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The humanitarian impacts of economic sanctions on Burundi

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income. C<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fee provides around 15 percent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> such income. 15<br />

Most c<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fee is grown <strong>on</strong> peasant small holdings. Its cultivati<strong>on</strong><br />

is encouraged as a practical way for subsistence farmers to earn<br />

cash for capital expenditures and to pay for school fees and<br />

materials. C<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fee exports are required to pay for <strong>Burundi</strong>’s imports<br />

and for civil service salaries. C<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fee producti<strong>on</strong> has declined as<br />

<strong>Burundi</strong>’s insecurity has increased, from 51,000 t<strong>on</strong>s in 1994 to<br />

25,600 in 1996. Before the coup, the former agriculture minister<br />

estimated that 20 percent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fee growers had fled the country,<br />

and that a further 20 percent were displaced. Many have switched<br />

to other foodstuffs.<br />

Agricultural inputs for cultivating c<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fee, including insecticides,<br />

have been prohibited by the embargo. Although prospects<br />

for the 1997 harvest were not known early in the year, it seemed<br />

likely that harvests <strong>on</strong>ce again would be reduced by a combinati<strong>on</strong><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> chr<strong>on</strong>ic insecurity and shortage <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> prohibited inputs.<br />

Sancti<strong>on</strong>s have had a dramatic effect <strong>on</strong> c<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fee exports. <str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g><br />

embargo prohibits all exports from <strong>Burundi</strong>, including the 75-85<br />

percent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> export earnings derived from c<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fee sales. FAO indicates<br />

that c<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fee exports fell from 29,000 t<strong>on</strong>s in 1995 to less than<br />

14,000 t<strong>on</strong>s in 1996, resulting in a drastic decrease in the regime’s<br />

foreign exchange earnings. 16 Most small producers, however, had<br />

already sold their c<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fee to export companies prior to the embargo.<br />

With current stockpiles <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fee nearly 50 percent <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the expected<br />

level <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> producti<strong>on</strong>, it remained to be seen how much <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the<br />

upcoming harvest exporters would purchase, and at what price.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>Burundi</strong> C<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fee Bureau (OCIBU) and c<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fee exporters may<br />

also lack sufficient funds to purchase crops.<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>The</str<strong>on</strong>g> impact <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>sancti<strong>on</strong>s</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> c<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fee was important politically as<br />

well as <str<strong>on</strong>g>ec<strong>on</strong>omic</str<strong>on</strong>g>ally. As <strong>on</strong>e analyst observed in February 1997:<br />

Because <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> the vital significance <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fee export<br />

earnings to the <strong>Burundi</strong>an ec<strong>on</strong>omy, the preventi<strong>on</strong><br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> c<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g>fee exports is the key to the credibility<br />

<str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> regi<strong>on</strong>al <str<strong>on</strong>g>sancti<strong>on</strong>s</str<strong>on</strong>g>. If they are successfully<br />

enforced, <strong>Burundi</strong> will be very short <str<strong>on</strong>g>of</str<strong>on</strong>g> export<br />

earnings, which will affect every<strong>on</strong>e in the coun-<br />

32

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