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<strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong><br />
<strong>Analysis</strong><br />
<strong>for</strong> <strong>Investment</strong><br />
<strong>and</strong><br />
<strong>Redevelopment</strong><br />
FINAL REPORT<br />
15 September 2014
Project lead<br />
Mildura Development Corporation<br />
Project contributors<br />
Regional Development Victoria, Mildura Development Corporation, Dried Fruits Australia ,<br />
Australian Table <strong>Grape</strong> Association <strong>and</strong> Murray Valley Winegrowers’<br />
Authors<br />
Sue Argus <strong>and</strong> Alison MacGregor, SunRISE Mapping <strong>and</strong> Research<br />
a division of Mallee Family Care Inc.<br />
Postal Address: PO Box 1870, Mildura VIC 3502<br />
Telephone: (03) 5021 7492 international + 61 3 5021 7492<br />
Facsimile: (03) 5021 4455 international + 61 3 5021 4455<br />
Email: mapping@sunrisemapping.org.au<br />
Internet: http://www.sunrisemapping.org.au<br />
Acknowledgments<br />
SunRISE<br />
mapping & research<br />
The following are acknowledged <strong>for</strong> their contribution to the study:<br />
Sunbeam Foods<br />
Australian Premium Dried Fruits<br />
Andrew Nemtsas, Murray River Organics<br />
Australian Vintage<br />
Sunworld <strong>for</strong> in<strong>for</strong>mation on proprietary varieties<br />
Sheehan Genetics <strong>for</strong> in<strong>for</strong>mation on proprietary varieties<br />
Murray Valley irrigators <strong>for</strong> their participation in the SunRISE mapping program<br />
Disclaimer<br />
In<strong>for</strong>mation in this report is derived from analysis of data from a range of sources. The report<br />
may be of assistance to you but SunRISE Mapping <strong>and</strong> Research <strong>and</strong> its employees do not<br />
guarantee that the publication is without flaw of any kind or is wholly appropriate <strong>for</strong> your<br />
particular purposes <strong>and</strong> there<strong>for</strong>e disclaims all liability <strong>for</strong> any errors, loss or other consequence<br />
which may arise from you relying on any in<strong>for</strong>mation in this report.
Contents<br />
1. Summary 6<br />
2. Introduction 9<br />
2.1 Study area 10<br />
2.2 Project background <strong>and</strong> consultant’s brief 11<br />
3. Data sources <strong>and</strong> method 12<br />
3.1 SunRISE crop data acquisition <strong>and</strong> accuracy 12<br />
3.2 Source of crop production <strong>and</strong> crop prices data 13<br />
3.3 Limitations 14<br />
4. Murray Valley grape plantings 1997 to 2014 15<br />
4.1 Change in wine, table & dried plantings 1997 to 2014 15<br />
4.2 Summary of grape varieties 1997 to 2014 16<br />
4.3 Value of grape production in the Murray Valley 17<br />
4.4 Farm gate value of wine, table <strong>and</strong> dried grapes 18<br />
4.5 Change in irrigation methods 1997 to 2014 19<br />
4.6 Change in rootstocks 1997 to 2014 20<br />
4.7 Change in property numbers <strong>and</strong> size 1997 to 2014 21<br />
5. Wine grape industry analysis 23<br />
5.1 Change in wine grape varieties 1997 to 2014 23<br />
5.2 Wine grape production 1997 to 2014 28<br />
5.3 Wine grape plantings yet to come into production 29<br />
5.4 Wine grape prices 1997 to 2014 30<br />
5.5 Crop value of wine grapes 1997 to 2014 34<br />
5.6 Irrigation methods <strong>for</strong> wine grape plantings 36<br />
5.7 Rootstocks of wine grape plantings 1997 to 2014 37<br />
5.8 Wine grape property numbers <strong>and</strong> size 1997 to 2014 38<br />
6. Dried grape industry analysis 39<br />
6.1 Change in dried grape varieties 1997 to 2014 39<br />
6.2 Dried grape production 1997 to 2014 42<br />
6.3 Dried grape plantings yet to come into production 43<br />
6.4 Dried grape prices 1997 to 2014 44<br />
6.5 Crop value of dried grapes 1997 to 2014 46<br />
6.6 Irrigation methods <strong>for</strong> dried grape plantings 48<br />
6.7 Rootstocks of dried grape plantings 1997 to 2014 49<br />
6.8 Dried grape property numbers <strong>and</strong> size 1997 to 2014 50<br />
7. Table grape industry analysis 51<br />
7.1 Change in table grape plantings 1997 to 2014 51<br />
7.2 Table grape production from 1997 to 2014 54<br />
7.3 Table grape plantings yet to come into production 55<br />
7.4 Table grape prices 1997 to 2014 57<br />
7.5 Crop value of table grapes 1997 to 2014 60<br />
7.6 Irrigation methods <strong>for</strong> table grape plantings 62<br />
7.7 Rootstocks of table grape plantings 1997 to 2014 63<br />
7.8 Table grape property numbers <strong>and</strong> size 1997 to 2014 64<br />
8. Bibliography 65<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 3 of 65
List of figures<br />
Figure 1: Map of the study area 10<br />
Figure 2: Hectares of wine, table <strong>and</strong> dried grape plantings from 1997 to 2014 15<br />
Figure 3: Summary of changes in grape varieties <strong>and</strong> areas (hectares) from 1997 to 2014 16<br />
Figure 4: Crop value ($ million) of Murray Valley wine, table <strong>and</strong> dried grapes 1997 to 2014 17<br />
Figure 5: Farm gate value (weighted average $/hectare) of wine, dried <strong>and</strong> table grapes 18<br />
Figure 6: Change in irrigation methods <strong>for</strong> Murray Valley grape plantings from 1997 to 2014 19<br />
Figure 7: Change in rootstocks of grape plantings from 1997 to 2014 20<br />
Figure 8: Change in property numbers <strong>and</strong> size 1997 to 2014 21<br />
Figure 9: <strong>Grape</strong> growing properties in 2014 22<br />
Figure 10: Summary of wine, table <strong>and</strong> dried grape property numbers <strong>and</strong> average property size 22<br />
Figure 11: Change in wine grape plantings (hectares) from 1997 to 2014 23<br />
Figure 12: Hectares of bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing white wine grape varieties 1997 to 2014 24<br />
Figure 13: Hectares of bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing red wine grape varieties 1997 to 2014 25<br />
Figure 14: Area (hectares) planted to white wine grape varieties 1997 to 2014 26<br />
Figure 15: Area (hectares) planted to red wine grape varieties 1997 to 2014 27<br />
Figure 16: Average yield (tonnes/hectare) from bearing wine grape plantings 1997 to 2014 28<br />
Figure 17: Projected tonnage from wine grape plantings that were non-bearing in 2014 29<br />
Figure 18: Weighted average price ($/tonne) <strong>for</strong> wine grapes from the Murray Valley 30<br />
Figure 19: Average prices ($/tonne) <strong>for</strong> white wine grape varieties 1997 to 2014 31<br />
Figure 20: Average prices paid <strong>for</strong> red wine grape varieties ($/tonne) 1997 to 2014 32<br />
Figure 21: Trends in the planted hectares of Murray Valley wine grapes as prices fluctuate 33<br />
Figure 22: Crop value ($ million) from Murray Valley wine grape crush surveys 1997 to 2014 34<br />
Figure 23: Change in farm gate value ($/hectare) of wine grapes from 1997 to 2014 35<br />
Figure 24: Change in irrigation methods <strong>for</strong> wine grape plantings from 1997 to 2014 36<br />
Figure 25: Change in rootstocks of wine grape plantings from 1997 to 2014 37<br />
Figure 26: Change in property numbers <strong>and</strong> size of wine grape properties from 1997 to 2014 38<br />
Figure 27: Wine grape properties in 2014 38<br />
Figure 28: Summary of bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing dried grape plantings 39<br />
Figure 29: Hectares of bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing dried grape varieties 1997 to 2014 40<br />
Figure 30: Change in hectares of dried grape varieties from 1997 to 2014 41<br />
Figure 31: Dried grapes from the Murray Valley (tonnes) delivered to packers 1997 to 2013 42<br />
Figure 32: Average yields (dried tonnes/ha) <strong>for</strong> dried grape fruit 1997 to 2013 42<br />
Figure 33: Projected tonnage from dried grape varieties that were non-bearing in 2014 43<br />
Figure 34: Weighted average price ($/dried tonne) <strong>for</strong> dried grape fruit from 1997 to 2013, <strong>and</strong><br />
estimated prices <strong>for</strong> 2014 44<br />
Figure 35: Trends in planted hectares of dried grapes as prices fluctuate 45<br />
Figure 36: Regional income ($ million) from dried grape fruit based on intake data <strong>and</strong> 2014<br />
estimates 46<br />
Figure 37: Farm gate value or gross income ($/hectare) <strong>for</strong> dried grape fruit 1997 to 2014 47<br />
Figure 38: Change in irrigation methods <strong>for</strong> dried grape plantings from 1997 to 2014 48<br />
Figure 39: Change in rootstocks of dried grape plantings from 1997 to 2014 49<br />
Figure 40: Property numbers <strong>and</strong> average size of dried grape properties 1997 to 2014 50<br />
Figure 41: Dried grape properties in 2014 50<br />
Figure 42: Summary of bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing table grape plantings (hectares) 1997 to 2014 51<br />
Figure 43: Hectares of bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing table grape varieties 1997 to 2014 52<br />
Figure 44: Change in table grape varieties (hectares) 1997 to 2014 53<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 4 of 65
Figure 45: Annual production estimate (tonnes) of table grapes 1997 to 2014 54<br />
Figure 46: Seasonality of bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing table grape varieties in 2014 55<br />
Figure 47: Projected tonnage from table grape varieties that were non-bearing in 2014 56<br />
Figure 48: Average wholesale price ($ per kilogram) <strong>for</strong> table grapes delivered into Melbourne <strong>and</strong><br />
Sydney markets 1997 to 2014 57<br />
Figure 49: Monthly average wholesale prices ($ per kilogram) <strong>for</strong> table grapes at Melbourne <strong>and</strong><br />
Sydney markets between January <strong>and</strong> April, 1997 to 2014 58<br />
Figure 50: Trends in planted hectares of table grapes as prices fluctuate 59<br />
Figure 51: Regional income ($ million) from table grapes 1997 to 2014 60<br />
Figure 52: Changes in farm gate value (weighted average $/ha) of table grapes 1997 to 2014 61<br />
Figure 53: Change in irrigation methods <strong>for</strong> table grape plantings from 1997 to 2014 62<br />
Figure 54: Change in rootstocks of table grape plantings from 1997 to 2014 63<br />
Figure 55: Change in property numbers <strong>and</strong> size <strong>for</strong> table grape growers from 1997 to 2014 64<br />
Figure 56: Table grape properties in 2014 64<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 5 of 65
1. Summary<br />
The study area, referred to as the ‘Murray Valley’ in this report, encompasses the Lower Murray<br />
Darling region of Victoria <strong>and</strong> New South Wales (Figure 1).<br />
The region has over 1,200 growers producing wine, table <strong>and</strong> dried grapes from 31,085 hectares<br />
of grapevines. This report tracks the three industries over the past seventeen years with respect<br />
to grape varieties, hectares (bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing), production (tonnes), yields (tonnes/ha),<br />
prices, crop value ($ million), farm gate value ($/ha), irrigation methods, rootstocks, grower<br />
numbers <strong>and</strong> property sizes.<br />
With over-supply of wine grapes still an issue, the table grape industry on the rise <strong>and</strong> the dried<br />
grape industry looking to increase its production base, an underst<strong>and</strong>ing of development <strong>and</strong><br />
investment over the past seventeen years will better in<strong>for</strong>m future investment <strong>and</strong> adjustment in<br />
response to changing markets <strong>and</strong> growing conditions.<br />
Non-bearing (new <strong>and</strong> redeveloped) plantings<br />
In 1997, 22% (5,980 ha) of grapevine plantings were non-bearing (less than three years old). This<br />
high proportion of new (including redeveloped) plantings was fuelled by the wine grape boom,<br />
with 4,640 ha of the non-bearing plantings being wine grape varieties (Figure 2).<br />
Possibly high wine grape prices in the late 1990’s also assisted investment in dried <strong>and</strong> table<br />
grapes as there were 1,845 ha of non-bearing table grape plantings in 2003 <strong>and</strong> 1,135 ha of dried<br />
grape plantings; the largest areas of new table <strong>and</strong> dried grape plantings compared with the<br />
1997, 2006, 2009 <strong>and</strong> 2014 seasons. New dried grape plantings in the early 2000’s would also<br />
coincide with conversion to trellis drying.<br />
By 2014, only 8% (2,420 ha) of all plantings were non-bearing. 69% of the non-bearing plantings<br />
were table grape varieties (1,670 ha); predominantly Crimson Seedless (Figure 43). Production<br />
from the 2014 non-bearing table grape plantings represents a 24% (40,080 tonnes) increase on<br />
2014 production from bearing plantings (170,040 tonnes) (Figure 47).<br />
<strong>Grape</strong> varieties<br />
Diversification to new grape varieties is evident in the study region. New dried grape varieties<br />
include Sunmuscat, Sunglo, Diamond Muscat, Black Gem, Selma Pete <strong>and</strong> Summer Muscat. Wine<br />
grape varieties new to the region include Pinot Gris, Fiano, Montepulciano, Nero d’Avola <strong>and</strong><br />
other Muscat <strong>and</strong> Italian varieties. New table grape varieties include Autumn Royal, Ralli<br />
Seedless, Crimson Seedless <strong>and</strong> a range of proprietary varieties.<br />
The dominant grape varieties (52% of plantings) are Chardonnay (5,145 ha), Sultana/Thompson<br />
Seedless (4,159 ha), Shiraz (3,576 ha) <strong>and</strong> Crimson Seedless (3,377 ha) (Figure 3).<br />
Sultana (including Thompson Seedless) plantings decreased by 10,289 ha between 1997 <strong>and</strong><br />
2014. As there were around 2,000 ha of new Sultana plantings in this period, 12,289 ha of old<br />
Sultana plantings were removed.<br />
Crimson Seedless plantings increased by 3,329 ha between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2014. This was the most<br />
popular variety followed by Shiraz (an increase of 2,290 ha) <strong>and</strong> Chardonnay (2,114 ha).<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 6 of 65
Yields<br />
The average yield in 2014 across all wine grapes was 23 tonnes/ha, based on the 2014 Wine<br />
<strong>Grape</strong> Crush Report (tonnes) <strong>and</strong> SunRISE crop mapping (hectares). Average wine grape yields<br />
ranged from 18 to 23 tonnes/ha in the seasons 1997, 2003, 2006 <strong>and</strong> 2009 (Figure 16).<br />
Average dried grape yields across the region ranged from 3.6 to 6.0 dried tonnes per ha, based on<br />
intake tonnages <strong>and</strong> SunRISE crop mapping (Figure 32).<br />
Table grape production was estimated based on average yields of 20 kg/vine from 1,200 vines/ha.<br />
The greatest increase in production between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2014 was in mid- to late-season red grape<br />
varieties; an estimated increase of 59,534 tonnes (Figure 45). There was a significant decrease in<br />
mid-season white table grape production estimated at 22,817 tonnes between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2014.<br />
Prices<br />
Prices <strong>for</strong> wine grapes purchased from the Murray Valley decreased by 59% <strong>for</strong> red grape<br />
varieties <strong>and</strong> by 33% <strong>for</strong> white grape varieties between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2014 (Figure 18).<br />
The weighted average price <strong>for</strong> dried grapes increased from $1,431 per dried tonne in 1997 to an<br />
estimated $1,700 per dried tonne in 2014 (Figure 34).<br />
Average prices returned to table grape growers from the wholesale markets increased overall by<br />
$0.20 between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2014 (Figure 48). The greatest price increase ($0.79) was <strong>for</strong> black<br />
grapes. The price of white grapes between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2014 fell by $0.18.<br />
Crop value ($ million)<br />
The estimated crop value of Murray Valley wine, table <strong>and</strong> dried grapes totalled $36 2 million in<br />
2014 (Figure 4). Crop value has increased by $101 million (39%) since 1997.<br />
Wine grapes accounted <strong>for</strong> 35% of the crop value of Murray Valley grapes in 2014, dried grapes<br />
9% <strong>and</strong> table grapes 56%.<br />
Farm gate value ($/ha)<br />
Farm gate value of wine grapes declined by 37%; from $11,300/ha in 1997 to $7,100/ha in 2014.<br />
For dried <strong>and</strong> table grapes it increased in the same period by 66% <strong>and</strong> 19% respectively (Figure 5)<br />
Irrigation methods<br />
Murray Valley grapevines are predominantly (89%) irrigated with drippers or low level sprinklers<br />
(Figure 6).<br />
The dominant irrigation method was furrow in 1997; however this changed to drippers by 2003.<br />
In 2014 wine <strong>and</strong> dried grape plantings were predominantly drip irrigated, <strong>and</strong> tabl e grape<br />
