

facilities)<br />

• Work on Project Finance for<br />

APLNG progressing well<br />

Short term<br />

refinancing<br />

requirements are<br />

not significant<br />

Post FY2023,<br />

approximately $1.5<br />

billion 2 of instruments<br />

with staggered maturities<br />

… which have increased committed undrawn debt facilities and cash<br />

from $3.9 billion at June 2011 to $5.5 billion 1 at December 2011<br />

7 |<br />

(1) Excludes Contact<br />

(2) Includes $900m Retail Subordinated Notes (first call right December 2016) and Euro500m Hybrid (first call right June 2018)


2. Financial Review<br />

Grant King, Managing Director


<strong>2012</strong> <strong>Half</strong> <strong>Year</strong> Financial Highlights<br />

($ million) Dec 11 Dec 10 Change<br />

Statutory Profit / (Loss) 794 (136) na<br />

EPS – Statutory 73.8 cps (15.0) cps na<br />

Revenue 6,499 4,590 42%<br />

Underlying EBITDA 1,157 818 41%<br />

Underlying EBIT 832 536 55%<br />

Underlying Profit 489 304 61%<br />

EPS – Underlying 45.5 cps 33.5 cps 36%<br />

Group OCAT (incl. share of APLNG) 736 794 (7%)<br />

Free cash flow per share 51.7 cps 78.2 cps (34%)<br />

Capital and APLNG Expenditure 1,036 915 13%<br />

<strong>Origin</strong> Undrawn Committed Debt Facilities<br />

and cash 1 5,477 2,865 91%<br />

9 | (1) Excluding Contact and bank guarantees. Dec 10 number also excludes NSW acquisition funding


$ million<br />

Statutory Profit of $794 million, up $930 million from a loss of<br />

$136 million<br />

1,000<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

-<br />

-200<br />

(136)<br />

Dec 10<br />

Statutory<br />

Loss<br />

440<br />

Items<br />

excluded<br />

from<br />

Underlying<br />

Profit<br />

<strong>Origin</strong> Underlying Profit Movement - Dec 10 to Dec 2011<br />

304<br />

Dec 10<br />

Underlying<br />

Profit<br />

41% 15% 91%<br />

339<br />

Underlying<br />

EBITDA<br />

(43)<br />

D&A<br />

and<br />

1<br />

ITDA<br />

(40)<br />

Net<br />

financing<br />

costs<br />

47%<br />

(73)<br />

Tax<br />

Expense<br />

6%<br />

2<br />

Noncontrolling<br />

interests<br />

61%<br />

489<br />

Dec 11<br />

Underlying<br />

Profit<br />

na<br />

305<br />

Items<br />

excluded<br />

from<br />

Underlying<br />

Profit<br />

na<br />

794<br />

Dec 11<br />

Statutory<br />

Profit<br />

Underlying Profit increased 61%, reflecting higher Underlying EBITDA due to contributions from the NSW<br />

energy assets and lower exploration expense in the Exploration & Production segment, offset by:<br />

• Higher depreciation and amortisation charges (up $45m to $305m) primarily due to NSW acquisition<br />

and Contact‟s Stratford Peaker and Ahuroa developments. ITDA 1 lower by $2m<br />

• Higher net financing costs (up $40m to $84m) reflecting debt financing for NSW acquisition and<br />

capital expenditure<br />

• Higher Underlying Tax Expense (up $73m to $227m) in line with increased profits<br />

Underlying Profit of $489 million, up by $185 million or 61%<br />

10 |<br />

(1) Share of interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation of equity accounted investees


OCAT decreased, with the increase in Underlying EBITDA offset<br />

primarily by changes in working capital, acquisition liabilities<br />

and capex<br />

($ million) Dec 11 Dec 10 Change<br />

Underlying EBITDA 1,157 818 339<br />

Change in working capital (192) (62) (130)<br />

Stay-in-business capex (99) (69) (30)<br />

Share of APLNG OCAT net of EBITDA 14 10 4<br />

Exploration expense 11 97 (86)<br />

NSW acquisition related liabilities (139) - (139)<br />

Other 1 (3) 8 (11)<br />

Tax (13) (8) (5)<br />

Group OCAT (incl. share of APLNG) 736 794 (58)<br />

Net interest paid (174) (102) (72)<br />

Free cash flow 562 692 (130)<br />

Productive Capital (calendar year) 13,638 9,631 4,007<br />

Group OCAT Ratio 2 (calendar year) 10.5% 13.2% (2.7%)<br />

Higher working capital<br />

requirements primarily<br />

due to additional SRES<br />

requirements and<br />

reduced creditors<br />

Decrease in exploration<br />

expense which is added back<br />

in calculating OCAT and<br />

treated as investing activities<br />

Unwind of non-cash TSA<br />

and PPA provisions relating<br />

to the NSW acquisition<br />

Higher productive capital<br />

primarily due to the<br />

inclusion of NSW energy<br />

assets<br />

11 |<br />

(1) The add-back of non–cash equity accounted profits excluding APLNG and movements in other provision balances are included within the<br />

“Other” line item<br />

(2) Group OCAT Ratio = (OCAT – interest tax shield)/Productive Capital


<strong>Origin</strong> has revised its operating segments<br />

• Final Investment Decision on the first phase of APLNG‟s CSG to LNG project<br />

• Deepening integration within <strong>Origin</strong>‟s <strong>Energy</strong> Markets business<br />

