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Perestroika and Change in Soviet Weapons ... - The Black Vault

Perestroika and Change in Soviet Weapons ... - The Black Vault

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~I<br />

PREFACE<br />

<strong>The</strong> RAND Coroation is provid<strong>in</strong>g nalyt assistance to the Office<br />

of the Under Secretuy of Defense for Policy on the subject of recent<br />

d&vepment. <strong>in</strong> Sovie military airs. Th two-ya effort seks to<br />

idxst <strong>and</strong> e o ai the mor elements of cont<strong>in</strong>uty end chans <strong>in</strong><br />

<strong>Soviet</strong> militar oraniuatio, concepts, <strong>and</strong> goals s<strong>in</strong>c the emerence of<br />

President Gorbachev <strong>and</strong> bis *new political th<strong>in</strong>k<strong>in</strong>g ' It looks beyond<br />

the reo otfgb~os <strong>and</strong> t to th und motvatiom tht<br />

account for the mmy dopatu that hve lt occurred <strong>in</strong> sch are<br />

as Sovie declaratory rhetoric, operational doctrimne atoal security<br />

deciionmakln& <strong>and</strong> defns resource allocation.<br />

This report rviws two major imsss <strong>The</strong> firt is the application of<br />

dens <strong>in</strong>dty resources to civilian useo-commonly called "*convuson.'<br />

This review place the ongoig pcess <strong>in</strong> a broader economic,<br />

ora <strong>in</strong>al, <strong>and</strong> political context. However, snce the process cont<strong>in</strong>ues<br />

to unfokl, often m unplanned ways, wm guidel<strong>in</strong>es are giv<br />

for ealt<strong>in</strong>g the shift<strong>in</strong>g picture of <strong>Soviet</strong> behavior. <strong>The</strong> second issue<br />

<strong>in</strong>volvu the effects of contempoary weapon technolog <strong>and</strong> complxity<br />

on the abdt of the <strong>Soviet</strong> Union to den, develop, <strong>and</strong> produe<br />

nmiay system that meet the requrements of the military.<br />

<strong>The</strong> research reporte here was couducted <strong>in</strong> the International Security<br />

<strong>and</strong> DA Policy program of RAND's National Defense Research<br />

Inttute a f dally fndd research <strong>and</strong> developumt center sponsored<br />

by the Office of the Secretary of Defen <strong>and</strong> the Jo<strong>in</strong>t Chief of Staff. It<br />

should be of <strong>in</strong>terest to members of the U.S. defense policy community<br />

concerned ith evol<strong>in</strong> <strong>Soviet</strong> military policy, civimnmilitary mkd =<br />

defense policy-formukation, <strong>and</strong> arm control behavior.<br />

<strong>The</strong> cutoff dat for this research is the end of 190.<br />

ii

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