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Do labor market institutions matter for business cycles?∗ - European ...

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6 CONCLUSIONS 18<br />

6 Conclusions<br />

This paper analyzed whether and how different <strong>labor</strong> <strong>market</strong> rigidities affect and in what<br />

way the macroeconomic per<strong>for</strong>mance of 19 OECD countries. Our main conclusion is that<br />

<strong>labor</strong> <strong>market</strong> re<strong>for</strong>ms have important macroeconomic consequences. Unlike the cross sectional<br />

evidence that are, at best, weak, the analysis of specific re<strong>for</strong>m episodes suggests that<br />

differences in wage bargaining in non-employment benefits and in employment protection<br />

have significant impact on <strong>business</strong> <strong>cycles</strong>. These results are robust to the inclusion of a<br />

number of controls in the analysis and hold true when cyclical statistics are computed over<br />

different samples and when prefiltering the data with a variety of methods.<br />

The paper provides some important facts concerning the relationship between <strong>labor</strong> <strong>market</strong><br />

re<strong>for</strong>ms and <strong>business</strong> <strong>cycles</strong>. Our conclusions have relevant implications <strong>for</strong> the most<br />

recent macroeconomic literature. Many authors have suggested, in theory, that <strong>labor</strong> <strong>market</strong><br />

rigidities can explain in part the nature of macroeconomics fluctuations. However, the<br />

empirical evidence in this respect is still limited. This paper shows that indeed <strong>labor</strong> <strong>market</strong>s<br />

<strong>institutions</strong> are important <strong>for</strong> determining the dynamics of the real wage employment<br />

and unemployment and indicates which ones are the most important <strong>for</strong> shaping cyclical<br />

fluctuations in the real world.

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