• Increased development opportunities outside of existing operations<br />

Segment<br />

<strong>Energy</strong> Markets<br />

Exploration &<br />

Production<br />

Australia Pacific LNG<br />

Contact <strong>Energy</strong><br />

Corporate<br />

Business Description<br />

Australian energy retailing, associated products and services; power<br />

generation in Australia; and LPG operations in Australia, the Pacific,<br />

Papua New Guinea and Vietnam<br />

Gas and oil exploration and production in Australia, New Zealand and<br />

international areas of interest<br />

<strong>Origin</strong>‟s investment in Australia Pacific LNG including current domestic<br />

operations and the Australia Pacific LNG CSG to LNG project<br />

<strong>Origin</strong>‟s investment in its 52.8% owned New Zealand subsidiary Contact<br />

<strong>Energy</strong> Ltd<br />

Corporate activities that are not allocated to other operating segments<br />

and business development activities outside of <strong>Origin</strong>‟s existing<br />

operations<br />

12 |<br />

This reflects management‟s view of the operational performance<br />

of the business


$ million<br />

Underlying EBITDA up 41% to $1,157 million<br />

1,400<br />

1,200<br />

1,000<br />

800<br />

600<br />

400<br />

200<br />

818<br />

<strong>Origin</strong> Underlying EBITDA Movement - Dec 10 to Dec 11<br />

83% 50%<br />

1% 33%<br />

41%<br />

52%<br />

(16) 217 2 (10) 1,157<br />

81<br />

282<br />

145<br />

75<br />

-<br />

Dec 10<br />

Underlying<br />

EBITDA<br />

<strong>Energy</strong><br />

Markets<br />

Expl. & Prod.<br />

Australia<br />

Pacific LNG<br />

Contact Corporate Dec 11<br />

Underlying<br />

EBITDA<br />

Underlying EBITDA increased by 41%, largely reflecting:<br />

• Full 6 months‟ contribution from the acquired NSW energy assets<br />

• Significantly reduced exploration expense in Exploration & Production segment<br />

13 |


$ million<br />

During the half year <strong>Origin</strong> spent $764 million on growth capital,<br />

and contributed $173 million to APLNG<br />

Growth Capital and APLNG Expenditure by<br />

Segment (includes capitalised interest)<br />

1,000<br />

900<br />

800<br />

700<br />

600<br />

500<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

937<br />

846<br />

Dec 10 Dec 11<br />

<strong>Energy</strong> Markets<br />

Exploration & Production<br />

Contact<br />

Corporate<br />

APLNG<br />

• Growth capital expenditure 1 , excluding APLNG<br />

contribution, down 10% on prior half year<br />

• Key areas of capital expenditure include:<br />

- Mortlake Power Station ($96m)<br />

- Eraring Power Station ($92m)<br />

- Retail Transformation ($46m)<br />

- Ironbark ($52m)<br />

- BassGas ($37m)<br />

- Otway ($35m)<br />

- Contact‟s Te Mihi geothermal<br />

development ($93m)<br />

• Total capital expenditure within APLNG $2.5b<br />

- <strong>Origin</strong>‟s cash contribution $173m<br />

14 | (1) Including capitalised interest of $89 million (Dec 10: $74 million)


<strong>Origin</strong> has raised additional capital to further strengthen its<br />

balance sheet, improve liquidity and diversify its funding sources<br />

Funding Diversity at 31 December 2011<br />

Funding Diversity at 30<br />

Jun June 2010 1 2010 ($5.6b)<br />

Dec 2011 2 ($9.5b)<br />

Funding Diversity at 31 December<br />

5% 7%<br />

2011<br />

4% 15%<br />

26%<br />

10% 5% 7% 26%<br />

55%<br />

Bank Facilities - Domestic<br />

Bank Facilities European - Domestic Hybrid Issue<br />

European Hybrid Issue<br />

US Private Placement<br />

Senior Unsecured Notes - US Issue<br />

US Private Placement<br />

Senior Unsecured Notes - US Issue<br />

7%<br />

10%<br />

7%<br />

45%<br />

45%<br />

26%<br />

Bank Facilities - International<br />

Bank Australian Facilities Retail -Notes<br />

International<br />

Australian Medium Term Retail Notes Notes<br />

Medium Term Notes<br />

• Given facilities <strong>Origin</strong> has in place, there<br />

is no intention to raise additional equity<br />

for APLNG Train 1 and other committed<br />

projects<br />

• Future funding choices, including<br />

additional equity, will be dependent on:<br />

• Timing of APLNG Train 2 decision<br />

• Final equity share in APLNG<br />

• The quantum and cost of project<br />

finance for APLNG<br />

• Consideration of credit metrics<br />

• Other business activity<br />

Given the success of recent funding initiatives and current committed<br />

obligations, the underwritten DRP will not be exercised and the DRP<br />

discount will be zero for the December 2011 half year dividend<br />

15 |<br />

(1) As at 30 June 2010; excludes Contact<br />

(2) As at 31 December 2011; excludes Contact


$ million<br />

Without additional future commitments, the majority of<br />

expenditure over the next three years will be APLNG related<br />

5,000<br />

Growth Capital and APLNG Expenditure by Segment<br />

4,500<br />

4,000<br />

3,500<br />

3,000<br />

2,500<br />

2,000<br />

1,500<br />

1,000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

NSW<br />

Acquisition<br />

FY2011 FY<strong>2012</strong> FY2013 FY2014<br />

<strong>Energy</strong> Markets<br />

Exploration & Production<br />

Contact<br />

Corporate<br />

2<br />

APLNG - <strong>Origin</strong> cash contribution based on FID 1<br />

estimates and <strong>Origin</strong> equity at 42.5%<br />

• With $5.5 billion of<br />

committed undrawn facilities<br />

and cash, <strong>Origin</strong> is well<br />

placed to fund future<br />

commitments<br />

• APLNG funding currently<br />

assumes no allowance for<br />

project finance<br />

16 |<br />

(1) Historical numbers include capitalised interest, forward looking estimates do not include capitalised interest<br />

