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conference magazine - Caribbean Environmental Health Institute

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Parallel Session 7– Climate Change and<br />

Appropriate Technology (Negril Room)<br />

Energy Efficiency and Carbon Emission Reduction: a review<br />

of Guyana’s Low Carbon Development Strategy (LCDS) by<br />

Denise Simmons and Paulette Bynoe<br />

Climate change is recognized universally as a major threat that is<br />

likely to have dire consequences to natural, social, economic and<br />

human capital, given recently predicted impacts on water resources,<br />

ecosystems and coasts, food supplies and health. According<br />

to the Stern Review (2006) the economic costs of climate<br />

change impacts are between 5 and 20 per cent of global GDP, and<br />

possibly much higher. Thus, there is international agreement that<br />

nations of the World must now aim to stabilise levels of atmospheric<br />

greenhouse gases at 445-490 parts per million CO2e or<br />

less in an effort to avoid any catastrophe.<br />

One of the most effective ways of stabilising greenhouse gas levels<br />

is the implementation of mitigation measures with regard to<br />

energy supply and use which could account for 60 to 80 per cent<br />

of GHG reductions. It is a measure that should be considered non<br />

-negotiable by developed, emerging, and developing countries.<br />

Guyana is heavily reliant on importation of petroleum products<br />

which accounts for about 70% of primary energy supply. In fact the<br />

country imports approximately 10,400 barrels per day, with petroleum<br />

imports for 2008 representing about 44% of Guyana’s official<br />

GDP. To a lesser extent, bagasse, fuelwood and solar power also<br />

provide the energy supply required. Notwithstanding this, Guyana’s<br />

CO2 emissions are low: an estimate of CO2 emissions done<br />

for the reference year 1994 for Guyana’s Initial National Communication<br />

revealed that CO2 emissions are 1446 Gg. Given the vast<br />

extent of the Guyana’s forest resources, the country is considered<br />

a net sink country. As a front-runner in the <strong>Caribbean</strong> Community<br />

(Caricom), Guyana in 2009, launched its Low Carbon Development<br />

Strategy (LCDS) that sets out the national position on how<br />

such a platform for partnership can be created, and affirms its<br />

commitment to play its part. It further seeks to provide insights on<br />

how to stimulate the creation of a low-deforestation, low-carbon,<br />

climate-resilient economy.<br />

This paper is aimed at reviewing Guyana’s LCDS in light of the<br />

vital role of energy supply and use in the fight against climate<br />

change. In particular, it will clearly analyse the role envisaged for<br />

renewables (given that about 70 per cent of Guyana’s energy supply<br />

is sourced from fossil fuels), and importantly, energy efficiency<br />

as an aspect of mitigation. Possible gaps will be discussed and<br />

policy recommendations will be provided.<br />

Promotion of Rainwater Harvesting (RWH) in <strong>Caribbean</strong> Small<br />

Island Developing States by Christopher Cox<br />

The <strong>Caribbean</strong> <strong>Environmental</strong> <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Institute</strong> (CEHI) has been<br />

collaborating with the United Nations Environment Programme<br />

(UNEP) since 2005 in the promotion of Rainwater Harvesting<br />

(RWH) across the <strong>Caribbean</strong> as part of a global effort aimed at<br />

promoting water security across all ranges of use from household to<br />

agricultural to commercial and industrial applications. The use of RWH<br />

as a water augmentation measure is considered a key adaptation strategy<br />

to address the impacts of climate change where experts are forecasting<br />

that the precipitation regime in the <strong>Caribbean</strong> will shift towards<br />

less annual rainfall accumulation, with an increase in the frequency of<br />

extreme events, notably droughts and hurricanes. This will have significant<br />

implications in the context of watershed and aquifer recharge<br />

which will impact water withdrawals to maintain demand. Already,<br />

many <strong>Caribbean</strong> countries face challenges in meeting peak demands<br />

under normal conditions, but as the 2009-2010 drought demonstrated,<br />

water management and water security must be given high priority attention.<br />

This paper intends to highlight the work carried out under the<br />

cooperative efforts between UNEP and CEHI with contributions from<br />

local and regional agency partners in promoting RWH. It will focus on<br />

achievements in Grenada and Antigua & Barbuda as pilot countries in<br />

the formulation of a RWH National Programme of Action (Grenada),<br />

development of a <strong>Caribbean</strong> Regional RWH Programme, the installation<br />

of best-practice demonstrations for RWH within building infrastructure,<br />

the application of geographic information system (GIS)-assisted<br />

mapping of water availability as guidance for investment in RWH, the<br />

application of managed aquifer recharge (MAR) techniques using rainwater<br />

runoff, and the production of public education material including<br />

a Handbook on RWH for the <strong>Caribbean</strong>. The outputs from the initiative<br />

will contribute to the body of knowledge on the practice to assist and<br />

drive policy towards incorporation of RWH within national integrated<br />

water resources management policies and plans.<br />

Climate changes in the <strong>Caribbean</strong> and implications on renewable<br />

energy resources for the region by Jorge Gonzalez<br />

Assessment of renewable energy resources such as surface solar<br />

radiation and wind current has great relevance in the development of<br />

local and regional energy policies.<br />

This paper examines the variability and availability of these resources<br />

as a function of possible climate changes for the <strong>Caribbean</strong> region.<br />

Global climate changes have been reported in the last decades, causing<br />

changes in the atmospheric dynamics, which affects the net solar<br />

radiation balance at the surface and the wind strength and direction.<br />

For this investigation, the future climate changes for the <strong>Caribbean</strong> are<br />

predicted using the parallel climate model (PCM) and it is coupled with<br />

the regional atmospheric modelling system to simulate the solar and<br />

wind energy spatial patterns changes for the specific case of the island<br />

of Puerto Rico. Numerical results from PCM indicate that the <strong>Caribbean</strong><br />

basin from 2041 to 2055 will experience a slight decrease in the<br />

net surface solar radiation (with respect to the years 1996–2010),<br />

which is more pronounced in the western <strong>Caribbean</strong> sea. Results also<br />

indicate that the easterly winds have a tendency to increase in its magnitude,<br />

especially from the years 2070 to 2098. The regional model<br />

showed that important areas to collect solar energy are located in the<br />

eastern side of Puerto Rico, while the more intense wind speed is<br />

placed around the coast. A future climate change is expected in the<br />

<strong>Caribbean</strong> that will result in higher energy demands, but both renewable<br />

energy sources will have enough intensity to be used in the future<br />

as alternative energy resources to mitigate future climate changes.<br />

41<br />

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FIFTH BIENNIAL CARIBBEAN ENVIRONMENTAL FORUM AND EXHIBITION

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