plantings predominantly irrigated with low level sprinklers (Figure 24, Figure 38 <strong>and</strong> Figure 53).<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 7 of 65
Rootstocks<br />
The proportion of Murray Valley grape plantings on a rootstock increased from 30% in 1997 to<br />
71% in 2014 (page 20).<br />
The dominant rootstocks are Ramsey (33% of grape plantings), Schwarzmann (13%) <strong>and</strong> Paulsen<br />
1103 (10%) (Figure 7).<br />
67% of wine grape plantings are on a rootstock (Figure 25), 69% of dried grape plantings are on a<br />
rootstock (Figure 39) <strong>and</strong> 81% of table grape plantings are on a rootstock (Figure 54).<br />
Grower numbers <strong>and</strong> property size<br />
From 1997 to 2014 grower numbers declined from an estimated 2,445 to 1,277 properties, while<br />
average property size (grapevine area) increased by 119%, from 11.1 ha to 24.3 ha per property<br />
(Figure 8).<br />
In 2014, 24% of grape properties were over 20 ha, growing 75% of grape plantings ( Figure 9).<br />
31% of properties growing wine grapes also produce table <strong>and</strong>/or dried grapes (page 38).<br />
43% of properties growing dried grapes also produce wine <strong>and</strong>/or table grapes (page 50).<br />
25% of properties growing table grapes also produce wine <strong>and</strong>/or dried grapes (page 64).<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 8 of 65
2. Introduction<br />
Mildura Development Corporation has a vision of “Our Region. Our Prosperity.” To achieve this,<br />
it is important that we maintain a detailed underst<strong>and</strong>ing of the horticultural commodities that<br />
provide a significant contribution to the prosperity of the region. To that end, Mildura<br />
Development Corporation’s 2013-16 Strategic Plan includes a goal to facilitate regional<br />
innovation <strong>and</strong> business development, which we do by working with industry <strong>and</strong> business to<br />
facilitate growth in our region, making economic <strong>and</strong> statistical research on the region available,<br />
identifying investment opportunities through proactive research, assisting in building vibrant <strong>and</strong><br />
sustainable communities by making such research accessible, <strong>and</strong> supporting innovative alliances<br />
to encourage business development.<br />
<strong>Grape</strong> industries in the Lower Murray Darling have experienced fluctuating conditions in the<br />
recent decade (wine glut, drought, abnormal climatic events, low water allocations, rocketing of<br />
temporary water prices, flooding, water buyback <strong>and</strong> exit grants, a high Australian dollar, <strong>and</strong><br />
opening of markets in China). Significant changes in planting areas, varieties, water use,<br />
rootstocks, property numbers <strong>and</strong> size, <strong>and</strong> irrigation methods are evident across the region’s<br />
horticulture (Mallee CMA 2012 Crop Report <strong>and</strong> 2012 Irrigated Horticulture of the Lower Murray-<br />
Darling (SunRISE 21, 2012)).<br />
With 31,085 hectares of grapevines planted in the region <strong>and</strong> a further 10,000 hectares of vacant,<br />
irrigable l<strong>and</strong> that has the potential to be brought back into production, it is critical to collate<br />
accurate <strong>and</strong> comparative in<strong>for</strong>mation <strong>for</strong> sound investment <strong>and</strong> planning decisions, to assist new<br />
investors coming into the region <strong>and</strong> existing growers transitioning between wine, table <strong>and</strong> dried<br />
viticulture, or diversifying to other crop types. In particular, a focus on varietal mix <strong>and</strong> tonnage<br />
projections, based on current <strong>and</strong> potential plantings, was required to in<strong>for</strong>m industries’ planning<br />
<strong>and</strong> marketing strategies.<br />
In 2014 the Mildura Development Corporation in collaboration with Regional Development<br />
Victoria <strong>and</strong> the three grape industry bodies, contracted SunRISE Mapping <strong>and</strong> Research to<br />
conduct an industry position analysis of grape crops across the three industry sectors in the<br />
Lower Murray Darling region of Victoria <strong>and</strong> New South Wales.<br />
The analysis is based on SunRISE crop databases (1997 to 2014) obtained from mapping of<br />
irrigated crops utilising orthophoto imagery (scale accurate, digital, aerial photography) , grower<br />
input <strong>and</strong> industry collaboration.<br />
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2.1 Study area<br />
This report covers grapevine plantings in the Lower Murray Darling region of Victoria <strong>and</strong> New South<br />
Wales (Figure 1). The study area is referred to as the ‘Murray Valley’ in this report. It encompasses the<br />
Murray Darling <strong>and</strong> Swan Hill wine regions as well as plantings along the Darling River upstream to<br />
Menindee.<br />
Figure 1:<br />
Map of the study area<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 10 of 65
2.2 Project background <strong>and</strong> consultant’s brief<br />
Irrigated horticulture in the Lower Murray Darling is recovering from a decade of extreme<br />
conditions. New export market opportunities are fuelling confidence in the industry, with<br />
redevelopment <strong>and</strong> new investment occurring across different irrigated commodities, <strong>and</strong> rapid<br />
expansion particularly in table grape varieties. Accurate <strong>and</strong> detailed industry data is required to<br />
in<strong>for</strong>m investment <strong>and</strong> redevelopment. With the promise of modernised irrigation delivery in the<br />
Older Irrigated Areas of Merbein, Mildura <strong>and</strong> Red Cliffs, this in<strong>for</strong>mation will be critical to<br />
redevelopment <strong>and</strong> new investment in viticulture. The launch of the National Food Plan a nd its<br />
focus on Asia, will also deliver new investment into horticultural production as markets grow into<br />
the next decade.<br />
Changes to plantings in each industry (investments, redevelopment) will underlie the economic<br />
success of each industry. Clarity on plantings is required to in<strong>for</strong>m decision making, paramount to<br />
a sustainable recovery, avoidance of another ‘boom <strong>and</strong> bust’ scenario, <strong>and</strong> sustainable growth<br />
within each industry.<br />
Significant changes in planting areas, varieties, water use, rootstocks, property numbers <strong>and</strong> size,<br />
<strong>and</strong> irrigation methods are already evident across the region’s horticulture (Mallee CMA 2012<br />
Crop Report <strong>and</strong> 2012 Irrigated Horticulture of the Lower Murray-Darling (SunRISE 21, 2012))<br />
although those Crop Reports did not provide analysis to the grape variety level. Similarly, data on<br />
grape plantings from the state government, industry bodies <strong>and</strong> ABS census data are not available<br />
to the variety level.<br />
Each of the Murray Darling grape industry sectors has conducted their own analyses, but not<br />
using consistent types or sources of in<strong>for</strong>mation.<br />
This report represents the first coordinated analysis of data to the grape variety level, including<br />
irrigation <strong>and</strong> cultural management details.<br />
The SunRISE crop database includes planting details from 1997 to 2014. The crop mapping<br />
provides accurate areas as it is based on a time series of high resolution orthophoto imagery<br />
(scale accurate, digital, aerial photography). Crop details, such as crop type, area <strong>and</strong> irrigation<br />
method, are derived from input from irrigators, field surveys <strong>and</strong> visual interpretation of the<br />
imagery.<br />
The analysis encompasses grape plantings in the lower Murray-Darling region of Victoria <strong>and</strong> New<br />
South Wales (Figure 1). The region is referred to as the ‘Murray Valley’ in this report.<br />
2014 planting data is compared in this report with data from 1997, 2003, 2006 <strong>and</strong> 2009.<br />
The Brief<br />
SunRISE Mapping <strong>and</strong> Research was contracted to collect, collate <strong>and</strong> report on:<br />
1. grape variety data in collaboration with dried, wine <strong>and</strong> table grape growers <strong>and</strong> industry<br />
groups, with at least 80% of each industry surveyed to the variety level<br />
2. changes in plantings between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2014, by variety, property numbers & size, vine<br />
ages, irrigation methods, rootstocks <strong>and</strong> new plantings <strong>for</strong> each of the three industries<br />
(wine, table & dried)<br />
3. average production <strong>and</strong> crop (farm gate) values<br />
4. production projections <strong>for</strong> dominant varieties, <strong>and</strong> by seasonality <strong>for</strong> table grapes<br />
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3. Data sources <strong>and</strong> method<br />
3.1 SunRISE crop data acquisition <strong>and</strong> accuracy<br />
SunRISE crop mapping<br />
SunRISE crop mapping is based on high resolution orthophoto imagery (i.e. scale accurate digital<br />
imagery processed from aerial photography) which has been updated every three years since<br />
1997.<br />
The scale accurate imagery provides accurate areas. Crop database details such as ownership,<br />
crop type, variety, rootstock, irrigation method <strong>and</strong> year planted are acquired by a combination<br />
of:<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
Interpretation of orthophoto imagery <strong>and</strong> field surveys<br />
Preparation of property crop maps <strong>for</strong> Sunbeam Foods contracted growers<br />
Preparation of property crop maps <strong>for</strong> Australia Premium Dried Fruits contracted growers<br />
Preparation of property crop maps <strong>for</strong> table grape export registration<br />
Public domain real estate sales in<strong>for</strong>mation<br />
Preparation of property maps <strong>for</strong> growers <strong>for</strong> property planning <strong>and</strong> management;<br />
irrigation design, soil surveys, quality assurance, redevelopment.<br />
65% of the Murray Valley’s 1,277 grape growers have had input to the databases within the last<br />
three years. 90% of growers have been surveyed since inception of the mapping system in 1997.<br />
The imagery is used to identify changes to crops. When a change in planting is identified from<br />
the imagery the crop variety is recorded as ‘not surveyed’ <strong>and</strong> the approximate year of change<br />
recorded. Hence, crop details <strong>for</strong> growers who have not been surveyed recently will have crop<br />
variety details recorded <strong>for</strong> plantings that don’t appear to have changed since the surve y <strong>and</strong> ‘not<br />
surveyed’ recorded <strong>for</strong> plantings that appear to have changed since the survey.<br />
When details are received <strong>for</strong> crops previously ‘not surveyed’ the earlier databases are back filled<br />
where relevant.<br />
Orthophoto imagery<br />
In<strong>for</strong>mation presented in this report is <strong>for</strong> the years 1997, 2003, 2006, 2009 <strong>and</strong> 2014. The<br />
orthophoto imagery used as a map base <strong>for</strong> each of these years was captured at the start of the<br />
year. Hence the in<strong>for</strong>mation represents the 1996-97, 2002-03, 2005-06, 2008-09 <strong>and</strong> 2013-14<br />
irrigation seasons respectively. The imagery is high resolution, generally 35cm or 30cm pixels.<br />
Every crop patch is checked against the imagery time series to ensure changes are correctly<br />
recorded.<br />
The imagery from 1997 to 2009 is the property of SunRISE Mapping <strong>and</strong> was acquired in<br />
collaboration with regional agencies. 2013 <strong>and</strong> 2014 imagery was sourced from Google Earth <strong>and</strong><br />
from NearMap via a web portal.<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 12 of 65
3.2 Source of crop production <strong>and</strong> crop prices data<br />
Wine grapes<br />
Wine grape production <strong>and</strong> price data was sourced from public domain data:<br />
Murray Valley Winegrape Utilisation Survey 1997 (Agriculture Victoria, 1997)<br />
<br />
Murray Valley Winegrape Utilisation Survey 2003 (Department of Primary Industries,<br />
2003),<br />
Australian Regional Wine <strong>Grape</strong> Crush Survey Murray Darling, Swan Hill 2006<br />
(Department of Primary Industries, 2006),<br />
<br />
Wine <strong>Grape</strong> Crush Survey Murray Darling / Swan Hill 2009 (Department of Primary<br />
Industries, 2009)<br />
Wine <strong>Grape</strong> Crush Report Murray Darling Swan Hill 2014 (Hickey & Hengsen, 2014)<br />
Dried grapes<br />
Dried grape production <strong>and</strong> price data was sourced from Sunbeam Foods, <strong>and</strong> from Horticulture<br />
Australia via Dried Fruits Australia.<br />
Table grapes<br />
Table grape production was estimated based on an assumption of 1,200 vines per hectare<br />
yielding an average of 2 boxes per vine in full production (i.e. 2,400 boxes per hectare or 970<br />
boxes per acre).<br />
Table grape prices were sourced from Ausmarket Consultants (2014) based on average prices<br />
($/box):<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
<strong>for</strong> each grape variety<br />
<strong>for</strong> grapes sourced from the Murray Valley (Victoria <strong>and</strong> NSW)<br />
<strong>for</strong> grapes sent to Sydney <strong>and</strong> Melbourne markets in the months January to April<br />
inclusive, <strong>for</strong> the years 1997, 2003, 2006, 2009 <strong>and</strong> 2014<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 13 of 65
3.3 Limitations<br />
Extrapolation of SunRISE crop data<br />
In<strong>for</strong>mation on grape varieties, irrigation methods, rootstocks <strong>and</strong> property ownership are<br />
derived from analyses of the SunRISE crop databases <strong>and</strong> extrapolation <strong>for</strong> unknown (‘not<br />
surveyed’) records.<br />
At least 80% of crop varieties are recorded <strong>for</strong> each year (1997, 2003, 2006, 2009 <strong>and</strong> 2014) with<br />
the exception of:<br />
<br />
<br />
2014 non-bearing wine grape varieties where only 25% of non-bearing varieties are<br />
recorded. The 2014 non-bearing wine grape varieties have not been extrapolated (Figure<br />
12, Figure 14, Figure 13 <strong>and</strong> Figure 15).<br />
2014 non-bearing table grape varieties where only 62% of non-bearing varieties are<br />
recorded. The 2014 non-bearing table grape varieties were still extrapolated (Figure 43).<br />
At least 70% of crop rootstocks are recorded <strong>for</strong> each year (1997, 2003, 2006, 2009 <strong>and</strong> 2014)<br />
with the exception of:<br />
<br />
2009 <strong>and</strong> 2014 table grape plantings where only 63% <strong>and</strong> 54% respectively of rootstocks<br />
are recorded. The 2009 <strong>and</strong> 2014 table grape rootstock data was still extrapolated<br />
(Figure 54).<br />
Areas <strong>and</strong> varieties of non-bearing plantings (less than three years old) are provided however the<br />
areas are likely to be under-stated as not all new <strong>and</strong> redeveloped plantings will have been<br />
recorded. SunRISE relies on visual identification of changes to plantings from the imagery <strong>and</strong><br />
from in<strong>for</strong>mation provided by growers.<br />
Multi use varieties<br />
Total areas (hectares) of grapevine plantings <strong>for</strong> each year in this report are accurate as they are<br />
mapped from scale accurate high resolution imagery. However, the area split <strong>for</strong> multi-use<br />
varieties, such as Gordo <strong>and</strong> Sultana, between the three markets (wine, table <strong>and</strong> dried) can be<br />
subject to error.<br />
Given that there are large areas of multi-use varieties their influence on total wine/dried/table<br />
areas can be significant. Without direct input from a grower on the market <strong>for</strong> their produce in a<br />
given season, SunRISE uses the history of the growers produce types, trellising details, crop prices<br />
etc. to assess the likely market that the fruit was consigned to.<br />
Also, the imagery provides visual clues as to produce type; such as white plastic covers over table<br />
grapes, smaller canopy on wine grape plantings <strong>and</strong> the patterning of canopy on a Shaw trellis <strong>for</strong><br />
drying is often distinct.<br />
Area harvested versus area planted<br />
Areas (hectares) stated in this report are the areas planted, not the area harvested.<br />
No attempt has been made to determine the proportion of crop not harvested in each of the<br />
seasons presented. Production <strong>and</strong> crop value estimates are based on all bearing plantings<br />
