The Western Condition - St Antony's College - University of Oxford

Contents
Introduction ................................................................................................................................................. 6
I. On the Strategic Use of the ‘Turkish model’ ............................................................................ 8
Turkey-as-a-Model: Variations on a theme ......................................................................................... 8
The Backdrop: the new Sunni Axis and US-Turkey rapprochement ........................................... 10
The Landscape: The power of attraction in an age of revolution ................................................. 11
The Plot: Contradictions and limits to the model discourse .......................................................... 16
II. An Ambivalent Decade: Three variations in the AKP’s foreign policy ........................... 20
Europeanisation and the ‘liberal moment’ (2002 – 2007) ............................................................... 20
Autonomisation and the pursuit of ‘strategic depth’ (2007 – 2011) .............................................. 27
Americanisation and overstretch (2011 - …) ................................................................................... 39
III. Faces of the West: Can Europeanisation, Americanisation and Autonomisation be
reconciled? ............................................................................................................................................... 50
The United States and the logic of strategy ...................................................................................... 50
The European Union and the politics of proximity ........................................................................ 58
Renewing EU – Turkish engagements .............................................................................................. 61
A case in point: Erdoğan and his Kurdish gamble .......................................................................... 70
Conclusion: Beyond the impossible triangle ................................................................................. 76