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The Standard 22 June 2014

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Business<br />

<strong>The</strong> <strong>Standard</strong> <strong>June</strong> <strong>22</strong> to 28 <strong>2014</strong> 19<br />

UK public sector<br />

borrowing rises<br />

London — Britain’s public<br />

finances showed little<br />

or no fall in underlying<br />

borrowing two<br />

months into the fiscal<br />

year, suggesting the government<br />

will have to increase the pace of<br />

deficit reduction to meet its latest<br />

borrowing targets.<br />

Official data showed headline<br />

measures of borrowing were<br />

sharply higher than a year ago<br />

— largely due to one-off effects<br />

— and only weak growth in tax<br />

receipts despite a stronger economy.<br />

Britain’s Conservative-led coalition<br />

government made reducing<br />

the deficit a key economic<br />

goal when it came to power in<br />

2010, and will be keen to ensure<br />

that there is no further slippage<br />

in its targets before next May’s<br />

election.<br />

Public sector borrowing, excluding<br />

some costs related to<br />

bailing out banks, rose sharply<br />

to 13,3 billion pounds (US$<strong>22</strong>,75<br />

billion) in May, the Office for National<br />

Statistics said.<br />

This is up from 8,7 billion<br />

pounds in May 2013 and well<br />

above analyst forecasts of a deficit<br />

of 9,35 billion pounds. Most<br />

of the difference reflects the fact<br />

that transfer payments from the<br />

Bank of England which were<br />

Bank of England<br />

credited in May last year will<br />

only apply in July in the current<br />

financial year.<br />

So far business surveys and<br />

data point to robust economic<br />

growth having carried through<br />

into the current quarter, which<br />

in theory ought to bode well<br />

for tax revenues in the coming<br />

months.<br />

But there is little sign of this<br />

to date and overall receipts were<br />

just 0,5% higher in cash terms in<br />

the first two months of the tax<br />

year than a year ago.<br />

“May’s public borrowing figures<br />

contain tentative signs that<br />

the coalition may be beginning<br />

to struggle to bring down the deficit<br />

in line with the fiscal plans,”<br />

said Samuel Tombs, senior UK<br />

economist at Capital Economics.<br />

“While the economic recovery<br />

may now be fairly strong, it still<br />

appears to be struggling to have<br />

much of an impact on the borrowing<br />

numbers,” he added.<br />

British government bond prices<br />

fell slightly after the data and<br />

their yield premium over German<br />

debt hit its highest in more<br />

than 16 years.<br />

But Britain’s finance ministry<br />

said in a statement that the figures<br />

were still consistent with its<br />

goal of reducing borrowing by<br />

around 11% this year to 95,5 billion<br />

pounds or 5,5% of economic<br />

output.<br />

However, the latest figures suggest<br />

this may be a challenge, even<br />

taking into account some one-off<br />

effects.<br />

Stripping out the effect of cash<br />

transfers from the Bank of England,<br />

the <strong>2014</strong>/15 deficit to date<br />

was 24,2 billion pounds, 8,7% higher<br />

than at the same point a year<br />

ago.<br />

This reflects a weak outturn in<br />

April — when payroll tax revenues<br />

were lower than a year earlier<br />

— as well as May 2013’s receipt<br />

of payments from a Swiss tax deal.<br />

Stripping out the Swiss tax effect,<br />

the ONS said that May borrowing<br />

was 1,5% lower than a year before.<br />

Public sector net debt rose to<br />

1,285 trillion pounds in May, meaning<br />

that as a share of gross domestic<br />

product, it matched March’s<br />

all-time high of 76,1%.<br />

In a separate article released<br />

after the data, the ONS also gave<br />

more details of wide-ranging<br />

changes to public finances calculations<br />

due to take effect later this<br />

year, in part due to changed European<br />

Union guidance.<br />

<strong>The</strong> underlying measure of<br />

public borrowing used in government<br />

fiscal forecasts will change.<br />

Whereas it showed a cash deficit<br />

of 107 billion pounds in 2013/14 —<br />

equivalent to 6,6% of GDP — under<br />

the new definition it would be<br />

just 98,7 billion pounds.<br />

<strong>The</strong> downward effect on the deficit<br />

as a share of GDP is likely to<br />

be even larger, as other changes<br />

mean the level of GDP for 2013/14<br />

is likely to be revised up by around<br />

5%, although the ONS has not finished<br />

its calculations.<br />

—Reuters<br />

EU closes tax loophole<br />

for multinational firms<br />

Luxembourg — <strong>The</strong> European<br />

Union has moved to close a<br />

loophole that has allowed multinational<br />

companies to reduce their<br />

tax bills by exploiting differences in<br />

national tax rules, ending months of<br />

negotiations and potentially boosting<br />

EU states’ tax revenues.<br />

Corporate tax avoidance has become<br />

a hot issue in industrialised nations.<br />

Campaigners have drawn support<br />

from public anger at companies avoiding<br />

taxes at a time of austerity.<br />

“<strong>The</strong> aim is to close a loophole that<br />

currently allows corporate groups to<br />

exploit mismatches between national<br />

tax rules so as to avoid paying taxes on<br />

some types of profits distributed within<br />

the group,” finance ministers said<br />

in a statement.<br />

<strong>The</strong> change in the so-called parentsubsidiary<br />

directive addresses “hybrid<br />

loan arrangements”, a combination<br />

of equity and debt often used as a<br />

tax-planning tool.<br />

Some member states classify profits<br />

from such tools as a tax-deductible<br />

debt; others do not. That has prompted<br />

some multinational companies to open<br />

subsidiaries in other member states so<br />

they pay little or no tax.<br />

“Using an [EU] directive that was<br />

based on common sense — avoid double-taxation<br />

— a few cunning devils<br />

had managed to pay no tax at all,”<br />

French Finance minister Michel Sapin<br />

said, welcoming the move. “That<br />

will mean a bit more money in state<br />

coffers, which as you know we're quite<br />

keen on.”<br />

All EU tax law requires unanimity<br />

among member states, and getting<br />

all states on board has been an uphill<br />

struggle. Europe has been torn between<br />

the demands of small countries<br />

fiercely resisting change to low-tax regimes<br />

that attract foreign investment,<br />

and others wary of driving away big<br />

employers.<br />

—Reuters<br />

Ghana quietly reintroduces<br />

fuel subsidies: Oil importers<br />

Accra — Ghana’s government<br />

quietly reintroduced fuel subsidies<br />

in April and has spent<br />

around US$85 million since then<br />

in extra payments, the head of the<br />

Chamber of Bulk Oil Distributors<br />

has said.<br />

<strong>The</strong> subsidies were scrapped early<br />

last year in a bid to reduce the budget<br />

deficit and restore macro-economic<br />

stability in Ghana.<br />

<strong>The</strong> reintroduction has not been<br />

publicly announced and senior government<br />

officials were unavailable<br />

for comment.<br />

<strong>The</strong> chamber’s chief executive, Senyo<br />

Hosi, also said Ghana’s reserves<br />

of oil for domestic consumption normally<br />

stand at around four weeks<br />

but have fallen to just one week because<br />

banks are refusing to extend<br />

credit to importers due to outstanding<br />

government payments.<br />

—Reuters

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