having been harvested, whereas this is not necessarily the case.<br />
Property numbers<br />
Property numbers are estimates only. In the SunRISE crop databases a ‘property’ is a corporate<br />
entity or family business where the family business can encompass multiple farms <strong>and</strong> family<br />
members. However, ‘property’ names are entered into the crop database as specified by growers<br />
<strong>and</strong> they may represent individual family members rather than the family company. This would<br />
suggest that property numbers are over stated in the analysis.<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 14 of 65
hectares<br />
4. Murray Valley grape plantings 1997 to 2014<br />
4.1 Change in wine, table & dried plantings 1997 to 2014<br />
Figure 2 summarises bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing hectares of wine, table <strong>and</strong> dried grape plantings<br />
across the Murray Valley from 1997 to 2014.<br />
New plantings <strong>and</strong> redevelopment in the vineyard has slowed considerably since 1997. While 22%<br />
of plantings were non-bearing in 1997, only 8% were non-bearing in 2014.<br />
<br />
<br />
<br />
The largest area of non-bearing plantings in 2014 was table grape plantings (1,670 hectares).<br />
There were 4,400 hectares of non-bearing wine grape plantings in 2006, despite falling grape<br />
prices; however the ensuing years of continued oversupply, low prices, drought <strong>and</strong> low water<br />
allocations saw non-bearing wine grape plantings decline to just 530 hectares by 2014. Nonbearing<br />
wine grape plantings in 2014 are predominantly on large corporate holdings.<br />
The large area (1,135 hectares) of non-bearing dried grape plantings in 2003 is mostly Sultana,<br />
Sunmuscat <strong>and</strong> Carina plantings coinciding with the removal of over 2,000 hectares of old Sultana<br />
plantings between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2003. Possibly income generated from the wine grape boom assisted<br />
redevelopment of dried grape plantings along with conversion to trellis drying.<br />
Figure 2: Hectares of wine, table <strong>and</strong> dried grape plantings from 1997 to 2014<br />
40,000<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
35,000<br />
30,000<br />
25,000<br />
20,000<br />
15,000<br />
10,000<br />
5,000<br />
Wine non-bearing<br />
Wine bearing<br />
Table non-bearing<br />
Table bearing<br />
Dried non-bearing<br />
Dried bearing<br />
0<br />
<strong>Grape</strong>s 1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% of 2014<br />
total<br />
Change (ha)<br />
1997-2014<br />
Wine Bearing 9,090 17,260 19,400 19,805 18,220 59% +9,130<br />
Non-bearing 4,640 4,430 4,400 2,120 530 2% -4,110<br />
Table Bearing 4,630 5,840 6,465 6,225 7,085 23% +2,455<br />
Non-bearing 910 1,845 1,575 1,095 1,670 5% +760<br />
Dried Bearing 7,520 4,995 4,835 3,455 3,360 11% -4,160<br />
Non-bearing 430 1,135 400 185 220 1% -210<br />
Total hectares 27,220 35,505 37,075 32,885 31,085 100% +3,865<br />
% Bearing 78% 79% 83% 90% 92%<br />
% Non-bearing 22% 21% 17% 10% 8%<br />
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4.2 Summary of grape varieties 1997 to 2014<br />
Figure 3 lists the main grape varieties grown in the Murray Valley region <strong>and</strong> the change in<br />
hectares from 1997 to 2014. Significant changes in this period were:<br />
The area of Sultana/Thompson Seedless plantings decreased by 10,289 hectares. (Over 12,290<br />
hectares of Sultanas were removed as there was at least 2,000 hectares of new Sultana<br />
plantings between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2014)<br />
<br />
<br />
The area of Crimson Seedless increased by 3,329 hectares<br />
52% of plantings in 2014 comprised four varieties; Chardonnay (5,145 ha), Sultana/Thompson<br />
Seedless (4,159 ha), Shiraz (3,576 ha) <strong>and</strong> Crimson Seedless (3,377 ha)<br />
Figure 3: Summary of changes in grape varieties <strong>and</strong> areas (hectares) from 1997 to 2014<br />
% of Change<br />
Variety 1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
2014 1997-2014<br />
Dried Other dried 3 10 35 36 124 0% +121<br />
Multiuse<br />
Table<br />
black<br />
Table<br />
red<br />
Black Muscat 18 22 16 14 15 0% -4<br />
Carina 251 285 413 357 363 1% +112<br />
Flame Seedless 171 170 152 113 173 1% +3<br />
Gordo 1,551 1,262 1,291 1,306 1,004 3% -547<br />
Menindee Seedless 905 1,326 1,266 1,074 915 3% +10<br />
Merbein Seedless 49 36 33 24 15 0% -34<br />
Sultana/Thompson 14,448 10,179 7,499 4,660 4,159 13% -10,289<br />
Sunmuscat 17 364 442 480 606 2% +589<br />
Waltham 282 144 102 48 34 0% -249<br />
Zante 390 205 136 35 26 0% -364<br />
Autumn Royal 0 13 243 348 354 1% +354<br />
Other black 88 66 77 68 55 0% -33<br />
Crimson Seedless 48 808 1,259 1,889 3,377 11% +3,329<br />
Other red 309 231 297 68 30 0% -279<br />
Ralli Seedless 38 112 122 109 210 1% +171<br />
Red Globe 842 1,513 1,496 1,271 1,042 3% +200<br />
Table Other white 350 400 585 263 151 0% -198<br />
Table PBR varieties 1 4 15 52 142 597 2% +593<br />
Cab. Sauvignon 1,077 3,463 3,295 2,990 2,629 8% +1,553<br />
Wine<br />
red<br />
Wine<br />
white<br />
Merlot 379 1,900 2,104 1,907 1,664 5% +1,285<br />
Other red 172 565 564 595 560 2% +388<br />
Pinot Noir 12 136 209 284 292 1% +280<br />
Ruby Cabernet 255 571 444 326 225 1% -30<br />
Shiraz 1,287 3,749 4,280 4,089 3,576 12% +2,290<br />
Chardonnay 3,031 5,784 7,439 6,414 5,145 17% +2,114<br />
Colombard 446 1,050 1,046 1,017 660 2% +214<br />
Other white 352 454 559 704 566 2% +214<br />
Pinot Grigio/Gris 0 38 570 827 808 3% +808<br />
Sauvignon Blanc 99 155 513 892 836 3% +737<br />
Semillon 346 480 535 534 476 2% +129<br />
Wine Not surveyed - - - - 397 1% +397<br />
Total hectares 27,220 35,505 37,075 32,885 31,085 100% +3,865<br />
1 PBR (Plant Breeders’ Rights) in this table refers to proprietary varieties only recently, or still waiting to be, granted<br />
plant variety rights<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 16 of 65
Value of grapes<br />
($ million dollars)<br />
4.3 Value of grape production in the Murray Valley<br />
Figure 4 summarises crop values <strong>for</strong> wine grapes (Figure 22), dried grapes (Figure 36) <strong>and</strong> table<br />
grapes (Figure 51) <strong>and</strong> provides an estimate of the total value of the grape industry in the Murray<br />
Valley region from 1997 to 2014.<br />
Crop value of Murray Valley grape production increased by 39% ($101 million); from $261 million<br />
in 1997 to $362 million in 2014.<br />
Wine grapes account <strong>for</strong> 35% of the 2014 Murray Valley grape crop value, dried grape fruit 9%<br />
<strong>and</strong> table grapes 56%.<br />
Figure 4: Crop value ($ million) of Murray Valley wine, table <strong>and</strong> dried grapes 1997 to 2014<br />
$400<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
$300<br />
$143 $183<br />
$180 $202<br />
Total table<br />
$200<br />
$100<br />
$117<br />
$41<br />
$103<br />
$25<br />
$184<br />
$36<br />
$30 $31<br />
$155 $139 $129<br />
Total dried<br />
Total wine<br />
$0<br />
<strong>Grape</strong>s 1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% of 2014<br />
total<br />
Change<br />
1997-2014<br />
White wine $79.8 $101.6 $87.1 $72.3 $70.3 19% - $9.4<br />
Red wine $23.0 $82.4 $68.3 $66.3 $59.0 16% + $36.1<br />
Total wine value $102.7 $184.0 $155.3 $138.6 $129.4 + $26.6<br />
Sultanas $33.3 $18.2 $27.9 $21.9 $18.8 5% - $14.5<br />
Sunmuscat - $1.2 $2.3 $2.9 $5.5 2% + $4.3<br />
Raisins $3.4 $2.2 $2.1 $2.0 $1.9 1% - $1.5<br />
Currants $4.5 $3.8 $3.4 $3.5 $4.2 1% - $0.3<br />
Other - $0.1 $0.1 $0.0 $0.1 0% + 0.0<br />
Total dried value $41.2 $25.4 $35.9 $30.4 $30.6 - $10.6<br />
White table $90.6 $94.6 $98.8 $73.6 $58.6 16% - $32.0<br />
Red table $25.0 $46.8 $81.3 $94.3 $123.2 34% + $98.2<br />
Black table $1.7 $2.0 $2.4 $12.3 $20.3 6% + $18.6<br />
Total table value $117.3 $143.3 $182.5 $180.3 $202.1 + $84.8<br />
Murray Valley<br />
income ($ million)<br />
$261 $353 $374 $349 $362 100% + $101<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 17 of 65
TABLE<br />
DRIED<br />
WINE<br />
4.4 Farm gate value of wine, table <strong>and</strong> dried grapes<br />
Figure 5 shows the change in farm gate value of wine, dried <strong>and</strong> table grapes from 1997 to 2014.<br />
(Values are summarised from Figure 23, Figure 37 <strong>and</strong> Figure 52 respectively.)<br />
Farm gate value ($/hectare) represents the gross return to growers be<strong>for</strong>e deducting costs of<br />
production. Costs of production are not considered in this analysis (<strong>and</strong> are not a part of the<br />
project brief), but they vary <strong>for</strong> wine, dried <strong>and</strong> table grape production <strong>and</strong> vary over time having<br />
a significant impact on net income. For instance, while farm gate value of table grapes is much<br />
higher than wine <strong>and</strong> dried grapes, table grapes have considerably higher production costs<br />
impacting on net income. In<strong>for</strong>mation on costs of production can be sourced from relevant<br />
industry groups.<br />
Farm gate value of wine grapes declined by 37%; from $11,300 per hectare in 1997 to $7,100 per<br />
hectare in 2014.<br />
Farm gate values of sultanas, sunmuscats, raisins <strong>and</strong> currants increased between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2014,<br />
with a 66% increase overall <strong>for</strong> dried grapes.<br />
Farm gate value of white table grapes decreased in the same period by 17%, but red <strong>and</strong> black<br />
table grapes increased by 31% <strong>and</strong> 88% respectively.<br />
Figure 5:<br />
Farm gate value (weighted average $/hectare) of wine, dried <strong>and</strong> table grapes<br />
<strong>Grape</strong>s 1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
$/hectare wine<br />
grapes<br />
Change 1997-2014<br />
% $/ha<br />
White wine $10,127 $12,257 $9,058 $7,089 $7,528 -26% -$2,599<br />
Red wine $18,917 $9,180 $6,975 $6,901 $6,650 -65% -$12,267<br />
$11,300 $10,658 $8,007 $6,998 $7,100 -37% - 4,200<br />
Sultanas $5,031 $4,269 $7,150 $8,749 $8,300 +65% +$3,269<br />
Sunmuscat - $8,289 $6,469 $6,882 $10,313 +24% +$2,024<br />
$/hectare dried<br />
grapes<br />
$/hectare table<br />
grapes<br />
Raisins $8,048 $8,677 $11,172 $11,709 $10,877 +35% +$2,829<br />
Currants $9,867 $11,171 $9,301 $10,033 $11,326 +15% +$1,460<br />
Other dried - $7,046 $6,782 $14,676 $14,924 +112% +$7,878<br />
$5,479 $5,076 $7,422 $8,802 $9,104 +66% +$3,625<br />
White table $25,409 $27,318 $24,468 $20,145 $21,112 -17% -$4,246<br />
Red table $25,506 $26,304 $31,359 $36,533 $33,295 +31% +$8,224<br />
Black table $21,474 $26,659 $30,577 $33,624 $40,396 +88% +$18,180<br />
$24,657 $26,728 $28,859 $31,625 $29,425 +19% +$4,768<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 18 of 65
Hectares<br />
4.5 Change in irrigation methods 1997 to 2014<br />
Figure 6 summarises irrigation methods <strong>for</strong> grapevines across the Murray Valley from 1997 to<br />
2014.<br />
The dominant irrigation method changed from furrow irrigation to drip irrigation between 1997<br />
<strong>and</strong> 2003.<br />
89% of grapevines are irrigated with drippers or low-level sprinklers.<br />
Figure 6: Change in irrigation methods <strong>for</strong> Murray Valley grape plantings from 1997 to 2014<br />
40,000<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
30,000<br />
Irrigation<br />
method<br />
20,000<br />
10,000<br />
0<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% of 2014<br />
total<br />
Change (ha)<br />
1997-2014<br />
Drip 3,880 11,885 16,515 19,950 21,420 69% +17,540<br />
Low level 3,890 7,510 7,860 6,765 6,245 20% +2,355<br />
Overhead 8,450 9,715 8,495 4,625 2,600 8% -5,850<br />
Furrow 11,000 6,395 4,205 1,545 820 3% -10,180<br />
Total (ha) 27,220 35,505 37,075 32,885 31,085 100% +3,865<br />
Drip<br />
Low level<br />
Overhead<br />
Furrow<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 19 of 65
hectares<br />
4.6 Change in rootstocks 1997 to 2014<br />
Figure 7 lists rootstocks of grapevine plantings in the Murray Valley study area <strong>and</strong> shows the<br />
proportion of plantings that are not on a rootstock (29% in 2014). Plantings not on a rootstock<br />
are either on their own roots or have been top-worked on to the roots of the previous variety.<br />
The proportion of plantings on a rootstock increased from 30% in 1997 to 71% in 2014. The<br />
dominant rootstocks are Ramsey (33%), Schwarzmann (13%) <strong>and</strong> Paulsen 1103 (10% of plantings).<br />
Figure 7: Change in rootstocks of grape plantings from 1997 to 2014<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
40,000<br />
Other rootstock<br />
Teleki 5A,5C<br />
35,000<br />
SO4<br />
30,000<br />
Schwarzmann<br />
Ruggeri 140<br />
25,000<br />
Richter 99,110<br />
Ramsey<br />
20,000<br />
Paulsen 1103<br />
101-14<br />
15,000<br />
K51-40<br />
10,000<br />
K51-32<br />
Kober 5BB<br />
5,000<br />
Harmony<br />
Dog Ridge<br />
0<br />
Not on rootstock<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% of 2014 Change<br />
total 1997-2014<br />
Not on rootstock 19,188 17,428 14,667 10,784 8,983 29% -10,205<br />
Dog Ridge 176 433 547 596 689 2% +513<br />
Harmony 299 301 274 208 196 1% -104<br />
Kober 5BB 9 242 300 344 355 1% +346<br />
K51-32 51 119 121 98 87 0% +37<br />
K51-40 127 271 286 263 193 1% +66<br />
101-14 25 128 260 276 304 1% +279<br />
Paulsen 1103 40 1,083 2,362 2,678 3,228 10% +3,187<br />
Ramsey 4,943 9,368 11,070 10,620 10,139 33% +5,195<br />
Richter 99,110 14 59 59 90 98 0% +84<br />
Ruggeri 140 229 1,144 1,632 1,606 1,721 6% +1,493<br />
Schwarzmann 1,571 3,902 4,357 4,208 4,000 13% +2,429<br />
SO4 31 57 80 78 70 0% +39<br />
Teleki 5A,5C 486 918 1,004 979 976 3% +490<br />
Other rootstocks 2 32 50 57 56 46 0% +14<br />
Total hectares 27,220 35,505 37,075 32,885 31,085 100% +3,865<br />
% No rootstock 70% 49% 40% 33% 29%<br />
% on a rootstock 30% 51% 60% 67% 71%<br />
2 Other rootstocks: 34EMFoex, 3309 Couderc, Freedom, Riparia Gloire, Rupestris du Lot, Salt Creek<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 20 of 65
Number of properties<br />
4.7 Change in property numbers <strong>and</strong> size 1997 to 2014<br />
Figure 8 provides estimates of property numbers <strong>and</strong> average property size (grapevine area)<br />
across the Murray Valley study area from 1997 to 2014.<br />
The study area has approximately 1,277 properties growing grapevines <strong>for</strong> wine, dried <strong>and</strong>/or table<br />
grape production. Average property size (grapevine area) is 24.3 hectares.<br />
The average property size (grapevine area) more than doubled; from 11.1 hectares in 1997 to 24.3<br />
hectares in 2014.<br />
<br />
<br />
There were 1,168 fewer grape growing properties in 2014 than in 1997; a 48% decline in property<br />
numbers.<br />
The number of properties below 20 hectares decreased by 1,245 properties, while the number of<br />
properties over 20 hectares increased by 77.<br />
Figure 8: Change in the number <strong>and</strong> size of grape growing properties 1997 to 2014<br />
2,500<br />
2,000<br />
1,500<br />
1,000<br />
500<br />
0<br />
Property size<br />
(grapevine area)<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
640<br />
629<br />
887 792<br />
688 667 626 498<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% of 2014<br />
total<br />
Change<br />
1997-2014<br />
1 to 5 ha 688 667 626 498 322 25% -366<br />
5 to 10 ha 887 792 705 510 366 29% -521<br />
10 to 20 ha 640 629 551 379 282 22% -358<br />
20 to 40 ha 182 229 214 186 188 15% +6<br />
40 to 100 ha 38 59 65 62 75 6% +37<br />
100 to 500 ha 10 39 42 42 38 3% +28<br />
> 500 ha 1 5 6 6 0% +6<br />
Total properties 2,445 2,416 2,208 1,683 1,277 100% -1,168<br />
Average size (ha) 11.1 14.7 16.8 19.5 24.3<br />
551<br />
705<br />
379<br />
510<br />
282<br />
366<br />
322<br />
> 500 ha<br />
100 to 500 ha<br />
50 to 100 ha<br />
20 to 50 ha<br />
10 to 20 ha<br />
5 to 10 ha<br />
1 to 5 ha<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 21 of 65
4.7.1 <strong>Grape</strong> growing properties in 2014<br />
In 2014, 24% of grape properties were over 20 ha, growing 75% of grape plantings (Figure 9).<br />
Figure 9: <strong>Grape</strong> growing properties in 2014<br />
Property size 2014 % of total 2014 % of total<br />
(grape area) Properties properties Hectares hectares<br />
1 to 5 ha 322 25% 995 3%<br />
5 to 10 ha 366 29% 2,620 8%<br />
10 to 20 ha 282 22% 4,005 13%<br />
20 to 40 ha 188 15% 5,800 19%<br />
40 to 100 ha 75 6% 5,110 16%<br />
100 to 500 ha 38 3% 8,145 26%<br />
> 500 ha 6 0% 4,410 14%<br />
2014 total 1,277 100% 31,085 100%<br />
31% of properties growing wine grapes also produce table <strong>and</strong>/or dried grapes (page 38).<br />
43% of properties growing dried grapes also produce wine <strong>and</strong>/or table grapes (page 50).<br />
25% of properties growing table grapes also produce wine <strong>and</strong>/or dried grapes (page 64).<br />