(2) APLNG numbers represent <strong>Origin</strong>’s cash injection requirements rather than <strong>Origin</strong>’s share of total APLNG capital expenditure


cents per share<br />

FY2001<br />

FY2002<br />

FY2003<br />

FY2004<br />

FY2005<br />

FY2006<br />

FY2007<br />

FY2008<br />

FY2009<br />

FY2010<br />

FY2011<br />

FY<strong>2012</strong><br />

A fully franked interim dividend of 25 cps has been declared,<br />

which represents a 55% payout ratio<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

Dec <strong>Half</strong><br />

Jun <strong>Half</strong><br />

Additional<br />

<strong>Origin</strong> Dividend History<br />

25 25 25 25<br />

11 13 9<br />

25 25 25 25<br />

7<br />

8<br />

5<br />

5 6 7 9 10 12<br />

• Ex-dividend date: 28 February <strong>2012</strong><br />

• Record Date: 5 March <strong>2012</strong><br />

• Payment Date: 30 March <strong>2012</strong><br />

• Dividend Reinvestment plan will apply<br />

to this dividend with zero discount<br />

• <strong>Origin</strong> intends to maintain a minimum<br />

annual payout ratio of 60% of annual<br />

Underlying Profit<br />

Franking<br />

100% 100% 40% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%<br />

17 |<br />

<strong>Origin</strong>‟s DRP underwrite agreement will not be exercised for the<br />

December half year dividend


3. Operational Review<br />

Grant King, Managing Director


<strong>Energy</strong> Markets<br />

‣ Underlying EBITDA up 52% to $820 million<br />

‣ Strong earnings growth from NSW acquisition<br />

‣ Lower average wholesale energy costs due to deepening integration, supporting margins<br />

‣ NSW market churn increased, as expected<br />

‣ Successful migration of pre-NSW acquisition customer base to SAP<br />

‣ Continued integration activities for acquired NSW retail businesses<br />

($m)<br />

900<br />

Underlying<br />

EBITDA<br />

Total Assets<br />

less Segment<br />

Liabilities<br />

($b)<br />

12<br />

600<br />

820<br />

820<br />

12.5<br />

10.0<br />

8<br />

300<br />

538<br />

538<br />

5.9<br />

4<br />

Six months‟ contribution from NSW acquisition<br />

Lower average cost of energy<br />

Lower energy consumption<br />

0<br />

Dec 10 Dec 11<br />

Dec 10 Dec 11<br />

0<br />

19 |


<strong>Origin</strong>‟s <strong>Energy</strong> Markets business is an integrated provider of<br />

energy products<br />

• Diverse and flexible legacy<br />

fuel portfolio<br />

• 5,310 MW generation portfolio<br />

• Operationally diverse<br />

• Geographically diverse<br />

• 3,075,000 electricity<br />

customer accounts<br />

• 950,000 gas customer<br />

accounts<br />

• 355,000 LPG customer<br />

accounts<br />

• Solar PV installations<br />

• Solar hot water<br />

• Heating and Cooling<br />

• Electric Vehicle Charging<br />

• Trigeneration<br />

20 |


Capacity (MW)<br />

Capacity (MW)<br />

Capacity (MW)<br />

<strong>Origin</strong>‟s large, diverse fuel portfolio, and flexible gas transport<br />

arrangements, are central to its integrated business model …<br />

400<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

Fuel/Generation - Gas<br />

Fuel/Generation - Coal<br />

Retail - Gas<br />

Retail - Electricity<br />

10,000<br />

9,000 10,000 10,000<br />

9,000 9,000<br />

8,000<br />

8,000 8,000<br />

7,000<br />

7,000 7,000<br />

6,000<br />

6,000 6,000<br />

5,000<br />

5,000 5,000<br />

4,000<br />

4,000 4,000<br />

3,000 3,000 3,000<br />

2,000 2,000<br />

Peak<br />

Electricity<br />

Peak Peak<br />

Electricity<br />

Retail<br />

Retail<br />

Retail<br />

Demand<br />

Contract or or<br />

or<br />

Spot Spot<br />

Spot<br />

Market Market<br />

Market<br />

Long Long Term Term<br />

Contracts<br />

Movement of gas<br />

0<br />

Optionality to:<br />

• Send gas to generation portfolio<br />

• Send gas to retail portfolio<br />

• Send gas to wholesale market<br />

1,000 1,000<br />

-<br />

--<br />

Peak Peak Demand<br />

Peak Demand<br />

Optionality to:<br />

Supply Supply<br />

Supply<br />

• Run coal-fired generation<br />

• Run gas-fired generation<br />

• Run peaking liquids generation<br />

• Run pumped-storage hydro generation<br />

• Purchase from market (contract or pool)<br />

21 |<br />

… which together with a flexible and diverse generation portfolio,<br />

enables a competitive cost of energy


<strong>Energy</strong> Markets delivered strong earnings growth from the NSW<br />

acquisition<br />

Performance Metrics, $m<br />

(% change from Dec 10)<br />

Natural Gas<br />

Electricity<br />

Noncommodity<br />

Revenue 1 624 (+2%) 3,827 (+78%) 136 (-36%) 350 (+5%)<br />

Gross Profit 126 (+20%) 930 (+68%) 18 (-42%) 94 (+5%)<br />

Underlying EBITDA 820 (+52%)<br />

Underlying EBIT 697 (+53%)<br />

Underlying EBIT/Sales % 14.1% (13.8% in Dec 10)<br />

Volumes (sold) 68 PJ (-7%) 22 TWh (+57%)<br />

245 kt (-1%)<br />

n.a.<br />

Customer accounts („000) 2 950 (+3%) 3,075 (-4%) 355 (-3%)<br />

Gross Profit per customer ($) 267 (+1%) 265 (+5%)<br />

Cost to Serve 3 per customer ($) (70) (-1%)<br />

LPG<br />

Earnings uplift from<br />

NSW acquisition<br />

Cost to Serve maintained<br />

Underlying EBITDA per customer ($) 197 (+2%) 80 (-15%)<br />

Underlying EBIT per customer ($) 169 (+1%) 43 (-28%)<br />

22 |<br />

Effective portfolio management led to steady margins broadly in<br />

line with the prior half year‟s strong performance<br />

(1) <strong>Energy</strong> Markets earns pool revenue and revenue from the sale of gas swaps. These revenues are netted off with the associated costs<br />

within the wholesale energy costs line of Electricity COGS and the associated cost in Natural Gas COGS respectively<br />

