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Grape Industry Analysis for Investment and Redevelopment

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3.3 Limitations<br />

Extrapolation of SunRISE crop data<br />

In<strong>for</strong>mation on grape varieties, irrigation methods, rootstocks <strong>and</strong> property ownership are<br />

derived from analyses of the SunRISE crop databases <strong>and</strong> extrapolation <strong>for</strong> unknown (‘not<br />

surveyed’) records.<br />

At least 80% of crop varieties are recorded <strong>for</strong> each year (1997, 2003, 2006, 2009 <strong>and</strong> 2014) with<br />

the exception of:<br />

<br />

<br />

2014 non-bearing wine grape varieties where only 25% of non-bearing varieties are<br />

recorded. The 2014 non-bearing wine grape varieties have not been extrapolated (Figure<br />

12, Figure 14, Figure 13 <strong>and</strong> Figure 15).<br />

2014 non-bearing table grape varieties where only 62% of non-bearing varieties are<br />

recorded. The 2014 non-bearing table grape varieties were still extrapolated (Figure 43).<br />

At least 70% of crop rootstocks are recorded <strong>for</strong> each year (1997, 2003, 2006, 2009 <strong>and</strong> 2014)<br />

with the exception of:<br />

<br />

2009 <strong>and</strong> 2014 table grape plantings where only 63% <strong>and</strong> 54% respectively of rootstocks<br />

are recorded. The 2009 <strong>and</strong> 2014 table grape rootstock data was still extrapolated<br />

(Figure 54).<br />

Areas <strong>and</strong> varieties of non-bearing plantings (less than three years old) are provided however the<br />

areas are likely to be under-stated as not all new <strong>and</strong> redeveloped plantings will have been<br />

recorded. SunRISE relies on visual identification of changes to plantings from the imagery <strong>and</strong><br />

from in<strong>for</strong>mation provided by growers.<br />

Multi use varieties<br />

Total areas (hectares) of grapevine plantings <strong>for</strong> each year in this report are accurate as they are<br />

mapped from scale accurate high resolution imagery. However, the area split <strong>for</strong> multi-use<br />

varieties, such as Gordo <strong>and</strong> Sultana, between the three markets (wine, table <strong>and</strong> dried) can be<br />

subject to error.<br />

Given that there are large areas of multi-use varieties their influence on total wine/dried/table<br />

areas can be significant. Without direct input from a grower on the market <strong>for</strong> their produce in a<br />

given season, SunRISE uses the history of the growers produce types, trellising details, crop prices<br />

etc. to assess the likely market that the fruit was consigned to.<br />

Also, the imagery provides visual clues as to produce type; such as white plastic covers over table<br />

grapes, smaller canopy on wine grape plantings <strong>and</strong> the patterning of canopy on a Shaw trellis <strong>for</strong><br />

drying is often distinct.<br />

Area harvested versus area planted<br />

Areas (hectares) stated in this report are the areas planted, not the area harvested.<br />

No attempt has been made to determine the proportion of crop not harvested in each of the<br />

seasons presented. Production <strong>and</strong> crop value estimates are based on all bearing plantings<br />

having been harvested, whereas this is not necessarily the case.<br />

Property numbers<br />

Property numbers are estimates only. In the SunRISE crop databases a ‘property’ is a corporate<br />

entity or family business where the family business can encompass multiple farms <strong>and</strong> family<br />

members. However, ‘property’ names are entered into the crop database as specified by growers<br />

<strong>and</strong> they may represent individual family members rather than the family company. This would<br />

suggest that property numbers are over stated in the analysis.<br />

SunRISE Mapping & Research <strong>Grape</strong> <strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Analysis</strong> Page 14 of 65

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