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Events Event Report Visitor numbers surpass expectations at The Innovation Cloud—Solarexpo A high level of attendance and a great sense of satisfaction, together with renewed dynamism among operators, marked the first edition of The Innovation Cloud— Solarexpo, which ended May 10th after three days at Fiera Milano-Rho, Spain. 31,300 visitors from 83 countries, acknowledged by exhibitors as being among the leading professionals in the field, came to the Trade Fair’s pavilions and took part in 60 conferences of national and international significance. All the operators praised the exhibition’s innovative approach in presenting the changes in the world of cutting-edge energy technologies. “In just three days, our exhibition brought operators to a shared conviction: notwithstanding the fact that the macroeconomic framework of the country is still very difficult and many uncertainties in the regulations persist, the worst is over,” said Luca Zingale, founder and scientific director of The Innovation Cloud. “Our approach to staging the event is flexible and open to the changes affecting the market and the industry. The operators have accepted our invitation to share the latest advances and we are grateful to them for that.” The events of The Innovation Cloud- Solarexpo provided the framework for an open, in-depth discussion about the future of the solar market, both in the context of grid-parity, such as the post-incentives Italian market, and in the global arena, through the Global Solar Summit. The conference “Photovoltaic Energy in Italy after ContoEnergia (the feed-in tariff scheme)” drew a large audience to a lively debate over the growing penetration of photovoltaic power in the national electricity system. In this area, a common position emerged between the Energy Authority and the Ministry of Economic Development, represented respectively by Andrea Galliani and Luciano Barra, over the proposal to extend the system’s charges to solar electricity, which has so far been exempt. The topicality of the hybridization of technologies for intelligent buildings, networks and cities was expressed from various points of view, embracing innovation in construction in favor of energy efficiency and climate control, the new LED technologies and distribution networks in view of smart grids. One of the conferences organized by RSE (Research on the Energy System) bore the title “E-Clima: climate control from renewable sources” and this was a much appreciated opportunity for an in-depth examination of the awareness of innovation, applications and the potential of heat pumps, combined with solar energy. Proper instruments of support and electricity tariffs designed specifically for this technology emerged as desirable conditions in order to effectively achieve the widest uptake of climate control equipment powered by heat pumps. An attitude of greater openness towards energy efficiency and a sustainable lifestyle but limited awareness about the technological solutions to be adopted in order to achieve these goals was, was the main conclusion of a survey over Italian families focused on “Energy saving and comfort in buildings” carried out by ISPO on behalf of ANIE Confindustria and presented as part of a conference held at the end of the third day. A proposal for an energy strategy up to 2030 was put before the public decision-makers and the public organizations active in the sector (the Energy Authority, GSE, ENEA, CNR etc.) by the organization CoordinamentoFREE, which brings together associations in the sector of renewable electricity and thermal sources and energy efficiency. In the conference “Towards a Sustainable Energy Strategy. Scenarios up to 2030,” CoordinamentoFREE explained its position paper and presented an E-book in response to what has been widely acknowledged as “the systematic disinformation on photovoltaic.” Furthermore, the events made possible a targeted, effective approach to the challenge of internationalization, which was the topic of many opportunities for updating and discussion with associations and research centers of international standing. Two cooperation agreements and the launch of the first six green energy projects were announced as part of the conference “Delivering renewable solutions within the Mediterranean electricity market” by RES4MED, the association formed by Enel Green Power, Edison, CESI, GSE, PwC and Milan Polytechnic in order to share strategies and experiences for a proper transition to clean energy in the Mediterranean. The availability of new financial instruments targeted at the development needs of green companies was the focus of great interest, especially during Green Investor Day, which facilitated meetings and discussion between financial investors, banks and listed companies. www.innovationcloud-expo.com 30 – Global Solar & Alternative Energies – May/June 2013 www.globalsolartechnology.com
Analyst Buzz Analyst Buzz Title Solar PV demand to reach 31 GW in 2013, according to NPD Solarbuzz Solar photovoltaic (PV) demand will increase two gigawatts (GW), from 29 GW to 31 GW during 2013, up 7 percent Y/Y according to the new NPD Solarbuzz Marketbuzz 2013. For the first time, China will outpace Germany to become the leading PV consumer, while the top 10 PV territories will still account for 83 percent of global PV demand. “2013 will represent another transition year, as the PV industry adjusts to softness across legacy European markets,” according to Michael Barker, senior analyst at NPD Solarbuzz. “The Chinese end-market will largely compensate for the downturn in demand from Germany, which previously led PV demand.” Global Shift in PV Demand Due to further reductions in European premium incentives, demand in this region will fall to approximately 12 GW, which is a 26 percent Y/Y decline. In contrast, new policies across leading PV countries in the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region, led by China, Japan, and India, will stimulate regional growth of over 50 percent and account for more than 11 GW of PV demand in 2013. “In 2013, we expect to see improvement in the market fundamentals that enable PV demand to return to doubledigit growth,” Barker said. “Installedsystem prices will continue to fall, and PV will become increasingly cost competitive across regions with high electricity rates, shortages in domestic supply, and growing renewable obligations to fulfill.” According to the NPD Solarbuzz report, new PV opportunities from the Middle East, Africa, Latin America, Southeast Asia, the Caribbean, and other emerging regions will have a stronger impact on global demand from 2014 onwards. Emerging regions are forecast to account for less than 8% of global demand during 2013; however, this market share is expected to double by 2017, driven primarily by South Africa, Saudi Arabia, Thailand, Israel, and Mexico. Fragmentation of the Supply Chain Further fragmentation of the supply chain for PV modules and balance-ofsystems components is expected across a range of addressable markets due to shifts in geographic access, new and ongoing import trade barriers, and changes in PV application segments. “Global trade wars and excessive local manufacturing capacity levels will create micro-environments for PV supply and demand, with each PV supplier serving only a subset of the 31 GW demand total,” Barker said. Ground-Mount Installations Dominate Ground-mount installations will dominate the market in 2013 with 45% of PV demand. These installations are being driven by policies that favor utility-based deployment. Strongly influenced by Japan, Germany, Australia, Italy, and the UK, overall market share for residential PV in 2013 will remain above 20%. These five countries will account for three-quarters of all residential PV installations this year, which highlights a broad geographic pull and emphasizes the continued importance of distributed generation. Geographic Breakdown of Global PV Demand in 2013 Source: NPD Solarbuzz Marketbuzz 2013 Solar energy causes revolution in Dutch electricity market The growth of solar energy has had a much greater impact on the Dutch energy infrastructure than was previously expected and taken into account. As solar panels look set to supply a much greater share of domestic electricity needs in the future, gas and coal plants are growing increasingly unprofitable, and energy utilities are having to find new solutions for energy storage and smart-grid development. According to experts, the growth in market share of solar energy could amount to much more than the 4000 MW that the companies and organizations united under the Dutch National Solar Energy Action Committee predicted for 2020. This projection was based on an annual growth of 25 per cent. Last year alone, the growth of the number of solar installations in the Netherlands amounted to more than 200 per cent. If annual growth turns www.globalsolartechnology.com Global Solar & Alternative Energies – May/June 2013 – 31
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