International Technology Roadmap for PV - PVMC

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Outlook ITRPV parameter trends considered in different learning scenarios 1) eta gain @ constant cost, 2) cost increase, 3) cost reduction + eta gain 06/2012 12/2012 12/2013 12/2015 12/2017 12/2020 12/2023 Cum. volume shipped (GWp)* 92 110 140 210 310 460 640 Avg. Wp increase - 2% 4% 4% 6% 7% 7% Scenario 1 ($/Wp) 0.83 0.81 0.78 0.75 0.70 0.65 0,61 Increased complexity - 0% 0% 3% 0% 0% 0% Scenario 2 ($/Wp) 0,83 0.83 0.83 0.85 0.85 0.83 0,83 Cost reduction - 1% 5% 5% 10% 10% 10% Scenario 3 ($/Wp) 0,83 0.80 0.73 0.67 0.55 0.46 0,38 Module pricing in June 2012 Module pricing in January 2013 = cost level (EU/US/J 0.8 $/Wp; PRC 0.65 $/Wp)** = below cost Possible and needed cost reductions will meet prices around 2015 Roadmap identifies focus points efficiency gain is needed; cost reduction is mandatory * Yearly shipment volume between 30 GWp and 60 GWp ** S. Mehta, GTM Study, Global PV Module Manufacturers 2013: Competitive Positioning, Consolidation and the China Factor”October 15, 2012 30 2nd Annual c-Si PVMC Workshop, 10 July 2013, San Francisco, USA ITRPV 4 th Edition – Results 2012
Roadmap outlook: PV learning continues Efficiency gains and cost reductions per piece have to be combined 31 2nd Annual c-Si PVMC Workshop, 10 July 2013, San Francisco, USA ITRPV 4 th Edition – Results 2012
Page 1 and 2: International Technology Roadmap fo
Page 3 and 4: ITRPV history and structure - Start
Page 5 and 6: AGENDA • Introduction of the 4 th
Page 7 and 8: Cost considerations Price drop belo
Page 11 and 12: ITRPV Results - Materials - Cell Wa
Page 13 and 14: ITRPV Results - Materials - Modules
Page 15 and 16: ITRPV Results - Processes - Manufac
Page 17 and 18: ITRPV Results - Processes - Manufac
Page 19 and 20: ITRPV Results - Processes - Technol
Page 23 and 24: ITRPV Results - Products - Cell / M
Page 25 and 26: ITRPV Results - Products - PV Syste
Page 27 and 28: Summary Challenges - near term Basi
Page 29: Summary ITRPV ITRPV shows: - ways t

International Technology Roadmap for PV - PVMC

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