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Mine 2011: The game has changed

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Game-changing trends<br />

Over the course of the last year, global economic and<br />

political trends have <strong>changed</strong> the industry. <strong>The</strong> mining<br />

industry finds itself in a new era and there is no turning<br />

back. Emerging markets are leading bullish long-term<br />

demand projections while supply remains constrained,<br />

with challenges such as declining grade and more<br />

remote locations. <strong>The</strong> cost curve <strong>has</strong> shifted up,<br />

continuing to put pressure on the industry to maintain<br />

financial discipline. New players are emerging and the<br />

industry is receiving more attention from its many and<br />

varied stakeholders. <strong>The</strong> <strong>game</strong> <strong>has</strong> <strong>changed</strong> in the mining<br />

industry.<br />

Leading the way<br />

Mining companies have continued to outperform the<br />

overall market, as consumer sectors dependant on<br />

demand from developed economies struggled to<br />

recover. While the industry was hit hard by the global<br />

financial crisis, mining companies have led the return<br />

and gone beyond.<br />

Global indices (February 1989=1)<br />

9<br />

8<br />

7<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

2<br />

1<br />

0<br />

1989<br />

1991<br />

1993<br />

1995<br />

1997<br />

1999<br />

2001<br />

2003<br />

2005<br />

2007<br />

2009<br />

<strong>2011</strong><br />

Dow Jones<br />

FTSE<br />

HSBC Global Mining Index<br />

Source: Bloomberg.<br />

2010 saw real tension in the market as growth<br />

rebounded, offset by a number of incidents that kept<br />

caution and risk on the agenda. Emerging countries<br />

continued to storm ahead, with demand for resources<br />

driven by strong GDP growth, including close to 10%<br />

growth in China.<br />

<strong>The</strong>se results were achieved against a backdrop of natural<br />

disasters, including the Chilean earthquake and floods in<br />

Australia. Political pressure increased with reviews of<br />

<strong>Mine</strong>–<strong>The</strong> <strong>game</strong> <strong>has</strong> <strong>changed</strong> 3

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