(2) Customer account movement since 30 June 2011<br />

(3) Cost to serve includes the benefit associated with the unwind of the Transitional Service Agreements entered into as part of the NSW<br />

Acquisition ($49m)


Base<br />

Load/<br />

Interm.<br />

Externally<br />

A diverse generation portfolio and high reliability levels<br />

delivered a competitive cost of energy<br />

Contracted Wind Peaking<br />

Eraring<br />

Darling Downs<br />

Ladbroke Grove<br />

Quarantine<br />

Roma<br />

Uranquinty<br />

Shoalhaven<br />

Mt Stuart<br />

Cullerin Range<br />

Worsley<br />

Osborne<br />

Bulwer Island<br />

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%<br />

Equivalent Reliability Factor (ERF) Capacity Factor<br />

• Eraring Power Station ERF was 86%<br />

due to fire in transformer of Unit 2<br />

• First of two Mortlake units available<br />

for dispatch in January <strong>2012</strong><br />

- Completion of second unit<br />

expected in second half of<br />

FY<strong>2012</strong><br />

• <strong>Origin</strong> has a portfolio of gas fired<br />

and wind developments providing<br />

future optionality<br />

Option to run generation harder<br />

23 |


<strong>Energy</strong> Markets has successfully migrated 2.6 million customers<br />

to a new industry-leading billing and customer relationship<br />

management system<br />

• Four large-scale migrations of <strong>Origin</strong>‟s 2.6<br />

million pre-NSW customers onto new integrated<br />

SAP billing platform successfully completed<br />

• New online functionality in final stages of being<br />

launched<br />

• SAP solution provides robust platform to support<br />

implementation of Clean <strong>Energy</strong> Package,<br />

commencing 1 July <strong>2012</strong><br />

• Successful Retail Transformation setting up for<br />

the integration of retail systems from the NSW<br />

acquisition<br />

25 |


<strong>Origin</strong> continues to develop its new retail products and<br />

business lines to deliver innovative solutions to customers<br />

<strong>Origin</strong>’s portfolio of non-commodity products include solar electricity, solar hot water, heating,<br />

cooling, electric vehicle charging, trigeneration systems and smart meters<br />

• Revenue for non-commodity business reduced by 36% reflecting fewer solar PV installations<br />

• Significant impact on demand due to policy changes<br />

• <strong>Origin</strong>‟s other non-commodity product offerings performing well and continue to complement<br />

core commodity business<br />

• E-Mobility business recently announced Australia‟s first 100% electric vehicle car share scheme in<br />

partnership with GoGet and is currently negotiating charging partnerships with electric vehicle<br />

manufacturers for Australian market<br />

• Cogent signed several major deals including Victoria‟s City of Dandenong co-generation plant<br />

• Tendril Energize TM home energy manager trial operational; preparing for mass market roll out<br />

26 |


Exploration & Production<br />

‣ Underlying EBITDA up 83% to $179 million<br />

‣ Steady operational performance<br />

‣ Completed major planned maintenance shutdowns at Kupe and Otway<br />

‣ Commenced BassGas Mid Life Enhancement Project<br />

‣ Lower exploration activity<br />

($m)<br />

200<br />

Underlying<br />

EBITDA<br />

Total Assets<br />

less Segment<br />

Liabilities<br />

($b)<br />

4<br />

150<br />

179<br />

179<br />

3.5<br />

3.1<br />

2.8<br />

3<br />

Lower exploration expense (down $86m)<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

98<br />

98<br />

Dec 10 Dec 11<br />

Dec 10 Dec 11<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

Higher commodity prices (+10%)<br />

Lower production (-2%) and sales (-4%) volumes<br />

Higher operating costs (+27%) associated with<br />

planned shutdowns and flood recovery<br />

27 |


Notwithstanding planned shutdowns at Otway, BassGas and<br />

Kupe …<br />

PJe<br />

50<br />

mmboe<br />

8.6<br />

mmboe<strong>Origin</strong> Gas Production <strong>Origin</strong> PJe Gas by Production <strong>Half</strong> <strong>Year</strong>by <strong>Half</strong> <strong>Year</strong><br />

8.6<br />

10<br />

mmboe<br />

1.7<br />

7.7<br />

40<br />

6.9<br />

6.9<br />

8<br />

1.4<br />

30<br />

6.0<br />

5.1<br />

5.1<br />

6<br />

1.0<br />

20<br />

4.3<br />

3.4<br />

3.4<br />

4<br />

0.7<br />

10<br />

2.6<br />

1.7<br />

1.7<br />

2<br />

0.3<br />

0<br />

0.9<br />

0.0<br />

0<br />

0.0<br />

Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec<br />

Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec<br />

0.0<br />

Total Liquids SA Cooper & SWQ<br />

FY 08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12<br />

Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec Jun Dec<br />

Otway - Onshore FY 08 FY09 Perth FY10 FY11 FY12<br />

Surat<br />

Bass<br />

Total Liquids SA Cooper & SWQ SA Otway Cooper - Onshore & SWQ Otway - Onshore Perth<br />

FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12<br />

Taranaki - Onshore Otway - Offshore<br />

Bass Taranaki - Onshore Otway - Of<br />

Perth Surat Bass<br />

Taranaki - Onshore Otway - Offshore Kupe<br />

28 |<br />

… <strong>Origin</strong> delivered steady operational performance


Major planned maintenance shutdowns have been undertaken on<br />

<strong>Origin</strong>‟s key offshore producing assets …<br />

Australian Offshore - Otway<br />

• Lower production (-9%) resulting from planned maintenance shutdown in November 2011<br />

• Inlet compression project being commissioned, planned to be operational in March <strong>2012</strong><br />

• The offshore Thistle-1 exploration prospect will be drilled in April <strong>2012</strong><br />

• Geographe Field Development underway; drilling planned to commence in May <strong>2012</strong><br />

Australian Offshore - BassGas<br />

• Lower production (-10%) due to commencement of Phase 1 of BassGas Mid Life<br />

Enhancement project in December 2011<br />

• Phase 2 of the project (drilling of additional wells) planned to take place over summer<br />

<strong>2012</strong>/2013<br />

Australian Onshore – Cooper, Surat and Perth Basins<br />

• Production up on prior half year (+4%) with increases across all basins<br />

• Marginally higher production in Cooper Basin despite lower gas volumes and wet weather<br />

during the December Quarter causing delays in operational and drilling activities<br />

Australian Onshore – Queensland CSG (Ironbark)<br />

• Community consultation continued<br />

• Construction on pilot ponds and gathering network commenced; a third multi-well pilot is<br />

planned for drilling in the Ironbark area in the March Quarter <strong>2012</strong><br />

New Zealand Offshore - Kupe<br />

• Production increased (+5%) reflecting reduced planned maintenance days<br />

• Kupe joint venture parties entered into 2-year agreement with BP Singapore for sale and<br />

marketing of Kupe light crude<br />

29 |<br />

… underpinning asset reliability and increased production capability<br />

into an expanding gas market


Asset reliability is currently being optimised in anticipation of<br />

industry gas demand tripling over the next 5 years<br />

2,500<br />

2,000<br />

1,500<br />

1,000<br />

500<br />

0<br />

PJ<br />

East coast gas production 2000-2017 (PJ)<br />

LNG<br />

Ramp Gas<br />

East Coast<br />

Source: <strong>Energy</strong>Quest Feb <strong>2012</strong><br />

Gas demand<br />

expected to triple<br />

2008 2009 2010 2011 <strong>2012</strong> 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017<br />

Calendar <strong>Year</strong>s<br />

• <strong>Origin</strong> currently supplies around 15% of<br />

eastern Australia‟s gas<br />

• Maintenance & enhancement of offshore assets<br />

creates flexibility to address opportunities as<br />

LNG projects ramp-up gas production through<br />

to 2017<br />

• In addition upside potential exists in all major<br />

regions in which <strong>Origin</strong> is involved<br />

• Cooper Basin – contingent resources,<br />

deep gas and shale gas<br />

• Surat / Bowen – Ironbark CSG, deep gas<br />

potential in Surat and Bowen<br />

• Otway Basin - spare plant capacity,<br />

Geographe development, Halladale &<br />

Black Watch fields, Thistle exploration<br />

Source: <strong>Energy</strong>Quest February <strong>2012</strong><br />

LNG well assumptions: FY<strong>2012</strong>, gas production new permits<br />

estimates for LNG<br />

projects that have reached FID. Based on company<br />

announcements for contracted offtake from two trains,<br />

• Bass Basin – BassGas MLE and upside in<br />

with start-up staggered over two years for each project.<br />

Fuel Trefoil, gas assumed Rockhopper to be 10%. and further<br />

exploration<br />

<strong>Origin</strong> has a diverse equity gas position in eastern Australia, with upside<br />

potential identified in all regions<br />

30 |<br />

LNG assumptions (source: <strong>Energy</strong>Quest): gas production estimates for LNG projects that have reached FID. Based on company announcements for contracted<br />

offtake from two trains, with start-up staggered over two years for each project. Fuel gas assumed to be 10%.


<strong>Origin</strong> is exploring for resources in regions that offer high<br />

prospectivity and access to growing markets…<br />

New Zealand<br />

• Anadarko, as operator, continued preparations to drill Caravel-1 in the<br />

offshore Canterbury Basin in late <strong>2012</strong> targeting significant gas and liquids<br />

• Manutahi oil project delivering encouraging early results onshore Taranaki<br />

South East Asia<br />

• Dao Ruang-3 appraisal drilling in the Khorat Plateau onshore Thailand<br />

concluded; results indicated limited potential; plugged and abandoned<br />

• Continued evaluation of opportunities throughout South East Asia<br />

• Preparations continue for drilling in Block 121 in the Song Hong Basin,<br />

offshore Vietnam, during FY2013<br />

Kenya<br />

• Completed farmout of 5% interest in Block L8 to Tullow Oil<br />

• Preparations continue for drilling of Mbawa-1 well in the Lamu Basin in late <strong>2012</strong>.<br />

Acreage comprises over 5,000 km 2 with attractive exploration opportunities in the<br />

emerging plays offshore East Africa<br />

Botswana<br />

• Established Kubu <strong>Energy</strong> Resources, a 50:50 JV with Sasol, to explore for CSG in Botswana<br />

• Consistent with <strong>Origin</strong>'s strategy to target resources close to markets at low entry prices<br />

• Exploration operations expected to commence in the Karoo Basin later in <strong>2012</strong><br />

… working with experienced joint venture partners<br />

31 |


Australia Pacific LNG<br />

‣ Underlying EBITDA down 50% to $16 million<br />

‣ FID on LNG Train 1 and infrastructure to support Train 2 taken in July 2011<br />

‣ <strong>Origin</strong> equity share in APLNG JV reduced from 50% to 42.5%<br />