4.7.2 Summary of wine, table & dried property numbers <strong>and</strong> size<br />
Figure 10:<br />
Summary of wine, table <strong>and</strong> dried grape property numbers <strong>and</strong> average property size<br />
Property numbers 1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% of 2014<br />
total<br />
Change<br />
1997-2014<br />
Wine grapes 1,414 1,509 1,362 997 667 44% -747<br />
Table grapes 590 667 614 512 443 30% -147<br />
Dried grapes 1,270 928 767 497 397 26% -873<br />
Total properties* 2,445 2,416 2,208 1,683 1,277 100% -1,168<br />
Average property size<br />
(grape ha)<br />
Properties with wine<br />
grapes<br />
Properties with table<br />
grapes<br />
Properties with dried<br />
grapes<br />
Change 1997-2014<br />
% ha<br />
13.2 17.7 20.8 25.2 32.9 + 150% + 19.7<br />
13.6 17.1 18.3 19.5 23.2 + 71% + 9.6<br />
9.9 11.1 11.6 11.7 13.6 + 38% + 3.7<br />
Average size (grape ha) 11.1 14.7 16.8 19.5 24.3<br />
*Note: Total property numbers across the study area are less than the sum of property numbers <strong>for</strong><br />
each of the wine, table <strong>and</strong> dried grape growers as many growers produce across two or more of the<br />
three markets.<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 22 of 65
hectares<br />
5. Wine grape industry analysis<br />
5.1 Change in wine grape varieties 1997 to 2014<br />
5.1.1 Bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing plantings<br />
Wine grape plantings increased by 5,020 hectares between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2014, largely due to the<br />
planting of red wine grape varieties between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2003.<br />
The area of wine grape plantings peaked around 2006.<br />
In 1997, 34% of wine grape plantings were non-bearing (i.e. new plantings less than 3 years old)<br />
but by 2014, non-bearing plantings reduced to only 3%.<br />
Figure 11: Change in wine grape plantings (hectares) from 1997 to 2014<br />
25,000<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
20,000<br />
15,000<br />
10,000<br />
5,000<br />
White non-bearing<br />
White bearing<br />
Red non-bearing<br />
Red bearing<br />
0<br />
Wine grapes 1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% of 2014<br />
total<br />
Change<br />
1997-2014<br />
White non-bearing 2,530 2,958 3,265 1,505 230 1% -2,300<br />
White bearing 7,877 8,287 9,612 10,204 9,342 50% +1,465<br />
Red non-bearing 2,110 1,472 1,135 615 300 2% -1,810<br />
Red bearing 1,213 8,973 9,788 9,601 8,878 47% +7,665<br />
Total wine grapes (ha) 13,730 21,690 23,800 21,925 18,750 100% +5,020<br />
% Bearing 66% 80% 82% 90% 97%<br />
% Non-bearing 34% 20% 18% 10% 3%<br />
% White grapes 76% 52% 54% 53% 51%<br />
% Red grapes 24% 48% 46% 47% 49%<br />
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WHITE wine grapes<br />
5.1.2 Hectares of bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing white wine grapes<br />
Figure 12 shows the area (hectares) of bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing (less than three years old) white<br />
wine grape varieties from 1997 to 2014.<br />
Planting of white wine grape varieties has slowed considerably since 1997. Only 2% (230 ha) of<br />
white wine grape plantings were non-bearing in 2014, compared with 24% (2,530 ha) in 1997.<br />
Figure 12: Hectares of bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing white wine grape varieties 1997 to 2014<br />
1997 (ha) 2003 (ha) 2006 (ha) 2009 (ha) 2014 (ha)<br />
Variety<br />
Nonbearing<br />
bearing bearing Nonbearing<br />
Non-<br />
Non-<br />
Nonbearing<br />
bearing<br />
bearing<br />
bearing bearing<br />
Chardonnay 1,228 1,802 3,635 2,149 5,608 1,831 6,278 136 5,142 3<br />
Chenin Blanc 42 2 49 1 40 0 34 0 12 -<br />
Colombard 341 105 734 315 995 51 890 127 660 -<br />
Crouchen 24 0 37 6 42 5 41 5 45 -<br />
Doradillo 61 1 26 0 11 0 7 0 2 -<br />
Fiano 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 23 23 -<br />
Frontignac 11 0 1 0 2 9 9 0 14 -<br />
Gordo 1,166 114 869 216 875 229 805 340 832 18<br />
Muscat Canada 25 1 11 0 8 22 22 35 52 -<br />
Muscat other 26 4 46 2 48 0 44 93 126 6<br />
Other white 3 22 0 9 3 8 3 7 2 4 5<br />
Pinot Grigio/Gris 0 0 0 38 37 532 574 253 801 6<br />
Riesling 130 0 112 5 109 45 120 5 82 -<br />
Sauvignon Blanc 67 31 125 30 145 368 485 407 826 10<br />
Semillon 22 325 446 34 436 99 499 35 470 5<br />
Sultana 4,652 145 2,094 86 1,092 4 174 0 58 -<br />
Traminer 5 0 1 12 12 0 12 0 12 -<br />
Verdelho 1 0 63 4 67 0 67 16 60 4<br />
Vermentino 0 0 2 2 4 0 5 16 24 -<br />
Viognier 0 1 10 55 62 68 127 11 97 -<br />
Waltham 52 0 18 0 11 0 3 0 1 -<br />
Not surveyed* 172<br />
Total white hectares 7,877 2,530 8,287 2,958 9,612 3,265 10,204 1,505 9,342 230<br />
% bearing/non-bearing 76% 24% 74% 26% 75% 25% 87% 13% 98% 2%<br />
*Not surveyed: 75% (172 hectares) of non-bearing white wine grape varieties are unrecorded <strong>for</strong><br />
2014; hence 2014 non-bearing areas have not been extrapolated. All other figures have been<br />
extrapolated with over 80% of varieties recorded.<br />
3 Other white wine varieties include: Arneis, Flora, Italia, other Italian varieties, Malvasia, Palomino,<br />
Prosecco, Savignin, Taminga, Tokay Friulilo <strong>and</strong> Verdejo.<br />
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RED wine grapes<br />
RED wine grapes<br />
5.1.3 Hectares of bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing red wine grapes<br />
Figure 13 shows the area (hectares) of bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing (less than three years old) red<br />
wine grape varieties from 1997 to 2014.<br />
Planting of red wine grape varieties has slowed considerably since 1997. Only 3% (300 ha) of red<br />
wine grape plantings were non-bearing in 2014, compared with 63% (2,110 ha) in 1997.<br />
Figure 13: Hectares of bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing red wine grape varieties 1997 to 2014<br />
1997 (ha) 2003 (ha) 2006 (ha) 2009 (ha) 2014 (ha)<br />
Variety<br />
Non-<br />
Non-<br />
Non-<br />
Non-<br />
Nonbearing<br />
bearing bearing bearing bearing<br />
bearing bearing bearing bearing bearing<br />
Black Muscat 10 0 7 6 8 0 5 0 6 -<br />
Cab. Sauvignon 349 727 3,203 260 3,255 40 2,868 122 2,594 35<br />
Carina, Zante 123 8 48 0 16 2 20 0 1 -<br />
Chambourcin 9 3 9 0 5 0 5 0 3 -<br />
Cienna 0 0 0 30 29 18 47 0 43 -<br />
Dolcetto 0 0 8 4 12 0 12 0 5 -<br />
Durif 0 0 2 12 15 9 24 0 19 -<br />
Graciano 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 8 -<br />
Grenache 81 5 52 18 53 8 46 0 36 -<br />
Malbec 2 0 11 0 11 5 12 0 17 12<br />
Mataro 19 2 21 36 49 2 40 0 31 -<br />
Merlot 80 299 1,658 242 1,833 271 1,896 11 1,657 7<br />
Montepulciano 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 7 15 -<br />
Nebbiolo 0 0 7 4 11 0 8 0 8 -<br />
Negro Amaro 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 9 -<br />
Nero d'Avola 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 12 4<br />
Other red 4 7 1 4 7 10 3 11 5 14 -<br />
Petit Verdot 0 0 63 110 159 0 139 45 162 -<br />
Pinot Noir 6 6 69 66 135 74 207 77 292 -<br />
Red Frontignac 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 8 8 -<br />
Rubired 21 0 17 0 0 0 0 8 7 12<br />
Ruby Cabernet 140 114 529 43 438 6 326 0 225 -<br />
Sagrantino 1 0 1 0 1 4 4 0 7 -<br />
Sangiovese 1 2 69 44 89 7 76 0 68 -<br />
Shiraz 345 942 3,179 569 3,630 651 3,817 272 3,570 6<br />
Tarrango 19 0 15 12 21 9 4 0 4 -<br />
Tempranillo 0 0 0 9 9 25 34 33 57 -<br />
Not surveyed* 225<br />
Total red (ha) 1,213 2,110 8,973 1,472 9,788 1,135 9,601 615 8,878 300<br />
% Bearing/non-bearing 37% 63% 86% 14% 90% 10% 94% 6% 97% 3%<br />
*Not surveyed: 75% (225 hectares) of non-bearing red wine grape varieties are unrecorded <strong>for</strong><br />
2014; hence these figures have not been extrapolated. All other figures have been extrapolated<br />
with over 80% of varieties recorded.<br />
4 Other red varieties includes; Barbera, Cabernet Franc, Gamay, Italian varieties, Lagrein, Lambrusco Maestri,<br />
Tannat, Touriga <strong>and</strong> Zinf<strong>and</strong>al<br />
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WHITE wine grapes<br />
5.1.4 White wine grape varieties<br />
Figure 14 shows the total area (bearing plus non-bearing hectares (Figure 12)) of white wine<br />
grape varieties <strong>and</strong> change from 1997 to 2014.<br />
The dominant white wine varieties Chardonnay (54%), Gordo (9%), Sauvignon Blanc (9%), Pinot<br />
Grigio (8%), Colombard (7%) <strong>and</strong> Semillon (5%) make up 92% of the 2014 planted area of white<br />
wine grapes.<br />
White wine grape plantings decreased by 835 hectares between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2014.<br />
Figure 14: Area (hectares) planted to white wine grape varieties 1997 to 2014<br />
Variety 1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% of 2014 Change<br />
total white 1997-2014<br />
Chardonnay 3,031 5,784 7,439 6,414 5,145 54% +2,114<br />
Chenin Blanc 44 50 40 34 12 0% -32<br />
Colombard 446 1,050 1,046 1,017 660 7% +214<br />
Crouchen 24 43 47 47 45 0% +21<br />
Doradillo 63 26 11 7 2 0% -61<br />
Fiano - - - 23 23 0% +23<br />
Frontignac 11 2 10 9 14 0% +3<br />
Gordo 1,280 1,084 1,104 1,145 850 9% -429<br />
Muscat Canada 25 11 30 58 52 1% +26<br />
Muscat other 30 48 48 137 132 1% +102<br />
Other white 5 23 12 11 9 9 0% -14<br />
Pinot Grigio / Gris - 38 570 827 808 8% +808<br />
Riesling 130 116 154 126 82 1% -49<br />
Sauvignon Blanc 99 155 513 892 836 9% +737<br />
Semillon 346 480 535 534 476 5% +129<br />
Sultana 4,797 2,180 1,096 174 58 1% -4,739<br />
Traminer 5 12 12 12 12 0% +7<br />
Verdelho 1 67 67 83 64 1% +62<br />
Vermentino - 4 5 21 24 0% +24<br />
Viognier 1 65 129 138 97 1% +97<br />
Waltham 52 18 11 3 1 0% -51<br />
Not surveyed - - - - 172 2% +172<br />
Total white (ha) 10,407 11,246 12,877 11,709 9,572 100% -835<br />
% Bearing 76% 74% 75% 87% 98%<br />
% Non-bearing 24% 26% 25% 13% 2%<br />
5 Other white wine varieties include: Arneis, Flora, Italia, other Italian varieties, Malvasia, Palomino,<br />
Prosecco, Savignin, Taminga, Tokay Friulilo <strong>and</strong> Verdejo.<br />
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RED wine grapes<br />
RED wine grapes<br />
5.1.5 Red wine grape varieties<br />
Figure 15 shows the total area (bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing hectares (Figure 13)) of red wine grape<br />
varieties <strong>and</strong> change from 1997 to 2014.<br />
The dominant red wine varieties Shiraz (39%), Cabernet Sauvignon (29%) <strong>and</strong> Merlot (18%) make<br />
up 86% of the 2014 planted area of red wine grapes.<br />
Red wine grape plantings increased by 5,855 hectares between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2014.<br />
Figure 15: Area (hectares) planted to red wine grape varieties 1997 to 2014<br />
Variety 1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% of 2014 Change<br />
total 1997-2014<br />
Black Muscat 10 13 8 5 6 0% -4<br />
Cabernet Sauvignon 1,077 3,463 3,295 2,990 2,629 29% +1,553<br />
Carina, Zante 132 48 18 20 1 0% -130<br />
Chambourcin 12 9 5 5 3 0% -9<br />
Cienna - 30 47 47 43 0% +43<br />
Dolcetto - 12 12 12 5 0% +5<br />
Durif - 15 24 24 19 0% +19<br />
Graciano - - - 8 8 0% +8<br />
Grenache 86 71 61 46 36 0% -51<br />
Malbec 2 11 15 12 29 0% +27<br />
Mataro 20 57 52 40 31 0% +10<br />
Merlot 379 1,900 2,104 1,907 1,664 18% +1,285<br />
Montepulciano - - - 7 15 0% +15<br />
Nebbiolo - 11 11 8 8 0% +8<br />
Negro Amaro - - - 9 9 0% +9<br />
Nero d'Avola - - - 10 16 0% +16<br />
Other red 6 8 11 13 17 14 0% +6<br />
Petit Verdot 0 173 159 183 162 2% +162<br />
Pinot Noir 12 136 209 284 292 3% +280<br />
Red Frontignac - - - 8 8 0% +8<br />
Rubired 21 17 0 8 19 0% -2<br />
Ruby Cabernet 255 571 444 326 225 2% -30<br />
Sagrantino 1 1 5 4 7 0% +7<br />
Sangiovese 3 113 97 76 68 1% +65<br />
Shiraz 1,287 3,749 4,280 4,089 3,576 39% +2,290<br />
Tarrango 19 26 30 4 4 0% -16<br />
Tempranillo - 9 34 66 57 1% +57<br />
Not surveyed - - - - 225 2% +225<br />
Total red (ha) 3,323 10,444 10,923 10,216 9,178 100% +5,855<br />
% Bearing 37% 86% 90% 94% 97%<br />
% Non-bearing 63% 14% 10% 6% 3%<br />
6 Other red varieties includes; Barbera, Cabernet Franc, Gamay, Italian varieties, Lagrein, Lambrusco Maestri,<br />
Tannat, Touriga <strong>and</strong> Zinf<strong>and</strong>al<br />
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yield (tonnes/hectare)<br />
5.2 Wine grape production 1997 to 2014<br />
Estimates of wine grape yields (tonnes/hectare) in the Murray Valley study area were derived by<br />
dividing tonnages reported in annual Wine <strong>Grape</strong> Crush Surveys 7 by hectares of bearing vines<br />
from SunRISE crop mapping (Figure 12 <strong>and</strong> Figure 13).<br />
The average yield in 2014 across all varieties was 23 tonnes/ha, <strong>and</strong> ranged from 18 to 23<br />
tonnes/ha in the seasons 1997, 2003, 2006 <strong>and</strong> 2009 (Figure 16). The yield averages are slightly<br />
higher than those reported previously (19 tonnes/ha; Martin, Dunn, & Krstic (2007), or 20<br />
tonnes/ha (range 5 to 43 tonnes/ha); Retallack (2012)).<br />
Note that the average yields in Figure 16 are derived from bearing plantings across corporate,<br />
contracted <strong>and</strong> uncontracted vineyards. The estimate assumes that:<br />
<br />
All bearing vines were harvested; whereas each season some crop is not harvested due to<br />
being uncontracted or damaged <strong>for</strong> example by drought, heat damage, flooding or<br />
moulds.<br />
<br />
Vines less than three years old are not harvested (although there may be some small<br />
crop).<br />
Note also that the Wine <strong>Grape</strong> Crush Survey may slightly over or under-represent intake in the<br />
earlier surveys because not all wineries submit their data, <strong>and</strong> some Murray Valley fruit is<br />
crushed by wineries outside the survey or wineries bring fruit in from outside the Murray Valley<br />
study area.<br />
Figure 16: Average yield (tonnes/hectare) from bearing wine grape plantings 1997 to 2014<br />
30<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
25<br />
20<br />
whites<br />
reds<br />
total<br />
15<br />
10<br />
Wine grapes 1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
Change 1997-2014<br />
% t/ha<br />
White 22.9 20.7 24.5 20.8 25.3 + 11% + 2.5<br />
Red 23.3 15.7 18.4 17.0 19.9 - 15% - 3.4<br />
Average tonnes/ha 22.9 18.1 21.4 18.9 22.7 - 1% - 0.2<br />
7 Wine <strong>Grape</strong> Crush Survey data compiled <strong>and</strong> published on behalf of Murray Valley Winegrowers Inc. by<br />
Agriculture Victoria (1997), Department of Primary Industries (2003), Department of Primary Industries<br />
(2006), Department of Primary Industries (2009) <strong>and</strong> Hickey & Hengsen (2014).<br />
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5.3 Wine grape plantings yet to come into production<br />
Only 530 hectares (3%) of wine grape plantings were non-bearing in 2014 (less than three years<br />
old), <strong>and</strong> these were predominantly planted on large corporate holdings. The non-bearing<br />
plantings will come into production in 2015-2017.<br />
Figure 17 provides an indication of the tonnages (11,801 tonnes) that the 2014 non-bearing<br />
plantings will contribute once they reach full production. The tonnages are estimates based on<br />
2014 average yields as per Figure 16.<br />
Production from the 2014 non-bearing plantings represents a 3% increase on the 2014 production<br />
(413,627 tonnes) from bearing plantings.<br />
Figure 17: Projected tonnage from wine grape plantings that were non-bearing in 2014<br />
2014<br />
Bearing<br />
(ha)<br />
2014 Nonbearing<br />
(ha)<br />
Production from<br />
2014 Wine <strong>Grape</strong><br />
Crush Report<br />
(tonnes)<br />
Projected production<br />
from 2014 nonbearing<br />
plantings<br />
(tonnes)<br />
White wine grapes 9,342 230 236,803 5,820<br />
Red wine grapes 8,878 300 176,824 5,981<br />
Total hectares 18,220 530<br />
Production estimate (tonnes) 413,627 11,801<br />
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price $/tonne<br />
5.4 Wine grape prices 1997 to 2014<br />
Price ($/tonne) data presented in Figure 18 is sourced from Wine <strong>Grape</strong> Crush Reports 1997 to<br />
2014. The prices are averages that include purchased grapes as well as winery grown grapes.<br />
Prices <strong>for</strong> wine grapes purchased from the Murray Valley decreased by 59% <strong>for</strong> red grape<br />
varieties <strong>and</strong> by 33% <strong>for</strong> white grape varieties between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2014.<br />
Figure 18:<br />
Weighted average price ($/tonne) <strong>for</strong> wine grapes from the Murray Valley<br />
$900<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
$800<br />
$700<br />
$600<br />
$500<br />
white varieties<br />
red varieties<br />
all varieties.<br />
$400<br />
$300<br />
$200<br />
Wine grapes 1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
