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Mine 2011: The game has changed

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<strong>The</strong> super majors step out<br />

During 2010 we saw the top three miners (BHP Billiton,<br />

Vale and Rio Tinto) step clear of the rest of the industry.<br />

<strong>The</strong> market capitalisation of third place Rio Tinto is<br />

double the size of the next largest player, China<br />

Shenhua, which declined 25% in value during 2010. At<br />

the top, BHP Billiton’s market capitalisation further<br />

strengthened, putting it clearly above the rest. Price and<br />

production increases in iron ore were major drivers of<br />

the growth by the top three.<br />

Top 3 market capitalisation ($ billion)—31 December<br />

250<br />

200<br />

150<br />

100<br />

50<br />

<strong>The</strong> drive for growth<br />

Strengthening demand for primary resources,<br />

predominantly from emerging economies, <strong>has</strong> been the<br />

big story for 2010. End user need for minerals shows no<br />

sign of letting up, especially given the targeted 7% GDP<br />

growth included in China’s recently released 12th Five<br />

Year Plan. <strong>The</strong> plan included significant infrastructure<br />

spend, such as the construction of 30,000 km of new<br />

railway line.<br />

At the same time, there is the challenge of declining<br />

extraction grades, more geographically remote and/or<br />

politically challenging regions and the increasing scale<br />

of projects required to generate economic returns.<br />

Supplying sufficient resources to meet the growing<br />

demand is a key challenge for the industry.<br />

<strong>The</strong> world continues to need raw materials and<br />

mining companies’ results show this. However, with<br />

pressures from a growing number of stakeholders on<br />

how to distribute the benefits, miners have the challenge<br />

of delivering on their social commitments and ensuring<br />

their contributions are both appropriate and properly<br />

understood.<br />

0<br />

BHP Billiton<br />

Vale<br />

Rio Tinto<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

2009<br />

2010<br />

Source: Capital IQ.<br />

<strong>Mine</strong>–<strong>The</strong> <strong>game</strong> <strong>has</strong> <strong>changed</strong> 5

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