‣ Binding agreements signed with Kansai and Sinopec for Train 2 LNG sales<br />

‣ Sinopec to take additional 10% interest in APLNG 1 ; <strong>Origin</strong>‟s share will reduce to 37.5%<br />

‣ Project remains on track with FID 2 expected by mid <strong>2012</strong><br />

($m)<br />

40<br />

Underlying<br />

EBITDA<br />

Total Assets<br />

less Segment<br />

Liabilities<br />

($b)<br />

8<br />

30<br />

32<br />

32<br />

32<br />

5.7 6<br />

5.2<br />

5.7<br />

20<br />

4<br />

16<br />

16<br />

16<br />

10<br />

2<br />

0<br />

0<br />

Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 10 Dec 11<br />

Lower sales revenue<br />

Higher operating costs<br />

Dilution of <strong>Origin</strong>‟s interest from 50% to 42.5%<br />

32 | (1) Binding and conditional on Australian and Chinese Government approvals and a Final Investment Decision on Train 2


<strong>Origin</strong>, as part of the APLNG joint venture, is developing one<br />

of Australia‟s largest CSG to LNG projects<br />

Compelling Project<br />

• Leverages strong growth in Asia<br />

• Oil-linked revenues<br />

• Strong and aligned joint venture<br />

• Large, quality reserves base<br />

• Successful history of working sustainably with communities<br />

• Extensive experience in CSG and LNG development<br />

Robust First Phase Economics, with Additional Train 2 Benefits<br />

• Train 1 economics underpinned by high quality, low cost CSG reserves base<br />

• Attractive returns in its own right<br />

• Train 2 benefits from economies of scale<br />

33 |


APLNG‟s CSG to LNG project is underpinned by a long history of<br />

production growth and a large, high quality reserves base<br />

PJ<br />

120<br />

30,000<br />

100<br />

80<br />

25,000<br />

60<br />

20,000 40<br />

30,000<br />

20<br />

25,000<br />

0<br />

20,000<br />

15,000<br />

10,000<br />

15,000<br />

10,000<br />

5,000<br />

5,000<br />

-<br />

-<br />

Jan-Jun<br />

Jul-Dec<br />

<strong>Origin</strong> Share<br />

• APLNG production up 4% on the<br />

prior half year to 52 PJ<br />

• Production capacity from both<br />

operated and non-operated<br />

assets increased to 323 TJ/day<br />

• APLNG currently operates 335<br />

producing wells; a further 48<br />

development wells drilled but<br />

not producing<br />

Estimated<br />

Requirements<br />

estic Gas <strong>Origin</strong> Contract 3C 2C 3P 2P<br />

Ramp and Tail Gas Train 2 Train 1 QCLNG GSA Domestic Gas <strong>Origin</strong> Contract 3C 2C 3P 2P<br />

34 |<br />

Ramp and Tail Gas Train 2 Train 1<br />

QCLNG GSA Domestic Gas <strong>Origin</strong> Contract<br />

3C<br />

2C<br />

3P<br />

2P<br />

APLNG increased 2P reserves by 1,035 PJ to 12,810 PJ and 3P reserves<br />

have increased to 16,022 PJ<br />

Note: Some of APLNG’s CSG reserves and resources are subject to reversionary right.<br />

Refer to <strong>Origin</strong>’s Management Discussion & Analysis for the half year ended 31 December 2011 for further information


APLNG continues to make good progress against project<br />

milestones<br />

• FID 1 in July 2011<br />

• Marketing agreements in place to underpin two<br />

trains<br />

– Train 1 - Sinopec (4.3 mtpa) 1<br />

– Train 2 - Kansai (1.0 mtpa) 2<br />

– Train 2 – Sinopec (3.3 mtpa) 2<br />

• Sinopec to increase holding to 25% 3<br />

• Major contracts awarded<br />

• Costs confirmed for key Train 2 contracts,<br />

including Bechtel EPC contract<br />

• Overall construction approximately 12% complete<br />

• On schedule and budget for Train 1 LNG mid-2015<br />

(Train 2 early 2016)<br />

35 |<br />

(1) Binding and unconditional<br />

(2) Binding and conditional on a Final Investment Decision on Train 2<br />

(3) Binding and conditional on Australian and Chinese Government approvals and a Final Investment Decision on Train 2


Upstream activities are ramping up with land access, drilling and<br />

gas processing facilities tracking within plan<br />

• Participated in over 200 wells during the half<br />

• Two hybrid coil tubing drilling rigs now in operation; capability to<br />

drill wells in less than 4 days per rig; more rigs to be added<br />

progressively over the coming months<br />

• On track to drill 30 wells per month by mid <strong>2012</strong>, with up to 1,100<br />

