Volume 1 - Government of Botswana

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HIV/AIDS ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 24 CONCLUSION -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 24 CHAPTER 3 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 25 NDP 10 PLANNING APPROACH AND MACRO DEVELOPMENT RESULTS FRAMEWORK --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 25 INTRODUCTION ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 25 NDP 10 PLANNING APPROACH -------------------------------------------------------------------- 25 The Integrated Results Based Management (IRBM) Approach---------------------------------- 27 The Integrated Results Based Management Approach in NDP 10 ------------------------------ 29 Implementation at the local level -------------------------------------------------------------------- 31 Thematic Working Group (TWG) ------------------------------------------------------------------- 31 Programme-Activity Approach for NDP 10 -------------------------------------------------------- 32 Structure of Each Thematic Chapter ----------------------------------------------------------------- 32 SECTION II: MACRO CHAPTERS ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 33 CHAPTER 4 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 34 REVIEW OF ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE DURING NDP 9 --------------------------------- 34 Historical Background ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 34 Economic Development since Independence ------------------------------------------------------- 35 ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL DEVELOPMENTS DURING NDP 9 ------------------------------ 36 Progress with Vision 2016 target for GDP per head ----------------------------------------------- 38 Causes of Slow Growth in the first half of NDP 9 ------------------------------------------------- 39 Government Expenditure ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 39 Reversal of the Trend in Government Expenditure ------------------------------------------------ 40 Share of Government Expenditure in GDP --------------------------------------------------------- 40 Changes in Government Expenditure by Function in NDP 9 ------------------------------------ 41 Government Revenue ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 42 Budget Outturn ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 42 Employment -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 43 Growth of Formal Sector Employment -------------------------------------------------------------- 43 Growth of the Informal Sector ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 44 Poverty--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 45 Changes in Levels of Income Poverty --------------------------------------------------------------- 45 Safety Nets ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 46 International Trade ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 47 Balance of Payments ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 47 The Trade Surplus and Merchandise Exports ------------------------------------------------------ 49 Service Exports ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 50 Inflation and Real Interest Rate ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 51 Control of Inflation ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 51 REVIEW OF NDP 9: SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS ---------------------------------------- 53 CHAPTER 5 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 54 MACROECONOMIC STRATEGY FOR NDP 10 --------------------------------------------------- 54 INTRODUCTION ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 54 ii
Strategy for a Land-Locked Country ---------------------------------------------------------------- 56 Exporting Goods to Neighbouring Countries ------------------------------------------------------- 56 Exporting Services Using Electronic Transport ---------------------------------------------------- 57 Rationale for the theme of NDP 10 ------------------------------------------------------------------ 58 Economic Diversification and Poverty Reduction ------------------------------------------------- 58 Strategies for Accelerating Growth of GDP -------------------------------------------------------- 59 SUMMARY OF BASIC STRATEGY FOR NDP 10 ------------------------------------------------ 60 MACROECONOMIC STRATEGY FOR NDP 10 --------------------------------------------------- 61 Fiscal Policy -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 61 Exchange Rate Policy --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 61 Monetary Policy ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 63 International Trade Agreements ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 66 PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY FOR NDP 10 ------------------------------ 67 The Investment Climate ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 67 Positive factors ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 67 Negative External Perceptions of the Investment Climate ---------------------------------------- 69 Tax Regime --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 69 Work and Residence Permits ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 69 Future Progress with Deregulation ------------------------------------------------------------------- 70 Continued Macroeconomic Stability ---------------------------------------------------------------- 70 Privatisation --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 70 Public Sector Infrastructure and Services ----------------------------------------------------------- 71 Increased FDI ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 71 Enhanced Competitiveness of the Private Sector -------------------------------------------------- 71 Technological Innovation ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- 71 Industry Relevant Skills ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 71 Streamlining Policies for Private Sector Support -------------------------------------------------- 71 Develop Business and Entrepreneurial Education ------------------------------------------------- 72 Access to Finance -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 72 Intellectual Property ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 72 SUMMARY OF STRATEGY FOR NDP 10 --------------------------------------------------------- 72 CHAPTER 6 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 73 PROJECTIONS OF GOVERNMENT’S REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE LIMITS FOR NDP 10 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 73 GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE: STRATEGIC ISSUES ---------------------------------------- 73 Projections of GDP in NDP 10 (Base Case) -------------------------------------------------------- 74 Long Term Economic Strategy ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 76 Projections of Revenue (Base Case) ----------------------------------------------------------------- 77 Mineral Revenue --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 77 Non-mineral Revenue --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 78 Total Revenue ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 79 Projections of the Upper Limits for Government Expenditure (Base Case) -------------------- 80 Recurrent and Development Expenditure ----------------------------------------------------------- 80 Total Government Expenditure ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 82 Budget Surplus/Deficit -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 82 Government Employment Ceilings ------------------------------------------------------------------ 83 iii
Page 1: Pages LIST OF TABLES --------------
Page 5 and 6: Improving Efficiency and Effectiven
Page 7 and 8: Capacity Building -----------------
Page 9 and 10: SECTOR: LABOUR --------------------
Page 11 and 12: New and Renewable Sources of Energy
Page 13 and 14: A COMPASSIONATE, JUST AND CARING NA
Page 15 and 16: STRATEGIES FOR NDP 10 -------------
Page 17 and 18: LIST OF TABLES Table 1.1 Administra
Page 19 and 20: (P billion, constant 2008 prices) .
