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Industry-Innovation-and-Competitiveness-Agenda

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Chart 1: The growth of emerging Asia<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

GDP Trillion 2011<br />

US$ (PPP)<br />

Emerging Asia<br />

Projection<br />

Developed Asia<br />

0<br />

0<br />

1985 1995 2005 2015 2025<br />

Data Source: Au-Yeung et al, 2013.<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

The expansion <strong>and</strong> enrichment of Asia’s<br />

middle class is increasing dem<strong>and</strong> for<br />

all manner of goods <strong>and</strong> services, from<br />

energy, high quality food products,<br />

<strong>and</strong> advanced manufactured goods,<br />

to health care, education, tourism <strong>and</strong><br />

financial services. For example, by 2050<br />

the real value (in 2009 US dollars) of beef<br />

consumption in China is projected to rise<br />

by 236 per cent, dairy consumption by<br />

74 per cent, <strong>and</strong> sugar consumption by<br />

330 per cent (Hamshere et al, 2014). More<br />

generally, China’s share of global dem<strong>and</strong><br />

for luxury goods is projected to double to<br />

around 20 per cent by 2020 (CLSA, 2011).<br />

Meanwhile, many Asian economies are becoming major new suppliers of these<br />

same goods <strong>and</strong> services, bringing serious competition to the global stage<br />

(Chart 2). To date, this has mainly occurred in less skill-intensive goods <strong>and</strong> services.<br />

Emerging Asia has increased its share of global manufacturing output from around<br />

6 per cent in 1982 to 29 per cent in 2012 <strong>and</strong> its share of services exports has grown from<br />

6 per cent in 2003 to 11 per cent last year (United Nations, 2013; 2014). As Asian economies<br />

Chart 2: The shifting centre of economic gravity invest in education, skill up (Chart 3)<br />

<strong>and</strong> move up the value chain, they are<br />

Per cent of world output<br />

30<br />

30 producing more advanced goods <strong>and</strong><br />

Projection<br />

services. In 2000, China produced around<br />

United States<br />

25<br />

China 25 6 per cent of the world’s communication<br />

equipment; by 2010 this had increased<br />

20<br />

20<br />

to 26 per cent (National Science Board,<br />

Euro area<br />

2012). Alibaba, a Chinese online sales<br />

15<br />

15<br />

company, is now larger than Amazon<br />

Emerging Asia<br />

10<br />

10 <strong>and</strong> eBay combined, <strong>and</strong> still growing<br />

(excl China)<br />

(Osawa et al, 2014).<br />

5<br />

0<br />

0<br />

1985 1995 2005 2015 2025<br />

Note: GDP adjusted for purchasing power parity (2011 prices).<br />

Data Source: Au-Yeung et al, 2013.<br />

5<br />

<strong>Industry</strong> <strong>Innovation</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Competitiveness</strong> <strong>Agenda</strong><br />

This growth is taking place against a<br />

backdrop of a global economy that<br />

is becoming increasingly integrated.<br />

Advances in technology have made<br />

communication <strong>and</strong> transportation faster<br />

TPO00007<br />

In<br />

Co<br />

THE CASE FOR REFORM<br />

3

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