Change 1997-2014<br />
% $<br />
White $ 443 $ 591 $ 369 $ 341 $ 297 - 33 % -$ 146<br />
Red $ 811 $ 586 $ 379 $ 407 $ 334 - 59 % -$ 477<br />
Weighted average<br />
($/tonne)<br />
$ 493 $ 589 $ 373 $ 370 $ 313 - 37 % -$ 180<br />
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price $/tonne<br />
5.4.1 Average prices <strong>for</strong> white wine grape varieties<br />
Average prices ($/tonne) <strong>for</strong> white wine grapes grown in the Murray Valley (Figure 19) were<br />
collated from annual Wine <strong>Grape</strong> Crush Surveys.<br />
The weighted average price <strong>for</strong> white varieties has decreased by $146/tonne since 1997.<br />
Figure 19: Average prices ($/tonne) <strong>for</strong> white wine grape varieties 1997 to 2014<br />
$1,100<br />
$1,000<br />
$900<br />
$800<br />
$700<br />
$600<br />
$500<br />
$400<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
Chardonnay<br />
Chenin Blanc<br />
Colombard<br />
Crouchen<br />
Gordo<br />
Other white<br />
Pinot Gris<br />
Riesling<br />
SauvignonBlanc<br />
Semillon<br />
$300<br />
Sultana<br />
$200<br />
Viognier<br />
Verdelho<br />
$100<br />
White varieties 1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% of 2014 Change 8<br />
crush 1997-2014<br />
Chardonnay $1,024 $867 $382 $293 $242 45% -$782<br />
Chenin Blanc $431 $373 $337 $460 $239 0% -$192<br />
Colombard $393 $366 $301 $283 $251 6% -$143<br />
Crouchen $584 $483 $496 $444 $414 1% -$170<br />
Doradillo $206 $258 - -<br />
Fiano $397 1% $397<br />
Frontignac $88 $383 $287 0% $199<br />
Gordo $356 $353 $350 $366 $279 11% -$78<br />
Muscat $1,133 $694 $356 3% -$777<br />
Other white 9 $193 $300 $416 $395 $314 0% $120<br />
Pinot Gris $687 $677 $611 $455 14% -$232<br />
Riesling $424 $505 $395 $381 $481 1% $57<br />
Sauvignon Blanc $395 $523 $502 $456 $354 12% -$41<br />
Semillon $528 $483 $378 $309 $233 5% -$296<br />
Sultana $269 $309 $263 $272 $194 0% -$75<br />
Traminer $259 $610 $246 $209 0% -$50<br />
Verdelho $416 $328 $274 $347 0% -$69<br />
Viognier $1,014 $542 $389 $348 1% -$666<br />
Waltham $260 $287 - -<br />
Weighted<br />
average $/tonne<br />
$ 443 $ 591 $ 369 $ 341 $ 297 100% -$ 146<br />
8 The change is measured from 2003 if there was no intake reported <strong>for</strong> a particular variety in 1997.<br />
9 Other white wine varieties include: Arneis, Flora, Italia, other Italian varieties, Malvasia, Palomino,<br />
Prosecco, Savignin, Taminga, Tokay Friulilo <strong>and</strong> Verdejo<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 31 of 65
price $/tonne<br />
5.4.2 Average prices <strong>for</strong> red wine grape varieties<br />
Average prices paid <strong>for</strong> red wine grapes grown in the Murray Valley (Figure 20) were collated<br />
from annual Wine <strong>Grape</strong> Crush Reports.<br />
The weighted average price <strong>for</strong> red varieties has decreased by $477/tonne since 1997.<br />
Figure 20: Average prices paid <strong>for</strong> red wine grape varieties ($/tonne) 1997 to 2014<br />
$1,100<br />
$1,000<br />
$900<br />
$800<br />
$700<br />
$600<br />
$500<br />
$400<br />
$300<br />
$200<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
Red varieties 1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
Cabernet Sauvignon<br />
Grenache<br />
Malbec<br />
Merlot<br />
Other red varieties<br />
Petit Verdot<br />
PinotNoir<br />
RubyCabernet<br />
Sangiovese<br />
Shiraz<br />
Tempranillo<br />
% of 2014<br />
crush<br />
Change<br />
1997-2014<br />
Cab. Sauvignon $1,051 $538 $362 $413 $328 27% -$722<br />
Cienna $576 0% -<br />
Grenache $578 $447 $356 $453 $249 0% -$329<br />
Malbec $695 $485 $409 $360 0% -$335<br />
Mataro $723 $320 $262 $238 $315 0% -$408<br />
Merlot $982 $596 $385 $381 $349 19% -$633<br />
Other reds 10 $431 $510 $472 $321 $461 0% +$30<br />
Petit Verdot $464 $321 $392 $290 2% -$174<br />
Pinot Noir $682 $509 $448 $475 $366 3% -$315<br />
Red Frontignac $841 $597 0% -$244<br />
Ruby Cabernet $848 $513 $270 $500 $422 2% -$91<br />
Sangiovese $494 $269 $402 $347 0% -$147<br />
Shiraz $1,023 $657 $399 $416 $323 44% -$700<br />
Tempranillo $513 $396 $460 $290 1% -$224<br />
Weighted average<br />
$/tonne<br />
$ 811 $ 586 $ 379 $ 407 $ 334 100% -$ 477<br />
10 Other red varieties includes; Barbera, Cabernet Franc, Gamay, Italian varieties, Lagrein, Lambrusco<br />
Maestri, Tannat, Touriga <strong>and</strong> Zinf<strong>and</strong>al<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 32 of 65
Red<br />
White<br />
return ($/tonne)<br />
hectares planted (bearing<br />
<strong>and</strong> non bearing)<br />
return ($/tonne)<br />
hectares planted (bearing <strong>and</strong><br />
non bearing)<br />
5.4.3 Pricing <strong>and</strong> wine grape planting trends<br />
High prices <strong>for</strong> red wine grapes in the late 1990s coincides with a surge in planting of red wine<br />
grape varieties in the Murray Valley between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2003. Hectares peaked in 2006 although<br />
prices were very low by 2006.<br />
Similarly, an increase in the average price <strong>for</strong> white wine grapes between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2003 was<br />
followed by an increase in white wine grape plantings that continued to 2006. Wine grape<br />
planted areas have retracted since 2006 coinciding with stable but low average prices.<br />
Figure 21:<br />
Trends in the planted hectares of Murray Valley wine grapes as prices fluctuate<br />
$900<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
14,000<br />
12,000<br />
$600<br />
$300<br />
$443<br />
$591<br />
$369<br />
$341<br />
$297<br />
10,000<br />
8,000<br />
6,000<br />
4,000<br />
2,000<br />
$0<br />
$900<br />
$811<br />
-<br />
14,000<br />
12,000<br />
$600<br />
$586<br />
10,000<br />
8,000<br />
$300<br />
$379<br />
$407<br />
$334<br />
6,000<br />
4,000<br />
2,000<br />
$0<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
-<br />
Change 1997-<br />
2014<br />
Hectares 10,407 11,246 12,877 11,709 9,572 - 835 ha<br />
Price ($/t) $ 443 $ 591 $ 369 $ 341 $ 297 -$ 146<br />
Hectares 3,323 10,444 10,923 10,216 9,178 + 5,855 ha<br />
Price ($/t) $ 811 $ 586 $ 379 $ 407 $ 334 -$ 477<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 33 of 65
Crop value<br />
($ million dollars)<br />
5.5 Crop value of wine grapes 1997 to 2014<br />
5.5.1 Regional income from wine grapes<br />
Crop values provide an indication of the (potential) contribution to regional or National income<br />
from annual production of a crop.<br />
Crop values <strong>for</strong> Murray Valley wine grapes are published in the annual Wine <strong>Grape</strong> Crush Surveys<br />
<strong>and</strong> are summarised in Figure 22.<br />
Regional income from wine grapes increased from $103 million in 1997 to $129 million in 2014; a<br />
26% increase.<br />
Figure 22: Crop value ($ million) from Murray Valley wine grape crush surveys 1997 to 2014<br />
$120<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
$100<br />
$80<br />
$60<br />
white varieties<br />
red varieties<br />
$40<br />
$20<br />
Wine grapes 1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% of total<br />
2014 income<br />
Change<br />
1997-2014<br />
White $79.8 $101.6 $87.1 $72.3 $70.3 54% - $9.4<br />
Red $22.9 $82.4 $68.3 $66.3 $59.0 46% + $36.1<br />
7<br />
Total ($ million) $102.7 $184.0 $155.3 $138.6 $129.4 100% + $26.6<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 34 of 65
farm gate value $/hectare<br />
5.5.2 Farm gate value of wine grape production<br />
Figure 23 shows the change in farm gate value of wine production from 1997 to 2014. The farm<br />
gate values (return $/hectare) have been calculated using <strong>Grape</strong> Crush Survey crop values (Figure<br />
22) <strong>and</strong> hectares of bearing wine grape plantings from SunRISE crop mapping (Figure 11).<br />
Farm gate value ($/hectare) represents the gross return to growers be<strong>for</strong>e deducting costs of<br />
production. Costs of production are not considered in this analysis (<strong>and</strong> are not a part of the<br />
project brief), but they vary over time <strong>and</strong> have a significant impact on net income. Costs of<br />
production from 2002 to 2011 have been reported by WGGA (2008), Retallack (2010) <strong>and</strong><br />
Retallack (2012). In<strong>for</strong>mation on costs of production can also be sourced from relevant industry<br />
groups.<br />
Farm gate value of wine production has declined by 37% since 1997; from $11,300 per hectare in<br />
1997 to $7,100 per hectare in 2014.<br />
Figure 23: Change in farm gate value ($/hectare) of wine grapes from 1997 to 2014<br />
$20,000<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
white varieties<br />
$15,000<br />
red varieties<br />
$10,000<br />
Average of red<br />
<strong>and</strong> white<br />
varieties.<br />
$5,000<br />
Wine grapes 1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
Change 1997-2014<br />
% $/ha<br />
White $10,127 $12,257 $9,058 $7,089 $7,528 - 26% - $2,599<br />
Red $18,917 $9,180 $6,975 $6,901 $6,650 - 65% - $12,267<br />
$/hectare $11,300 $10,658 $8,007 $6,998 $7,100 - 37% - $4,200<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 35 of 65
Hectares<br />
5.6 Irrigation methods <strong>for</strong> wine grape plantings<br />
Figure 24 summarises irrigation methods <strong>for</strong> wine grape plantings from 1997 to 2014.<br />
The dominant irrigation method changed from furrow irrigation to drip irrigation b etween 1997<br />
<strong>and</strong> 2003.<br />
81% of wine grape plantings are drip irrigated.<br />
Figure 24: Change in irrigation methods <strong>for</strong> wine grape plantings from 1997 to 2014<br />
25,000<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
20,000<br />
15,000<br />
Drip<br />
Low level<br />
10,000<br />
Overhead<br />
Furrow<br />
5,000<br />
Irrigation<br />
method<br />
0<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% of 2014<br />
total<br />
Change (ha)<br />
1997-2014<br />
Drip 2,990 9,200 12,900 15,885 15,190 81% +12,200<br />
Low level 1,090 2,730 2,750 1,950 1,290 7% +200<br />
Overhead 6,000 7,630 6,900 3,750 2,160 12% -3,840<br />
Furrow 3,650 2,130 1,250 340 110 1% -3,540<br />
Total (ha) 13,730 21,690 23,800 21,925 18,750 100% +5,020<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 36 of 65
hectares<br />
5.7 Rootstocks of wine grape plantings 1997 to 2014<br />
Figure 25 lists rootstocks of wine grape plantings in the Murray Valley study area <strong>and</strong> shows the<br />
proportion of plantings that are not on a rootstock (33% in 2014). Plantings not on a rootstock<br />
are either on their own roots or have been top worked on to the roots of the previous variety.<br />
The proportion of plantings on a rootstock increased from 37% in 1997 to 67% in 2014. The<br />
dominant rootstocks are; Ramsey (30% of plantings), Schwarzmann (12% of plantings), Paulsen<br />
1103 (8% of plantings) <strong>and</strong> Ruggeri (7% of plantings).<br />
Figure 25: Change in rootstocks of wine grape plantings from 1997 to 2014<br />
25,000<br />
20,000<br />
15,000<br />
10,000<br />
5,000<br />
0<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% of 2014 Change<br />
total 1997-2014<br />
Not on a rootstock 8,697 9,817 9,005 7,333 6,247 33% -2,449<br />
Dog Ridge 86 209 293 342 318 2% +232<br />
Harmony 149 140 125 82 66 0% -83<br />
Kober 5BB 8 185 232 269 248 1% +240<br />
K51-32 31 99 102 81 64 0% +33<br />
K51-40 114 252 269 249 172 1% +57<br />
101-14 23 125 252 264 266 1% +243<br />
Paulsen 1103 25 676 1,533 1,727 1,477 8% +1,452<br />
Ramsey 2,955 5,696 6,986 6,731 5,698 30% +2,744<br />
Richter 99,110 11 56 55 69 75 0% +63<br />
Ruggeri 140 220 1,062 1,337 1,425 1,362 7% +1,142<br />
Schwarzmann 1,073 2,740 2,913 2,682 2,206 12% +1,133<br />
SO4 31 56 79 78 70 0% +39<br />
Teleki 5A,5C 293 548 589 568 464 2% +171<br />
Other rootstocks 15 29 31 25 18 0% +3<br />
Total hectares 13,730 21,690 23,800 21,925 18,750 100% +5,020<br />
% No rootstock 63% 45% 38% 33% 33%<br />
% on a rootstock 37% 55% 62% 67% 67%<br />
Other rootstock<br />
Teleki 5A,5C<br />
SO4<br />
Schwarzmann<br />
Ruggeri 140<br />
Richter 99,110<br />
Ramsey<br />
Paulsen 1103<br />
101-14<br />
K51-40<br />
K51-32<br />
Kober<br />
Harmony<br />
Dog Ridge<br />
Not on rootstock<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 37 of 65
Number of properties<br />
5.8 Wine grape property numbers <strong>and</strong> size 1997 to 2014<br />
Figure 26 provides an estimate of the number of wine grape growers <strong>and</strong> their average property<br />
size. Property size is the total hectares of grapevines, including table <strong>and</strong> dried grape plantings.<br />
Figure 26: Change in property numbers <strong>and</strong> size of wine grape properties from 1997 to 2014<br />
1,600<br />
1,400<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
1,200<br />
100 to 500 ha<br />
429 443<br />
50 to 100 ha<br />
1,000<br />
394<br />
20 to 50 ha<br />
800<br />
245<br />
10 to 20 ha<br />
600 453 442<br />
401<br />
5 to 10 ha<br />
400<br />
295 154<br />
1 to 5 ha<br />
200 342 354<br />
172<br />
313 234<br />
141<br />
0<br />
Property size<br />
% of 2014 Change<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
(grape area)<br />
total 1997-2014<br />
1 to 5 ha 342 354 313 234 141 21% -201<br />
5 to 10 ha 453 442 401 295 172 26% -281<br />
10 to 20 ha 429 443 394 245 154 23% -275<br />
20 to 40 ha 147 182 156 133 110 16% -37<br />
40 to 100 ha 34 53 56 50 55 8% +21<br />
100 to 500 ha 9 34 37 34 28 4% +19<br />
> 500 ha 1 5 6 7 1% +7<br />
Total properties 1,414 1,509 1,362 997 667 100% -747<br />
Average size (ha) 13.2 17.7 20.8 25.2 32.9<br />
> 500 ha<br />
In 2014, there were 667 wine grape properties with a total of 21,915 hectares of grapevines. 31%<br />
(205) of the 667 wine grape properties also produced table <strong>and</strong>/or dried grapes. Production<br />
across the 21,915 hectares of grapevines comprised 1,560 hectares dried, 1,605 hectares fresh<br />
table grapes <strong>and</strong> 18,750 hectares wine grapes.<br />
30% of wine grape properties are over 20 ha <strong>and</strong> grow 82% of the grape plantings (Figure 27).<br />
Figure 27: Wine grape properties in 2014<br />
Property 2014 % of total 2014 % of total<br />
size(grape area) Properties properties Hectares hectares<br />
1 to 5 ha 141 21% 445 2%<br />
5 to 10 ha 172 26% 1,225 6%<br />
10 to 20 ha 154 23% 2,185 10%<br />
20 to 40 ha 110 17% 3,425 16%<br />
40 to 100 ha 55 8% 3,705 17%<br />
100 to 500 ha 28 4% 5,960 27%<br />
> 500 ha 7 1% 4,970 23%<br />
2014 total 667 100% 21,915 100%<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 38 of 65
Sun<br />
muscat<br />
Sultana<br />
types<br />
Raisin<br />
Currant<br />
6. Dried grape industry analysis<br />
Hectares<br />
6.1 Change in dried grape varieties 1997 to 2014<br />
In 1997, 2009 <strong>and</strong> 2014 the proportion of non-bearing areas (less than 3 years old) was 5% to 6%<br />
(Figure 28). The relatively high proportion (19%) of non-bearing areas in 2003 was due to large<br />
plantings of Sultanas as well as new plantings of Carina currants <strong>and</strong> Sunmuscat.<br />
Further details on the 6% of non-bearing dried grape plantings in 2014 are provided in Figure 33.<br />
Figure 28:<br />
Summary of bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing dried grape plantings<br />
Other 11<br />
8,000<br />
7,000<br />
6,000<br />
5,000<br />
4,000<br />
3,000<br />
2,000<br />
1,000<br />
0<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% of 2014<br />
total<br />
Change<br />
1997-2014<br />
Bearing 456 336 370 350 369 10% -88<br />
Non-bearing 53 107 160 22 19 1% -34<br />
Bearing 420 255 190 174 179 5% -241<br />
Non-bearing 23 10 58 22 3 0% -21<br />
Bearing 6,623 4,254 3,907 2,504 2,270 63% -4,353<br />
Non-bearing 344 795 114 82 124 3% -220<br />
Bearing 7 140 360 425 535 15% +528<br />
Non-bearing 10 222 68 55 71 2% +61<br />
Bearing 13 9 9 2 7 0% -6<br />
Non-bearing 0 1 0 4 5 0% +5<br />
Total (ha) 7,950 6,130 5,235 3,640 3,580 100% -4,370<br />
% Bearing 95% 81% 92% 95% 94%<br />
% Non-bearing 5% 19% 8% 5% 6%<br />
Currant non-bear<br />
Currant bearing<br />
Raisin non-bear<br />
Raisin bearing<br />
Sultana non-bear<br />
Sultana bearing<br />
Sunmuscat non-b<br />
Sunmuscat bearing<br />
Other non-bearing<br />
Other bearing<br />
11 Other dried varieties include; Bruce’s Sport, Flame Seedless, Grants, Hannaman Currant, Italia Muscat,<br />
Ruby Seedless<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 39 of 65
Sultana types<br />
Raisin<br />
Currant<br />
6.1.1 Hectares of bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing dried grape varieties<br />
Figure 29 shows the area (hectares) of bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing dried grape varieties from 1997<br />
to 2014.<br />
The non-bearing areas give an indication of the popularity of different varieties in each season.<br />
Figure 29: Hectares of bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing dried grape varieties 1997 to 2014<br />
Variety<br />