Page 21 and 22: LIST OF CHARTS AND FIGURES Chart 2.
Page 23 and 24: FOREWORD The tenth National Develop
Page 25 and 26: INTRODUCTION This tenth National De
Page 27 and 28: ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS AEIN AGC
Page 29 and 30: DIS DIT DIV DLGD DLS DMS DNFE DOTS
Page 31 and 32: LSU M&E MCM MCST MDG MDRF MEA MERCO
Page 33 and 34: SKIP SLIMS SLMS SME SMME SOE SOER S
Page 35 and 36: SECTION 1: INTRODUCTION 1
Page 37 and 38: and the Botswana Congress Party (BC
Page 39 and 40: Table 1.1 Administrative Districts
Page 41 and 42: Temperatures 1.17 The mean monthly
Page 43 and 44: Map 1.3: Annual Rainfall Distributi
Page 45 and 46: Natural Resources 1.19 The natural
Page 47 and 48: 1.23 Factors such as declining infa
Page 49 and 50: CHAPTER 2 POPULATION AND DEVELOPMEN
Page 51 and 52: (MOESD) uses the statistic for net
Page 53 and 54:
target of reducing fertility to 3.4
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2.22 In addition, the National Sett
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groups of vulnerable people; lack o
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CHAPTER 3 NDP 10 PLANNING APPROACH
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implementation commenced on 1 st 20
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The Integrated Results Based Manage
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CHART 3.1: CASCADING VISION 2016 IN
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SECTION II: MACRO CHAPTERS 33
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Economic Development since Independ
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4.18 GDP growth was estimated to ha
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Table 4.5: Revised growth targets f
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undertaken during NDP 10, in order
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Table 4.9: Budget balance, outturn
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over the 10 years since the 1995/96
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International Trade Balance of Paym
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the other hand, the high level of t
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Table 4.17: Service exports 2003-08
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producer's costs will almost certai
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term will eventually require govern
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5.16 A further advantage is that th
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numbers of people. It is therefore
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5.43 These are the underlying argum
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Table 5.1: Changes in real bilatera
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anticipation of policy direction by
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PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY
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Negative External Perceptions of th
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Public Sector Infrastructure and Se
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CHAPTER 6 PROJECTIONS OF GOVERNMENT
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quarter, and by 20.0 percent on an
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forms of private sector activity wi
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growth in the last three years of t
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Table 6.6: Changes in projections o
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y the end of NDP 9. They continued
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Table 6.12: Annual changes in the P
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Table 6.17: Development expenditure
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Table 6.22: Total revenue: pessimis
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SECTION III: EDUCATED AND INFORMED
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the economy grew, other sectors sou
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and objective budget process for fu
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year during NDP 9, while Chart 7.3
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programmes commenced, which gave sp
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Science and Technology, Finance and
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equirements met and the percentage
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special needs, children in remote a
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access for disadvantaged children a
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REVIEW OF NDP 9 Public Service Huma
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Competency-Based Human Resource Man
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productivity database, providing ea
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CHAPTER 8 KNOWLEDGE SOCIETY KEY RES
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Goal Strategies for NDP 10 8.9 The
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Table 8.2: Telecommunications Subsc
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per permanent postal outlet in the
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Botswana Innovation Hub 8.40 During
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8.49 During NDP 10, the postal comm
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communications services. Kitsong Ce
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Innovation, Research and Developmen
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CHAPTER 9 SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC GROW
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9.11 NDP 10 represents a watershed
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market development; implementation
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Chart 9.1: Commercial Bank Deposits
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Chart 9.2: Botswana Stock Exchange
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Chart 9.3: Pension Fund Total Asset
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establish a Financial Intelligence
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cooperatives, and a role for new or
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policy during NDP 10 is to align ef
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SECTOR: TRADE AND INDUSTRY INTRODUC
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the Southern Cone (MERCOSUR) was si
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2008, covering investment and trade
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eviewed to ensure that it fully com
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Cluster Model Strategy 9.107 MTI ha
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Chart 9.5: Value of Purchases under
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communication technology, the revol
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FDI will contribute to employment c
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exports, government revenue and GDP
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ough diamond production value of US
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Block. Following completion of the
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Chart 9.7: Composition of Non-Tax M
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Chart 9.9: Copper and Nickel Prices
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Chart 9.10: Reportable Accidents 20
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Table 9.5: Employment in the Minera
