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Lectures for Part II: Time Series Models in Finance

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8.3 Applications of multivariate regular variation (cont)<br />

L<strong>in</strong>ear comb<strong>in</strong>ations:<br />

X ~RV(α) ⇒ all l<strong>in</strong>ear comb<strong>in</strong>ations of X are regularly vary<strong>in</strong>g<br />

i.e., there exist α and slowly vary<strong>in</strong>g fcn L(.), s.t.<br />

P(c T X> t)/(t -α L(t)) →w(c), exists <strong>for</strong> all real-valued c,<br />

where<br />

w(tc) = t −α w(c).<br />

Use vague convergence with A c ={y: c T y > 1}, i.e.,<br />

T<br />

P(<br />

X<br />

∈<br />

tA<br />

c<br />

)<br />

P<br />

( c<br />

X<br />

> t)<br />

=<br />

→µ (A )<br />

:<br />

w(<br />

),<br />

c<br />

= c<br />

−α<br />

t L<br />

(<br />

t)<br />

P(|<br />

X<br />

|<br />

><br />

t )<br />

A c<br />

where t -α L(t) = P(|X| > t).<br />

MaPhySto Workshop 9/04<br />

89

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