Lectures for Part II: Time Series Models in Finance
Lectures for Part II: Time Series Models in Finance
Lectures for Part II: Time Series Models in Finance
Create successful ePaper yourself
Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.
8.1 Regular variation — univariate case (cont)<br />
Another <strong>for</strong>mulation (polar coord<strong>in</strong>ates):<br />
Def<strong>in</strong>e the ± 1 valued rv θ, P(θ = 1) = p, P(θ = −1) = 1− p = q.<br />
Then<br />
X is RV(α) if and only if<br />
or<br />
P(|<br />
X | t x, X/ | X | ∈ S)<br />
→<br />
P(|<br />
X | > t )<br />
> −α<br />
x<br />
P(<br />
θ∈<br />
S)<br />
P(|<br />
X| t x,X/| X| ∈• )<br />
→<br />
P(|<br />
X| > t )<br />
> −α<br />
v<br />
x<br />
P(<br />
θ∈•<br />
)<br />
(→ v vague convergence of measures on S 0 = {-1,1}).<br />
MaPhySto Workshop 9/04<br />
84