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implemented to promote citizen part
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Sector Performance Matrix 9.2: Mine
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(mainly sorghum and maize) varies c
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Commonwealth Secretariat. On-farm r
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Table 9.10: Production of Cereals a
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operational horticultural markets e
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deficient. This strategy is aimed a
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SUMMARY OF PROGRAMMES Arable Agricu
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SECTOR: TOURISM INTRODUCTION 9.272
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As indicated in Table 9.13, there h
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SECTOR STRATEGIES 9.290 The challen
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Planning and Regulation 9.306 The r
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REVIEW OF NDP 9 Labour Laws 9.313 I
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• The review of labour laws; •
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Sector Outcome/ Output Outcome 1: T
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of access, quality and efficiency.
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increase. The share of heavy commer
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Morwamosu, Middlepits-Bokspits, Tsh
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evived during NDP 9. The additional
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development of Botswana’s communi
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main challenge is establishing a me
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of being absorbed into general gove
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a fleet of this size presents a sev
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10.103 Currently there are 24 stora
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REVIEW OF NDP 9 10.113 During NDP 9
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However, the quality monitoring for
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STRATEGIES FOR NDP 10 10.135 The ND
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percent (57 MCM) of developed water
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esources. During NDP 10, the follow
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10.164 The energy sector contributi
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Southern African Power Pool’s sho
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Chart 10.4: Access to Electricity i
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facility. This has compelled the Go
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annual production of about one mill
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• The Botswana Energy Champion co
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egional power supply/demand imbalan
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existing energy sources and improvi
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order to augment existing land reso
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allocated without services. This co
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of plots. Guidelines will be drafte
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the Land Boards, Department of Land
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• Uncoordinated involvement of th
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PROGRAMME SUMMARIES Infrastructure
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CHAPTER 11 SUSTAINABLE ENVIRONMENT
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number of stations and shortage of
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private sector have become active i
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mainly due to commercialisation. Th
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decision making, improved environme
Page 309 and 310:
PROGRAMME SUMMARIES Environmental P
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Monument Development Programme 11.6
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NDP 10, Goal 1: Eradication of abso
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Goal Strategies 12.16 The country h
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formulation and legislative reviews
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Public Works Programme (LIPWP) and
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SECTOR: HOUSING (SOCIAL) Descriptio
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Sector Goals, Indicators, Baselines
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NDP 10 Goal 3: Indicators, Baseline
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12.60 The World Health Organisation
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Goal: Reduce Infant and Maternal Mo
Page 331 and 332:
development of short, medium and se
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went from 25.3 percent in 2004 to 2
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others, activities such as scaling-
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CHAPTER 13 SAFE, SECURE AND PEACEFU
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• Improved collaboration with str
Page 341 and 342:
around 2.7 percent of accidents are
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. SUMMARY OF PROGRAMMES/PROJECTS LI
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• Implementation of the National
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SUMMARY OF PROGRAMMES/PROJECTS LINK
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Sector Performance Matrix Matrix 13
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assessment study and the developmen
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from peace to conflict takes a very
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visits, and facilitate adherence to
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14.7 The first two sector goals res
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productivity and work ethics, proje
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the international arena. However, 6
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14.37 Anti-corruption: A corruption
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such as the Industrial Court, Court
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gave all prosecutorial functions to
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as debt collection, taxation of bil
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SECTOR: LEGISLATURE INTRODUCTION 14
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explore other outreach and educatio
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Sector Performance Matrix Matrix 14
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CHAPTER 15 A UNITED, PROUD, MORAL A
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a national research policy and esta
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• Faith-based Institutions will p
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15.22 The mandate of the Department
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the State of the Nation Address, as
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SECTION VII: MONITORING AND EVALUAT
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16.7 To effectively address the abo
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16.17 Roles and responsibilities of
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