19.05.2014 Views

Sample NMS Reference Report by YONTCHANG G - University of ...

Sample NMS Reference Report by YONTCHANG G - University of ...

Sample NMS Reference Report by YONTCHANG G - University of ...

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

sea-air interaction over much <strong>of</strong> the tropical Atlantic sector.(Lamb,1983). Douala Cameroon<br />

(about 4ºN) is well usually marked <strong>by</strong> a zone with deep active and convective clouds,<br />

thunderstorms and squall lines (SW winds) and heavy precipitations. The African Waves are<br />

<strong>of</strong>ten associated with Squall lines that form, develop and dissipate within the waves.<br />

Figure 1: Location <strong>of</strong> Douala, Cameroon in Africa<br />

B. OBJECTIVES:<br />

The main objective <strong>of</strong> the study is to investigate the sowing period variability and flooding<br />

risks in the city <strong>of</strong> Douala. These will be achieved <strong>by</strong> addressing the following specific<br />

objectives:<br />

i. Assessment <strong>of</strong> the annual distribution <strong>of</strong> sowing dates;<br />

ii.<br />

iii.<br />

iv.<br />

Assessment <strong>of</strong> the flooding risks during the rainfall peak period;<br />

To quantify the risk <strong>of</strong> having floods with crop failure for each week in the month <strong>of</strong><br />

August, where 100mm <strong>of</strong> rain or more in a day has caused flooding and crop<br />

destruction. Again we compute the number <strong>of</strong> years in the time series when at exactly<br />

one day in the week in question has registered 100mm or more <strong>of</strong> rain. If the event<br />

was observed at least once, then we define that a week experiences a crop failure.<br />

Week 1 is from day number 212 to day number 218; Week 2 is from day number 219<br />

to day number 225; Week 3 is from day number 226 to day number 232; Week 4 is<br />

from day number 233 to day number 239.<br />

Towards development <strong>of</strong> a possible „cautious strategy‟.<br />

4

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!