1997 (ha) 2003 (ha) 2006 (ha) 2009 (ha) 2014 (ha)<br />
bearing<br />
Nonbearing<br />
bearing<br />
Nonbearing<br />
bearing<br />
Nonbearing<br />
bearing<br />
Nonbearing<br />
bearing<br />
Nonbearing<br />
Black Gem - - - - - - - - 1 1<br />
Carina 148 35 150 107 242 159 316 22 345 17<br />
Zante 308 18 186 0 128 0 33 0 23 0<br />
Gordo 250 21 168 10 132 54 139 22 151 3<br />
Waltham 170 2 87 1 58 4 35 0 28 0<br />
Diamond Muscat - - - - - - - 5 6 38<br />
MenindeeSeedless 7 6 14 5 17 1 14 1 11 4<br />
Merbein Seedless 30 2 18 4 21 1 15 1 10 1<br />
Selma Pete - - - - - - - - 2 7<br />
Shirana - - 2 5 6 27 27 0 26 0<br />
Sultana 6,587 336 4,221 781 3,864 86 2,449 73 2,206 48<br />
Summer Muscat - - - - - - - 2 9 1<br />
Sunglo - - - - - - - - 1 25<br />
Sunmuscat 7 10 140 222 360 68 425 55 535 71<br />
Other 13 0 9 1 9 0 2 4 7 5<br />
Total hectares 7,520 430 4,995 1,135 4,835 400 3,455 185 3,360 220<br />
% bearing/non-bearing 95% 5% 81% 19% 92% 8% 95% 5% 94% 6%<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 40 of 65
Sultana types<br />
Raisin<br />
Currant<br />
Hectares<br />
6.1.2 Change in dried grape varieties 1997 to 2014<br />
Figure 30 shows the total area (bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing hectares (Figure 29)) of dried grape<br />
varieties <strong>and</strong> change from 1997 to 2014.<br />
The overall area of Sultana plantings consigned to the dried fruit market declined by 4,6 69<br />
hectares between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2014. Gordo, Waltham, Zante <strong>and</strong> Merbein Seedless varieties have<br />
also declined.<br />
On the other h<strong>and</strong>, Sunmuscat plantings increased by 589 hectares <strong>and</strong> Carina by 179 hectares.<br />
Figure 30: Change in hectares of dried grape varieties from 1997 to 2014<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
8,000<br />
7,000<br />
6,000<br />
5,000<br />
4,000<br />
3,000<br />
2,000<br />
1,000<br />
Currant<br />
Raisin<br />
Sultana<br />
Sunmuscat<br />
Other<br />
0<br />
Variety 1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% of 2014<br />
total<br />
Change<br />
1997-2014<br />
Black Gem - - - - 3 0% +3<br />
Carina 183 257 401 338 363 10% +179<br />
Zante 326 186 129 33 23 1% -303<br />
Gordo 271 178 187 161 154 4% -118<br />
Waltham 172 88 61 35 28 1% -144<br />
Diamond Muscat - - - 5 44 1% +44<br />
Menindee Seedless 12 18 18 14 16 0% +3<br />
Merbein Seedless 31 21 21 16 10 0% -21<br />
Selma Pete - - - - 8 0% +8<br />
Shirana 0 7 32 27 26 1% +25<br />
Sultana 6,923 5,003 3,949 2,522 2,254 63% -4,669<br />
Summer Muscat - - - 2 10 0% +10<br />
Sunglo - - - - 26 1% +26<br />
Sunmuscat 17 361 428 480 606 17% +589<br />
Other 13 10 9 7 12 0% -1<br />
Total hectares 7,950 6,130 5,235 3,640 3,580 100% -4,370<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 41 of 65
Yield (tonnes/hectare)<br />
6.2 Dried grape production 1997 to 2014<br />
The Murray Valley accounts <strong>for</strong> 98% of National dried grape production. Figure 31 shows<br />
production (dried tonnes) <strong>for</strong> the Murray Valley based on aggregated data from Horticulture<br />
Australia, made available by Dried Fruits Australia.<br />
Figure 31: Dried grapes from the Murray Valley (tonnes) delivered to packers 1997 to 2013<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2013<br />
% of total<br />
in 2013<br />
Change (t)<br />
1997-2013<br />
Sultanas 23,976 13,724 23,182 12,432 11,081 62% - 12,895<br />
Sunmuscat - 895 1,847 1,641 3,247 18% + 3,247<br />
Raisins 1,932 1,304 1,306 1,115 1,120 6% - 812<br />
Currants 2,893 2,010 2,689 1,999 2,494 14% - 399<br />
Other - 31 48 23 65 0% + 65<br />
Total dried tonnes 28,802 17,963 29,072 17,210 18,007 100% - 10,794<br />
Average yields (dried tonnes per hectare) <strong>for</strong> the Murray Valley were calculated from tonnages in<br />
Figure 31 <strong>and</strong> SunRISE hectares <strong>for</strong> bearing dried grape plantings (Figure 28).<br />
Yields have, in general, increased since 1997 with the average yield in 2013 40% (1.5 tonnes/ha)<br />
higher than in 1997. The 2013 yields are approximate as they are based on 2013 tonnages <strong>and</strong><br />
2014 hectares. 2014 tonnages were unavailable at the time of the analysis.<br />
Figure 32: Average yields (dried tonnes/ha) <strong>for</strong> dried grape fruit 1997 to 2013<br />
8.0<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2013<br />
7.0<br />
6.0<br />
5.0<br />
4.0<br />
Sultanas<br />
Sunmuscat<br />
Raisins<br />
Currants<br />
3.0<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 12 2013<br />
Change 1997 to 2013<br />
% tonnes/ha<br />
Sultanas 3.6 3.2 5.9 5.0 4.9 + 35% + 1.3<br />
Sunmuscat - 6.4 5.1 3.9 6.1 - 5% - 0.3<br />
Raisins 4.6 5.1 6.9 6.4 6.3 + 36% + 1.7<br />
Currants 6.3 6.0 7.3 5.7 6.8 + 7% + 0.4<br />
Other - 3.4 5.6 4.0 8.8 + 161% + 5.4<br />
weighted average<br />
(dried tonnes/ha)<br />
3.8 3.6 6.0 5.0 5.4 + 40% + 1.5<br />
dried tonnes/acre 1.5 1.5 2.4 2.0 2.2<br />
12 Severe sunburn impacted on the Sunmuscat crop in 2009, hence the unprecedented low Sunmuscat yields<br />
in this season.<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 42 of 65
Sultana types<br />
Raisin<br />
Currant<br />
6.3 Dried grape plantings yet to come into production<br />
220 hectares of dried grape plantings were non-bearing (less than three years old) in 2014 <strong>and</strong><br />
will come into production in 2015-2017. Figure 33 provides an indication of the tonnages that<br />
those plantings will contribute to annual crops as they reach full production.<br />
The projected tonnage from 2014 bearing plantings (18,007 dried tonnes) has been calculated<br />
using the 2013 average yields from Figure 32. And as 2013 yields are calculated using 2014<br />
hectares, tonnages <strong>for</strong> 2013 <strong>and</strong> 2014 are the same.<br />
The projected tonnage from 2014 non-bearing plantings (1,936 tonnes) has been calculated using<br />
the highest 2013 average yield from Figure 32 (8.8 tonnes/ha) as new plantings <strong>and</strong> new varieties<br />
(e.g. Sunglo) are yielding much higher than district averages.<br />
The projected production from 2014 non-bearing plantings (1,936 tonnes) represents an 11%<br />
increase on the estimated 2014 production from bearing plantings (18,007 tonnes).<br />
Figure 33: Projected tonnage from dried grape varieties that were non-bearing in 2014<br />
Variety<br />
2014<br />
Bearing<br />
(ha)<br />
2014<br />
Non-bearing<br />
(ha)<br />
Production estimate<br />
from 2014 bearing<br />
plantings<br />
(dried tonnes)<br />
Projected production<br />
from 2014 non-bearing<br />
plantings<br />
(dried tonnes)<br />
Black Gem 1 1 8 12<br />
Carina 345 17 2,333 152<br />
Zante 23 - 153 -<br />
Gordo 151 3 947 22<br />
Waltham 28 - 173 -<br />
Diamond Muscat 6 38 30 330<br />
Menindee Seedless 11 4 54 39<br />
Merbein Seedless 10 1 48 5<br />
Selma Pete 2 7 9 58<br />
Shirana 26 - 126 -<br />
Sultana 2,206 48 10,769 424<br />
Summer Muscat 9 1 44 10<br />
Sunglo 1 25 3 222<br />
Sunmuscat 535 71 3,247 621<br />
Other 7 5 65 41<br />
Total hectares 3,360 220<br />
Production estimate<br />
(dried tonnes)<br />
18,007 1,936<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 43 of 65
weighted averag eprice ($/tonne)<br />
6.4 Dried grape prices 1997 to 2014<br />
Weighted average prices ($ per dried tonne) paid <strong>for</strong> dried grapes purchased from the Murray<br />
Valley are shown in Figure 34. The weighted average price takes into account the proportion of<br />
fruit received as 5-crown, 4-crown <strong>and</strong> 3-crown, light or dark.<br />
Consolidated data were provided by Sunbeam Foods <strong>and</strong> Horticulture Australia with the<br />
exception of 2014 values which are estimates as advised by Dried Fruits Australia. 2014 was a<br />
poor season <strong>for</strong> Sultanas with only a small proportion of the crop classed as light colour <strong>and</strong> the<br />
majority being 4 crown brown at $1,700/tonne.<br />
Figure 34:<br />
Weighted average price ($/dried tonne) <strong>for</strong> dried grape fruit from 1997 to 2013 13 , <strong>and</strong><br />
estimated prices <strong>for</strong> 2014<br />
1997 2003 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014<br />
$2,200<br />
$2,000<br />
$1,800<br />
$1,600<br />
$1,400<br />
$1,200<br />
$1,000<br />
sultanas Sunmuscat Currants other Raisins<br />
1997 2003 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014<br />
Sultana $1,390 $1,323 $1,203 $1,252 $1,758 $1,758 $1,726 $1,609 $1,941 $1,701 $1,700<br />
Sunmuscat $1,390 $1,323 $1,285 $1,385 $1,850 $1,820 $1,820 $1,820 $1,880 $1,704 $1,700<br />
Currants $1,557 $1,869 $1,280 $1,280 $1,289 $1,754 $1,759 $1,581 $2,133 $1,776 $1,675<br />
Raisins $1,750 $1,700 $1,625 $1,625 $1,650 $1,825 $1,825 $1,825 $1,965 $1,900 $1,736<br />
Other $1,203 $1,600 $1,600 $1,600 $1,600 $1,600 $1,700<br />
Ave. $/dried<br />
tonne<br />
$1,431 $1,412 $1,234 $1,286 $1,752 $1,767 $1,742 $1,646 $1,953 $1,725 $1,699<br />
13 Consolidated data sourced from Horticulture Australia.<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 44 of 65
price ($/ dried tonne)<br />
hectares (bearing <strong>and</strong><br />
non bearing)<br />
price $/ dried tonne<br />
hectares (bearing<br />
<strong>and</strong> non bearing)<br />
price ($/dried tonne)<br />
hecatres (bearing<br />
<strong>and</strong> non bearing)<br />
price ($/dried tonne)<br />
hectares (bearing<br />
<strong>and</strong> non bearing)<br />
6.4.1 Trends in dried grape plantings as prices fluctuate<br />
The charts in Figure 35 track changes from 1997 to 2014 of average prices <strong>and</strong> corresponding<br />
planted area (hectares) of sultanas, sunmuscat, currants <strong>and</strong> raisins. Sunmuscat has been the<br />
preferred variety <strong>for</strong> new or redeveloped dried grape plantings.<br />
Figure 35:<br />
Trends in planted hectares of dried grapes as prices fluctuate<br />
$2,000<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
sultanas (hectares)<br />
sultanas ($/tonne)<br />
8,000<br />
$1,500<br />
6,000<br />
$1,000<br />
4,000<br />
$500<br />
2,000<br />
$-<br />
$2,000<br />
sunmuscat (hectares)<br />
sunmuscat ($/tonne)<br />
-<br />
1,000<br />
$1,500<br />
750<br />
$1,000<br />
500<br />
$500<br />
250<br />
$-<br />
$2,000<br />
currants (hectares)<br />
currants ($/tonne)<br />
0<br />
1,000<br />
$1,500<br />
750<br />
$1,000<br />
$500<br />
$-<br />
$2,000<br />
500<br />
250<br />
0<br />
1,000<br />
$1,500<br />
raisins (hectares)<br />
raisins ($/tonne)<br />
750<br />
$1,000<br />
500<br />
$500<br />
250<br />
$-<br />
Sultana<br />
Sunmuscat<br />
Currant<br />
Raisin<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
6,967 5,050 4,021 2,586 2,393 hectares<br />
$ 1,390 $ 1,323 $ 1,203 $ 1,758 $ 1,700 price ($/dried t)<br />
17 362 428 480 606 hectares<br />
$ 1,390 $ 1,323 $ 1,285 $ 1,820 $ 1,700 price ($/dried t)<br />
509 443 530 371 387 hectares<br />
$ 1,557 $ 1,869 $ 1,280 $ 1,754 $ 1,675 price ($/dried t)<br />
443 266 248 196 181 hectares<br />
$1,750 $ 1,700 $ 1,625 $ 1,825 $ 1,736 price ($/dried t)<br />
0<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 45 of 65
Regional income ($ million)<br />
6.5 Crop value of dried grapes 1997 to 2014<br />
6.5.1 Regional income from dried grapes<br />
Crop values provide an indication of the (potential) contribution to regional or National income<br />
from annual production of a crop.<br />
Crop value of Murray Valley dried grape fruit has been calculated from:<br />
Bearing hectares from SunRISE mapping as per Figure 29<br />
<br />
98% of National dried fruit intake as per Figure 32, <strong>and</strong><br />
Weighted average prices as per Figure 34<br />
Crop value $ = area bearing (ha) × average yield (tonnes/ha) × average price ($/tonne)<br />
Average yields in 2013 were used to estimate 2014 crop values.<br />
Figure 36: Regional income ($ million) from dried grape fruit based on intake data <strong>and</strong> 2014<br />
estimates<br />
$45<br />
$40<br />
1997 2003 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014<br />
Raisins Other Currants Sunmuscat Sultanas<br />
$35<br />
1997 2003 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014<br />
Sultanas $33.3 $18.2 $27.9 $16.3 $13.3 $21.9 $14.7 $6.8 $16.1 $18.9 $18.8<br />
Sunmuscat - $1.2 $2.3 $2.4 $2.1 $2.9 $3.2 $1.9 $4.8 $5.5 $5.5<br />
Currants $4.5 $3.8 $3.4 $2.3 $2.9 $3.5 $2.1 $1.8 $4.7 $4.4 $4.2<br />
Raisins $3.4 $2.2 $2.1 $1.2 $0.9 $2.0 $2.1 $0.7 $1.4 $2.1 $1.9<br />
Other - $0.1 $0.1 - - - $1.4 $1.0 $0.6 $0.1 $0.1<br />
Total ($<br />
million)<br />
$30<br />
$25<br />
$20<br />
$15<br />
$10<br />
$5<br />
$0<br />
$41.2 $25.4 $35.9 $22.2 $19.2 $30.4 $23.4 $12.2 $27.5 $31.0 $30.6<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 46 of 65
gross income ($/ha)<br />
6.5.2 Farm gate value of dried grape fruit from 1997 to 2014<br />
Farm gate value ($ per hectare) of dried grape production has also been calculated (Figure 37).<br />
Farm gate value represents the gross return to growers be<strong>for</strong>e deducting costs of production.<br />
Costs of production are not considered in this analysis (<strong>and</strong> are not a part of the project brief),<br />
but they vary over time <strong>and</strong> have a significant impact on net income. In<strong>for</strong>mation on costs of<br />
production can be sourced from relevant industry groups.<br />
Between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2014, there was a 66% increase in the average gross income ($ per hectare)<br />
<strong>for</strong> dried grape fruit.<br />
Figure 37: Farm gate value or gross income ($/hectare) <strong>for</strong> dried grape fruit 1997 to 2014<br />
$14,000<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
$12,000<br />
$10,000<br />
$8,000<br />
$6,000<br />
sultanas<br />
sunmuscat<br />
currants<br />
raisins<br />
$4,000<br />
$2,000<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
Change 1997-2014<br />
% $/ha<br />
Sultanas $5,031 $4,269 $7,150 $8,749 $8,300 + 65% + $3,269<br />
Sunmuscat - $8,289 $6,469 $6,882 $10,313 + 24% + $2,024<br />
Raisins $8,048 $8,677 $11,172 $11,709 $10,877 + 35% + $2,829<br />
Currants $9,867 $11,171 $9,301 $10,033 $11,326 + 15% + $1,460<br />
Other - $7,046 $6,782 $14,676 $14,924 + 112% + $7,878<br />
Weighted mean $/ha $5,479 $5,076 $7,422 $8,802 $9,104 + 66% + $3,625<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 47 of 65
Hectares<br />
6.6 Irrigation methods <strong>for</strong> dried grape plantings<br />
Figure 38 summarises irrigation methods <strong>for</strong> dried grape plantings from 1997 to 2014.<br />
Drip irrigation has been the dominant irrigation method since 2009, replacing furrow irrigation as<br />
the dominant method. Drip irrigation increased by 1,850 hectares between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2014.<br />
Figure 38: Change in irrigation methods <strong>for</strong> dried grape plantings from 1997 to 2014<br />
8,000<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
6,000<br />
4,000<br />
Drip<br />
Low level<br />
Overhead<br />
2,000<br />
Furrow<br />
Irrigation<br />
method<br />
0<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% of 2014<br />
total<br />
Change (ha)<br />
1997-2014<br />
Drip 230 1,145 1,385 1,605 2,080 58% +1,850<br />
Low level 630 820 880 705 630 18% 0<br />
Overhead 1,470 995 735 310 220 6% -1,250<br />
Furrow 5,620 3,170 2,235 1,020 650 18% -4,970<br />
Total (ha) 7,950 6,130 5,235 3,640 3,580 100% -4,370<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 48 of 65
hectares<br />
6.7 Rootstocks of dried grape plantings 1997 to 2014<br />
Figure 39 lists rootstocks of dried grape plantings in the Murray Valley study area <strong>and</strong> shows the<br />
proportion of plantings that are not on a rootstock (31% in 2014). Plantings not on a rootstock<br />
are either on their own roots or have been top worked on to the roots of the previous variety.<br />
The proportion of plantings on a rootstock increased from 14% in 1997 to 69% in 2014.<br />
The dominant rootstocks are; Ramsey (39% of plantings), Paulsen 1103 (19% of plantings) <strong>and</strong><br />
Schwarzmann (7% of plantings).<br />
Figure 39: Change in rootstocks of dried grape plantings from 1997 to 2014<br />
8,000<br />
7,000<br />
6,000<br />
5,000<br />
4,000<br />
3,000<br />
2,000<br />
1,000<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
0<br />
Not on rootstock<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% of 2014 Change<br />
total 1997-2014<br />
Not on a rootstock 6,864 4,005 2,907 1,519 1,092 31% -5,771<br />
Dog Ridge 7 15 23 28 32 1% +25<br />
Harmony 34 32 30 31 28 1% -6<br />
Kober 5BB - 5 8 6 2 0% +2<br />
K51-32 13 11 13 12 16 0% +2<br />
K51-40 6 10 6 7 7 0% +1<br />
101-14 1 1 3 2 7 0% +6<br />
Paulsen 1103 11 293 370 427 688 19% +677<br />
Ramsey 834 1,434 1,509 1,300 1,380 39% +546<br />
Richter 99,110 2 2 2 2 1 0% -1<br />
Ruggeri 140 5 19 49 27 48 1% +43<br />
Schwarzmann 125 253 265 238 245 7% +120<br />
SO4 - - - - - - -<br />
Teleki 5A,5C 41 42 41 36 31 1% -11<br />
Other rootstocks 5 7 8 6 2 0% -3<br />