new production wells expected to be drilled by the end of 2015 to<br />

support initial ramp requirements for two trains<br />

• Land access on schedule; 428 well locations scouted; land access<br />

plan ensures rigs minimise down-time<br />

• First Siemens electric drive compressor completed factory<br />

acceptance testing in January, on schedule<br />

• Plant module construction awarded to BJC Thailand – first module<br />

shipment due mid <strong>2012</strong>, on schedule<br />

• Gas processing and water treatment facilities construction on track<br />

to commence mid-<strong>2012</strong><br />

Milestones<br />

Date<br />

36 |<br />

First two Savanna rigs introduced mid 2011<br />

Initial drilling for Train 1 complete mid 2013<br />

Mechanical completion of first gas processing plant mid 2013<br />

Train 1 - gas processing plants complete late 2014<br />

First gas to LNG Train 1 early 2015


Preparations for the major pipeline construction activities and gas<br />

field electrification project are on track<br />

• EPC pipeline contract awarded to McConnell Dowell,<br />

Consolidated Contracting Co. joint venture in July 2011<br />

• Line pipe awarded to MetalOne in Japan; first delivery<br />

made in January <strong>2012</strong><br />

• APLNG and QCLNG collaborating on Narrows crossing;<br />

execution by QCLNG delayed however significant float<br />

remains for APLNG<br />

• Pipeline land access arrangements progressing at rate<br />

which maintains pipeline construction productivity;<br />

agreements reached with one third of properties<br />

• Engineering on schedule and welding on track to<br />

commence in June <strong>2012</strong><br />

• Train 1 electrification contracts awarded to Powerlink<br />

and on schedule<br />

Milestones<br />

Date<br />

Line pipe manufacture 2011 and <strong>2012</strong><br />

Welding commences mid <strong>2012</strong><br />

Pipeline completion early 2014<br />

Train 1 electrification complete mid 2014<br />

37 |


Curtis Island site preparations are progressing well, and<br />

major downstream contracts have been awarded<br />

January <strong>2012</strong><br />

• Bechtel responsible for all activity on Curtis Island under a<br />

fixed price contract<br />

• Costs confirmed for key Train 2 contracts, including Bechtel<br />

EPC contract; long lead items awarded<br />

• Engineering, procurement and construction of Curtis Island<br />

and Mainland facilities approximately 12% complete<br />

• On budget and schedule for Train 1 start-up mid-2015<br />

• Roll-on roll-off facility complete, including required<br />

dredging works<br />

• LNG tank area site preparations on track; tank contractor<br />

mobilisation in March <strong>2012</strong><br />

• Curtis Island site camp on schedule for June <strong>2012</strong> operations<br />

