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Report: Chisholm wildfire entrapment investigation - FPInnovations ...

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To: Slave/LLB fire ops<br />

Issued: May 26, 2001<br />

Afternoon Spot Forecast<br />

For tonight and Saturday<br />

For: <strong>Chisholm</strong> Fire 63<br />

Synopsis:<br />

Very light shower activity that affected the zone near noon has moved to the northeast and clearing is occurring this<br />

aftn. The higher RH values at noon have given some slight FFMC relief. Dewpoints near 6 deg are expected by late<br />

aftn and will allow minimum RH values late in the burning period of 35%. Airmass remains unstable and a risk of<br />

TRW RW will persist into the evening. Winds increasing this aftn and evening as a strong pressure gradient begins<br />

to develop with the formation of a new low pressure system over north-central BC and the surface high pressure area<br />

remains over northern Alta. Moderate E-SE winds of 15-20 km/h likely persisting overnight. Good ventilation<br />

overnight. Strong SE winds , lower RH values and high temperatures Sunday will generate very easy burning<br />

conditions and possible erratic fire behaviour given the extreme BUI values of 118 expected Sunday. FIRE<br />

WEATHER ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT ON SUNDAY.<br />

Low Temp tonight: 10°C<br />

Max RH tonight: 70%<br />

Wind tonight: E-SE 15-20 km/h persisting overnight<br />

Max Temp tomorrow: 27°C<br />

Low RH tomorrow: 25%<br />

Wind tomorrow: E-SE 25g50 km/h possible gusts to 60 km/h<br />

Pcpn chance (%), amount, and type during next 24 hours: 30L TRW/RW<br />

(Note L means 0.5-5mm, M means 5-20mm, and H means over 20mm in next 24 hours)<br />

LFS WX<br />

Page 31 of 61

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