Total hectares 7,950 6,130 5,235 3,640 3,580 100% -4,370<br />
%Not on rootstock 86% 65% 56% 42% 31%<br />
% On a rootstock 14% 35% 44% 58% 69%<br />
Other rootstock<br />
Teleki 5A,5C<br />
Schwarzmann<br />
Ruggeri 140<br />
Richter 99,110<br />
Ramsey<br />
Paulsen 1103<br />
101-14<br />
K51-40<br />
K51-32<br />
Kober 5BB<br />
Harmony<br />
Dog Ridge<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 49 of 65
Number of properties<br />
6.8 Dried grape property numbers <strong>and</strong> size 1997 to 2014<br />
Figure 40 provides an estimate of the number of dried grape growers <strong>and</strong> their average property<br />
size. Property size is the total hectares of grapevines, including any table <strong>and</strong> wine grape<br />
plantings.<br />
Figure 40: Property numbers <strong>and</strong> average size of dried grape properties 1997 to 2014<br />
1,400<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
1,200<br />
> 500 ha<br />
1,000 366<br />
100 to 500 ha<br />
50 to 100 ha<br />
800<br />
269<br />
20 to 50 ha<br />
600<br />
504<br />
197<br />
10 to 20 ha<br />
400<br />
349<br />
266 104<br />
90<br />
5 to 10 ha<br />
174<br />
200<br />
308 149<br />
237 234 1 to 5 ha<br />
169 114<br />
0<br />
Property size<br />
% of 2014 Change<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
(grape area)<br />
total 1997-2014<br />
1 to 5 ha 308 237 234 169 114 29% -194<br />
5 to 10 ha 504 349 266 174 149 38% -355<br />
10 to 20 ha 366 269 197 104 90 23% -276<br />
20 to 40 ha 83 61 55 38 32 8% -51<br />
40 to 100 ha 8 7 9 8 7 2% -1<br />
100 to 500 ha 1 4 5 3 4 1% +3<br />
> 500 ha 1 1 1 1 0% +1<br />
No. of properties 1,270 928 767 497 397 100% -873<br />
Average size (ha) 9.9 11.1 11.6 11.7 13.6<br />
In 2014, there were 397 dried grape properties with a total of 5,415 hectares of grapevines. 43%<br />
(169) of the 397 dried grape properties also produced table <strong>and</strong>/or wine grapes. Production<br />
across the 5,415 hectares of grapevines comprised 3,555 hectares dried, 370 hectares table<br />
grapes <strong>and</strong> 1,490 hectares wine grapes.<br />
34% of dried grape properties are over 10 ha <strong>and</strong> grow 75% of the grape plantings (Figure 41).<br />
Figure 41: Dried grape properties in 2014<br />
Property size 2014 % of total 2014 % of total<br />
(grape area) Properties properties Hectares hectares<br />
1 to 5 ha 114 29% 345 6%<br />
5 to 10 ha 149 38% 1,030 19%<br />
10 to 20 ha 90 23% 1,270 23%<br />
20 to 40 ha 32 8% 900 17%<br />
40 to 100 ha 7 2% 525 10%<br />
100 to 500 ha 4 1% 830 15%<br />
> 500 ha 1 0% 515 10%<br />
2014 total 397 100% 5,415 100%<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 50 of 65
Hectares<br />
7. Table grape industry analysis<br />
7.1 Change in table grape plantings 1997 to 2014<br />
New table grape plantings between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2014 have predominantly been red grape varieties.<br />
The proportion of red table grape plantings increased from 25% of 1997 table grape plantings to<br />
57% of 2014 plantings.<br />
The proportion of black table grape plantings increased slightly, from 2% of 1 997 plantings to 8%<br />
of 2014 plantings, while white table grapes declined from 73% of 1997 plantings to just 36% of<br />
2014 plantings.<br />
Figure 42: Summary of bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing table grape plantings (hectares) 1997 to 2014<br />
9,000<br />
8,000<br />
7,000<br />
6,000<br />
5,000<br />
4,000<br />
3,000<br />
2,000<br />
1,000<br />
0<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
Table grapes 1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% of 2014<br />
total<br />
Change<br />
1997-2014<br />
Black non-bearing 16 18 292 206 102 1% +86<br />
Black bearing 80 73 73 342 568 6% +488<br />
Red non-bearing 408 1,099 755 709 1,123 13% +715<br />
Red bearing 991 1,728 2,569 2,744 3,835 44% +2,844<br />
White non-bearing 486 728 528 180 445 5% -41<br />
White bearing 3,558 4,038 3,823 3,139 2,682 31% -876<br />
Total table grapes (ha) 5,540 7,685 8,040 7,320 8,755 100% +3,215<br />
% Bearing 84% 76% 80% 85% 81%<br />
% Non-bearing 16% 24% 20% 15% 19%<br />
% Black grapes 2% 1% 5% 7% 8%<br />
% Red grapes 25% 37% 41% 47% 57%<br />
% White grapes 73% 62% 54% 45% 36%<br />
White non-bearing<br />
White bearing<br />
Red non-bearing<br />
Red bearing<br />
Black non-bearing<br />
Black bearing<br />
Note: <strong>Grape</strong> varieties <strong>for</strong> 38% of 2014 non-bearing plantings were not recorded. Hence, 2014<br />
non-bearing figures in Figure 42 <strong>and</strong> Figure 43 are extrapolated from 62% of recorded varieties<br />
<strong>and</strong> are indicative only. All other figures have been extrapolated with at least 80% of varieties<br />
recorded.<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 51 of 65
White grapes<br />
Red grapes<br />
Black grapes<br />
7.1.1 Hectares of bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing table grape varieties<br />
The non-bearing areas of table grapes in Figure 43 give an indication of changes in the popularity<br />
of different varieties. For instance, Red Globe was popular from 1997 to 2003 but new plantings<br />
of the variety have since declined.<br />
Figure 43: Hectares of bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing table grape varieties 1997 to 2014<br />
Colour &<br />
season<br />
Early<br />
Mid<br />
Mid<br />
1997 (ha) 2003 (ha) 2006 (ha) 2009 (ha) 2014 (ha)<br />
Non-<br />
Variety bearing<br />
bearing bearing Nonbearing<br />
bearing Nonbearing<br />
bearing Nonbearing<br />
bearing Nonbearing<br />
Other 14 4 2 5 1 6 0 4 0 4 1<br />
PBR varieties 0 0 0 3 3 32 37 63 128 5<br />
Black Muscat 7 2 10 0 7 1 8 1 9 0<br />
PBR varieties 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 14 30 65<br />
M-L Ribier 39 1 20 0 12 0 8 0 7 0<br />
Late<br />
Early<br />
Mid<br />
M-L<br />
Early<br />
Mid<br />
AutumnRoyal 0 0 2 10 11 233 231 116 324 30<br />
Other 15 31 11 36 5 35 24 52 5 45 1<br />
PBR variety 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 7 21 0<br />
Cardinal 69 1 40 0 18 0 10 0 4 0<br />
Flame 147 16 146 17 140 6 93 16 142 28<br />
Ralli Seedless 7 31 71 42 111 12 103 7 160 50<br />
Other 16 38 2 28 0 19 0 9 0 5 0<br />
PBR varieties 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 2 14 85<br />
Red Emperor 171 10 95 2 66 0 33 0 12 0<br />
Red Globe 509 333 1,177 335 1,376 121 1,220 52 967 75<br />
Crimson 32 16 154 654 777 482 1,258 632 2,512 865<br />
Other 17 17 1 18 48 61 132 16 0 8 0<br />
PBR variety 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 10 20<br />
Menindee 607 286 1,031 276 1,126 122 969 90 814 85<br />
Other 18 29 8 26 12 33 0 14 0 9 0<br />
PBR varieties 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 7 2 10<br />
Other 19 27 9 32 11 32 116 65 0 9 0<br />
PBR varieties 1 3 6 5 11 0 0 4 6 10<br />
Thompson 2,595 133 2,655 341 2,292 161 1,896 68 1,658 190<br />
M-L Waltham 58 0 38 0 30 0 10 0 5 0<br />
Late<br />
Calmeria 123 44 163 31 178 16 124 8 105 0<br />
Ohanez 118 3 79 10 73 12 58 1 33 0<br />
Other 20 1 0 8 40 47 98 2 0 0 0<br />
PBR varieties 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 41 150<br />
Total (hectares) 4,630 910 5,840 1,845 6,465 1,575 6,225 1,095 7,085 1,670<br />
% Bearing / non-bearing 84% 16% 76% 24% 80% 20% 85% 15% 81% 19%<br />
PBR varieties are proprietary varieties only recently, or still waiting to be, granted plant variety rights.<br />
14 Other early-mid season black varieties: Fantasy Seedless, Kyoho, Maroo Seedless<br />
15 Other late season black varieties: Black America, Purple Cornichon<br />
16 Other mid season red varieties: Christmas Rose, Queen, Red Malaga, Ruby Seedless<br />
17 Other mid-late season red varieties: Nyora, Red Prince, Red Rob, Zante<br />
18 Other early season white varieties: Centennial, Early Muscat, Merbein Seedless, Perlette, Sunmuscat<br />
19 Other mid season white varieties: Apple, Dawn Seedless, Golden Globe, Italia, Kismiski, Moss Sultana<br />
20 Other late season white varieties: Hunisa, Jade Seedless, Stanley Seedless<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 52 of 65
White grapes<br />
Red grapes<br />
Black grapes<br />
7.1.2 Change in table grape varieties 1997 to 2014<br />
Figure 44 lists table grape varieties by colour <strong>and</strong> seasonality <strong>and</strong> shows change in the total area<br />
of each variety between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2014.<br />
The dominant table grape varieties, Crimson Seedless (39%), Thompson Seedless (21%), Red<br />
Globe (12%) <strong>and</strong> Menindee Seedless (10%), make up 82% of the 2014 planted area of table<br />
grapes.<br />
Figure 44: Change in table grape varieties (hectares) 1997 to 2014<br />
Colour &<br />
Variety 21 % of 2014 Change<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
Season<br />
total 1997-2014<br />
Early Other varieties 6 6 6 4 5 0% -1<br />
Mid PBR varieties - 3 35 99 133 2% +133<br />
Mid<br />
Black Muscat 8 10 8 9 9 0% +1<br />
PBR varieties - - - 14 95 1% +95<br />
M-L Ribier 40 20 12 8 7 0% -34<br />
Autumn Royal - 13 243 348 354 4% +354<br />
Late Other varieties 42 40 59 57 46 1% +5<br />
PBR variety - - 2 9 21 0% +21<br />
Cardinal 70 40 18 10 4 0% -65<br />
Early Flame 163 163 146 109 170 2% +8<br />
Ralli Seedless 38 112 122 109 210 2% +171<br />
Other varieties 40 28 19 9 5 0% -35<br />
Mid<br />
PBR varieties - 1 3 5 99 1% +99<br />
Red Emperor 181 97 67 33 12 0% -169<br />
Red Globe 842 1,513 1,496 1,271 1,042 12% +200<br />
Crimson 48 808 1,259 1,889 3,377 39% +3,329<br />
M-L Other varieties 18 66 193 16 8 0% -10<br />
PBR variety - - - 1 30 0% +30<br />
Menindee 893 1,307 1,248 1,059 899 10% +6<br />
Early Other varieties 37 38 34 14 9 0% -27<br />
PBR varieties - - 1 8 12 0% +12<br />
Other varieties 36 43 148 65 9 0% -27<br />
Mid PBR varieties 4 11 12 5 16 0% +12<br />
Thompson 2,728 2,997 2,454 1,965 1,848 21% -880<br />
M-L Waltham 58 38 30 10 5 0% -53<br />
Calmeria 167 195 195 132 105 1% -62<br />
Late<br />
Ohanez 121 89 85 59 33 0% -88<br />
Other varieties 1 48 145 2 0 0% -1<br />
PBR varieties - - - 1 191 2% +191<br />
Total (hectares) 5,540 7,685 8,040 7,320 8,755 100% +3,215<br />
% Bearing 84% 76% 80% 85% 81%<br />
% Non-bearing 16% 24% 20% 15% 19%<br />
M-L = Mid to Late season.<br />
PBR (Plant Breeders’ Rights) in this table refers to proprietary varieties only recently, or still waiting to be, granted<br />
plant variety rights<br />
21 Details of ‘other varieties’ are listed in a footnote on page 52.<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 53 of 65
Black<br />
Red<br />
White<br />
Annual production estimate<br />
(tonnes)<br />
7.2 Table grape production from 1997 to 2014<br />
Table grape production (tonnes) has been estimated based on an average yield of 20 kg per vine<br />
from 1,200 vines/ha. Only the bearing plantings (hectares) from Figure 43 have been used in the<br />
calculation.<br />
The greatest increase in production between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2014 was in mid- to late-season red grape<br />
varieties, equating to an estimated 59,534 tonnes of additional fruit as new plantings have come<br />
into production (Figure 45). There has been a significant decrease in mid-season white varieties<br />
equating to an estimated reduction of 22,817 tonnes between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2014.<br />
Figure 45: Annual production estimate (tonnes) of table grapes 1997 to 2014<br />
200,000<br />
150,000<br />
100,000<br />
50,000<br />
0<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
Black Late<br />
Black Mid-Late<br />
Black Mid<br />
Black Early-Mid<br />
Red Mid-Late<br />
Red Mid<br />
Red Early<br />
White Late<br />
White Mid-Late<br />
White Mid<br />
White Early<br />
% of 2014<br />
total<br />
Change (t)<br />
1997-2014<br />
Early 15,246 25,362 27,822 23,614 19,806 12% +4,560<br />
Mid 62,951 64,651 56,057 47,075 40,134 24% -22,817<br />
Mid-Late 1,396 911 714 236 129 0% -1,267<br />
Late 5,809 5,993 7,168 4,423 4,298 3% -1,511<br />
Early 5,351 6,150 6,457 4,928 7,343 4% +1,992<br />
Mid 17,241 31,206 35,092 30,357 23,959 14% +6,718<br />
Mid-Late 1,194 4,127 20,104 30,565 60,729 36% +59,534<br />
Early-Mid 99 130 193 981 3,160 2% +3,061<br />
Mid 157 236 174 183 942 1% +785<br />
Mid-Late 941 477 292 200 157 0% -784<br />
Late 734 917 1,087 6,840 9,382 6% +8,648<br />
Total tonnes0 111,120 140,160 155,160 149,400 170,040 100% +58,920<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 54 of 65
Hectares<br />
7.3 Table grape plantings yet to come into production<br />
Figure 46 shows the proportion of bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing table grape plantings in 2014 by<br />
seasonality.<br />
The main non-bearing (less than three years old) plantings comprise 885 hectares of mid to late<br />
season red grapes. The 885 hectares of mid to late season red grapes are Crimson Seedless (865<br />
ha) <strong>and</strong> PBR varieties (20 ha) as shown in Figure 47.<br />
Figure 46: Seasonality of bearing <strong>and</strong> non-bearing table grape varieties in 2014<br />
3,500<br />
Early<br />
Early-<br />
Mid<br />
Mid<br />
Mid-<br />
Late<br />
Late<br />
3,000<br />
2,500<br />
2,000<br />
1,500<br />
1,000<br />
500<br />
White non-bearing<br />
White bearing<br />
Red non-bearing<br />
Red bearing<br />
Black non-bearing<br />
Black bearing<br />
0<br />
Table grapes in 2014 Early<br />
Early-<br />
Mid-<br />
% of 2014<br />
Mid<br />
Late Total<br />
Mid<br />
Late<br />
total ha<br />
Black non-bearing - 6 65 - 31 102 1%<br />
Black bearing - 132 39 7 391 568 6%<br />
Red non-bearing 78 - 160 885 - 1,123 13%<br />
Red bearing 306 - 998 2,530 - 3,835 44%<br />
White non-bearing 95 - 200 - 150 445 5%<br />
White bearing 825 - 1,672 5 179 2,682 31%<br />
Total table grapes (ha) 1,304 138 3,135 3,427 751 8,755<br />
% Bearing 87% 96% 86% 74% 76%<br />
% Non-bearing 13% 4% 14% 26% 24%<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 55 of 65
White grapes<br />
Red grapes<br />
Black grapes<br />
7.3.1 Table grape varieties yet to come into production<br />
Significant areas (1,670 hectares) of table grapes were non-bearing in 2014 <strong>and</strong> will come into<br />
production in 2015–2017. Figure 47 provides an indication of the tonnages (40,080 tonnes) that<br />
those areas will contribute to the annual crop as they reach full production.<br />
The largest area of non-bearing plantings in 2014 was Crimson Seedless which will contribute an<br />
estimated 20,760 tonnes in coming seasons; a 34% increase on 2014 production.<br />
Production from the 2014 non-bearing plantings represents a 24% increase on the estimated<br />
2014 production from bearing plantings (170,040 tonnes).<br />
Figure 47: Projected tonnage from table grape varieties that were non-bearing in 2014<br />
Colour &<br />
season<br />
Early<br />
Mid<br />
Mid<br />
Variety 22 2014<br />
Bearing<br />
(ha)<br />
2014 Nonbearing<br />
(ha)<br />
Estimated<br />
production <strong>for</strong><br />
2014 bearing areas<br />
(tonnes)<br />
Projected production<br />
from 2014 nonbearing<br />
areas<br />
(tonnes)<br />
Other varieties 4 1 87 24<br />
PBR varieties 128 5 3,073 120<br />
Black Muscat 9 - 219 0<br />
PBR varieties 30 65 723 1,560<br />
M-L Ribier 7 - 157 0<br />
Autumn Royal 324 30 7,786 720<br />
Late Other varieties 45 1 1,091 24<br />
PBR variety 21 - 505 0<br />
Cardinal 4 - 101 0<br />
Early Flame 142 28 3,412 672<br />
Ralli Seedless 160 50 3,830 1,200<br />
Other varieties 5 - 126 0<br />
Mid<br />
PBR varieties 14 85 331 2,040<br />
Red Emperor 12 - 297 0<br />
Red Globe 967 75 23,205 1,800<br />
Crimson 2,512 865 60,291 20,760<br />
M-L Other varieties 8 - 196 0<br />
PBR variety 10 20 241 480<br />
Menindee 814 85 19,540 2,040<br />
Early Other varieties 9 - 222 0<br />
PBR varieties 2 10 45 240<br />
Other varieties 9 - 210 0<br />
Mid PBR varieties 6 10 140 240<br />
Thompson 1,658 190 39,784 4,560<br />
M-L Waltham 5 - 129 0<br />
Calmeria 105 - 2,526 0<br />
Late<br />
Ohanez 33 - 793 0<br />
Other varieties - - 0 0<br />
PBR varieties 41 150 979 3,600<br />
Total hectares 7,085 1,670<br />
Production estimate (tonnes) 170,040 40,080<br />
22 Details of ‘other varieties’ are listed in a footnote under Figure 43 on page 52.<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 56 of 65
wholesale market price ($/kg)<br />
7.4 Table grape prices 1997 to 2014<br />
Wholesale prices ($/kg) paid <strong>for</strong> table grapes sent into the Melbourne <strong>and</strong> Sydney wholesale<br />
markets between January <strong>and</strong> April (inclusive) from 1997 to 2014 were sourced from Ausmarket<br />
Consultants.<br />
The data provided by Ausmarket Consultants represented averages <strong>and</strong> highest <strong>and</strong> lowest prices<br />
per month by variety. SunRISE Mapping are unable to further calculate a weighted average,<br />
however the average monthly prices already take the volume of delivery at each price into<br />
consideration, by variety.<br />
The average prices returned to growers from the wholesale markets increased overall by $ 0.20<br />