Milestones<br />

Date<br />

38 |<br />

Complete 2015<br />

Commenced Curtis Island works mid 2011<br />

Awarded EPC contract to Bechtel mid 2011<br />

1st occupancy of Curtis Island camp mid <strong>2012</strong><br />

Heavy mechanical erection start late <strong>2012</strong><br />

First LNG module delivery early 2013<br />

Pre-commissioning late 2014<br />

Train 1 ready for start-up mid 2015


The APLNG Project is committed to community engagement,<br />

education and minimising environmental impacts …<br />

Example Programs include<br />

• Independently chaired community consultative<br />

committees operating in regional centres<br />

• Skills Queensland program to enable farmers to<br />

support CSG infrastructure on their land<br />

• Program to address housing affordability in<br />

regional communities commenced<br />

• Development drilling using minimal disturbance<br />

lease construction<br />

• Community information sessions run<br />

- For example, over 1,000 people attended<br />

sessions in Roma, Miles, Chinchilla, Brisbane<br />

and Canberra to view a 1,500 metre rock core<br />

section showing Surat Basin geology to explain<br />

facts regarding groundwater, fraccing,<br />

drilling, well integrity and the environment<br />

• Assurance and reporting of environment and<br />

social regulatory compliance managed using<br />

common information and data register<br />

39 |<br />

… with many programs implemented and EIS assurance reporting<br />

centralised to ensure compliance with State and Federal requirements


APLNG 100% capital expenditure for the half year was<br />

$2.5 billion …<br />

APLNG Capital Expenditure for the half year to Dec 11<br />

A$m Upstream Downstream Total<br />

Development expenditure 852 1,550 2,402<br />

Exploration & appraisal 91 - 91<br />

Total 943 1,550 2,493<br />

<strong>Origin</strong> cash contribution 173<br />

• APLNG capital expenditure in the table above includes:<br />

- CSG to LNG export project (total US$14 billion based on forward<br />

exchange rates assumed at the time of APLNG FID 1)<br />

- domestic operations<br />

- capitalised pre-LNG operating and maintenance costs<br />

- development of gas to supply third party LNG projects<br />

- exploration and appraisal activities<br />

• Over 2/3 of costs based in AUD, with balance primarily in USD.<br />

• Due to movements in foreign exchange rates total project cost have<br />

increased when expressed in USD and decreased if expressed in AUD<br />

APLNG FID 1 LNG project costs by currency<br />

AUD USD EUR<br />

40 |<br />

… with expected capital expenditure in line with currency splits at<br />

the time of FID for the first phase of the project


Contact <strong>Energy</strong><br />

‣ Underlying EBITDA up 1% to $182 million<br />

‣ Flexibility delivering savings benefits<br />

‣ Low hydro volumes and high retail competition<br />

‣ Te Mihi and Enterprise Transformation projects on track<br />

‣ Balance Sheet strengthened<br />

($m)<br />

200<br />

160<br />

Underlying<br />

EBITDA<br />

180 182<br />

Total Assets<br />

less Segment<br />

Liabilities<br />

4.1<br />

4.7<br />

4.4<br />

($b)<br />

5<br />

4<br />

120<br />

3<br />

Higher wholesale electricity prices<br />

80<br />

40<br />

2<br />

1<br />

Gas take-or-pay savings<br />

Low hydro generation<br />

Higher operational costs<br />

0<br />

Dec 10 Dec 11<br />

Dec 10 Dec 11<br />

0<br />

41 |


Contact is one of New Zealand‟s leading energy companies,<br />

supplying gas, electricity and LPG products across the country<br />

Generation Portfolio<br />

• 290 MW geothermal generation<br />

• 752 MW hydro generation<br />

• 1,176 MW gas generation<br />

• Over 2,000 MW in generation<br />

development opportunities<br />

<strong>Energy</strong> Retailer<br />

• 443,000 electricity customers<br />

• 60,000 gas customers<br />

• 60,200 LPG customers 1<br />

42 |<br />

(1) Including franchises


Increased portfolio flexibility and improved wholesale prices<br />

were offset by an unfavourable fuel mix and retail competition<br />

Balance sheet gearing level remains strong<br />

• Successful NZ$200m capital bond issue<br />

• Issue tapped NZ retail market demand for<br />

higher yield securities<br />

• Export credit financing (NZ$105m) provides<br />

15 year amortising funding at competitive<br />

rates, further diversifying funding mix<br />

Solid operational progress under challenging<br />

market conditions<br />

• Wholesale market prices responded to belowaverage<br />

hydro storage levels<br />

• Ahuroa Gas Storage and lower contract volumes<br />

eliminated direct gas take-or-pay costs<br />

• Low hydro inflows delivered unfavourable fuel<br />

cost mix<br />

• Operating costs increased with particular<br />

increases in SAP licence and support costs and<br />

insurance<br />

• Pricing offers positively impacted customer<br />

numbers; mass market margins consequently<br />

compressed. Time-of-Use sales continues to<br />

gain<br />

• Increase in mass market tariffs absorbed by<br />

“OLOT” (Online On Time) discount, and<br />

increases in network and operating costs<br />

43 |


Increased portfolio diversity and flexibility, along with strategic<br />

development opportunities provide a positive outlook<br />

Lower Average Cost of Generation<br />

and increased portfolio flexibility<br />

• 166 MW Te Mihi geothermal power<br />

station, under development<br />

• Peaking power stations<br />

• Diverse generation fuel mix<br />

• Gas storage<br />

• Flexible gas recontracting<br />

structure<br />

• CCGT operating regime<br />

Positioned for Growth<br />

• Tauhara – New Zealand‟s lowest<br />

cost generation development<br />

• Diverse range of development<br />

options across all fuels<br />

• Will only be developed when<br />

market signals dictate<br />

44 |


Corporate<br />

‣ Underlying EBITDA down 33% to ($40) million<br />

‣ Commenced geothermal exploration in Chile, and acquired additional<br />

concessions<br />

‣ Technical feasibility of PNG hydroelectric development confirmed<br />

($m)<br />

50<br />

Underlying<br />

EBITDA<br />

Total Assets<br />

less Segment<br />

Liabilities<br />

($b)<br />

1.2<br />

25<br />

0.9 1.0<br />

0.6<br />

0<br />

0.0<br />

-25<br />

(30)<br />

(40)<br />

-0.6<br />

Increased expenditure on international growth<br />

-50<br />

Dec 10 Dec 11<br />

Dec 10 Dec 11<br />

-1.2<br />

45 |


Building on its domestic success, <strong>Origin</strong> is exploring for<br />

resources in markets that offer high prospectivity and access to<br />

growing demand<br />

• Low cost resources<br />

• Fuel source of the future<br />

• Leverage existing experience<br />

• Low cost market entry<br />

• Growing demand for energy<br />

• Low regulatory environment<br />

• Feasibility studies for PNG hydro have begun; FID expected by 2015<br />

• Exploration continued in Chile; JV acquired additional geothermal concessions<br />

• Exploration activities continue in Indonesia in second half FY<strong>2012</strong><br />

• Habanero 4 exploration well scheduled to spud in coming weeks<br />

• Transform Solar completed commissioning 20 MW p.a. production line<br />

• Exploring range of alternative pathways to scale SLIVER technology<br />

46 |


4. Outlook<br />

Grant King, Managing Director


Based on prevailing market conditions, <strong>Origin</strong> confirms its<br />

FY<strong>2012</strong> guidance provided in August 2011<br />

• <strong>Origin</strong> provided FY<strong>2012</strong> guidance based on prevailing business conditions and following<br />

assumptions:<br />

- Full year contribution from NSW acquisition<br />

- Initial contribution from Mortlake Power Station<br />

- Lower levels of planned exploration expense versus prior year<br />

- Improved profitability due to increased flexibility of Contact‟s energy supply portfolio<br />

• Performance largely in line with expectations, with variations including:<br />

- Lower volumes in Australian energy markets from mild weather offset by strong<br />

performance of generation portfolio<br />

- Mortlake Power Station previously expected during first half; both units now expected to<br />

be fully operational by end of second half<br />

- Increased portfolio flexibility for Contact and improved New Zealand wholesale prices<br />

largely offset by low hydro generation volumes and high levels of retail competition<br />

Based on <strong>Origin</strong>’s current assessment of operations and prevailing market<br />

conditions, <strong>Origin</strong> anticipates Underlying EBITDA and Underlying Profit to<br />

increase by around 35 and 30 per cent respectively when compared with FY2011<br />

48 |


<strong>Origin</strong> continues to deepen the integration of its business …<br />

… which is delivering strong growth in earnings and a robust business<br />

in challenging markets …<br />

• Extensive fuel position<br />

• Large, flexible and diverse generation portfolio<br />

• Australia‟s leading energy retailer<br />

• Integration across the energy chain supports stability of margins<br />

… as well as an expectation for strong growth in the medium term …<br />

• Margin growth through <strong>Origin</strong>‟s legacy gas, coal and renewables positions due to<br />

imminent tightening of market supply/demand balances<br />

• Gas supply to third party CSG to LNG projects at export prices<br />

• Commencement of APLNG‟s project, offering exposure to rapidly growing Asian<br />

energy markets<br />

… and low-cost options for growth in the longer term<br />

• Gas development options on Australian east coast such as Ironbark and Halladale/Blackwatch<br />

• Unconventional reserves growth in Australia (Cooper, Surat/Bowen, Perth basins)<br />

• Exploration and development of geothermal resources in Chile and Indonesia<br />

• Assessment and development of hydro resources in PNG<br />

• Exploration for gas in New Zealand, Otway/Bass basins, South East Asia, Botswana and Kenya<br />

49 |


Thank you<br />

Further Information<br />

Lina Melero<br />

General Manager, Corporate Communication<br />

Email: lina.melero@originenergy.com.au<br />

Office: +61 2 8345 5217<br />

Mobile: + 61 427 017 798<br />

Website<br />

www.originenergy.com.au<br />

50 |

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