between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2014. The greatest price increase ($0.79) was <strong>for</strong> black grapes. The price of<br />
white grapes between 1997 <strong>and</strong> 2014 fell by $0.18.<br />
Figure 48:<br />
Average wholesale price ($ per kilogram) <strong>for</strong> table grapes delivered into Melbourne <strong>and</strong><br />
Sydney markets 1997 to 2014<br />
$1.70<br />
$1.60<br />
$1.50<br />
$1.40<br />
$1.30<br />
$1.20<br />
$1.10<br />
$1.00<br />
$0.90<br />
$0.80<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
Table grapes 1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
Change ($)<br />
1997-2014<br />
White $ 1.06 $ 1.14 $ 1.02 $ 0.84 $ 0.88 - $ 0.18<br />
Red $ 1.06 $ 1.10 $ 1.31 $ 1.52 $ 1.39 + $ 0.32<br />
Black $ 0.89 $ 1.11 $ 1.27 $ 1.40 $ 1.68 + $ 0.79<br />
Average price $/kg $ 1.03 $ 1.11 $ 1.20 $ 1.32 $ 1.23 + $ 0.20<br />
Black<br />
Red<br />
White<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 57 of 65
Black<br />
Red<br />
White<br />
wholesale market price ($/kg)<br />
7.4.1 Monthly wholesale prices <strong>for</strong> table grapes delivered into<br />
the Melbourne <strong>and</strong> Sydney markets<br />
Figure 49:<br />
Monthly average wholesale prices ($ per kilogram) <strong>for</strong> table grapes at Melbourne <strong>and</strong><br />
Sydney markets between January <strong>and</strong> April, 1997 to 2014<br />
$4.00<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
$3.50<br />
$3.00<br />
Black Red White<br />
$2.50<br />
$2.00<br />
$1.50<br />
$1.00<br />
$0.50<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
January $ 1.31 $ 1.08 $ 1.09 $ 1.17 $ 1.00<br />
February $ 1.01 $ 0.91 $ 1.08 $ 0.90 $ 0.87<br />
March $ 0.93 $ 1.21 $ 0.88 $ 0.69 $ 0.79<br />
April $ 0.97 $ 1.25 $ 1.04 $ 0.79 $ 0.85<br />
January $ 1.19 $ 1.16 $ 1.36 $ 1.89 $ 1.63<br />
February $ 1.01 $ 1.12 $ 1.31 $ 1.44 $ 1.32<br />
March $ 1.03 $ 1.16 $ 1.32 $ 1.35 $ 1.31<br />
April $ 1.03 $ 0.99 $ 1.18 $ 1.30 $ 1.32<br />
January $ 1.04 $ 1.90 $ 1.74 $ 3.70 $ 1.91<br />
February $ 0.82 $ 1.08 $ 1.15 $ 1.43 $ 1.84<br />
March $ 0.89 $ 1.02 $ 1.17 $ 1.30 $ 1.59<br />
April $ 0.86 $ 1.06 $ 1.40 $ 1.19 $ 1.31<br />
Average $/kg $ 1.03 $ 1.11 $ 1.20 $ 1.32 $ 1.23<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 58 of 65
White<br />
Red<br />
Black<br />
Price $/kg<br />
hecatres (bearing <strong>and</strong> non<br />
bearing)<br />
Price $/kg<br />
hectares (bearing <strong>and</strong> non<br />
bearing)<br />
Price $/kg<br />
hectares (bearing <strong>and</strong><br />
non bearing)<br />
7.4.2 Trends in pricing <strong>and</strong> areas of table grape plantings<br />
The charts in Figure 50 show change from 1997 to 2014 in average prices <strong>for</strong> table grape plantings<br />
(dashed blue lines) <strong>and</strong> corresponding changes in planted area (hectares).<br />
Figure 50:<br />
Trends in planted hectares of table grapes as prices fluctuate<br />
$1.50<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
Black hectares planted<br />
Black $/kg<br />
5,000<br />
4,000<br />
$1.00<br />
3,000<br />
2,000<br />
$0.50<br />
1,000<br />
$0.00<br />
0<br />
$1.50<br />
Red hectares planted<br />
Red $/kg<br />
5,000<br />
4,000<br />
$1.00<br />
3,000<br />
2,000<br />
$0.50<br />
1,000<br />
$0.00<br />
White hectares planted<br />
White $/kg<br />
0<br />
5,000<br />
$1.50<br />
4,000<br />
$1.00<br />
3,000<br />
$0.50<br />
2,000<br />
1,000<br />
$0.00<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
0<br />
Change 1997-<br />
2014<br />
Hectares 96 92 365 548 670 +574<br />
Price ($/kg) $0.89 $1.11 $1.27 $1.40 $1.68 +$0.79<br />
Hectares 1,399 2,827 3,324 3,453 4,958 +3,558<br />
Price ($/kg) $1.06 $1.10 $1.31 $1.52 $1.39 +$0.33<br />
Hectares 4,044 4,766 4,351 3,319 3,127 -917<br />
Price ($/kg) $1.06 $1.14 $1.02 $0.84 $0.88 -$0.18<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 59 of 65
Black<br />
Red<br />
White<br />
Contribution to regional<br />
income ($ million)<br />
7.5 Crop value of table grapes 1997 to 2014<br />
Crop value provides an indication of the (potential) annual contribution to regional or National<br />
income from annual production of a crop.<br />
Crop value of Murray Valley table grapes was calculated from:<br />
The area (hectares) of bearing table grape plantings from SunRISE mapping (Figure 43)<br />
Assuming an average table grape yield of 24,000 kilograms/hectare (20 kg/vine <strong>and</strong> 1,200<br />
vines/ha), <strong>and</strong><br />
<br />
Average prices ($/kilogram) in the Melbourne <strong>and</strong> Sydney markets. The market price<br />
applied to each variety is based on the approximate month it is harvested (assuming it is<br />
sent directly to the market)<br />
Crop value $ = area bearing (ha) × average yield (kilograms/ha) × average price ($/kilogram)<br />
Figure 51: Regional income ($ million) from table grapes 1997 to 2014<br />
$220<br />
$200<br />
$180<br />
$160<br />
$140<br />
$120<br />
$100<br />
$80<br />
$60<br />
$40<br />
$20<br />
$-<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
White Late<br />
White Mid-Late<br />
White Mid<br />
White Early<br />
Red Mid-Late<br />
Red Mid<br />
Red Early<br />
Black Late<br />
Black Mid-Late<br />
Black Mid<br />
Black Early-Mid<br />
% of total<br />
in 2014<br />
Change<br />
1997-2014<br />
Early $20.0 $27.4 $30.4 $27.7 $19.8 10% -$0.2<br />
Mid $63.6 $58.5 $60.3 $42.2 $35.0 17% -$28.6<br />
Mid-late $1.3 $1.1 $0.6 $0.2 $0.1 0% -$1.2<br />
Late $5.6 $7.5 $7.4 $3.5 $3.7 2% -$2.0<br />
Early $6.4 $7.1 $8.8 $9.3 $12.0 6% +$5.6<br />
Mid $17.4 $34.9 $46.0 $43.8 $31.7 16% +$14.3<br />
Mid-late $1.2 $4.8 $26.5 $41.2 $79.6 39% +$78.4<br />
Early-mid $0.1 $0.2 $0.3 $3.6 $6.0 3% +$5.9<br />
Mid $0.1 $0.3 $0.2 $0.3 $1.7 1% +$1.6<br />
Mid-late $0.8 $0.5 $0.3 $0.3 $0.2 0% -$0.6<br />
Late $0.6 $1.0 $1.5 $8.1 $12.2 6% +$11.6<br />
Total $ million $117.3 $143.3 $182.5 $180.3 $202.1 100% +$84.8<br />
Farm gate value ($/hectare) of table grape production has also been calculated (Figure 52). Farm<br />
gate value represents the gross return to growers be<strong>for</strong>e deducting costs of production. Costs of<br />
production are not considered in this analysis (<strong>and</strong> are not part of the project brief), but they vary<br />
over time <strong>and</strong> have a significant impact on net income. In<strong>for</strong>mation on production costs can be<br />
sourced from relevant industry groups.<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 60 of 65
Black<br />
$/hectare gross income<br />
Red<br />
$/ha gross income<br />
White<br />
$/ha gross income<br />
7.5.1 Farm gate value of table grapes 1997 to 2014<br />
Figure 52: Changes in farm gate value (weighted average $/ha) of table grapes 1997 to 2014<br />
$45,000<br />
$35,000<br />
$25,000<br />
$15,000<br />
White Early<br />
White Mid<br />
White Mid-<br />
Late<br />
White Late<br />
Change 1997-2014<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% $<br />
Early $31,559 $25,960 $26,261 $28,193 $24,013 -24% -$7,545<br />
Mid $24,261 $21,729 $25,817 $21,526 $20,927 -14% -$3,334<br />
Mid-late $22,263 $29,108 $21,076 $16,549 $19,011 -15% -$3,252<br />
Late $23,276 $30,075 $24,907 $19,029 $20,425 -12% -$2,851<br />
$/hectare $25,409 $27,318 $24,468 $20,145 $21,112 -17% -$4,246<br />
$45,000<br />
Red Early<br />
$35,000<br />
Red Mid<br />
$25,000<br />
$15,000<br />
Red Mid-<br />
Late<br />
Change 1997-2014<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% $<br />
Early-mid $28,642 $27,813 $32,535 $45,421 $39,132 +37% +$10,490<br />
Mid $24,174 $26,811 $31,483 $34,624 $31,705 +31% +$7,531<br />
Mid-late $24,810 $27,814 $31,693 $32,372 $31,460 +27% +$6,650<br />
$/hectare $25,506 $26,304 $31,359 $36,533 $33,295 +31% +$8,224<br />
$95,000<br />
$75,000<br />
$55,000<br />
$35,000<br />
Black<br />
Early-Mid<br />
Black Mid<br />
Black Mid-<br />
Late<br />
Black Late<br />
$15,000<br />
Change 1997-2014<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% $<br />
Early-mid $24,861 $45,620 $41,667 $88,893 $45,836 +84% +$20,975<br />
Mid $19,759 $26,007 $27,607 $34,389 $44,158 +123% +$24,399<br />
Mid-late $21,457 $24,416 $28,129 $31,152 $38,204 +78% +$16,747<br />
Late $20,735 $25,339 $33,522 $28,495 $31,333 +51% +$10,599<br />
$/hectare $21,474 $26,659 $30,577 $33,624 $40,396 +88% +$18,180<br />
Wgtd ave. $/ha $24,657 $26,728 $28,859 $31,625 $29,425 +19% +$4,768<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 61 of 65
Hectares<br />
7.6 Irrigation methods <strong>for</strong> table grape plantings<br />
Low level sprinklers remained the dominant irrigation method <strong>for</strong> table grape plantings from<br />
1997 to 2014.<br />
96% of plantings are irrigated with low level sprinklers or drippers.<br />
Figure 53: Change in irrigation methods <strong>for</strong> table grape plantings from 1997 to 2014<br />
Irrigation<br />
method<br />
9,000<br />
8,000<br />
7,000<br />
6,000<br />
5,000<br />
4,000<br />
3,000<br />
2,000<br />
1,000<br />
0<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% of 2014<br />
total<br />
Change (ha)<br />
1997-2014<br />
Drip 660 1,540 2,230 2,460 4,150 47% +3,490<br />
Low level 2,170 3,960 4,230 4,110 4,325 49% +2,155<br />
Overhead 980 1,090 860 565 220 3% -760<br />
Furrow 1,730 1,095 720 185 60 1% -1,670<br />
Total (ha) 5,540 7,685 8,040 7,320 8,755 100% +3,215<br />
Drip<br />
Low level<br />
Overhead<br />
Furrow<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 62 of 65
hectares<br />
7.7 Rootstocks of table grape plantings 1997 to 2014<br />
Figure 54 lists rootstocks of table grape plantings in the Murray Valley study area <strong>and</strong> shows the<br />
proportion of plantings that are not on a rootstock (19% in 2014). Plantings not on a rootstock<br />
are either on their own roots or have been top worked on to the roots of the previous variety.<br />
The proportion of plantings on a rootstock increased from 35% in 1997 to 81% in 2014. The<br />
dominant rootstocks are; Ramsey (35% of plantings), Schwarzmann (18% of plantings) <strong>and</strong><br />
Paulsen 1103 (12% of plantings).<br />
Figure 54: Change in rootstocks of table grape plantings from 1997 to 2014<br />
9,000<br />
8,000<br />
7,000<br />
6,000<br />
5,000<br />
4,000<br />
3,000<br />
2,000<br />
1,000<br />
0<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% of 2014 Change<br />
total 1997-2014<br />
Not on a rootstock 3,628 3,605 2,755 1,932 1,643 19% -1,985<br />
Dog Ridge 83 210 232 226 339 4% +257<br />
Harmony 116 129 120 95 101 1% -15<br />
Kober 5BB 1 52 60 70 105 1% +104<br />
K51-32 6 9 6 5 7 0% +1<br />
K51-40 6 9 10 8 15 0% +8<br />
101-14 1 1 4 10 31 0% +30<br />
Paulsen 1103 4 114 459 524 1,062 12% +1,058<br />
Ramsey 1,154 2,238 2,575 2,589 3,060 35% +1,906<br />
Richter 99,110 0 1 1 19 22 0% +22<br />
Ruggeri 140 4 64 246 155 312 4% +308<br />
Schwarzmann 373 909 1,179 1,287 1,549 18% +1,177<br />
SO4 0 1 1 0 0 0% 0<br />
Teleki 5A,5C 151 328 373 375 481 5% +330<br />
Other rootstocks 12 14 18 25 26 0% +14<br />
Total hectares 5,540 7,685 8,040 7,320 8,755 100% +3,215<br />
% No rootstock 65% 47% 34% 26% 19%<br />
% on a rootstock 35% 53% 66% 74% 81%<br />
Other rootstock<br />
Teleki 5A,5C<br />
SO4<br />
Schwarzmann<br />
Ruggeri 140<br />
Richter 99,110<br />
Ramsey<br />
Paulsen 1103<br />
101-14<br />
K51-40<br />
K51-32<br />
Kober 5BB<br />
Harmony<br />
Dog Ridge<br />
Not on rootstock<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 63 of 65
Number of properties<br />
7.8 Table grape property numbers <strong>and</strong> size 1997 to 2014<br />
Figure 55 provides an estimate of the number of table grape growers <strong>and</strong> their average property<br />
size. Property size is the total hectares of grapevines, including dried <strong>and</strong> wine grape plantings.<br />
Figure 55: Change in property numbers <strong>and</strong> size <strong>for</strong> table grape growers from 1997 to 2014<br />
700<br />
600<br />
500<br />
400<br />
300<br />
200<br />
100<br />
0<br />
Property size<br />
(table grape area)<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
75<br />
205<br />
205<br />
94<br />
210<br />
227 204<br />
94 111 118 111 86<br />
1997 2003 2006 2009 2014<br />
% of 2014<br />
total<br />
Change<br />
1997-2014<br />
1 to 5 ha 94 111 118 111 86 19% -8<br />
5 to 10 ha 205 227 204 151 103 23% -102<br />
10 to 20 ha 205 210 174 146 120 27% -85<br />
20 to 40 ha 75 94 86 69 94 21% +19<br />
40 to 100 ha 8 12 18 20 28 6% +20<br />
100 to 500 ha 3 13 13 14 10 2% +9<br />
Total properties 590 667 615 513 443 100% -147<br />
Average size (ha) 13.6 17.1 18.3 19.6 23.2<br />
86<br />
174<br />
69<br />
146<br />
151<br />
94<br />
120<br />
103<br />
100 to 500 ha<br />
50 to 100 ha<br />
20 to 50 ha<br />
10 to 20 ha<br />
5 to 10 ha<br />
1 to 5 ha<br />
110 of the 443 table grape properties also produced wine <strong>and</strong>/or dried grapes in 2014.<br />
Production across the 10,275 hectares of grapevines comprised 220 hectares dried, 1,300<br />
hectares wine grapes <strong>and</strong> 8,755 hectares table grapes.<br />
30% of table grape properties are over 20 hectares <strong>and</strong> grow 73% of grape plantings (Figure 56).<br />
Figure 56: Table grape properties in 2014<br />
Property size 2014 % of total 2014 % of total<br />
(grape area) Properties properties Hectares hectares<br />
1 to 5 ha 86 19% 240 2%<br />
5 to 10 ha 103 23% 775 8%<br />
10 to 20 ha 120 27% 1,725 17%<br />
20 to 40 ha 94 21% 2,935 29%<br />
40 to 100 ha 28 6% 1,925 19%<br />
100 to 500 ha 12 3% 2,675 26%<br />
2014 total 443 100% 10,275 100%<br />
SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 64 of 65
8. Bibliography<br />
Agriculture Victoria. (1997). Murray Valley Wine <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> Advisory Council Winegrape Utilisation<br />
Survey 1997. Department of natural Resources <strong>and</strong> Environment, Agriculture Victoria.<br />
Department of Natural Resources <strong>and</strong> Environment.<br />
Ausmarket Consultants. (2003). Melbourne Monhtly <strong>Grape</strong> Prices collated by Fresh Port. Sydney:<br />
Ausmarket Consultants.<br />
Ausmarket Consultants. (2014). Melbourne Monthly <strong>Grape</strong> Prices 1997, 2003, 2006, 2009, 2014 highlow-average-best<br />
from in<strong>for</strong>maton collected by Fresh State. Sydney: Ausmarket Consulting.<br />
Ausmarket Consultants. (2014). Sydney Monthly <strong>Grape</strong>s 1997, 2003, 2006, 2009 <strong>and</strong> 2014 high-lowaverage-best<br />
price reports compiled from Sydney Market Reporting Service. Sydney: Ausmarket<br />
Consultants.<br />
Department of Primary Industries. (2003). Australian Regional Winegrape Crush Survey - Victoria / NSW<br />
Murray Valley. Department of Prinary Industries.<br />
Department of Primary Industries. (2006). Australian Regional Wine <strong>Grape</strong> Crush Survey Murray<br />
Darling, Swan Hill. Vicitorian Government.<br />
Department of Primary Industries. (2009). Winegrape Crush Survey Murray Darling / Swan Hill.<br />
Department of Prinary Industries. Victorian Government.<br />
Hickey, T., & Hengsen, K. (2014). Wine <strong>Grape</strong> Crush Report Murray Darling/Swan Hill. Mildura: Murray<br />
Valley Wine <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> Advisory Committee.<br />
Martin, S. R., Dunn, G. M., & Krstic, M. P. (2007). Regulating Yield to Improve Wine Quality <strong>and</strong> Reduce<br />
<strong>Industry</strong> Costs. Final Report to <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>and</strong> Wie Research <strong>and</strong> Development Corporation. Project<br />
DNR 03/02. Department of Primary Industries, Victoria. <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>and</strong> Wine Research <strong>and</strong><br />
Development Corporation.<br />
Retallack, M. (2010). Updating vineyard costs of production data <strong>for</strong> the Murray Valley Wine Region.<br />
Mildura: Murray Valley Wine Growers Inc.<br />
Retallack, M. (2012). Economic Benchmarking <strong>for</strong> the Murray Valley Wine Region seasons 2010/11.<br />
Mildura: Murray Valley Winegrowers Inc.<br />
Retallack, M. (2012). Murray Valley <strong>and</strong> Riverina Water Use Efficiency Study 2011/12. Murray Valley<br />
Winegrowers Inc <strong>and</strong> Riverina Winegrapes Marketing Board.<br />
Sydney Market Reporting Service. (2003). Sydney Monthly <strong>Grape</strong> Prices . Sydney: Ausmarket<br />
Consulting.<br />
Sydney Market Reporting Service. (2006). Sydney Monthly <strong>Grape</strong> Prices. Sydney: Ausmarket Consulting.<br />
Sydney Market Reporting Service. (2009). Sydney Monthly <strong>Grape</strong> Prices. Sydney: Ausmarket Consulting.<br />
WGGA. (2008). Regional Benchmarking Report prepared as part of the 'Capacity Building <strong>for</strong> Australian<br />
Wine <strong>Grape</strong> Growers' project. Adelaide: prepared <strong>for</strong> Wine <strong>Grape</strong> Growers Australia by<br />
Scholefield Robinson Horticultural Services.<br />
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